Title: Dose Response and Descriptors
1Dose Response and Descriptors
2Dose-response assessment
- Quantifying relationships between exposures and
health effects - Dose-response relationship
- Dose-effect relationship
- Public health impact
- Burden of disease and injury
3Dose-response curves for effects of lead in
children
4 Dose-Effect Relationship
5Dose Response
- -Non-cancer effects
- Cancer effects
- Quantitative evaluation of hazard information
- Characterization of the relationship between
hazardous agent and incidence of adverse health
effect - This relationship yields hazard values (Reference
dose and Slope factor) - Hazard values are used to estimate the incidence
or potential effect as a function of human
exposure to the hazardous agent
6DESCRIPTION OF THE TRADITIONAL APPROACH In many
cases, risk decisions on systemic toxicity have
been made by the Agency using the concept of the
"acceptable daily intake (ADI)" derived from an
experimentally determined "no-observed-adverse-eff
ect level (NOAEL)." The ADI is commonly defined
as the amount of a chemical to which a person can
be exposed on a daily basis over an extended
period of time (usually a lifetime) without
suffering a deleterious effect. The ADI concept
has often been used as a tool in reaching risk
management decisions (e.g., establishing
allowable levels of contaminants in foodstuffs
and water.) A NOAEL is an experimentally
determined dose at which there was no
statistically or biologically significant
indication of the toxic effect of concern. In an
experiment with several NOAELs, the regulatory
focus is normally on the highest one, leading to
the common usage of the term NOAEL as the highest
experimentally determined dose without a
statistically or biologically significant adverse
effect. The NOAEL for the critical toxic effect
is sometimes referred to simply as the NOEL. This
usage, however, invites ambiguity in that there
may be observable effects that are not of
toxicological significance (i.e., they are not
"adverse"). For the sake of precision, this
document uses the term NOAEL to mean the highest
NOAEL in an experiment. In cases in which a NOAEL
has not been demonstrated experimentally, the
term "lowest-observed-adverse-effect level
(LOAEL)" is used. Once the critical study
demonstrating the toxic effect of concern has
been identified, the selection of the NOAEL
results from an objective examination of the data
available on the chemical in question. The ADI is
then derived by dividing the appropriate NOAEL by
a safety factor (SF), as follows ADI (human
dose) NOAEL (experimental dose)/SF. (Equation
1) Generally, the SF consists of multiples of
10, each factor representing a specific area of
uncertainty inherent in the available data. For
example, a factor of 10 may be introduced to
account for the possible differences in
responsiveness between humans and animals in
prolonged exposure studies. A second factor of 10
may be used to account for variation in
susceptibility among individuals in the human
population. The resultant SF of 100 has been
judged to be appropriate for many chemicals. For
other chemicals, with data bases that are less
complete (for example, those for which only the
results of subchronic studies are available), an
additional factor of 10 (leading to a SF of 1000)
might be judged to be more appropriate. For
certain other chemicals, based on
well-characterized responses in sensitive humans
(as in the effect of fluoride on human teeth), an
SF as small as 1 might be selected. While the
original selection of SFs appears to have been
rather arbitrary (Lehman and Fitzhugh, 1954),
subsequent analysis of data (Dourson and Stara,
1983) lends theoretical (and in some instances
experimental) support for their selection.
Further, some scientists, but not all, within the
EPA interpret the absence of widespread effects
in the exposed human populations as evidence of
the adequacy of the SFs traditionally employed.
7Reference Dose (RfD) The reference dose (RfD) and
uncertainty factor (UF) concepts have been
developed by the RfD Work Group in response to
many of the problems associated with ADIs and
SFs, as previously outlined in Section 1.2. The
RfD is a benchmark dose operationally derived
from the NOAEL by consistent application of
generally order-of-magnitude uncertainty factors
(UFs) that reflect various types of data sets
used to estimate RfDs. For example, a valid
chronic animal NOAEL is normally divided by an UF
of 100. In addition, a modifying factor (MF), is
sometimes used which is based on a professional
judgment of the entire data base of the chemical.
