CST 213 Carbon Based Metabolic Adaptive Entities

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CST 213 Carbon Based Metabolic Adaptive Entities

• Prerequisites
• BPS 355 Thinking
• Physics 202 Current Considerations on Time
  Space
• Business Marketing 099 Public Relations
• English 100 Retortic Mind-Numbing Essays
• Mathematics 150 Lie algebra homology, Equivariant
  cohomology and Koszul duality
• Cross listed as Philosophy 101 LIFE
• Dr. Roger G. Clery, BS MBA PhD CDP ETC

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The Future
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Extrapolate This!
Where am I going?

• A better question is where are you now and where
  did you come from.

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But, First the Past
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History

• "History doesn't repeat itself - at best it
  sometimes rhymes"

History is more or less bunk
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My 1st Computer

• South West Technical Products with Motorola 6800
  CPUSpecsProsessor 6800 later followed by
  the 6809Bus SS-50, a 50 pins busDate July
  1975Ram up to 48k ram Kit came with 2k static
  RAMMedia 300 baud tape recorderDisk 5.25 ",
  used SS SD hardsectored 85K data, 35 tracks, 34
  users, 10 sec/track, 4 taken by Dos.Language
  Loader in PROM (MikBUG)
• Operating Systems MINIDOS / FlexDosRom
  up to 8K, ROM or EPROMRS-232 type serial
  interface Screen and keyboard Information is
  entered into the SWTPC 6800 by an external
  terminal, or any other input device that can be
  connected to an 8-bit ASCII

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Watson
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Data
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Processing
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Information
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The Past
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Ken Olson Quote
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My first time-share Program

• 99 CONTINUE
• PRINT ENTER FIXED COST PROFIT
• INPUT F
• PRINT ENTER VARIABLE COST PER UNIT
• INPUT V
• PRINT ENTER THE SALES PRICE PER UNIT
• INPUT P
• Q F/(P-V)
• PRINT YOU MUST SELL Q UNITS
• PRINT ENTER Y TO CONTINUE N TO QUIT
• INPUT R
• IF R Y THEN GOTO 99
• END

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Bill Gates Quote
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Moors Law
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Not to be confused withMurphys law - Anything
that can go wrong will orClerys Law- 82 of
any job is understanding the problem
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Transistors per Die
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Processing Power
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AMD ATHLON PROCESSORS

• Q What are the prices of the AMD Athlon 64 X2
  processors?
• A The AMD Athlon 64 X2 processors 4800, 4600
  4400, and 4200 will be priced at 1001, 803,
  581, and 537 respectively.
• Q What types of future end-user capabilities
  will we see enabled by dual-core technology?
• A General consumers should realize an immediate
  benefit from AMD multi-core processors with the
  capability to run multimedia and security
  applications with increased performance. AMD
  multi-core processors can deliver advanced
  multi-tasking capabilities and exceptional
  multimedia performance as multi-threaded
  applications spread from the enterprise server
  market to the client and consumer markets.
  Examples include
• Background Productivity, such as burning a CD or
  running firewall software in the background while
  working from home, banking online, or delivering
  video in the foreground.
• Digital Content Creation, such as photo editing,
  video editing or audio mixing.
• Programming
• Commercial convergence applications, such as
  Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) supporting
  audio, video and data collaboration.

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The Message
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Knowledge Based Economy
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1.5 Ton Computer
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Information Storage

• Needs
• Solutions

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NASA
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Size
1,000,000,000,000,000
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Petabyte
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Disk Capacity Growth
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Disk Capacity today
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How arduous is it to gain access to data?
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LaCie Bigger Disk with Triple Interface 1
TeraBytes

• USB 2.0, FireWire 400, FireWire 800
• Amazing 1 terabyte capacity
• 800 Mbps FireWire interface
• FireWire 800, FireWire 400 and USB 2.0
  connectivity
• Smart cooling system and automatic On /Off
  feature
• 6.3x 3.4x 10.6 inches 11 pounds
• Transfer rate 34 MB/s Peek 60 MB/s
• 979.00

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Cost Megabytes
1997

• 1 Terabyte External drive cost 980 April 2005
• Seagate Hard drive .72 per gigabyte

