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Title: Presentation to Capital Markets Credit Analysts Society


1
Presentation to Capital Markets Credit Analysts
Society
  • Robert P. Tinari
  • Managing Director
  • Société Générale
  • April 26, 2006

2
NRG Energy, Inc - Background
  • Engaged in the ownership and operation of
    unregulated, or merchant power generation
    facilities and the sale of energy, energy
    capacity and related products. As of June 2002,
    NRG was a subsidiary of Xcel Energy with
    ownership of just over 16,000 Mw of net
    generating capacity, of which 12,000 Mw was in
    the US.

3
NRG Energy, Inc.
  • NRG had pursued a strategy of growth via
    acquisitions. Beginning in 2000, NRG added the
    development and construction of new power
    projects to its strategy, much of which was
    financed by project level debt. As of September
    30, 2002, NRG had approximately 9.4 billion of
    debt on its balance sheet.
  • Of this amount, 1 billion was owed to bank
    lenders at the holding company level and another
    3 billion to bondholders.
  • Most of the remaining debt was at the project
    company level on a non recourse basis to the
    parent. Generally, project company cash flows
    were trapped at the project company level to
    support debt service and reserves to support the
    viability of each project financing.

4
NRG Energy, Inc.
  • NRG was but one of several major companies
    developing new merchant power projects and in
    retrospect, the aggregate increase in power
    generation capacity over a short period of time
    was staggering. By the end of 2001, power prices
    began to decline due to significant over
    capacity. Anticipated demand for power did not
    materialize.
  • The collapse of Enron left the industry without a
    viable trading platform (much of which was done
    on an unsecured basis) and led credit rating
    agencies and lenders to focus on liquidity and
    credit issues.
  • In July 2002, SP and Moodys downgraded NRGs
    senior unsecured bonds to below investment grade.
    The downgrade triggered collateral calls
    aggregating 1.1 billion which NRG could not meet
    because its 1 billion liquidity facility was
    already fully drawn.

5
NRG Energy, Inc.
  • The downgrade and resulting inability to meet
    collateral calls shut NRG out of the markets for
    forward purchases of fuel (natural gas) and
    forward sales of power. Thus to the extent its
    projects had non contracted power generation
    capacity, such as through toll contracts (which
    generally were not collateralized), the projects
    were restricted to transacting in the spot
    markets.
  • With a heavy reliance on the spot markets, cash
    flow forecasting became difficult. Several of the
    project level financings went into default.
  • One of the NRG project financing transactions was
    a 1.1 billion bank deal to finance the
    construction of new projects. After extensive
    analysis, the project Lenders concluded that
    there was little assurance that the market could
    absorb the capacity of the project under
    construction if completed and decided to stop
    funding. As a result, construction activity
    ceased. The debt related to this project
    subsequently traded in the .10 range.

6
NRG Energy, Inc.
  • In August 2002, NRG retained financial and legal
    advisors to assist in the preparation in the
    preparation of a comprehensive operational and
    financial restructuring plan.
  • Shortly thereafter, NRGs top five managers left
    the Company and, in November 2002, filed an
    involuntary Chapter 11 petition against NRG in
    Minnesota. This involuntary filing was
    subsequently dismissed after Xcel announced that
    its board of directors had approved a settlement
    agreement with the holders of most of NRGs long
    term noteholders and NRGs Bank Lenders.
  • Pursuant to this Settlement Agreement, Xcel
    announced that it would pay 752 million to
    various of NRGs creditors and turn over the
    stock of reorganized NRG in exchange for full
    releases from any and all claims and causes of
    action that could be asserted against Xcel by
    NRGs creditors. The conclusion of this
    Settlement Agreement facilitated the timely
    filing of a Plan of Reorganization by NRG.

7
NRG Energy, Inc
  • On May 14, 2003, NRG filed a voluntary bankruptcy
    petition and announced that it had obtained a
    250 million DIP commitment. NRG also announced
    the formal retention of an interim management
    team from the crisis management/restructuring
    firm Kroll Zolfo Cooper LLC. Concurrent with the
    bankruptcy filing, NRG began work to exit
    bankruptcy by year end.
  • On August 19, 2003, NRG received exit financing
    commitments totaling 2.215 billion consisting of
  • 1.182.5 billion of Senior Credit Facilities, of
    which
  • 932.5 billion to 1.032.5 billion term loan
  • 250 million LC Facility (as sublimit of term
    loan)
  • 150 million to 250 million revolving credit
    facility
  • 1.032.5 billion of High Yield Debt

8
NRG Energy, Inc
  • NRG used a portion of the proceeds of the exit
    financing to refinance project level debt at
    three of its most significant and valued
    projects. Whereas cash at these projects had been
    trapped pursuant to the project financing
    arrangements, NRG created for itself the
    flexibility to deploy cash in a more efficient
    manner.
  • On December 5, 2003, NRG announced that it had
    successfully completed its emergence from
    bankruptcy.

