CtrIED Intel

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OIF 2GeoINT Case Studies
LTCOL Bill Thomson Chief GEOINT/IMINT, C2,
MNF-I/MNC-I CW3 Wayne Prosser OIC Terrain Team,
C2, MNF-I /MNC-I Tues 25 May 04
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Agenda

• Coalition HQ GeoINT
• Case Studies
• Rocketman
• Counter-IED
• Lessons
• What next?

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Coalition HQ GeoINT

• Terrain Team in Direct Support of C2
• Effectively no GeoINT Staff positions in
  Coalition HQ
• Established the Environmental Intelligence
  Working Group (EIWG)

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Environmental Intelligence

• Working Group (synchronization deconfliction)
• Representatives from C2 Plans, FUOps, CMD,
  IMINT, Terrain, NGA, Weather and Space.

Environment (Terrain, weather,
demography, Infrastructure, etc)
Anti- Coalition Forces
Coalition Forces
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(No Transcript)
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Case Study - Rocketman

• Situation.
• Coalition bases and Green Zone subject to
  multiple rocket attacks.
• Problem.
• Exploitation of existing points of origin (POOs)
  to determine preferred terrain characteristics.
• Geospatial analysis to identify most likely POOs
  to better focus ISR and counter-fire assets.

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UNCLASSIFIED
MND-E
River Town
AIR BASE
Minimum and Maximum Missile Ranges
MNB-W
MND-C
Capital City
SAFE ZONE
UNCLASSIFIED
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UNCLASSIFIED
MND-E
River Town
AIR BASE
Canals that can target all three locations
MNB-W
Capital City
MND-C
SAFE ZONE
UNCLASSIFIED
9
UNCLASSIFIED
MND-E
River Town
AIR BASE
Additional criteria
MNB-W
Capital City
MND-C
SAFE ZONE
UNCLASSIFIED
10
UNCLASSIFIED
MND-E
River Town
AIR BASE
Most likely enemy launch locations
MNB-W
Capital City
MND-C
SAFE ZONE
UNCLASSIFIED
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Case Study - Rocketman

• Outcome.
• Most likely POOs provided to Corps/Force
  Artillery ISR elements.
• Better ISR and reaction force response.
• CF success forced ACF to change tactics.

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(No Transcript)
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Case Study Ctr-IED
IEDs continue to be the greatest casualty
producer among our troops GEN Abizaid, 3 Mar 04

• Situation.
• Pervasive, theatre-wide adaptive threat.
• ACF weapon of choice
• Lethality, stand-off, psych effect, media impact.
• Multiple permutations of
• Ammunition type quantity
• Initiators (command, RC, victim, suicide, )
• Emplacement and concealment (buried, surface,
  elevated)
• Targets (mil or civ, veh types, structures, )

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Case Study Ctr-IED

• Problem.
• Track IED events and identify hotspots.
• Focused operations by coalition forces.
• Analyse terrain and geospatial relationships with
  surrounding area and op elements.
• Determine ACF OODA Loop and IED Centre of
  Gravity and critical vulnerabilities.
• Predictive analysis to identify most likely IED
  sites/zones prior to ACF use.
• Focused ISR (incl HUMINT), clearance and combat
  forces.

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GenericTerrorist Activity TimelineApplication
IEDs are essentially a terrorist activity
Source Smith, LTCOL A.J., Combating Terrorism,
Military Review, Jan-Feb 2002
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UNCLASSIFIED
IED PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS
UNCLASSIFIED
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UNCLASSIFIED
MND-E
River Town
AIR BASE
Week 1 IED attacks
MNB-W
MND-C
Capital City
SAFE ZONE
UNCLASSIFIED
18
UNCLASSIFIED
MND-E
River Town
AIR BASE
Week 2 IED attacks
MNB-W
MND-C
Capital City
SAFE ZONE
UNCLASSIFIED
19
UNCLASSIFIED
MND-E
River Town
AIR BASE
Week 3 IED attacks
MNB-W
MND-C
Capital City
SAFE ZONE
UNCLASSIFIED
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UNCLASSIFIED
MND-E
River Town
AIR BASE
Week 4 IED attacks
MNB-W
MND-C
Capital City
SAFE ZONE
UNCLASSIFIED
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UNCLASSIFIED
MND-E
River Town
AIR BASE
Week 5 IED attacks
MNB-W
MND-C
I
Capital City
SAFE ZONE
F
W
W
F
D
W
UNCLASSIFIED
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Case Study Ctr-IED

• Outcome.
• Increased awareness of IED threats.
• Increased IEDs found or det w/out injury.
• Spin-offs to other areas/products
• Key Terrain Studies
• Informs allocation of ctr-IED assets
• IED tactics and technology tracking
• GeoINT is now considered essential to focused INT
  and ctr-IED operations.

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Common Lessons

• Predictive analysis outputs can be used to
  enhance situational awareness products.
• Linkage with 2 Shop Early warning, linked into
  planning, fusion of all source information.
• Databases!!!
• Need to be shared otherwise will be duplicated.
• Spatially enabled increased awareness and
  better decisions
• Dissemination of your product and data.

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What Next?

• Spatially enabled SIGACTs
• Web-based Theatre Geospatial Database
  Enterprise GIS
• Imagery web server
• Crime Mapping Techniques

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Questions?
LTCOL Bill Thomson Chief GEOINT/IMINT, C2,
MNF-I/MNC-I NIPR William.Thomson_at_vcmain.hq.c5.arm
y.mil DSN 318-822-2177 CW3 Wayne Prosser OIC
Terrain Team, C2, MNF-I /MNC-I NIPR
Jodicus.Prosser_at_vcmain.hq.c5.army.mil SIPR
Jodicus.Prosser_at_c5main.hq.c5.army.smil.mil DSN
318-838-1127