Executive Summary

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Executive Summary

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Butane continues strong with blending and diluent opportunities especially with oil sands ... with increasing demand as a diluent in heavy oil and oil sands ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Executive Summary


1
Annual General Meeting May 22, 2008
2
Disclaimer
  • Except for historical financial information
    contained herein, the matters discussed in this
    document may be considered forward-looking
    statements. Such statements include declarations
    regarding management's intent, belief or current
    expectations. Prospective investors are cautioned
    that any such forward-looking statements are not
    guarantees of future performance and involve a
    number of risks and uncertainties actual results
    could differ materially from those indicated by
    such forward-looking statements. Among the
    important factors that could cause actual results
    to differ materially from those indicated by such
    forward-looking statements are (i) that the
    information is of a preliminary nature and may be
    subject to further adjustment, (ii) the possible
    unavailability of financing, (iii) risks related
    to the exploration and development of oil and gas
    properties, (iv) the impact of price fluctuations
    and the demand and pricing for oil and natural
    gas, (v) the seasonal nature of the business,
    (vi) start-up risks, (vii) general operating
    risks, (viii) dependence on third parties, (ix)
    changes in government regulation, (x) the effects
    of competition, (xi) dependence on senior
    management, (xii) financial condition of real
    estate tenants and financial services
    counterparts, (xiii) impact of the Canadian
    economic conditions or the demand for real estate
    leasing opportunities, and (xiv) fluctuations in
    currency exchange rates and interest rates.
  • Funds from continuing operations, funds from
    continuing operations per unit, funds from
    operations, funds from operations per unit, net
    back and working capital (net debt) are not
    recognized measures under Canadian generally
    accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Funds
    from operations is calculated by taking cash
    provided by operating activities on the statement
    of cash flows adjusted for the effect of changes
    in non-cash working capital and asset retirement
    costs incurred. Working capital (net debt) is
    calculated by taking current assets less current
    liabilities excluding balances relating to assets
    held for sale. Operating netbacks per BOE equal
    total petroleum and natural gas revenue net of
    transportation expenses and realized gains on
    commodity contracts per BOE less royalties per
    BOE and operating expenses per BOE. Operating
    netbacks as used in the MDA do not have any
    standardized meaning under GAAP and therefore may
    not be comparable with the calculation of similar
    measures of other entities. Operating netbacks
    are a useful measure to compare the Trusts
    operations with those of its peers). Management
    believes that these measures are useful
    supplemental measures to analyze operating
    performance as they demonstrate the Trusts
    ability to generate the funds from operations
    necessary to fund future distributions and
    capital investments. The Trusts method of
    calculating these measures may differ from other
    issuers, and accordingly, they may not be
    comparable to measures used by other issuers.
    Investors should be cautioned that these measures
    should not be construed as an alternative to net
    income, cash flow from operating activities or
    other measures of financial performance
    calculated in accordance with GAAP. Distribution
    Payout Ratio is calculated by dividing the
    Distributions by the Funds from Operations.

3
Avenir Trust Structure
Public Trust AVF.UN
Operating Trust
50
50
Target Allocation
Avenir Energy
Avenir Non- Energy
Oil and Gas
Financial Services
Real Estate
Q1 2008 Actual Cashflow Pre Enervest Sale
62
3
35
May 2008 Forecast Cashflow Post Enervest Sale
50
47
3
4
Avenir Quick Facts
  • TSX Exchange
    AVF.UN
  • Current Trust Units Outstanding
    41.9 mm
  • Target Payout Ratio
    75 to 80
  • Annual 2007 Payout Ratio
    78
  • Q1 2008 Payout Ratio
    48
  • Target Yield
    10 11.5
  • Current trading price per unit
    8.15
  • Current Yield
    12.2

5
Team
  • Corporate
  • William Gallacher, P. Eng., President CEO
  • Gary Dundas, CMA, MBA, VP Finance CFO
  • Jill Koskimaki, BBA, Manager of Bus. Dev.
  • Michelle OGrady, CA, Controller
  • Directors
  • William Gallacher (Avenir)
  • Gary Dundas (Avenir)
  • David Butler (Outside)
  • Stuart Chow, Chair. Reserves (Outside)
  • Jeff Kohn (Outside)
  • Alan Moon, Chair. Corp. Gov. (Outside)
  • William Patterson, Chair. Audit (Outside)
  • Financial Services Business Unit
  • Elbow River Marketing Limited Partnership
  • Ed Malcolm, President
  • Energy Business Unit
  • Grant Leslie, P. Eng., COO, Energy
  • Bob Guy, VP Production
  • Debbie Carter, Controller, Energy
  • Real Estate Business Unit
  • Advisors MDC Property Services Ltd.

6
Strategic Review Committee
  • Strategic Review Committee
  • Established with the mandate to consider
    strategic alternatives and opportunities for the
    Trust in order to provide maximum value to
    unitholders.
  • Established as a result of the previously
    announced
  • Process to sell Avenir Trusts Real Estate
    Division
  • Sale of the EnerVest Management assets and
  • Pending taxation of income trusts in 2011
  • The committee consists of
  • All non-management and independent board
    members.
  • Time frame
  • Management and the Board will update unitholders
    by the end of the third quarter 2008, and as the
    review process progresses.