9
NRG Energy, Inc - Critical Issue
  • When NRG lost its investment grade rating, its
    fuel suppliers stopped extending credit and
    instead insisted on payment in advance.
    Consequently, NRG lost the working capital
    equivalent of 55 days of trade credit. Moreover,
    the downgrade resulted in the imposition of, or
    increase in, cash collateral requirements
    associated with NRGs commitments for forward
    delivery of power. Without liquidity, NRG was
    effectively limited to transacting in the spot
    markets.
  • While spot markets may, at times, provide healthy
    margins, excessive reliance on the spot markets
    results in unpredictable cash flows at the
    project level, and even greater unpredictability
    when assessing the cash upstreaming potential of
    those projects.

10
NRG Energy, Inc - Critical Issue
  • Individual projects did not have the liquidity
    available to pay in advance for fuel or
    collateralize forward commitments. The structure
    of the project financing documents presumed that
    such working capital requirements would be met by
    the parent through its power trading subsidiary,
    NRG Power Marketing. Prior to the downgrade, the
    projects had relied on NRG Power Marketing to act
    as a central treasury to buy fuel and sell
    power. However, NRG Power Marketing was not
    sufficiently well capitalized to operate in the
    changed environment.

11
NRG Energy, Inc - Critical Issue
  • The challenge within the Plan of Reorganization
    was to determine how much liquidity NRG required
    to accommodate an acceptable hedging program. We
    asked management to define
  • An optimal hedging strategy, assuming access to
    sufficient capital
  • Several sub-optimal hedging strategies assuming
    access to limited amounts of capital for hedging
    purposes.
  • We argued that reorganization capital structure
    could be determined only after the hedging
    strategy had been determined.

12
NRG Energy, Inc - Critical Issue
  • Both NRG and the Steering Committee retained
    advisors to assist in this process. The mandate
    was to determine the amount of liquidity needed
    by NRG to assure its ability to maintain its
    hedge positions (based on optimal and sub-optimal
    scenarios) at a 95 confidence interval.
  • The results of the analysis forced a rethinking
    of the capital structure of reorganized NRG
    including its exit financing requirements. Upon
    emergence from bankruptcy, NRG had an estimated
    1.1 billion of liquidity which enhanced its
    ability to participate in the forward markets. As
    noted in NRGs Annual Report for 2003
  • With our greater liquidity, as well as high gas
    prices and rising coal prices, we successfully
    contracted forward a high percentage of the
    economic energy production from our coal plants,
    and locked in the associated fuel supply for the
    balance of 2004. We look to contract more while
    still maintaining the capacity to benefit from
    high spot electricity prices.

13
WINSTAR COMMUNICATIONS, INC.
  • Winstar was a broadband provider to commercial
    customers, offering local and long distance phone
    services and high-speed Internet and data
    communications services. Its commercial customers
    were located primarily in large commercial office
    buildings. Winstar used fixed wireless broadband
    connections to provide broadband connectivity
    across the last mile from intra-city fiber
    rings to its customers.
  • Source Winstar Annual Report to Shareholders
    dated December 31, 1999

14
Winstar Communications, Inc
  • Winstars global broadband network brings
    digital-age broadband services to businesses of
    all sizes
  • Winstar is the largest holder of 38 GHZ wireless
    spectrum in the United States with licenses from
    the FCC that cover 80 of the US business market
  • Winstars fixed wireless capabilities complement
    its extensive fiber network that will exceed
    16,000 long-haul route miles of fiber connecting
    more than 60 US markets and 6,000 local route
    miles of fiber in over 50 US cities
  • Winstar is the global leader in the deployment of
    broadband fixed wireless and delivers broadband
    services over its own network to customers in
    twelve international markets
  • Winstar has a business model that is strong and
    sustainable, and a superior ability to continue
    to implement its business strategy day in and day
    out.

