San Francisco Neighborhood Study

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San Francisco Neighborhood Study
Demographic Shifts on a Local Scale
Jamie Rogers, Rosalyn Tillery, Ian Swift SFSU
URBS Senior Seminar
May 5, 2008
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Presentation Outline

• Introduction
• Neighborhood Background
• Research Methods
• Findings
• Conclusion

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Project Client Supervisor Sophie Maxwell
INTRODUCTION

• Sophie Maxwell
• Born and raised in San Francisco.
• Elected to the Board of Supervisors in 2000.
• Focus on environmental and social justice, land
  use and economic development
• Represents District 10
• Neighborhoods Bayview, Hunters Point, Potrero
  Hill, Visitacion Valley, Dogpatch, Portola

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Overall Goals
INTRODUCTION

• Provide quantitative analysis of demographic data
  for selected neighborhoods
• Compare neighborhood trends to San Francisco as a
  whole
• Research at the neighborhood level
• Allows for a better understanding of how subareas
  have changed and are changing
• To assist policymakers the public in
  understanding demographic changes in selected
  neighborhoods

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Presentation Outline

• Introduction
• Background
• Research Methods
• Findings
• Conclusion

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Neighborhoods of Study
BACKGROUND

• Western Addition
• South of Market
• Haight Ashbury
• Castro Upper Market
• Mission
• Potrero Hill
• Noe Valley
• Bayview Hunters Point

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BACKGROUND
Current Planning Activities

• City General Plan Housing Element
• Market Octavia Plan
• Eastern Neighborhoods Plan
• Bayview Hunters Point Redevelopment Plan
• Western SOMA Citizens Task Force
• 2007 Housing Inventory by Mayors Office of
  Housing

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Presentation Outline

• Introduction
• Background
• Research Methods
• Findings
• Conclusion

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Data Collection
RESEARCH METHODS

• Decennial Census 1990 and 2000
• Summary File 3
• Sample data from Long Form Questionnaire
• Claritas
• Federal and Local Sources
• Examples US Census, Office of Federal Housing
  Enterprise, Consumer Database, local Postal
  Records
• Department of Labor Statistics
• CPI-U Annual Inflation Adjustment
• Income (Current year CPI/Past year CPI)
  Adjusted Income
• San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose
• ArcGIS Mapping

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RESEARCH METHODS
Variables

• Total Population
• Total Families
• Race
• Hispanic or Latino
• Median Household Income
• Tenure
• Total Housing Units
• Median Family Income
• Household Type by Household Size
• Means of Transportation to Work
• Travel Time to Work

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Presentation Outline

• Introduction
• Background
• Research Methods
• Findings
• Conclusion

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Neighborhoods of Study
FINDINGS

• Western Addition
• South of Market
• Haight Ashbury
• Castro Upper Market
• Mission
• Potrero Hill
• Noe Valley
• Bayview Hunters Point

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FINDINGS
Total Population

• Decrease in Eastern neighborhoods (S.E. Mission,
  Potrero Hill, Bayview)
• Increase in North/Central neighborhoods (SoMa,
  N. Mission, Western Addition)

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FINDINGS
Families

• Greatest decrease in Mission and Potrero Hill
• Spatial de-concentration in all neighborhoods

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FINDINGS
Population (Black)

• Steady decrease at County level
• Greatest decrease in Western Addition
• Greatest increase in Bayview Hunters Point

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Population (Hispanic or Latino)
FINDINGS

• Population in the Mission has decreased
• Steady increase in Bayview Hunters Point

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Household Median Income
FINDINGS

• Steady increase in County income level
• Greatest neighborhood increases in SOMA and
  Potrero Hill and Western Addition
• Notable fluctuations in Mission and Bayview
  Hunters Point

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Housing Tenure
FINDINGS

• Greatest homeownership decrease in SOMA
• Homeownership concentrated in Bayview Hunters
  Point

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Presentation Outline

• Introduction
• Background
• Research Methods
• Findings
• Conclusion

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Summary of Findings
CONCLUSION

• Steady decline in the Black population since 1990
• Spatial de-concentration of families
• Steady increase in household median income most
  notably in Western Addition, SOMA and Potrero
  Hill
• Homeownership increase in the south and decrease
  in the north

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CONCLUSION
Literature

• Housing Element of the San Francisco General
  Planhttp//www.sfgov.org/site/planning_index.asp
  ?id41412
• Housing Inventory (Planning Dept.)http//www.sfg
  ov.org/site/uploadedfiles/planning/Citywide/pdf/Ho
  using_Inventory_2006.pdf
• Eastern Neighborhoods Planninghttp//www.sfgov.o
  rg/site/planning_index.asp?id25288
• Market Octavia Neighborhood Planhttp//www.sfg
  ov.org/site/planning_index.asp?id25188
• Bayview Hunters Point Redevelopment
  Planhttp//sfgov.org/site/uploadedfiles/sfra/Pro
  jects/RecordedBVHPRedevPlanWeb.pdf
• Western SoMa Citizens Planning Task Force
• http//www.sfgov.org/site/westernsoma_index.asp

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CONTACTS
CONCLUSION

• San Francisco State University- Urban Studies
  Department
• 1600 Holloway Avenue, HSS 263
• San Francisco, CA 94132
• Phone [phone] Fax [phone] Email
  urbstu_at_sfsu.edu
• Jamielynn Rogers- jamielynn.rogers_at_gmail.com
• Rosalynn Tillery- r.tillery_at_comcast.net
• Ian Swift- ihswift08_at_gmail.com

S.F. Board of Supervisors Sophie Maxwells
Office City Hall1 Dr. Carlton B. Goodlett Place,
Room 244San Francisco, Ca 94102-4689Phone
415-554-7670 Fax [phone]
Sophie.Maxwell_at_sfgov.org Jon Lau-
jon.lau_at_sfgov.org Greg Asay (Volunteer)-
greg_asay_at_hotmail.com
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