Title: Presentation to Capital Markets Credit Analysts Society
1Presentation to Capital Markets Credit Analysts
Society
- Robert P. Tinari
- Managing Director
- Société Générale
- April 26, 2006
2NRG Energy, Inc - Background
- Engaged in the ownership and operation of
unregulated, or merchant power generation
facilities and the sale of energy, energy
capacity and related products. As of June 2002,
NRG was a subsidiary of Xcel Energy with
ownership of just over 16,000 Mw of net
generating capacity, of which 12,000 Mw was in
the US.
3NRG Energy, Inc.
- NRG had pursued a strategy of growth via
acquisitions. Beginning in 2000, NRG added the
development and construction of new power
projects to its strategy, much of which was
financed by project level debt. As of September
30, 2002, NRG had approximately 9.4 billion of
debt on its balance sheet. - Of this amount, 1 billion was owed to bank
lenders at the holding company level and another
3 billion to bondholders. - Most of the remaining debt was at the project
company level on a non recourse basis to the
parent. Generally, project company cash flows
were trapped at the project company level to
support debt service and reserves to support the
viability of each project financing.
4NRG Energy, Inc.
- NRG was but one of several major companies
developing new merchant power projects and in
retrospect, the aggregate increase in power
generation capacity over a short period of time
was staggering. By the end of 2001, power prices
began to decline due to significant over
capacity. Anticipated demand for power did not
materialize. - The collapse of Enron left the industry without a
viable trading platform (much of which was done
on an unsecured basis) and led credit rating
agencies and lenders to focus on liquidity and
credit issues. - In July 2002, SP and Moodys downgraded NRGs
senior unsecured bonds to below investment grade.
The downgrade triggered collateral calls
aggregating 1.1 billion which NRG could not meet
because its 1 billion liquidity facility was
already fully drawn.
5NRG Energy, Inc.
- The downgrade and resulting inability to meet
collateral calls shut NRG out of the markets for
forward purchases of fuel (natural gas) and
forward sales of power. Thus to the extent its
projects had non contracted power generation
capacity, such as through toll contracts (which
generally were not collateralized), the projects
were restricted to transacting in the spot
markets. - With a heavy reliance on the spot markets, cash
flow forecasting became difficult. Several of the
project level financings went into default. - One of the NRG project financing transactions was
a 1.1 billion bank deal to finance the
construction of new projects. After extensive
analysis, the project Lenders concluded that
there was little assurance that the market could
absorb the capacity of the project under
construction if completed and decided to stop
funding. As a result, construction activity
ceased. The debt related to this project
subsequently traded in the .10 range.
6NRG Energy, Inc.
- In August 2002, NRG retained financial and legal
advisors to assist in the preparation in the
preparation of a comprehensive operational and
financial restructuring plan. - Shortly thereafter, NRGs top five managers left
the Company and, in November 2002, filed an
involuntary Chapter 11 petition against NRG in
Minnesota. This involuntary filing was
subsequently dismissed after Xcel announced that
its board of directors had approved a settlement
agreement with the holders of most of NRGs long
term noteholders and NRGs Bank Lenders. - Pursuant to this Settlement Agreement, Xcel
announced that it would pay 752 million to
various of NRGs creditors and turn over the
stock of reorganized NRG in exchange for full
releases from any and all claims and causes of
action that could be asserted against Xcel by
NRGs creditors. The conclusion of this
Settlement Agreement facilitated the timely
filing of a Plan of Reorganization by NRG.
7NRG Energy, Inc
- On May 14, 2003, NRG filed a voluntary bankruptcy
petition and announced that it had obtained a
250 million DIP commitment. NRG also announced
the formal retention of an interim management
team from the crisis management/restructuring
firm Kroll Zolfo Cooper LLC. Concurrent with the
bankruptcy filing, NRG began work to exit
bankruptcy by year end. - On August 19, 2003, NRG received exit financing
commitments totaling 2.215 billion consisting of
- 1.182.5 billion of Senior Credit Facilities, of
which - 932.5 billion to 1.032.5 billion term loan
- 250 million LC Facility (as sublimit of term
loan) - 150 million to 250 million revolving credit
facility - 1.032.5 billion of High Yield Debt
8NRG Energy, Inc
- NRG used a portion of the proceeds of the exit
financing to refinance project level debt at
three of its most significant and valued
projects. Whereas cash at these projects had been
trapped pursuant to the project financing
arrangements, NRG created for itself the
flexibility to deploy cash in a more efficient
manner. - On December 5, 2003, NRG announced that it had
successfully completed its emergence from
bankruptcy.
