THE PROGRAM BAROMETER OF PUBLIC OPINION FROM MOLDOVA

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THE PROGRAM BAROMETER OF PUBLIC OPINION FROM
MOLDOVA
In 1998, Soros Foundation Moldova launched
a public opinion research program Barometer of
Public Opinion- with a view to promote correct
and transparent mechanisms of social-political
and economic life reflection and to ensure
access to information for the civil society.The
two first polls were carried out in 1998 by the
Centre for Urban and Regional Sociology and the
Institute for Marketing and Polls IMAS from
Bucharest in co-operation with SOCIO MOLDOVA from
Chisinau. In the framework of this program, the
Institute for Public Policy , supported
financially by Soros Foundation Moldova,
organized in August 2000 and in
January-February and November , 2001 three
national public opinion polls. To implement
successfully the program, the Institute has
selected, on the basis of an auction , the
following institutions August , 2000 the
Institute for Marketing and Polls ( IMAS) from
Bucharest and the Centre SOCIOMOLODVA from
Chisinau January-February, 2001 - the Centre for
Puiblic Opinion and Market Study (CSOP) from
Bucharest in co-operation with ILIGACIU SRL
from Chisinau November, 2001 the Centre for
Sociological, Politological and Psychological
Researches ( CIVIS) from Chisinau..The studies
were focused on the following issues political
options, rating of main political leaders and
political parties, living standards and life
quality, economic and social Government policy,
other issues of major interest. The results of
these polls were presented at press conferences.
Media, public opinion representatives and all
those interested had free access to the polls
results, including to its database. All materials
can be found at the IPP web-site
http//www.ipp.md Taking into consideration the
impact and the importance of such researches,
the Institute for Public Policy organized in
March-April,2002, a new public opinion poll
supported financially by Soros Foundation Moldova
and carried out by the Institute for Marketing
and Polls- IMAS Inc. from Chisinau. The results
of this poll are presented below. The program
Barometer of Public Opinion 2002 is supervised
by a Jury formed by Dr. Arcadie Barbarosie,
Executive Director of the Institute for Public
Policy (President), PhD. Ludmila Malcoci, PhD.
Victor Moraru, Dr. Constantin Marin, Dr. Ala
Belostecinic, Dr. Ion Stanciu. The program
administrator - the Institute for Public Policy-
is a non-profit , non-governmental organization.
Its goal is to encourage the development in the
Republic of Moldova of an open , participatory,
pluralist society, committed to the democratic
values through performing and supporting
researches and independent analyses of public
policies as well as through public debates and
wide dissemination of the results of such
researches. The activity of the Institute for
Public Policy is focussed on the following
fields reform of educational system, European
integration, solving the Transnistrian problem,
national defense and security, other issues of
major interest for the society. Public opinion
polls are supposed to be conducted in all these
fields.     The Institute has collaboration
relations with similar institutions and
organizations in the public policy field from
many European countries with a view to exchange
information and expertise, to develop comparative
studies and mutual interest activities. Contact
information. 27 67 85 27 67 86, fax. 27 05 07
e-mail ipp_at_ipp.md Institute for Public Policy ,
Bulgara str. 28, , MD-2001,Chisinau.
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Institute of Marketing and Polls IMAS - Inc

• - IMAS-Inc. SRL is a Moldavian research Institute
  founded in May, 2001. Its only founder (single
  associate) is IMAS SA Bucharest.
• - Researches performed up to now in the Republic
  of Moldova
• 1998 and 2000 - Barometer of Public Opinion
• 1998 - 2001 - surveys on a representative sample
  at national level ( 1500-2000 persons) for
  INTERMEDIA
• 1998 - 2002 - monitoring on a panel of Radio Free
  Europe listeners
• 1999 - survey on media audience on a
  representative sample at national level
• 1999 si 2000 - survey Media in the context of
  the economical reform on a representative sample
  for the media, commissioned by the Independent
  Centre of Journalism.
• 1999 - focus-groups for evaluating the image of
  the trade mark Gaulloise, for SEITA FRANCE
• 2000 - focus-groups for evaluating the image of
  radio stations Radio Free Europe and Voice of
  America for INTERMEDIA
• - Types of researches that IMAS-Inc. can carry
  out
• Researches ad-hoc (consumer research, advertising
  research, retail research, political and social
  research)
• Continuing researches (through our service
  MOLDBUS)
• City media survey (measuring the audience on
  local market)
• Focus-groups and interviews.
• - Contact information carmen_at_imas-inc.com

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Poll Methodology

• Amount of the Sample 1149 persons aged 18 and
  more
• Sample stratified, probabilistic, three-staged
• Stratification criteria
• 12 administrative-territorial units (ATU), livng
  environment (urban-rural), size of urban
  localities (2 types), type of rural localities
  (centre of a commune/ included village)
• The volumes of urban strata and of the total in a
  ATU have been calculated proprotionally with the
  number of the population, according to the data
  provided by the Department of Statistics of the
  Republic of Moldova
• Randomness Stages
• I.The Locality within adjusted strata, the
  selected localities (70) were established
  randomly,on the basis of a table of aleatory
  numbers.
• II. The Family In each locality, a number of
  sampling points was established so as to have a
  maximum number of 7 interviews in each sampling
  point. . Families to be interviewed have been
  selected through the method of random itinerary
  with a statistical step.
• III. The Person If there were more than one
  adult person in selected families, the person to
  be interviewed was the one whose birthday was the
  nearest.
• Representativeness
• the sample is representative for the adult
  population of the Republic of Moldova, excluding
  Transnistria
• error limit 3
• Period for data collection
• March,20-31, 2002. Interviews were taken at the
  respondents place by the operators of
  IMAS-Inc.network.
• The questionnaire was formulated in Romanian and
  Russian, the respondents having the possibility
  to choose the version.In Gagauzian localities
  were used operators who speak Gagauzian.