These factors and their rationales are presented
in Table 1. The RfD is determined by use of the
following equation RfD NOAEL / (UF x MF) which
is the functional equivalent of Equation 1. In
general, the RfD is an estimate (with uncertainty
spanning perhaps an order of magnitude) of a
daily exposure to the human population (including
sensitive subgroups) that is likely to be without
an appreciable risk of deleterious effects during
a lifetime. The RfD is generally expressed in
units of milligrams per kilogram of bodyweight
per day (mg/kg/day). The RfD is useful as a
reference point from which to gauge the potential
effects of the chemical at other doses. Usually,
doses less than the RfD are not likely to be
associated with adverse health risks, and are
therefore less likely to be of regulatory
concern. As the frequency and/or magnitude of the
exposures exceeding the RfD increase, the
probability of adverse effects in a human
population increases. However, it should not be
categorically concluded that all doses below the
RfD are "acceptable" (or will be risk-free) and
that all doses in excess of the RfD are
"unacceptable" (or will result in adverse
effects). The U.S. EPA is attempting to
standardize its approach to determining RfDs. The
RfD Work Group has developed a systematic
approach to summarizing its evaluations,
conclusions, and reservations regarding RfDs in a
"cover sheet" of a few pages in length. The cover
sheet includes a statement on the confidence
(high, medium, or low) the evaluators have in the
stability of the RfD. High confidence indicates
the judgment that the RfD is unlikely to change
in the future because there is consistency among
the toxic responses observed in different sexes,
species, study designs, or in dose-response
relationships, or that the reasons for existing
differences are well understood. High confidence
is often given to RfDs that are based on human
data for the exposure route of concern, since in
such cases the problems of interspecies
extrapolation have been avoided. Low confidence
indicates the judgment that the data supporting
the RfD may be of limited quality and/or quantity
and that additional information could result in a
change in the RfD
8Derivation of RfD
- Adequate human data (if available) Used to
establish RfD - Limited or no human data
- Animal data used
- Involves professional judgment including
relevancy of animal model used to humans,
comparative metabolic data, comparative
pharmacokinetic data - Lowest-observed-adverse-effect-level
- No-observed-adverse-effect-level
9Calculation of RfD human dose from animal data
- When endpoint non-carcinogenic
- Estimate NOEAL or LOEAL
- Then divide by appropriately chosen sum of
uncertainty and modifying factors - Select highest NOEAL or lowest LOAEL for most
sensitive animal species (e.g. thalidomide) - Recent EPA approach- NOEL failure to achieve
statistical significance
10Derivation of RfD
- Uncertainty factors
- RfD derived from NOAEL or LOAEL by application or
uncertainty factors (UFs) - UF of 10 is used to account for variation in the
general population and intended to protect
sensitive populations - UF of 10 is used when extrapolating from animals
to humans to account for interspecies variability - UF of 10 is used when a NOAEL is derived from a
sub-chronic study instead of a chronic study - UF of 10 is used when a LOAEL is used instead of
a NOAEL - Modifying factor (mf)
- An MF ranging from gt ) to 10 is included to
reflect a qualitative professional assessment of
additional uncertainties in a critical study and
in the entire data base for the chemical not
addressed in the above uncertainty factors - RfD NOAEL or LOAEL/UFxMF mg/kg
111.6. HYPOTHETICAL, SIMPLIFIED EXAMPLE OF
DETERMINING AND USING RfD 1.6.1. EXPERIMENTAL
RESULTS Suppose the U.S. EPA had a sound 90-day
subchronic gavage study in rats with the data in
Table 2
TABLE 2 Hypothetical Data to Illustrate the
Reference Dose Concept --------------------------
--------------------------------------------------
-- Dose Observation Effect Level mg/kg/day
-------------------------------------------------
----------------------------- 0 Control --no
adverse effects observed 1 No statistically
or biologically NOEL significant differences
between treated and control animals 5 2
decrease in body weight gain (not NOAEL
considered to be of biological significance)
increased ratio of liver weight to body weight
histopathology indistinguishable from controls
elevated liver enzyme levels 25 20 decrease
in body weight gain LOAEL increased ratio
of liver weight to body weight enlarged, fatty
liver with vacuole formation increased liver
enzyme levels------------------------------------
------------------------------------------
Statistically significant compared to controls.