9NRG Energy, Inc - Critical Issue
- When NRG lost its investment grade rating, its
fuel suppliers stopped extending credit and
instead insisted on payment in advance.
Consequently, NRG lost the working capital
equivalent of 55 days of trade credit. Moreover,
the downgrade resulted in the imposition of, or
increase in, cash collateral requirements
associated with NRGs commitments for forward
delivery of power. Without liquidity, NRG was
effectively limited to transacting in the spot
markets. - While spot markets may, at times, provide healthy
margins, excessive reliance on the spot markets
results in unpredictable cash flows at the
project level, and even greater unpredictability
when assessing the cash upstreaming potential of
those projects.
10NRG Energy, Inc - Critical Issue
- Individual projects did not have the liquidity
available to pay in advance for fuel or
collateralize forward commitments. The structure
of the project financing documents presumed that
such working capital requirements would be met by
the parent through its power trading subsidiary,
NRG Power Marketing. Prior to the downgrade, the
projects had relied on NRG Power Marketing to act
as a central treasury to buy fuel and sell
power. However, NRG Power Marketing was not
sufficiently well capitalized to operate in the
changed environment.
11NRG Energy, Inc - Critical Issue
- The challenge within the Plan of Reorganization
was to determine how much liquidity NRG required
to accommodate an acceptable hedging program. We
asked management to define - An optimal hedging strategy, assuming access to
sufficient capital - Several sub-optimal hedging strategies assuming
access to limited amounts of capital for hedging
purposes. - We argued that reorganization capital structure
could be determined only after the hedging
strategy had been determined.
12NRG Energy, Inc - Critical Issue
- Both NRG and the Steering Committee retained
advisors to assist in this process. The mandate
was to determine the amount of liquidity needed
by NRG to assure its ability to maintain its
hedge positions (based on optimal and sub-optimal
scenarios) at a 95 confidence interval. - The results of the analysis forced a rethinking
of the capital structure of reorganized NRG
including its exit financing requirements. Upon
emergence from bankruptcy, NRG had an estimated
1.1 billion of liquidity which enhanced its
ability to participate in the forward markets. As
noted in NRGs Annual Report for 2003 - With our greater liquidity, as well as high gas
prices and rising coal prices, we successfully
contracted forward a high percentage of the
economic energy production from our coal plants,
and locked in the associated fuel supply for the
balance of 2004. We look to contract more while
still maintaining the capacity to benefit from
high spot electricity prices.
13WINSTAR COMMUNICATIONS, INC.
- Winstar was a broadband provider to commercial
customers, offering local and long distance phone
services and high-speed Internet and data
communications services. Its commercial customers
were located primarily in large commercial office
buildings. Winstar used fixed wireless broadband
connections to provide broadband connectivity
across the last mile from intra-city fiber
rings to its customers. - Source Winstar Annual Report to Shareholders
dated December 31, 1999
14Winstar Communications, Inc
- Winstars global broadband network brings
digital-age broadband services to businesses of
all sizes - Winstar is the largest holder of 38 GHZ wireless
spectrum in the United States with licenses from
the FCC that cover 80 of the US business market - Winstars fixed wireless capabilities complement
its extensive fiber network that will exceed
16,000 long-haul route miles of fiber connecting
more than 60 US markets and 6,000 local route
miles of fiber in over 50 US cities - Winstar is the global leader in the deployment of
broadband fixed wireless and delivers broadband
services over its own network to customers in
twelve international markets - Winstar has a business model that is strong and
sustainable, and a superior ability to continue
to implement its business strategy day in and day
out.
