Title: Today
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2Objectives
- learn how El Niño and La Niña work
- emphasize that the ocean atmosphere are
strongly coupled - understand that one component of the Earths
system can have drastic effects on the rest of
the Earth
3El Niño The Enigma
- Unusual oceanic and atmospheric phenomenon - an
anomaly - We dont know everything about it
- We cant really predict it yet
4El Niño The Term
- First discovered in 1795
- Recognized by local fisherman along Ecuador and
Peru - Warm, surface countercurrent
- North--gtSouth
- Discovered around Christmas-time
- The Christ Child
5El Niño Characteristics
- Normally develops in W. tropical Pacific
- Often results in natural disasters
- Occurs every 2 to 10 years
- Most recent and severe events in 1953, 57-58,
65, 72-73, 76-77, 82-83, 91-92, 97-98,
02-04, 06-07, 0910
6Slides from 1982-83 El Niño
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9- INDEX
- Air temperature
- Sea surface temp
- Surface winds
- Cloudiness of sky
- Sea level pressure
-09-10
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13Pressure!!
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16Suppressed Sea Surface
Elevated Sea Surface
17Southern Oscillation (SO)
- Tradewinds weaken or fail
- Tropical winds reverse and go east instead of
west - Atmospheric pressure cells reverse
- Wet areas become dry (drought)
- Dry areas get flooded
- oscillates like a giant sea-saw, taking 3-5
months
18Non El Niño
El Niño
19Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Circulation
Non El Niño
El Niño
20Oceans Response to the SO
- Warm water moves to the east
- Elevates sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in SE
Pacific - Shuts down upwelling, can induce downwelling
- Reduces available nutrients
- Kills fish and sea birds - especially bad off Peru
21Non El Niño
El Niño
22Animations
23Ocean AND Atmosphere
- El Niño is both an oceanic and an atmospheric
phenomenon - Often called ENSO
- Scientists knew of SO from wind and precip. data
- Scientists knew of El Niño from SST data
- Didnt make connection until 1969
24Jacob Bjerknes
- Jacob Bjerknes, a Norwegian meteorologist made
breakthrough in 1969 - Combined wind, rain, AND SST data
- Ocean atm. part of big climate engine
- Effects of ENSO not just local to Peru but could
affect whole Pacific, whole world
25Interdisciplinarity Rules!
- Bjerknes was a meterologist who was willing to
take a good, hard look at oceanographic data - Oceanography a versatile science
26How Do We Track El Niño Today?
- in situ (on site) measurements
- Satellite sea surface temperature
- Computer models
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28Autonomous Temperature Line Acquisition System
29Tropical Ocn Global Atm
Tropical Atm-Ocn
30La Niña
- NOT tied to the Southern Oscillation
- Tradewinds get stronger
- SSTs are lowered in SE Pacific
- Normal conditions are exaggerated
- Dry areas get drier (drought)
- Wet areas get wetter (floods)
- Occurs in between El Niños
31- INDEX
- Air temperature
- Sea surface temp
- Surface winds
- Cloudiness of sky
- Sea level pressure
32El Niño AND La Niña
- Both an ocean/atmosphere phenomenon
- Both affect wind, rain, and SST
- Both occur in cycles
33More Animations
34El Niño VERSUS La Niña
- No oscillation
- Tradewinds increase
- No reverse flow
- Decreased SST
- Upwelling increased
- Fish thrive
- Dry areas get drier
- Wet areas flood
- Southern Oscillation
- Tradewinds fail
- Reverse flow of air
- Elevated SST
- Upwelling decreased
- Fish die
- Dry areas flood
- Wet areas dry up
35Lesson to be Learned
- Earth phenomena are very much interrelated
- Ocean lt----gt Atmosphere
- Bjerknes concept of teleconnections
- We must understand in order to predict
- Invest in soybean futures after an El Niño!
- No fish meal for cattle, farmers will use soy
36Were dealing with the interplay between two very
different fluids - atmosphere and ocean - in the
boundless dimensions of time and space. ...
Abnormality in one causes abnormality in the
other.... Events such as El Niños have no
definite starting point and no end. Its a matter
of where you break into the scene, and where you
leave it. Perhaps the only thing more complex is
human behavior itself.
-- Dr. Jerome Namias, Scripps Institution of
Oceanography