121.6.2. ANALYSIS 1.6.2.1. Determination of the
Reference Dose (RfD) 1.6.2.2.1. Using the
NOAEL Because the study is on animals and of
subchronic duration, UF 10H x 10A x 10S 1000
(Table 1). In addition, there is a subjective
adjustment (MF) based on the high number of
animals (250) per dose group MF 0.8. These
factors then give UF x MF 800, so that RfD
NOAEL/(UF x MF) 5/800 0.006 (mg/kg/day).
1.6.2.1.2. Using the LOAEL If the NOAEL is not
available, and if 25 mg/kg/day had been the
lowest dose tested that showed adverse effects,
UF 10H x 10A x 10S x 10L 10,000 (Table 1).
Using again the subjective adjustment of MF
0.8, one obtains RfD LOAEL/(UF x MF) 25/8000
0.003 (mg/kg/day).
13Recent proposal to use
- Benchmark Dose (BD), rather than NOAEL or NOEL
- BD statistical lower confidence limit on the
dose producing some predetermined, relatively
small increase in the risk
14Reference doses (RfDs) and acceptable daily
intakes (ADIs) are derived by dividing NOAELs by
uncertainty or modifying factors. Those factors
represent a default approach to account for
animal-to-human and average-to-sensitive
population extrapolation or extrapolation from
inadequately designed experiments. If all doses
tested produce a response a lowest-observed-advers
e-effect level (LOAEL) is used and a safety
factor of 10 is applied. Those traditional
approaches are compared with benchmark-dose
methods in which a curve-fitting procedure is
used to find a dose that produces a specific
effect. Confidence limits are generated around
that dose, which is set at the lower confidence
limit to produce a specified percentage change in
response. The benchmark dose (BMD) is used to
calculate a reference dose. The method is used
for noncancer end points. Although the majority
of applications of the BMD approach are related
to developmental toxicity, it has also been
applied to reproductive toxicity, neurotoxicity,
and cancer. The method has been most thoroughly
evaluated with reference to developmental
toxicity in a series of 4 papers and technical
documents by Faustman, Allen, Kavlock, and Kimmel
that analyzed over 1825 experimental end points.
The BMD method offers an alternative to
traditional NOAEL approaches and is in general no
more conservative than the use of NOAELs and
includes a confidence-limit calculation. A
log-logistic model for developmental toxicity has
several advantages, and BMD values based on a
safety factor of 5 with this model are similar to
both continuous and quantal NOAEL values (without
confidence limits). Traditional safety-factor
approaches used for RfD calculation based on
LOAEL values are over-conservative a factor of 5
is more appropriate than a factor of 10. NOAEL
values are not "riskfree" but represent effect
levels ranging from below 5 up to 20 effect.
That illustrates an important advantage of BMD
approaches a regulatory limit can be
consistently set at a given response level rather
than being dictated by study design. The BMD
method rewards adequately designed experiments by
setting higher BMDs, which is in direct contrast
to the NOAEL approach. With curve-fitting
procedures, the calculation of RfDs is no longer
constrained to be one of the experimental doses
tested. BMD methods will allow for easy
transition to truly biologically based
dose-response models when such models are
developed.
15Case studies of Dioxin
- To develop a risk assessment from the known
hazard information, effects in animals or humans
have to be selected that are relevant to humans
at low doses. - Is a threshold likely?
- With dioxins it was considered that most of the
toxicity was mediated by the AHR i.e. a threshold
was probably involved, and thus a NOEL
uncertainty factor approach was suitable. - Find the lowest dose that gives a NOEL or if not
a LOEL has to be identified. - What is the criteria for exposure/dose level?
16What to choose for human study to provide a
NOEL/LOEL?
