ELECTORAL PREFERENCES MEXICO 2006

1
ELECTORAL PREFERENCESMEXICO 2006

• Nobodys Unpredictable

NATIONAL SURVEYS CONDUCTED BY IPSOS-BIMSA FROM
SEPTEMBER 2003-NOVEMBER 2005
2
POLL OF POLLS October-November 2006
3
VOTE CHOICE 2006 KEY VARIABLES
VOTE
CHOICE 2006
4
1.- CANDIDATES POPULARITY
5
NAME RECOGNITION AMLO, ROBERTO MADRAZO FELIPE
CALDERÓN
6
IMAGE OF FELIPE CALDERÓN Do you have a positive
or negative opinion about FELIPE CALDERÓN?. ()
POSITIVE OPINIONS
DK/NA ARE NOT REPORTED
7
IMAGE OF ROBERTO MADRAZO Do you have a positive
or negative opinion about ROBERTO MADRAZO? ()
DK/NA ARE NOT REPORTED
8
IMAGE OF ANDRÉS MANUEL LÓPEZ OBRADOR Do you have
a positive or negative opinion about ANDRÉS
MANUEL LÓPEZ OBRADOR? ()
DK/NA ARE NOT REPORTED
9
2.- PARTISANSHIP
10
PARTY IDENTIFICATION ()
11
ELECTORAL CHOICE BY PARTY IDENTIFICATION (
NOVEMBER 2005)
ANDRÉS MANUEL LÓPEZ OBRADOR
ROBERTO MADRAZO
FELIPE CALDERÓN
NO SE MUESTRA EL PORCENTAJE DE NS/NC
Non response and support for others are not shown

12
PARTISAN COHESION
IN NOV. 2005 FELIPE CALDERÓN IS PANS CANDIDATE.
13
ELECTORAL SCENARIO
SCENARIO ALL PARTIES WITH THE SAME LEVEL OF
PARTY COHESION
14
3.- INDEPENDENTS
15
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
16
ELECTORAL PREFERENCES OF INDEPENDENTS
IN NOV. 2005 FELIPE CALDERÓN IS PANS CANDIDATE
INDEPENDENTS
IMPEACHMENT PROCESS
VIDEOSCANDALS
DK/NA and support for others are not shown

17
4.- PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL
18
PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL AND PARTISAN CHOICE
ANDRÉS MANUEL LÓPEZ OBRADOR
ROBERTO MADRAZO
FELIPE CALDERÓN
NO SE MUESTRA EL PORCENTAJE DE NS/NC
19
PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL
NO SE MUESTRA EL PORCENTAJE DE NS/NC
DK/NA ARE NOT SHOWN
20
5.- STATE OF THE ECONOMY
21
STATE OF THE ECONOMY IN COMPARISON TO ONE YEAR
AGO AND PARTISAN CHOICE
ANDRÉS MANUEL LÓPEZ OBRADOR
ROBERTO MADRAZO
FELIPE CALDERÓN
NO SE MUESTRA EL PORCENTAJE DE NS/NC
NO SE MUESTRA EL PORCENTAJE DE NS/NC
22
STATE OF THE ECONOMY IN COMPARISON TO ONE YEAR
AGO
NO SE MUESTRA EL PORCENTAJE DE NS/NC
DK/NA ARE NOT SHOWN
23
CONCLUSIONS
PREFERENCIA ELECTORAL POR PARTIDO
24
PERSPECTIVAS DE LOS CANDIDATOS