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Factors Affecting Spot Exchange Rates

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Title: Factors Affecting Spot Exchange Rates


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Factors Affecting Spot Exchange Rates
The Balance of Payments Approach
Current Accounts Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
- The price of a product - ignoring
costs like transportation and taxes
should be the same regardless of the country
where it is purchased. - Long term
trend rather than short term Market expectations
- The forward rate -
Technical Analysis
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What is a Hedge Fund
A Hedge Fund is a fund that
  • can take both long and short positions
  • use arbitrage
  • buy and sell undervalued securities
  • trade options or bonds
  • invest in almost any opportunity in any market
    where it
  • forsees impressive gain at reduced risk

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The primary aim
  • To reduce volatility and risk while attempting to
    preserve capital and deliver positive returns
    under ALL market conditions

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Hedge Fund Strategies
The predictability of future results shows a
strong correlation with the volatility of each
strategy. Future performance of strategies with
high volatility is far less predictable than
future performance from strategies experiencing
lower moderate volatility.
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The Popular misconception
  • All Hedge Funds are volatile

The Fact is,
  • Less than 5 of hedge funds are global macro
    funds
  • Most Hedge Funds use derivatives only for
    hedging
  • or dont use derivatives at all.

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Disclaimer
  • Disclaimer This document does not constitute an
    offer, an invitation or a recommendation to enter
    into any transaction. TMB Bank is acting as
    principal and not as the readers adviser or in a
    fiduciary capacity in respect of this proposed
    transaction or any other transaction unless
    otherwise specifically agreed in writing, and
    accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to
    the use of this document or its contents.
  • This document does not have regard to the
    specific investment objectives, financial
    situation and the particular needs of any
    specific person who may receive this document.
    The information herein is published for
    information only and is not to be taken in
    substitution for the exercise of judgement by the
    reader, who should obtain separate legal or
    financial advice. Before entering into any
    transaction or making a commitment to purchase
    any product mentioned in this document, the
    reader should take steps to ensure that the
    reader understands the transaction and has made
    an independent assessment of the appropriateness
    of the transaction in the light of the readers
    own objectives and circumstances. In particular,
    the reader may wish to seek advice from a
    financial adviser or make such independent
    investigations as the reader considers necessary
    or appropriate for such purposes. If the reader
    chooses not to do so, the reader should consider
    carefully whether any product mentioned in this
    document is suitable for him.
  • TMB Bank, its related companies, their directors
    and/or employees may have positions in, and may
    effect transactions in the underlying product(s)
    mentioned in this document. TMB Bank may have
    alliances or other contractual agreements with
    the provider(s) of the underlying product(s) to
    market or sell its product(s). Where TMB Banks
    related company is the product provider, such
    related company may be receiving fees from
    investors. In addition, TMB Bank, its related
    companies, their directors and/or employees may
    also perform or seek to perform broking,
    investment banking and other financial services
    for these product providers.
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