Diapositiva 1

1
World of Labor Institute
Argentina
2002-2006
2
1945-1976

• Poverty 5-10
• Full employment
• Broad industrial sector
• Unionization 70
• 90 urbanization
• 95 alphabetize
• Low inequality
• .but high political violence

3
1976-1983

• High peso policy
• Deindustrialization
• Financial sector
• Repression
• Foreign debt 600

1976 Dictatorship
4
1991-2001 Convertibility

• Washington Consensus
• High peso policy
• Deindustrialization
• Financial sector
• Foreign debt 600
• Global crises vulnerability
• Unemployment 18
• Marginality

1991
5
1998-2002 4 years recession

• Poverty 56
• Unemployment 26
• Hunger
• 2001 Political crises
• Unemployee organizations
• Foreign debt

1998
2001
6
2002 devaluation

• Devaluation 1x3
• Default 130 GDP
• Low peso policy
• Massive Social programs
• Social chaos
• Provisional government (Duhalde/Lavagna)
• Inflation 56

2002 Devaluation

• Economic discussion
• High/low peso-dollar relationship
• Prognostics Hyperinflation, dollar 13, no
  growth

7
2003-2006 Recovering

• Elections (right/left discussion)
• Kirchner
• New governments (South America)
• IMF and Foreign Debt
• 9 GDP growth
• Low peso policy (Lavagna)
• Industrial policies.
• Exports and 30 tax
• China trade terms
• Income/Wage improvement policy
• Low global vulnerability
• Inflation !!!
• New political party

2003

• Economic discussion
• Luck
• Prognostics no investments

8
2003-2006 Recovering
New popular party
9
Revival of CEPALs Dependence Theory NEO DEVELO
PMENTISM

• Celso Furtado, Prebisch, Teothonio dos Santos,
  Gunder Frank, Fernando Henrique Cardozo, Sergio
  Bagú,
• New South American governments
• Mercosur
• Unions
• ORITs Labors Platform

10
(No Transcript)
11
(No Transcript)
12
(No Transcript)
13
(No Transcript)
14
(No Transcript)
15
(No Transcript)
16
(No Transcript)
17
(No Transcript)
18
(No Transcript)
19
2003-2006 Recovering
China
20
2003-2006 Recovering
China
21
(No Transcript)
22
Gracias
Thanks