15
Winstar Communications, Inc.
  • Winstars widely available broadband network is
    able to serve tens of thousands of businesses in
    more than 60 domestic markets and twelve
    international markets. Together with our
    infrastructure partners, Lucent Technologies,
    Williams Communications and Metro Media Fiber
    Neetwork, we are continuing to expand our
    end-to-end network from Boston to Austin, from
    Silicon Alley to Silicon Valley, and beyond.
  • Winstar has a passion for customer satisfaction.
    Winstars consultative experts and advisers pull
    the pieces of a complex world together and show
    customers how to utilize and profit from cutting
    age technology.
  • Source Winstar Annual Report to Shareholders
    dated December 31, 1999

16
Winstar Communications, Inc. - Summary Financial
Data as of 9/30/00( 000,000 omitted)
  • Current Assets .. 811.9
  • PPE (net) . 2,672.6
  • Licenses (net) 314.8
  • Other Long Term Assets.. 669.9
  • Total Assets 4,469.2
  • Current Liabilities.. 578.9
  • Senior Bank Debt.. 1,150.0
  • Other Long Term Debt.. 2,162.3
  • Other LongTerm Liabilities.. 488.0
  • Preferred Stock. 200.0
  • Stockholders Deficit.. (110.0)
  • Operating Revenue.. 534.2
  • Operating Loss (359.3)
  • Net Loss... (641.5)
  • Net Loss attributable to common
    stockholders..(747.0)

17
Winstar Communications, Inc.
  • Footnote Disclosure
  • We anticipate, based on our business plan and
    certain assumptions, that our existing financial
    resources will be sufficient to fund our planned
    operations and capital requirements into the
    first quarter of 2002
  • As a result of our recently announced financing
    commitments, our expectation to be EBITDA
    breakeven in the first half of 2001 and our
    expectation that our core network infrastructure
    will be completed by the end of 2001, we believe
    that we will have the flexibility to grow our
    business at whatever pace is appropriate for the
    existing capital environment.
  • SOURCE Winstar Communications, Inc. 10Q as of
    September 30, 2000

18
Winstar Communications, Inc. - Bankruptcy Filing
  • Winstar filed a voluntary Chapter 11 petition on
    April 18, 2001
  • Chapter 11 filing was precipitous and without
    prior planning
  • Cited failure of Lucent Technologies, Inc. to
    abide by its obligations to make available to
    Winstar a line of credit of approximately 1
    billion as a significant contributing factor to
    the liquidity constrained financial condition of
    the company.
  • Company reduced workforce by 44, filed lawsuit
    against Lucent alleging breach of contract and
    stopped virtually all capital spending
  • Shift in management emphasis to generating cash
    as opposed to sales and EBITDA
  • Five lenders committed to an emergency 75mm DIP
    facility. Strategy was to keep the company alive
    so it could be sold as a going concern.

19
Winstar Communications, Inc. - Bankruptcy Filing
  • Additional 225mm is DIP commitments requested.
  • Many prospective DIP Lenders determined business
    plan to be unachievable. Only 100mm in
    additional DIP commitments obtained.
  • Company missed DIP business plan by a wide
    margin forced to ratchet business down, lay off
    more employees and discontinue loss-making
    operations. Company eventually lost critical
    mass.
  • No market for individual assets including
    spectrum licenses and leases on fiber-optics
    transmission equipment. Glut of telecom assets
    forced values down.
  • Buyers concerned about reliability of technology.
    Fixed wireless vulnerable to disruptions caused
    by bad weather or construction of new buildings.
  • Assets eventually sold for 42mm resulting in
    total loss to prepetition lenders and loss to DIP
    lenders.

20
Winstar Communications, Inc.
  • What went wrong?
  • Bad Underwriting?
  • Bad Business Model?
  • Good Business Model but Bad Execution?
  • A Concept Ahead of its Time?
  • An Example of Build it and the Customers Will
    Come?
  • Did Management (along with most other industry
    participants) overpay for assets such as fiber
    and telecommunications equipment?
  • Were Managements Growth Expectations Unfounded?
  • Or.
  • Should we just call this an example of a six
    standard deviation event (that no one could have
    predicted) and get on with new deals?

21
Presentation to Capital Markets Credit Analysts
Society
  • Robert P. Tinari
  • Managing Director
  • Société Générale
  • April 26, 2006
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