- It was concluded that the available human data
was not sufficiently rigorous for establishment
of a tolerable daily intake. - Epidemiological did not reflect the most
sensitive population seen in animal studies. - Too many confounding factors in exposure
assessments to be sure due to dioxins. - Importantly, exposure of humans did not reflect
UK situation where most likely from food.
http//www.foodstandards.gov.uk/committees/cot/sum
mary.htm
17Animal studies
- Because COC had decided that the mechanisms of
cancer (whatever these may be) were threshold
based, all toxicological endpoints could be
examined to find the most sensitive for TCDD
toxicity and this would also cover increased
cancer risk. - In fact, very few studies could found that were
in accord with modern criteria for identifying
NOEL/LOEL. Of course many others were extremely
good science for mechanistic and susceptibility
interpretations but not suitable here. - The most sensitive endpoints appeared to be on
the developing reproductive systems of male rat
fetuses exposed in utero. - Despite inconsistencies between studies on some
endpoints, it was considered that effects on
sperm production and morphology represented the
most sensitive effects that could be used for
deriving a Tolerable Daily Intake. - Sperm reserve in men is much less than the rat
and thus may be highly relevant to humans.
18What studies to use for TDI?
- 3 studies on sperm quality were available but
none perfect - A variety of exposure routes and endpoints and
what dioxin levels present in tissues.
19Use of body burden
- Rodents require higher doses (100-200-fold) to
reach the same equivalent body burdens as in
humans on exposure to food etc (differences in
toxicokinetics etc). - A consensus view is that body burden is the more
appropriate parameter for comparison between
species. - The data of Hurst et al (2000) has given the
distribution of TCDD in maternal and fetal tissue
on Gestation Day 16 after single dose on D15 and
chronic dosing before mating. This allows
toxicodynamic and toxicokinetic estimates of
maternal v fetal levels depending on dose route
and timing. - Using the two lowest doses a ratio of 2.5 was
calculated to be used in estimates of body burden
from single dose and subchronic exposure in
other dosing studies.
20Stolen from JC Larsen and Andy Renwick!
21Calculation of TDI
- The study of Faqi et al (1998) was chosen as the
most suitable for estimation of TDI although some
problems and no NOEL but the lowest LOEL i.e. a
loading dose then a maintenance dosing regime. - Using the previous factors the subcutaneous
dosing dosage regimen of Faqi et al was converted
to a steady state maternal burden on GD16 at the
LOEL. - This was estimated as 33 ng/kg bw.
22- With the study of Faqi et al as the most suitable
available for TDI estimation. An uncertainty
factor of 1 was used for interspecies differences
in toxicokinetics because of using body burdens
not dose. - An uncertainty factor of 1 was used for
interspecies differences and human variability in
toxicodynamics on the basis that rats may be more
sensitive than humans but the most sensitive
humans may be as sensitive as rats. - An uncertainty factor of 3.2 for human
variability in toxicokinetics to allow for
increased accumulation in the most susceptible
individuals (for dioxins with ½ lives less than
TCDD). - An uncertainty factor of 3 to allow for use of
LOEL rather than NOEL - Thus total of 9.6 (3 x 3.2 x 1 x 1) uncertainty
factor
23- Using the overall uncertainty factor of 9.6 and
the calculated maternal steady-state body burden
from the study of Faqi et al (LOEL 33 ng/kg/bw)
gives a tolerable human equivalent maternal body
burden of 3.4 ng/kg/bw. - Putting this into daily intake (pg/kg/day)
-
- body
burden(pg/kg bw) x ln2 -
bioavailability x ½ life in days - 3400 x
0.693 - 0.5 x
2740 (7.5years) - 1.7
pg/kg/day
24- This TDI was rounded to 2 pg WHO TEQ/kg bw per
day - based on developing male reproductive system
and maternal body burden - WHO (1998) 1-4 pg WHO TEQ/kg bw per day
- SCF 14 pg WHO TEQ/kg bw per week
- JECFA 70 pg WHO TEQ/kg bw per month
- COT considered is adequate to protect against
cancer and cardiovascular effects. - UK consumer levels are falling but TDI is
near the the value for the average consumer and
lower than 97.5 percentile
25Is this it? End of story
- There actually many uncertainties
- Dose-additivity is fundamental to the TEF idea
and a reasonable idea however we are still far
from sure that this applies in the complex
mixtures pertinent to human exposures. Dose
reponses. - TEFs are mostly derived from animal data, are
they appropriate for humans? e.g. carcinogenicity
26NCEH/ATSDR and risk assessment
- Provide data on hazards, exposures, and
dose-response. - Use standard risk assessment techniques to
establish Minimal Risk Limits (MRLs) and safe
exposure values for Chemical Demilitarization. - Establish public health guidelines and programs
(i.e. Pb Poisoning, emergency response, and
health assessments) -
27Carcinogens
- Different Types of Carcinogens
28Obstacles to the Identification for Human Cancer
- The long latent period between onset of exposure
to causative agents and overt appearance of the
disease. - The multistage nature of carcinogenesis.
