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Environmental Regulation

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Cost of Auto Emission Controls (incremental per vehicle) Conclusions ... commercially available at attractive prices until after regulatory requirements are ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Environmental Regulation


1

Environmental Regulation Technology Innovation
Controlling Emissions from Aircraft
  • Presented by,
  • Arthur Marin
  • Deputy Director
  • Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use
    Management (NESCAUM)
  • 2001 An Airspace Odyssey
  • Airport Air Quality Symposium
  • San Diego, CA
  • March 1, 2001

2

Overview
  • Make the case that technology-forcing standards
    are needed for aircraft engines
  • Using examples from other industry sectors to
    evaluate the prospects for development of new and
    cost-effective emission control technologies for
    aircraft engines

3
Hypothesis

  • Significant additional reductions are achievable
    for the aviation sector with appropriate forward
    looking engine standards
  • Reductions will accrue at far lower cost than
    suggested by initial predictions

4
Challenge
  • The concerns issues facing the aviation sector
    mirror those of other industries faced with
    emission reduction demands
  • - sectors relative contribution to air
    pollution problems
  • - untested/unknown technological options
  • - unknown costs
  • - timing concerns and constraints

5

Significance of Aircraft Emissions
  • Only large sector with projected growth in NOx
    emissions over next several decades
  • Technology-forcing engine standards will be
    needed just to reduce the rate of the projected
    growth in aircraft NOx emissions

6
Relative Contribution of Aircraft

7

National Aircraft NOx Inventory

tons/yr
8

NESCAUM Report Environmental Regulation
Technology Innovation
  • Evaluated historical development of control
    technologies to better understand the keys to
    establishing and implementing cost-effective
    pollution controls
  • 3 case studies SO2 from power plants NOx from
    power plants automobiles

9

NESCAUM Report Key Findings
  • Where strong regulatory drivers exists,
    substantial technological improvements steady
    reductions in control costs follow.
  • Dynamic occurs even when control options were
    limited or untested at time regulations were
    introduced.

10
SO2 From Power Plants

  • Flue gas desulfurization (scrubbing) equipment
    was first installed at power plant in London in
    1930s
  • First US installation in 1968
  • High capital operational costs
  • Early units hampered by reliability problems

11
SO2 From Power Plants

  • Local control requirements only
  • few technological advances
  • 1977 CAAA NSPS for power plants
  • scrubber cost dropped / improved reliability
  • 1990 CAAA Coal utilities invest in scrubbers for
    acid rain program
  • costs continue to decline far below projections
  • Late 90s Prospect new PM/SO2 standards
  • fuel switching

12
Carlson et al (2000)
13
NOx From Power Plants
  • Technologies in use outside US
  • Resistance in this country
  • Weak regulatory drivers prior to 1990 CAA

14
NOx From Power Plants
  • Key technology drivers
  • 1970/77 CAA new source performance standards
  • California Initiatives (NOx as a precursor to
    ozone)
  • 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments
  • OTC NOx MOU / NOx SIP Call (cover existing
    facilities)
  • Now routine use of advanced approaches
  • SCR, SNCR, Gas and Coal Reburn

15
(No Transcript)
16
Cost of NOx ControlsSelective Catalytic Reduction
17
Cost of NOx ControlsSNCR
18
Automobile Emissions
  • 1965 -- 2005 Cars 95 Cleaner
  • California Regulations
  • Title II of the CAA
  • Technological innovations
  • catalytic converters, fuel injection
  • computer controls
  • evaporative emission controls
  • cleaner gasoline (lead, RVP, RFG, sulfur)
  • ZEVs / Hybrids

19
(No Transcript)
20
Cost of Auto Emission Controls(incremental per
vehicle)
21
Conclusions
  • Advanced air pollution control technologies dont
    become commercially available at attractive
    prices until after regulatory requirements are
    established.

22
Conclusions
  • Technology-forcing standards would likely lead to
    innovative approaches to reduce NOx emissions
    from aircraft engines at costs significantly
    below initial projections.

23
Conclusions
  • Technology advances are achieved at significant
    cost and effort to industry
  • Required tremendous innovation ingenuity on the
    part of industry
  • Demand for cars electricity have continued to
    grow
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