Title: Intercomparison of Cloud Base Height at the ARM Southern Great Plains Site
1Intercomparison of Cloud Base Height at the ARM
Southern Great Plains Site
Christina P. Kalb Oklahoma Weather Center REU,
Norman, Oklahoma The Ohio State University,
Columbus, Ohio kalb.29_at_osu.edu Mentors Andy
Dean, CIMMS Research Associate Randy Peppler,
CIMMS Associate Director Karen Sonntag, CIMMS
Research Associate
2The ARM Program
- Climate models sometimes produce forecasts that
are flawed - Goals of ARM
- improve understanding of the formation,
dissipation and radiative properties of clouds - test and improve the accuracy of cloud
parameterizations in models - Ability to improve parameterizations is limited
due to extent of knowledge on instrument
performance
3My Project
- Addresses differences in performance of
instruments - Specifically focuses on instruments that report
cloud base height - Importance many use data from instruments
interchangeably - Instruments perform unequally for different
weather conditions and cloud types
4Clouds or Not?
VCEIL first VCEIL second VCEIL third
MPL
Vaisala Ceilometer on 3/15/00
Micropulse Lidar on 3/15/00
5Data
- Cloud base height measurements taken at Southern
Great Plains Site - Central Facility in Lamont, Oklahoma
- Blackwell Tonkawa Airport, temporary facility
- March 5 21, 2000, the Spring 2000 Cloud IOP
- Greater instrument examination and care
- Increased data
6Instruments
- Central Facility in Lamont, Oklahoma
- Micropulse Lidar
- Belfort Laser Ceilometer
- Millimeter-wavelength Cloud Radar (MMCR),
baseline instrument - Blackwell Tonkawa Airport
- Micropulse Lidar
- Vaisala Ceilometer
- Adapted at Central Facility in Summer 2000
- Compared to Belfort Laser Ceilometer in 1997
7Methodology
- Obtain data and set up plots
- Check instrument maintenance reports
- Qualitative analysis of Central Facility data
- Identify time periods where discrepancies occur
- Analyze weather data to determine probable causes
8Preliminary Conclusions of Qualitative Analysis
- Micropulse Lidar
- Poor at depicting very low clouds
- Reports a large amount of scatter
- May pick up boundaries or Particle-laden regions
- Performs poorly during rain
9Preliminary Conclusions
- Belfort Laser and Vaisala Ceilometers
- Report cirrus cloud bases too high
- Range of detection variable depending on ice
content, temperature - Report jagged clouds too high and with too little
variation - Perform poorly during rain
- All three instruments report low stratus and
cumulus clouds similar to MMCR
10Statistical Analysis
- First stage Statistical Comparison of mean cloud
base height for all days and times - Mean, standard deviation
- Hypothesis tests on the difference between means
(zero or nonzero) - Scatterplots
- Linear correlations, only where both instruments
reporting - Statistical results were inconclusive
- one false case
- Large standard deviations
11Next Steps
- Screened data to throw out rain cases
- Break up remaining data to highlight specific
cloud episodes - Focus on Blackwell facility on March 15, 2000,
low stratus - Additional plots from
- March 13, cirrus and cumulus case
- March 19, low stratus case
- Further screened data to account for instrument
limitations (most important and most difficult)
12Measurement Ranges
VCEIL first VCEIL second VCEIL third
MPL
Vaisala Ceilometer 3/19/00
Micropulse Lidar 3/19/00
13Scatterplot (VCEIL vs MPL)
Adjusted Range 0.5 to 7.5 km
Before Screening
14Comparison Plots
MPL VCEIL first VCEIL second VCEIL third
MPL VCEIL
MPL VCEIL
Original Plot
Both Instruments within range
15Second Stage
- Lag correlation
- 30 second data high autocorrelations
- Determine how far out we must go to get
independent observation - Used lag correlation of 0.1 to determine an
effective n - Recomputed standard deviation with effective n
- No change in Hypothesis Test results
- Reported cloud base heights still statistically
equal - Does not separate cases
16Differing Cloud Base Heights
MPL VCEIL first VCEIL second VCEIL third
17Quality Control Check
Scatterplot
Standardized difference Histogram
18Outliers
MPL VCEIL Outliers
19Results
- Micropulse Lidar reports low cloud bases slightly
higher than Vaisala Ceilometer - Most outliers are high MPL cloud base heights
- Histograms did not work for all cases
- When cloud base heights visibly unequal,
distributions skewed - Cirrus Cases
- Non-flat based Cumulus
- Adjustment of histograms needed to identify
outliers
20Overall Conclusions
- Ceilometers and Micropulse Lidar perform
similarly for - Stratus clouds above 0.5km
- Flatter based cumulus
- Micropulse Lidar bases slightly higher than
Vaisala Ceilometer for above cases - Outlier identification possible for these cases,
within height range (0.5km to 7.5km) - Discrepancies during cirrus and non-flat based
cumulus make outlier identification difficult
21Acknowledgements
- Mentors
- Andy Dean, CIMMS Research Associate
- Randy Peppler, CIMMS Associate Director
- Karen Sonntag, CIMMS Research Associate
- Statistics Aid
- Dr. Mike Richman, OU School of Meteorology
- Providing Data
- ARM Program
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23Plot Ranges
Millimeter Cloud Radar
24MMCR
Millimeter Cloud Radar
25MPL Higher
26Cirrus Clouds