METHODOLOGICAL CONSTRAINS AND NEED IN THE AREA OF V

1
METHODOLOGICAL CONSTRAINS AND NEED IN THE AREA OF
VA ASSESSMENT IN THE CENTRAL AMERICAN REGION
UNFCCC WORKSHOP ON METHODOLOGIES ON CLIMATE
CHANGE IMPACTS AND ADAPTATION /  UNDP-GEF
WORKSHOP FOR DEVELOPING AN ADAPTATION POLICY
FRAMEWORK MONTREAL. CANADA JUNE 11-14, 2001
Emilio SemprisCATHALACNPCC-ANAMRep. of
Panamaesempris_at_ cathalac.org
2
THE CENTRAL AMERICAN REGION
3
CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ADVERSE IMPACTS
4
INSTITUTIONAL ARRAGEMENT WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF
THE UNFCCC
5
FINDINGS OF FIRST GENERATION VA ASSESSMENTS ?
(1)

• The Region, as a whole, is not adapted to current
  climate.
• Diferentiated vulnerarability to CC adverse
  impacts at the national and regional level, and
  within the region, there are populations with
  greatest risk to be impacted, those coincide with
  the areas where there is greatest geo-ecosystem,
  socioeconomic deterioration.
• Obsolete Met. and Stats Offices

6
FINDINGS OF FIRST GENERATION VA ASSESSMENTS ? (2)

• There exists problems to idenfy vulnerable
  regions and population at risk.
• There are great uncertainties attached to the
  results of the assessment due to the avaliability
  and quality of climate system data.
• There is a research need in terms of VA
  integrated assessment.
• Political willingness stability issues that
  makes the region even more vulnerable to the
  adverse effects of climate change.

7
WHAT IS NEEDED ? (1)

• Standardization of climate change science ( e.i.,
  Methodologies and benkmarks to select vulnerable
  region and populations at risk).
• Improvement of climate system data (not only T
  P).
• Shorter term integrated impact assessments and
  adaptation options should be developed.
• Improvement in risk communication capacity.
• Establishment formal models for assessing
  uncertainties.

8
(No Transcript)
9
KEY ISSUES FOR THE NEXT GENERATION OF VA
ASSESSMENTS (1)

• proactive vs reactive adaptation responses The
  second generation methodologies should not look
  so hard into the future, so they do not fall too
  behind in the present
• Stakeholders participation
• VA integrated assessment
• Costing impacts
• Insurance
• Funding

10
REGIONAL IMPACTS ON QUANTITY AND QUALITY OF WATER
RESOURCES
ANTROPHOGENIC CAUSES ?
Water without sanitation treatment
Non-organic contaminants
Organic contaminant
Vector breading sites
Artificial impoundment
Waste waters, pollution in rivers, etc.
WATER RESOURCES
Droughts
Storms Hurricanes
FLOODS
Direct harmful effects
Indirect effects
CLIMATE RELATED CAUSES ?
11
REGIONAL STAKEHOLDERS FOR WATER RESOURCES SECTOR
IN THE REGION
WATER RESOURCES IMWR
IRRIGATION
AQUACULTURE
NAVIGATION
RECREATION
TOURISM
SUPPLY AND SANITATION
HYDROPOWER
12
KEY ISSUES FOR THE NEXT GENERATION OF VA
ASSESSMENTS (2)

• Costing impacts
• Insurance
• Funding

13
METHODOLOGICAL CONSTRAINS AND NEEDS IN THE AREA
OF VA ASSESSMENT IN THE CENTRAL AMERICAN REGION
UNFCCC WORKSHOP ON METHODOLOGIES ON CLIMATE
CHANGE IMPACTS AND ADAPTATION /  UNDP-GEF
WORKSHOP FOR DEVELOPING AN ADAPTATION POLICY
FRAMEWORK MONTREAL. CANADA JUNE 11-14, 2001
Emilio SemprisCATHALACNPCC-ANAMRep. of
Panamaesempris_at_ cathalac.org