Intercomparison of Cloud Base Height at the ARM Southern Great Plains Site PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Title: Intercomparison of Cloud Base Height at the ARM Southern Great Plains Site


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Intercomparison of Cloud Base Height at the ARM
Southern Great Plains Site
Christina P. Kalb Oklahoma Weather Center REU,
Norman, Oklahoma The Ohio State University,
Columbus, Ohio kalb.29_at_osu.edu Mentors Andy
Dean, CIMMS Research Associate Randy Peppler,
CIMMS Associate Director Karen Sonntag, CIMMS
Research Associate
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The ARM Program
  • Climate models sometimes produce forecasts that
    are flawed
  • Goals of ARM
  • improve understanding of the formation,
    dissipation and radiative properties of clouds
  • test and improve the accuracy of cloud
    parameterizations in models
  • Ability to improve parameterizations is limited
    due to extent of knowledge on instrument
    performance

3
My Project
  • Addresses differences in performance of
    instruments
  • Specifically focuses on instruments that report
    cloud base height
  • Importance many use data from instruments
    interchangeably
  • Instruments perform unequally for different
    weather conditions and cloud types

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Clouds or Not?
VCEIL first VCEIL second VCEIL third
MPL
Vaisala Ceilometer on 3/15/00
Micropulse Lidar on 3/15/00
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Data
  • Cloud base height measurements taken at Southern
    Great Plains Site
  • Central Facility in Lamont, Oklahoma
  • Blackwell Tonkawa Airport, temporary facility
  • March 5 21, 2000, the Spring 2000 Cloud IOP
  • Greater instrument examination and care
  • Increased data

6
Instruments
  • Central Facility in Lamont, Oklahoma
  • Micropulse Lidar
  • Belfort Laser Ceilometer
  • Millimeter-wavelength Cloud Radar (MMCR),
    baseline instrument
  • Blackwell Tonkawa Airport
  • Micropulse Lidar
  • Vaisala Ceilometer
  • Adapted at Central Facility in Summer 2000
  • Compared to Belfort Laser Ceilometer in 1997

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Methodology
  • Obtain data and set up plots
  • Check instrument maintenance reports
  • Qualitative analysis of Central Facility data
  • Identify time periods where discrepancies occur
  • Analyze weather data to determine probable causes

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Preliminary Conclusions of Qualitative Analysis
  • Micropulse Lidar
  • Poor at depicting very low clouds
  • Reports a large amount of scatter
  • May pick up boundaries or Particle-laden regions
  • Performs poorly during rain

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Preliminary Conclusions
  • Belfort Laser and Vaisala Ceilometers
  • Report cirrus cloud bases too high
  • Range of detection variable depending on ice
    content, temperature
  • Report jagged clouds too high and with too little
    variation
  • Perform poorly during rain
  • All three instruments report low stratus and
    cumulus clouds similar to MMCR

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Statistical Analysis
  • First stage Statistical Comparison of mean cloud
    base height for all days and times
  • Mean, standard deviation
  • Hypothesis tests on the difference between means
    (zero or nonzero)
  • Scatterplots
  • Linear correlations, only where both instruments
    reporting
  • Statistical results were inconclusive
  • one false case
  • Large standard deviations

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Next Steps
  • Screened data to throw out rain cases
  • Break up remaining data to highlight specific
    cloud episodes
  • Focus on Blackwell facility on March 15, 2000,
    low stratus
  • Additional plots from
  • March 13, cirrus and cumulus case
  • March 19, low stratus case
  • Further screened data to account for instrument
    limitations (most important and most difficult)

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Measurement Ranges
VCEIL first VCEIL second VCEIL third
MPL
Vaisala Ceilometer 3/19/00
Micropulse Lidar 3/19/00
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Scatterplot (VCEIL vs MPL)
Adjusted Range 0.5 to 7.5 km
Before Screening
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Comparison Plots
MPL VCEIL first VCEIL second VCEIL third
MPL VCEIL
MPL VCEIL
Original Plot
Both Instruments within range
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Second Stage
  • Lag correlation
  • 30 second data high autocorrelations
  • Determine how far out we must go to get
    independent observation
  • Used lag correlation of 0.1 to determine an
    effective n
  • Recomputed standard deviation with effective n
  • No change in Hypothesis Test results
  • Reported cloud base heights still statistically
    equal
  • Does not separate cases

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Differing Cloud Base Heights
MPL VCEIL first VCEIL second VCEIL third
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Quality Control Check
Scatterplot
Standardized difference Histogram
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Outliers
MPL VCEIL Outliers
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Results
  • Micropulse Lidar reports low cloud bases slightly
    higher than Vaisala Ceilometer
  • Most outliers are high MPL cloud base heights
  • Histograms did not work for all cases
  • When cloud base heights visibly unequal,
    distributions skewed
  • Cirrus Cases
  • Non-flat based Cumulus
  • Adjustment of histograms needed to identify
    outliers

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Overall Conclusions
  • Ceilometers and Micropulse Lidar perform
    similarly for
  • Stratus clouds above 0.5km
  • Flatter based cumulus
  • Micropulse Lidar bases slightly higher than
    Vaisala Ceilometer for above cases
  • Outlier identification possible for these cases,
    within height range (0.5km to 7.5km)
  • Discrepancies during cirrus and non-flat based
    cumulus make outlier identification difficult

21
Acknowledgements
  • Mentors
  • Andy Dean, CIMMS Research Associate
  • Randy Peppler, CIMMS Associate Director
  • Karen Sonntag, CIMMS Research Associate
  • Statistics Aid
  • Dr. Mike Richman, OU School of Meteorology
  • Providing Data
  • ARM Program

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Plot Ranges
Millimeter Cloud Radar
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MMCR
Millimeter Cloud Radar
25
MPL Higher
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Cirrus Clouds
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