• The analysis of the structure of the sample
  obtained in the field revealed the concordance
  between the distribution of the population
  according to the available statistical data and
  those obtained, with the admissible statistical
  devation.
• A significant difference was registered in the
  structure on age groups, view an
  under-representation of young people (18-29 years
  old).This deviation can have two explanations
• The significant importance of young people who,
  in fact, are out the country, working
  abroad,temporary migration which cannot be
  registered by official statistics.
• It is generally more dificult to approach the
  young people ( more often they are not at home).
  As a result, in spite of methodological caution,
  this category is under-represented through all
  the survey.
• To fill this gap, a results balance was done so
  as the structure of the calculated sample
  represents the average of the distribution
  registered in official statistics and the one
  obtained in the fieldd. So, the presented results
  are balanced. The difference between balanced and
  non-balanced results does not overpass 1 with
  regard to any question.

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ECONOMY AND SOCIETY
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Do you consider our country is moving towards a
right or a wrong direction?
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To what extent are you content with the
Government activities in the following
fields..?
Difference up to 100 represents no-responses
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Distributionof responses Quite content and
Very content
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How do you evaluate the economical situation in
the Republic of Moldova compared to the one of a
year ago?
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How will be the economical situation in the
Republic of Moldova in a year compared to the
present one, in your opinion?
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How much are you content with the present
economical situation in the Republic of Moldova?
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What should be done to improve the
social-economical situation in our country?
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Distribution of responses (a total of 3 options)
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Is it, in your opinion , better to divide the
Republc of Moldova in districts (raion) or in
counties (judet)?
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Which are the things you are most afraid of at
present?
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Distribution of responses (a total of 3 options)
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How content are you , generally, with the way you
live?
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How content are you with ?
Difference up to 100 represents no-responses
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How is your life at present compared to the one
of a year ago?
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How will be your life in a year, in your opinion?
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How do you evaluate the present income of your
family?
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If you won a large amount of money (1 mln lei,
for example ), what would you do with it ?
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Distribution of responses (a total of 2 options)
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How often do you?..
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How much do you trust in the news the following
media broadcast?
Difference up to 100 represents no-responses
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Distribution of responses Full trust and Some
trust
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If you had the opportunity to choose, whom would
you accept as neighbours and whom not?
Difference up to 100 represents no-responses
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Distribution of responses Yes
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Linguistic situation - language spoken usually
at home - other known languages
The responses have been registered without
proposing any versions
() Percentage calculated on the basis of
separate mention of both
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The list below enumerates some features.Choose
three of them characterizing the best (
Features selected the most)
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Have you or has anyone in your family had to
solve this year any problem at the

• To solve your problem, did you have to offer
  presents(money,products,services, etc.) at the

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Have you or has anyone in your family had to
solve this year any problem at the

• To solve your problem, did you have to offer
  presents(money,products,services, etc.)

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To what extent , do you think, is ensured your
security?
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If you had a real opportunity to leave Moldova,
what would you do?
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POLITICS
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To what extent are you interested in politics?
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To what extent people like you can influence on
important decisions to be taken?
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How much do you trust in ... ?
Difference up to 100 represents no-responses
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Distribution of responses Very much trust and
Some trust
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Do you consider the present government rules the
country better, in the same way or worse than the
previous one?
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Which is the political personality in the
Republic of Moldova you trust in the most? (open
question)
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How much do you trust in the following political
personalities ?
Difference up to 100 represents no-responses
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For the first 7 personalities, following the
order of positive evaluation
distribution of responses very much trust and
some trust
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Which of the following statements expresses the
best your opinion?
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Which political party in our country is, in your
opinion, able to contribute to overcoming the
general crisis? (open question)
Social-Democratic Alliance was mentioned as a
response by other 0,2 of respondents
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If parliamentary elections had to be organized
next Sunday, would you go to vote?
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If parliamentary elections had to be organized
next Sunday, whom would you vote for?
() 0,9 have been totalized from those who have
chosen from the list the Social-Democratic
Alliance and 2,1 who responded Another party (
Braghis Alliance).
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For the first 5 parties, following the order of
options
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How would you prefer to elect ...
The Parliament of the Republic of Moldova
The President of the Republic of Moldova
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Which should be the prior orientation of our
country, in your opinion?
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Could you say you have a very good,rather good,
neither good, nor bad, rather bad or very bad
opinion about each of the following organizations
Difference up to 100 represents no-responses
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Do you think the Republic of Moldova needs loans
from the World Bank and International Monetary
Fund?
There are opinions according to which Russia
interferes in internal affairs of the Republic of
Moldova. What is your opinion on this point?
There are opinions according to which Romania
interferes in internal affairs of the Republic of
Moldova. What is your opinion on this point?
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What objectives are the most important for the
Republic of Moldova at present, in your opinion?
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Distribution of responses (a total of 3 options)
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Do you think there should be two official
languagesMoldavian/Romanian and Russian or
should only Moldavian/Romanian be an official
language?
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What do you think about studying Russian
compulsorily in non-russian schools from Moldova?
Should Russian be studied compulsorily or
optionally, like any other foreign language?
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Dynamics of responses to the questions of
Barometer of Public Opinion
All questions of this survey, which had been
included in at least one previous survey, are
enumerated below. Versions of responses which
had not been included in some surveys are marked
with. If different modality to calculate had
been used in previous reports ( different basis
for calculating the percentage) , values were
recalculated to make the data comparable.
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