Title: Executive Summary
1Annual General Meeting May 22, 2008
2Disclaimer
- Except for historical financial information
contained herein, the matters discussed in this
document may be considered forward-looking
statements. Such statements include declarations
regarding management's intent, belief or current
expectations. Prospective investors are cautioned
that any such forward-looking statements are not
guarantees of future performance and involve a
number of risks and uncertainties actual results
could differ materially from those indicated by
such forward-looking statements. Among the
important factors that could cause actual results
to differ materially from those indicated by such
forward-looking statements are (i) that the
information is of a preliminary nature and may be
subject to further adjustment, (ii) the possible
unavailability of financing, (iii) risks related
to the exploration and development of oil and gas
properties, (iv) the impact of price fluctuations
and the demand and pricing for oil and natural
gas, (v) the seasonal nature of the business,
(vi) start-up risks, (vii) general operating
risks, (viii) dependence on third parties, (ix)
changes in government regulation, (x) the effects
of competition, (xi) dependence on senior
management, (xii) financial condition of real
estate tenants and financial services
counterparts, (xiii) impact of the Canadian
economic conditions or the demand for real estate
leasing opportunities, and (xiv) fluctuations in
currency exchange rates and interest rates. - Funds from continuing operations, funds from
continuing operations per unit, funds from
operations, funds from operations per unit, net
back and working capital (net debt) are not
recognized measures under Canadian generally
accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Funds
from operations is calculated by taking cash
provided by operating activities on the statement
of cash flows adjusted for the effect of changes
in non-cash working capital and asset retirement
costs incurred. Working capital (net debt) is
calculated by taking current assets less current
liabilities excluding balances relating to assets
held for sale. Operating netbacks per BOE equal
total petroleum and natural gas revenue net of
transportation expenses and realized gains on
commodity contracts per BOE less royalties per
BOE and operating expenses per BOE. Operating
netbacks as used in the MDA do not have any
standardized meaning under GAAP and therefore may
not be comparable with the calculation of similar
measures of other entities. Operating netbacks
are a useful measure to compare the Trusts
operations with those of its peers). Management
believes that these measures are useful
supplemental measures to analyze operating
performance as they demonstrate the Trusts
ability to generate the funds from operations
necessary to fund future distributions and
capital investments. The Trusts method of
calculating these measures may differ from other
issuers, and accordingly, they may not be
comparable to measures used by other issuers.
Investors should be cautioned that these measures
should not be construed as an alternative to net
income, cash flow from operating activities or
other measures of financial performance
calculated in accordance with GAAP. Distribution
Payout Ratio is calculated by dividing the
Distributions by the Funds from Operations.
3Avenir Trust Structure
Public Trust AVF.UN
Operating Trust
50
50
Target Allocation
Avenir Energy
Avenir Non- Energy
Oil and Gas
Financial Services
Real Estate
Q1 2008 Actual Cashflow Pre Enervest Sale
62
3
35
May 2008 Forecast Cashflow Post Enervest Sale
50
47
3
4Avenir Quick Facts
- TSX Exchange
AVF.UN - Current Trust Units Outstanding
41.9 mm - Target Payout Ratio
75 to 80 - Annual 2007 Payout Ratio
78 - Q1 2008 Payout Ratio
48 - Target Yield
10 11.5 - Current trading price per unit
8.15 - Current Yield
12.2
5Team
- Corporate
- William Gallacher, P. Eng., President CEO
- Gary Dundas, CMA, MBA, VP Finance CFO
- Jill Koskimaki, BBA, Manager of Bus. Dev.
- Michelle OGrady, CA, Controller
- Directors
- William Gallacher (Avenir)
- Gary Dundas (Avenir)
- David Butler (Outside)
- Stuart Chow, Chair. Reserves (Outside)
- Jeff Kohn (Outside)
- Alan Moon, Chair. Corp. Gov. (Outside)
- William Patterson, Chair. Audit (Outside)
- Financial Services Business Unit
- Elbow River Marketing Limited Partnership
- Ed Malcolm, President
- Energy Business Unit
- Grant Leslie, P. Eng., COO, Energy
- Bob Guy, VP Production
- Debbie Carter, Controller, Energy
- Real Estate Business Unit
- Advisors MDC Property Services Ltd.
6Strategic Review Committee
- Strategic Review Committee
- Established with the mandate to consider
strategic alternatives and opportunities for the
Trust in order to provide maximum value to
unitholders. - Established as a result of the previously
announced - Process to sell Avenir Trusts Real Estate
Division - Sale of the EnerVest Management assets and
- Pending taxation of income trusts in 2011
- The committee consists of
- All non-management and independent board
members. - Time frame
- Management and the Board will update unitholders
by the end of the third quarter 2008, and as the
review process progresses.
