Brigitte Gohdes

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Brigitte Gohdes The big picture
visions and challenges for London Havering
Strategic Partnership 4 July 2008
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Outline The Young Foundation The London
Collaborative
What is success for London?
Future challenges
for the capital
Acting locally and London-wide
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www.youngfoundation.org
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• Michael Youngs legacy
• creator of over 60 organisations
• pioneer of patient led health, consumerism,
  neighbourhood governance, lifelong learning,
  anti-age discrimination

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Y
Y
Studio schools Asylum Justice Maslaha School of
Everything
Fixmystreet Resilience programme c
Y
Y
Health Learning Launchpad Innovation Justice and
Youth
Neighbourhoods Well-being London Collaborative
Local projects Demonstrations
Launchpad New enterprises
Research Ideas/strategies Networks Daily life
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What is the London Collaborative?

• A consortium set up in late 2007 led by the
  Young Foundation and funded by Capital Ambition

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The London Collaborative aims to -

• Achieve a shared view of potential future threats
  and opportunities across Londons public
  sector
• Define priority fields for joint action and
  support the development of effective strategies
• Improve the ability of public organisations to
  work together in the future.

first stage in a longer-term strategy to
improve collaboration between the people who
think, plan and act to shape Londons future.
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Main strands of work

• 1 Leadership network and development programme
• 2 Collaboration on four challenges -
• Worklessness and social housing
• Understanding population flows
• Behaviour change
• Carbon reduction

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Perspectives on Londons success

• as a city
• for Londoners, communities, visitors,
• migrants,businesses, commuters
• for its public sector and for politicians
• how to measure it
• comparative perspectives
• London Collaborative proposition

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Visions of success our perspective

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Proposal for a balanced scorecard

• Mostly focused at the level of Londons public
  sector
• incorporating the dimensions of
• wellbeing and economic
• dynamism we have identified as
• key challenges
• including a dimension of future
• readiness to encompass
• resilience, adaptive capacity

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One aspect of future readiness
social innovation

• Social innovation refers to new ideas -
  products, services or models - developed to
  fulfil unmet social need
• Not just about novelty, also about adapting,
  learning, grafting, copying
• Social innovation can be driven through public
  sector, third sector, social enterprise, key
  individuals

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Conditions for local social innovation

• Three critical factors
• the will to change
• strong internal capacity
• external resources and feedback

The strategic triangle of local social innovation
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• Future-readiness in American cities
• The US consultancy CEO for Cities measures 50
  metropolitan areas future competitiveness,
  innovation and culture, entirely focused on
  economic performance.
• Alongside the 4 domains (talent, innovation
  connection and distinctiveness) the framework
  measures core vitality, which covers income,
  poverty and educational attainment in areas
  within 5 miles of the city centre, and overall
  metro performance, assuming that high
  performance in the 4 domains will lead to high
  current and improved future overall performance.
•  
•  

Metro Performance (Per Capita income, poverty
rate)
Core Vitality
Source CEO for Cities, City Vitals 2006
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Or perhaps it is all about wellbeing
Source Measuring wellbeing at the local level
a report for the Audit Commission 2007 Young
Foundation and New Economics Foundation
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Comparing London
Productivity Growth 1985-2005 Source GLA
Economics, GLAs Interim City Data Set 2005
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It is easy to find good housing at a reasonable
price
Comparing London
Source Urban Audit 2004, Eurostat
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Source Urban Audit 2004, Eurostat
Comparing London
Do you feel safe in this city?
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Are you satisfied with living in this city?
Comparing London
Source Urban Audit 2004, Eurostat
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Mercer global quality of living survey 2006
Comparing London
Annual survey of liveability in 51 cities
measuring indicators in 10 domains

• Economic environment (currency exchange
  regulations, banking services, etc)
• Socio-cultural environment (censorship,
  limitations on personal freedom, etc)
• Health and sanitation (medical services,
  infectious diseases, sewage, waste disposal, air
  pollution,
• Consumer goods (availability of food/daily
  consumption items, cars, etc)
• Housing (housing, household appliances,
  furniture, maintenance services, etc)
• Natural environment (climate, record of natural
  disasters)
• Schools and education (standard and availability
  of international schools, etc)
• Public services and transportation (electricity,
  water, public
• transport, traffic congestion, etc)
• Political and social environment (political
  stability, crime, law enforcement, etc)
• Recreation (restaurants, theatres, cinemas,
  sports and leisure, etc)

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Source Economist Intelligence Unit Global
Liveability survey 2005
Comparing London

• The Economist Intelligence Unit's Liveability
  ranking assesses living conditions in 127 cities
  around the world .
• Measures/indicators grouped into five categories
  healthcare culture and environment education
  stability infrastructure.
• Cities given rating of 0-100 , survey judges a
  city with a lower score to be the more attractive
  destination. A rating of 20 is where real
  problems are seen to begin - anything over 50
  places severe restrictions on lifestyle.