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Costs
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The Messy Office
How can we find stuff?
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Google

• While other e-businesses are cutting back, Google
  is increasing its infrastructure as fast as it
  can, doubling the size of its server farm in the
  last 10 months, to 8,000 systems.
• Google needs all that iron because demand for the
  site is booming. Google, which ranks in the top
  25 Web pages worldwide, had 10.9 million unique
  visitors in March, compared with 3.2 million
  unique visitors in April 2000, according to
  Jupiter Media Metrix.
• Despite the growing traffic, the site remains
  fast and accessible. Visitors to Google can
  access one of its pages in an average
  of.64-second, according to measuring firm Keynote
  Systems.
• Google is one of the biggest enterprises using
  the increasingly popular server farm approach to
  scalability. As the prices and size of
  Intel-architecture servers shrink, enterprises
  scale by using large numbers of cheap,
  low-powered servers.
• Google, like many other companies using this
  approach, runs Linux. "You don't need one,
  enormous 64-way system, as long as you have
  truckloads of small systems," said Rich
  Partridge, an analyst with D.H. Brown Associates.
  "Google is taking a trend that others are doing
  and taking it out to an extreme."
• As part of the infrastructure expansion, Google
  is consolidating. The company is moving out of
  datacenters in the San Francisco Bay and
  Washington D.C. areas, and consolidating in a new
  facility in the D.C. area. That means Google is
  moving from five to four datacenters--this, after
  adding three datacenters in the past year or so.
• Google indexes 1.3 Web billion pages on over a
  petabyte of storage--that's more than a million
  gigabytes.

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Data Transmission
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Gilder's Law

• proposed by George Gilder, prolific author and
  prophet of the new technology age - the total
  bandwidth of communication systems triples every
  twelve months. New developments seem to confirm
  that bandwidth availability will continue to
  expand at a rate that supports Gilder's Law.

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Gilders Law
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Bandwidth
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Optical Bandwidth
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DWDM Dense Wave Division Multiplexing
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Switches
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Bandwidth more than
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Connections
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ARPANET Beginning
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ARPANET 77 - 83
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ARPANET to INTERNET
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INTERNET 92 to 95
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Metcalfe's Law

• attributed to Robert Metcalfe, originator of
  Ethernet and founder of 3COM the value of a
  network is proportional to the square of the
  number of nodes so, as a network grows, the
  value of being connected to it grows
  exponentially, while the cost per user remains
  the same or even reduces.

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Internet Hosts
Numbers in Millions
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Internet Servers
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Technical Challenges
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Scalability requires
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Cognition
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Digital Librarian
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Avatar

• An image you select or create to represent
  yourself in a 3D chat site on the Web. In order
  to interact with these sites, you need a VRML
  plug-in. Avatar is a Sanskrit word that means the
  incarnation of a god on earth. See VRML.

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Innovation
XEROX PARC
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systems
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System Management
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Trouble Free Systems
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Transition to software
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Software Challenges
Google
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Software problems
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Moore's Law

• formulated by Gordon Moore of Intel in the early
  70's - the processing power of a microchip
  doubles every 18 months corollary, computers
  become faster and the price of a given level of
  computing power halves every 18 months.

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Hudson Institute 30 years
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Ideas to Consider
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How do we get there?

• Education for the specialist
• Education for everyone
• Combine Knowledge with Can-Do Ability
• Programming use to be fun
• Problem solving skill sets
• Computer/Internet literacy

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Pit-falls to avoid

• Rigor mortis, procrastination, paralysis of
  analysis
• "Perfect is the enemy of good enough."(Soviet
  Admiral Gorshkov)
• Frenzy, chaos, FUD

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What we need

• Improved Communication
• Instructor ? Student
• Instructor ? Instructor
• Instructor ? Administration
• Realistic programs get real
• To identify and explore the RESONANCE of Teaching
  and Learning practices Click here to see video
  from web
• Motivation instruction checking feedback

Click to Activate
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What Kind of Education
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EE degrees
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Law degrees
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Challenge
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Best is yet to Come
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Conclusion
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END