- The likelihood that most human cancers result
from a complex interaction between multiple
environmental and endogenous (genetic, host)
factors.
29Chemical Carcinogenesis
- The term chemical carcinogenesis is generally
defined to indicate the induction or enhancement
of neoplasia by chemicals. Although in the strict
etymologic sense this term means the induction of
carcinomas, it is widely used to indicate
tumorigenesis. In other words, it includes not
only epithelial malignancies (carcinomas) but
also mesenchymal malignant tumors (sarcomas) and
benign tumors. The extension to benign tumor is
justified because no carcinogen that produces
only benign tumors has been discovered.
30Chemical Carcinogenesis Continued
- It is generally agreed (e.g., WHO, 1969) that the
response of an organism to a carcinogen may be in
one or more of these forms - 1.An increase in the frequency of one or several
types of tumors that also occur in the controls - 2.The development of tumors not seen in the
controls - 3. The occurrence of tumors earlier than in the
controls - 4. An increase in the number of tumors in
individual animals, compared to the controls
31Exposure to Mixtures of Chemicals
- Independent Effects Substances qualitatively and
quantitatively exert their own toxicity
independent of each other. - Additive Effects Materials with similar
qualitative toxicity produce a response which is
quantitatively equal to the sum of the effects
produced by in the individual constituents. - Antagonistic Effects Materials oppose each
others toxicity, or one interferes with the
toxicity of another a particular example is that
of antidotal action. - Potentiating Effects One material, usually of
low toxicity, enhances the expression of toxicity
by another the result is more severe injury than
that produced by the toxic species alone. - Synergistic Effects Two materials, given
simultaneously, produce toxicity significantly
greater than anticipated form that of either
material the effect differs from potentiation in
that each substance contributes to toxicity, and
the net effect is always greater than additive.
32Carcinogenic Chemicals
- An IARC Working Group (IARC, 1987) concluded that
the following agents are carcinogenic to humans
(aflatoxins, aluminum production,
4-aminobiphenyl, analgesic mixtures containing
phenacetin, arsenic and arsenic compounds,
asbestos, auramine, azathioprine, benzene,
benzidine, betel quid with tobacco,
chlornaphazine, chlorormethyl methyl ether, boot
and shoe making, 1,4-butanediol
dimethanesulfonate, chlorrambucil, Methyl-CCNU,
chromium compounds, coal gasification, coal-tar
pitches, coal tars, coke production,
cyclophosphamide, diethylstibestrol, erionite,
estrogen replacement therapy, estrogens
(nonsteroidal and steroidal), furniture and
cabinet making, hemtite mining, iron, isopropyl
alcohol, magenta, mustard gas, 2-naphtylamine,
nickel and nickel compounds, oral contraceptives,
the rubber industry, shales oils, soots, talc
containing asbestiform fibers, tobacco products,
tobacco smoke, treosulphan, vinyl chloride
33Common Types of Food Additives
- Antioxidants Prevent fats from turning rancid
and fresh fruits from darkening during
processing minimize damage to some amino acids
and loss of some vitamins (examples BHA, BHT,
propylgallate) - Bleaching Agents whiten and age flour (examples
benzoyl peroxide, chlorine, nitrosyl chloride - Emulsifiers To disperse one liquid in another
to improve quality and uniformity of texture
(examples lecithin, mono- and diglycerides,
sorbitan) - Acidulants Maintain acid-alkali balance in jams,
soft drinks, vegetables, etc., to keep them from
being too sour - Humectants Maintain moisture in foods such as
shredded coconut, marshmallows, and candies
(sorbitol, glycerol, propylene, glycol - Anti-caking compounds Keep salts and powdered
foods free-flowing (calcium or magnesium
silicate, magnesium carbonate - Preservatives Control growth or spoilage
organisms (sodium propionate, sodium benzoate,
propionic acid) - Stabilizers Provide proper texture and
consistency to ice cream cheese spreads, salad
dressings, syrups (gum arabic, guar gum,
carrageenan, methyl cellulose, agar-agar
34Carcinogenic Chemicals
- An IARC Working Group (IARC, 1987) concluded that
the following agents are carcinogenic to humans
(aflatoxins, aluminum production,
4-aminobiphenyl, analgesic mixtures containing
phenacetin, arsenic and arsenic compounds,