0 10 20 40 100
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Who should we be learning from?
Similar world cities New York, Paris, Berlin
or next generation world cities
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• Dubai and Abu Dhabi seeking to emulate and
  leapfrog London as
• centres of finance and culture

Overcome restrictions of domestic economy
by opening the Dubai International Financial
Centre
Transformed from a blank canvas into an" Islamic
fusion of Singapore and Vegas
Government set up industry-specific free zones
for high end services
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• Abu Dhabi emerging as an international economic
  and cultural hub with an emphasis on
  sustainability.
• Planned cultural and educational projects include
  what will be the largest Guggenheim Museum, a
  Louvre and a New York University study-abroad
  campus

• Masdar exemplar
• ecocity designed by
• Norman Foster

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Singapore super schools for futuretalent
Continuing drive to be leading knowledge economy
and hub Recent focus on creative industries,
entertainment Government controlled
pyramid-style school structure unabashedly pushes
the cream to the top, building hi-tech
superschools as symbol of future-readiness
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Behaviour change in Bogota
"I believe that if people know the rules and are
sensitized by art, humour, and creativity, they
are more likely to accept change. The crucial
point of a citizens' culture is learning to
correct others without mistreating them or
generating aggression. We need to create a
society in which civility rules over cynicism and
apathy." (Antanas Mockus)
To minimise accidents caused by dangerous or
anti-social driving, the unconventional Mayor
of Bogota, Antanas Mockus, hired "Marcel
Marceau" mimes to walk the streets and sidewalks
and model the stopping procedure drivers should
follow to allow pedestrians to cross the road
carefully
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Models of eco-innovation
Dongtan, China - worlds first eco-city aims to
be as close to carbon neutral as possible,
producing its own energy from wind, solar,
bio-fuel and recycled city waste, with hydrogen
fuel cells powering public transport and a
network of cycle and footpaths. Freiberg -
Germanys solar capital, serves as a model for
liveable communities, car-free mobility, and
other sustainable-community and quality-of-life
indicators. Hammarby Sjöstad,Stockholm
High density sustainable housing with all
sewage from area linked to existing processing
plants to generate bio-gas a heat
energy
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Negative examples Paris?
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A look at future challenges and how they might
impact
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Six scenarios

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1 Full speed ahead super global city

• In this scenario London in 2023 shows
• Success breeds success. High population growth,
  social attitude of tolerant coexistence and a
  very strong economy.
• Significant and continuing investment in Londons
  transport infrastructure enables continuing
  population and workforce mobility.
• Private and third sector providers are prominent
  in the provision of services that were once the
  responsibility of public sector bodies

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1 Full speed ahead super global city /2

• Challenges, issues and opportunities
• How does London handle rapid growth funding
  infrastructure, coping with pressures on planning
  and land, skills shortages and the impact of
  overheating?
• How does the role of the public sector change if
  service delivery is increasingly dominated by the
  private and third sectors?
• How do policy makers cope with an extremely
  mobile and changing population?
• How does London relate to its hinterland as the
  wider South East becomes ever more clearly a
  single economic region?

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2 Hitting the buffers London falling apart

• London in 2023 in scenario 2
• Increasing out migration but steady population
  growth due to a higher than expected birth rate.
  These trends combine with others to create a
  prevailing social climate of fear, suspicion and
  competition between communities.
• Hit by a sustained economic downturn, the capital
  loses out to international competitors and ceases
  to be a destination of choice for economic
  migrants, let alone tourists.
• The poorest people live increasingly beyond the
  margins of formal society in worsening health
  and housing conditions that reflect the declining
  capacity of public providers.

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2 Hitting the buffers London falling apart
/2

• Challenges, issues and opportunities
• How to prevent brain drain and major skills
  shortages in the event of recession?
• How to deal with chronic health, employment and
  crime problems which are likely to be even more
  severe but with fewer resources?
• How to respond to severe community tensions,
  including the rise of the far right?

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3 Steady ahead growing outwards, growing
greener

• Scenario 3 and London in 2023
• Population growth in the middle band of current
  predictions, a prevailing social attitude of
  tolerant coexistence and medium economic growth
• A notable shift of people, money and power from
  the centre to the suburbs, and from there down to
  local wards and communities.
• Sustainability and the environment have continued
  to rise up the political and personal agendas,
  influencing everything from building regulations
  to transport policy.

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3 Steady ahead growing outwards, growing
greener /2

• Challenges, issues and opportunities
• How to balance community-led decision making with
  maintaining standards?
• What will be the impact of a major increase in
  home working?
• What part should public services play in
  facilitating environmental change?

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Londons future success?

• Competing visions emphasising global dynamism,
  continued growth, ecocity, quality of life,
  equity
• Key questions can London maintain current
  strengths as world class, global city while
  offering a world class quality of life for all
  its citizens?
• Could London become an exemplar at meeting the
  great challenges and opportunities of the 21st
  century?

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Thinking local and pan-London

• People live their lives across geographic
  boundaries
• Look beyond geography and sector for solutions to
  some of Londons challenges
• Visions for areas, boroughs, neighbourhoods but
  also part of the London story

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Further information

• www.youngfoundation.org for links to all our
  work on social
• innovation, with local authorities and
  communities
• www.youngfoundation.org/london
• london_at_youngfoundation.org or tel [phone]
  for information on
• the London Collaborative