15Winstar Communications, Inc.
- Winstars widely available broadband network is
able to serve tens of thousands of businesses in
more than 60 domestic markets and twelve
international markets. Together with our
infrastructure partners, Lucent Technologies,
Williams Communications and Metro Media Fiber
Neetwork, we are continuing to expand our
end-to-end network from Boston to Austin, from
Silicon Alley to Silicon Valley, and beyond. - Winstar has a passion for customer satisfaction.
Winstars consultative experts and advisers pull
the pieces of a complex world together and show
customers how to utilize and profit from cutting
age technology. - Source Winstar Annual Report to Shareholders
dated December 31, 1999
16Winstar Communications, Inc. - Summary Financial
Data as of 9/30/00( 000,000 omitted)
- Current Assets .. 811.9
- PPE (net) . 2,672.6
- Licenses (net) 314.8
- Other Long Term Assets.. 669.9
- Total Assets 4,469.2
- Current Liabilities.. 578.9
- Senior Bank Debt.. 1,150.0
- Other Long Term Debt.. 2,162.3
- Other LongTerm Liabilities.. 488.0
- Preferred Stock. 200.0
- Stockholders Deficit.. (110.0)
- Operating Revenue.. 534.2
- Operating Loss (359.3)
- Net Loss... (641.5)
- Net Loss attributable to common
stockholders..(747.0)
17Winstar Communications, Inc.
- Footnote Disclosure
- We anticipate, based on our business plan and
certain assumptions, that our existing financial
resources will be sufficient to fund our planned
operations and capital requirements into the
first quarter of 2002 - As a result of our recently announced financing
commitments, our expectation to be EBITDA
breakeven in the first half of 2001 and our
expectation that our core network infrastructure
will be completed by the end of 2001, we believe
that we will have the flexibility to grow our
business at whatever pace is appropriate for the
existing capital environment. - SOURCE Winstar Communications, Inc. 10Q as of
September 30, 2000
18Winstar Communications, Inc. - Bankruptcy Filing
- Winstar filed a voluntary Chapter 11 petition on
April 18, 2001 - Chapter 11 filing was precipitous and without
prior planning - Cited failure of Lucent Technologies, Inc. to
abide by its obligations to make available to
Winstar a line of credit of approximately 1
billion as a significant contributing factor to
the liquidity constrained financial condition of
the company. - Company reduced workforce by 44, filed lawsuit
against Lucent alleging breach of contract and
stopped virtually all capital spending - Shift in management emphasis to generating cash
as opposed to sales and EBITDA - Five lenders committed to an emergency 75mm DIP
facility. Strategy was to keep the company alive
so it could be sold as a going concern.
19Winstar Communications, Inc. - Bankruptcy Filing
- Additional 225mm is DIP commitments requested.
- Many prospective DIP Lenders determined business
plan to be unachievable. Only 100mm in
additional DIP commitments obtained. - Company missed DIP business plan by a wide
margin forced to ratchet business down, lay off
more employees and discontinue loss-making
operations. Company eventually lost critical
mass. - No market for individual assets including
spectrum licenses and leases on fiber-optics
transmission equipment. Glut of telecom assets
forced values down. - Buyers concerned about reliability of technology.
Fixed wireless vulnerable to disruptions caused
by bad weather or construction of new buildings. - Assets eventually sold for 42mm resulting in
total loss to prepetition lenders and loss to DIP
lenders.
20Winstar Communications, Inc.
- What went wrong?
- Bad Underwriting?
- Bad Business Model?
- Good Business Model but Bad Execution?
- A Concept Ahead of its Time?
- An Example of Build it and the Customers Will
Come? - Did Management (along with most other industry
participants) overpay for assets such as fiber
and telecommunications equipment? - Were Managements Growth Expectations Unfounded?
- Or.
- Should we just call this an example of a six
standard deviation event (that no one could have
predicted) and get on with new deals?
21Presentation to Capital Markets Credit Analysts
Society
- Robert P. Tinari
- Managing Director
- Société Générale
- April 26, 2006