7Financial Services
- EnerVest Limited Partnership Disposition
- The EnerVest Management LP was sold to Canoe
Financial LP May 16, 2008, effective April 1,
2008. - Proceeds of Sale
- Sale Price 185.0 million
- Working Capital Debt (18.9) million
- Net Proceeds 166.1 million
- Vendor Take-Back Payable Dec 31/08 (25.0)
million - Proceeds at May 2008 141.1 million
- Return on Investment
- Original Equity 130.2 million
- Distributions (44.7) million
- 85.5 million
- Proposed Net Proceeds after Debt 166.1 million
- Transaction, closing change of control costs
(6.5) million - 159.6 million
- Total Return 74.1 million
or 87
8Financial Services Elbow River Marketing LP
- Elbow River is a wholesale marketer, transporter
and supplier of butane to major refineries and
propane to major retailers in the US, Canada and
Mexico - markets ethanol, natural gas and
biofuels. - High revenue low margin business
- Facilitates the procurement, logistics,
transport and sale of LPG and biofuel products - Locks in profits and mitigates risk through
hedging almost all parts of transaction - i. LPG Business
- Represents approximately 65 of Elbows cash
flow - Base business purchased in 2005
- Butane continues strong with blending and
diluent opportunities especially with oil sands - Propane has been weaker the past two years due
to mild winters and lower demand - Natural gasoline (condensate) is a new product
to Elbow with increasing demand as a diluent in
heavy oil and oil sands
9Elbow River Marketing LP
- ii. Biofuel Business
- Represents approx. 35 of cash flow
- Biodiesel
- Involved in both domestic North American market
and export market - In Q1 2008 one of the largest biodiesel exporters
in North America - Biodiesel imported from South American and Asia
to US to be blended with US domestic products - Bulk of exports to Europe
- European demand is robust due to high usage of
diesel and government mandates - Domestic US demand continues strong due to
government mandates and increased usage of
diesel. US mandates up in the air post US
election. - Requires higher capital, logistical and people
resources - Ethanol
- Narrower margins in latter 2007 and early 2008
- Excess supply in US and limited distribution
network - Used a lot for blending in gasoline
- Elbow well positioned for niche markets and for
anticipated recovery in latter 2008 and 2009
10Energy
- Oil Gas Grant Leslie, COO
- Average 2007 production rate of 3,348 boe/d
- Q1 2008 average production rate of 3,329 boe/d
- Balanced sales volume ratio of 48 oil / 52
natural gas - RLI approx. 7.0 years
- 2007 focus on capital programs resulted in FD
costs of 17.70/boe including future capital - Development and acquisition activity in 2007
resulted in 107 reserve replacement at total
combined cost of 15.73/boe
Actual price before hedges
11Oil and Gas
- 2008 continued focus on internally generated
development programs - Expected to drill 17 gross (7.8 net) wells in
2008 - Q2 2008 estimated production exit rate of 3,380
boe/d - Expect to spend approx. 14 million
12Real Estate Portfolio
Property Manager MDC Property Services
Ltd. Property Leasable Sq Ft
Western Spirit Portfolio 422,423
Station Crossing 16,210 KFC
Portfolio 36,951 Landmark Portfolio
161,565 Cineplex Red Deer
40,000 677,149
- 100 leased
- Estimated Annual Net Operating Income of 6.4
million - Single purpose commercial real estate
- Alberta/British Columbia focus
- Financing 60 to 65 mortgage to asset value
13Real Estate Update
- Sale Process
- National realtor engaged in Q4 2007
- Expect to sell all properties by mid to late
summer on a property by property basis - Currently have signed LOIs, subject to due
diligence, on a number of properties - Expect sale process to net 26 - 31 million
after mortgage repayment
142007 Highlights
152008 First Quarter Highlights
16Outlook
- Financial Services Elbow River
- Elbow River continues to benefit from the
development and execution of its export biofuel
strategy - One of the leading biofuel exporters in North
America - Continued strength in butane and natural gasoline
- Based on initial presale levels, the second
quarter for Elbow River should be solid in what
has traditionally been their weakest quarter - Oil Gas
- Production is in line with expectations,
consistent with prior year at 3,329 BOE/d with a
split of 52 natural gas and 48 oil and liquids - Pricing for both natural gas and crude oil is up
significantly boding well for a strong second
quarter - Improved pricing has increased the economics of a
number of gas development drilling opportunities
after break-up in the late second quarter 2008 - Real Estate
- Continues to be fully leased with a new KFC
restaurant location completed in Wetaskiwin,
Alberta and a new Cineplex theatre completed in
Red Deer Alberta - Progressing on the sale of the Division, with a
number of offers - for specific properties currently being
evaluated - Targeting this summer for the sale of the
properties
17Merchant Banking Trust Model
Valuations of Divisions Held for Sale or Sold
RETURNING VALUE TO UNITHOLDERS
18Summary
- Strong performance in Elbow River Marketing LP
and Oil Gas Division in Q1 2008 - Continued bullish outlook for oil gas pricing
and strong presales in Elbow River for Q2 2008
and remainder of year - Q2 2008 will see a gain on the sale of EnerVest
- A Strategic Review Committee has been established
to work through the review process with an update
expected at Q3 2008 - The Trust will maintain distributions at current
levels and - Continue to develop opportunities in its Elbow
River and Oil Gas Divisions. - RETURNING VALUE TO
UNITHOLDERS
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