asbestos, auramine, azathioprine, benzene,
benzidine, betel quid with tobacco,
chlornaphazine, chlorormethyl methyl ether, boot
and shoe making, 1,4-butanediol
dimethanesulfonate, chlorrambucil, Methyl-CCNU,
chromium compounds, coal gasification, coal-tar
pitches, coal tars, coke production,
cyclophosphamide, diethylstibestrol, erionite,
estrogen replacement therapy, estrogens
(nonsteroidal and steroidal), furniture and
cabinet making, hemtite mining, iron, isopropyl
alcohol, magenta, mustard gas, 2-naphtylamine,
nickel and nickel compounds, oral contraceptives,
the rubber industry, shales oils, soots, talc
containing asbestiform fibers, tobacco products,
tobacco smoke, treosulphan, vinyl chloride
35Objectives of Monitoring Animal Sentinels
- The primary goal is to identify harmful chemicals
or mixtures in the environment before they might
otherwise be detected through human epidemiologic
studies or toxicologic studies in laboratory
animals. - Data collection to estimate human health risks
- Identify contamination of the food chain
- Determine environmental contamination
- Identify adverse effects on the animals
36Carcinogenic Effects
- Slope factor
- weight-of-the evidence
- Are the data most commonly used to assess
potential human carcinogenic risks - Non-threshold effects
37Generation of Slope Factor
- Quantitative relationship between dose and
response - Slope Factor is the plausible upper-bound
lifetime probability of an individual developing
cancer as the result of exposure to a particular
level of potential carcinogen - The actual risk is probably less than the
estimate and could even be zero - Extrapolating to lower doses
- Linearized multistage model (q1)
- Slope Factor risk per unit dose, risk per
mg/kg-day
38Dose-Response Assessment
- 1. Metabolism often different high to low dose,
e.g. high dose overwhelm detoxification
systems/beyond a certain dose no more effect,
organ can only convert so much to active
carcinogen - 2. Humans may metabolize differently
- 3. Different routes of exposure
- 4. Genetic heterogeneity (animal inbred)
- 5. Problems in models for low dose extrapolation
39Dose-Response Relationship
- Once a dose-response relationship is established,
and often this is done in a controlled situation
such as a laboratory, one can make certain
statements - If the dose is x, then the response should be
y. - A major problem confronting risk assessors when
trying to apply the dose-response relationship to
an actual real-world problem is the question of
what dose as representative of the actual
situation. - The process of measuring or estimating the
intensity, frequency, and duration of human
contact with agents currently present in the
environment or the hypothetical contact that
might arise from their release in the environment.
40Dose-response assessment information in the risk
characterization
- How well do the models used for dose-response
represent what we know about mechanism? - For example, if linearity has been assumed for
the unobserved range for PCBs, then evidence
for receptor-mediated non-linearity in the
dose-range of interest should be discussed.
41Dose-response assessment information in the risk
characterization
- The basis for interspecies extrapolation methods
used (pharmacokinetic models or default rules) - Route considerations
- Is the route of studies used for dose-response
the same as that expected for humans under the
scenario in question? - Route includes dosing regimen (gavage,
intermittent exposures, timing of exposures).
42Dose-response assessment information in the risk
characterization
- Duration considerations (Correspondence between
exposure durations expected for humans and those
used in the studies used to describe
dose-response) - Variability in dose-response
- Variability in susceptibility (immunotoxic
effects may have greater variability) - Interactions between toxicants.
43What have we left out by our study selection
process?
- Describe the weight of evidence that the chosen
study accurately describes dose-response - Also describe weight of evidence for no effect
- There are often studies showing both positive and
negative results, but we use only the ones with
positives results. - We bias towards choosing studies with lower
LOAELs. - For this reason, risk characterization should
point out the presence, quality, and findings of
other studies in the same dose range as the one
chosen to set dose response