7
Financial Services
  • EnerVest Limited Partnership Disposition
  • The EnerVest Management LP was sold to Canoe
    Financial LP May 16, 2008, effective April 1,
    2008.
  • Proceeds of Sale
  • Sale Price 185.0 million
  • Working Capital Debt (18.9) million
  • Net Proceeds 166.1 million
  • Vendor Take-Back Payable Dec 31/08 (25.0)
    million
  • Proceeds at May 2008 141.1 million
  • Return on Investment
  • Original Equity 130.2 million
  • Distributions (44.7) million
  • 85.5 million
  • Proposed Net Proceeds after Debt 166.1 million
  • Transaction, closing change of control costs
    (6.5) million
  • 159.6 million
  • Total Return 74.1 million
    or 87

8
Financial Services Elbow River Marketing LP
  • Elbow River is a wholesale marketer, transporter
    and supplier of butane to major refineries and
    propane to major retailers in the US, Canada and
    Mexico - markets ethanol, natural gas and
    biofuels.
  • High revenue low margin business
  • Facilitates the procurement, logistics,
    transport and sale of LPG and biofuel products
  • Locks in profits and mitigates risk through
    hedging almost all parts of transaction
  • i. LPG Business
  • Represents approximately 65 of Elbows cash
    flow
  • Base business purchased in 2005
  • Butane continues strong with blending and
    diluent opportunities especially with oil sands
  • Propane has been weaker the past two years due
    to mild winters and lower demand
  • Natural gasoline (condensate) is a new product
    to Elbow with increasing demand as a diluent in
    heavy oil and oil sands

9
Elbow River Marketing LP
  • ii. Biofuel Business
  • Represents approx. 35 of cash flow
  • Biodiesel
  • Involved in both domestic North American market
    and export market
  • In Q1 2008 one of the largest biodiesel exporters
    in North America
  • Biodiesel imported from South American and Asia
    to US to be blended with US domestic products
  • Bulk of exports to Europe
  • European demand is robust due to high usage of
    diesel and government mandates
  • Domestic US demand continues strong due to
    government mandates and increased usage of
    diesel. US mandates up in the air post US
    election.
  • Requires higher capital, logistical and people
    resources
  • Ethanol
  • Narrower margins in latter 2007 and early 2008
  • Excess supply in US and limited distribution
    network
  • Used a lot for blending in gasoline
  • Elbow well positioned for niche markets and for
    anticipated recovery in latter 2008 and 2009

10
Energy
  • Oil Gas Grant Leslie, COO
  • Average 2007 production rate of 3,348 boe/d
  • Q1 2008 average production rate of 3,329 boe/d
  • Balanced sales volume ratio of 48 oil / 52
    natural gas
  • RLI approx. 7.0 years
  • 2007 focus on capital programs resulted in FD
    costs of 17.70/boe including future capital
  • Development and acquisition activity in 2007
    resulted in 107 reserve replacement at total
    combined cost of 15.73/boe

Actual price before hedges
11
Oil and Gas
  • 2008 continued focus on internally generated
    development programs
  • Expected to drill 17 gross (7.8 net) wells in
    2008
  • Q2 2008 estimated production exit rate of 3,380
    boe/d
  • Expect to spend approx. 14 million

12
Real Estate Portfolio
Property Manager MDC Property Services
Ltd. Property Leasable Sq Ft
Western Spirit Portfolio 422,423
Station Crossing 16,210 KFC
Portfolio 36,951 Landmark Portfolio
161,565 Cineplex Red Deer
40,000 677,149
  • 100 leased
  • Estimated Annual Net Operating Income of 6.4
    million
  • Single purpose commercial real estate
  • Alberta/British Columbia focus
  • Financing 60 to 65 mortgage to asset value

13
Real Estate Update
  • Sale Process
  • National realtor engaged in Q4 2007
  • Expect to sell all properties by mid to late
    summer on a property by property basis
  • Currently have signed LOIs, subject to due
    diligence, on a number of properties
  • Expect sale process to net 26 - 31 million
    after mortgage repayment

14
2007 Highlights
15
2008 First Quarter Highlights
16
Outlook
  • Financial Services Elbow River
  • Elbow River continues to benefit from the
    development and execution of its export biofuel
    strategy
  • One of the leading biofuel exporters in North
    America
  • Continued strength in butane and natural gasoline
  • Based on initial presale levels, the second
    quarter for Elbow River should be solid in what
    has traditionally been their weakest quarter
  • Oil Gas
  • Production is in line with expectations,
    consistent with prior year at 3,329 BOE/d with a
    split of 52 natural gas and 48 oil and liquids
  • Pricing for both natural gas and crude oil is up
    significantly boding well for a strong second
    quarter
  • Improved pricing has increased the economics of a
    number of gas development drilling opportunities
    after break-up in the late second quarter 2008
  • Real Estate
  • Continues to be fully leased with a new KFC
    restaurant location completed in Wetaskiwin,
    Alberta and a new Cineplex theatre completed in
    Red Deer Alberta
  • Progressing on the sale of the Division, with a
    number of offers
  • for specific properties currently being
    evaluated
  • Targeting this summer for the sale of the
    properties

17
Merchant Banking Trust Model
Valuations of Divisions Held for Sale or Sold
RETURNING VALUE TO UNITHOLDERS
18
Summary
  • Strong performance in Elbow River Marketing LP
    and Oil Gas Division in Q1 2008
  • Continued bullish outlook for oil gas pricing
    and strong presales in Elbow River for Q2 2008
    and remainder of year
  • Q2 2008 will see a gain on the sale of EnerVest
  • A Strategic Review Committee has been established
    to work through the review process with an update
    expected at Q3 2008
  • The Trust will maintain distributions at current
    levels and
  • Continue to develop opportunities in its Elbow
    River and Oil Gas Divisions.
  • RETURNING VALUE TO
    UNITHOLDERS

19
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