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Title: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar


1
Hispanic Homeownership Seminar
  • U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
  • Thursday, June 1, 2006

2

Improving Hispanic Homeownership Opportunities A
Review of the Literature Alvaro Cortes Chris
Herbert Erin Wilson Elizabeth Clay
3
Goals of the Study
  • Describe key characteristics of the Hispanic
    population and trends in Hispanic homeownership
    rates and gaps relative to whites
  • Review what is known about the determinants of
    Hispanic homeownership gaps and the principal
    barriers to increasing Hispanic homeownership
  • Identify existing efforts to promote Hispanic
    homeownership and what is known about the
    effectiveness of these efforts

4
Key Demographic Characteristics
  • Hispanics are an increasingly important source of
    demand for housing
  • Nearly 12 million Hispanic households in 2004 or
    about 10 percent of all U.S. households
  • The number of Hispanic households increased by
    more than 50 percent between 1990 and 2000
    compared to 12 percent growth for all households
  • Masnick and Di (2003) estimate that Hispanic
    households will increase by 7.5 million between
    2000 and 2010 a third of all growth and nearly
    as large as growth in white households
  • But a variety of characteristics contribute to
    lower homeownership rates for Hispanics

5
Hispanics Are Disproportionately Low Income
Source 2000 Decennial Census
6
Have Limited Wealth
Source SIPP 1999-2000
7
Low Levels of Education
Source 2000 Decennial Census
8
and Are Much Younger
Source 2000 Decennial Census
9
But Hispanics Are More Likely to Be Married with
Children
Source 2000 Decennial Census
10
Immigrants Account for Large Share of Hispanic
Households
Source 2000 Decennial Census
11
Although Most Hispanics Have Lived in the U.S.
for Many Years
Source 2000 Decennial Census
12
Great Diversity Among Hispanic Immigrants
Source 2000 Decennial Census
13
Hispanics Have Been Geographically Concentrated
Often in Higher Cost Markets But Now Are
Growing Rapidly in Other Areas
  • Slightly more than half of Hispanics live in 30
    largest metro areas compared to a third of all
    households
  • Hispanics are more than 25 of the population in
    California, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas and
    between 12.5 and 25 of the population in New
    York, New Jersey, Florida, Nevada, and Colorado
  • Growth rates have been highest in states like
    North Carolina, Georgia, and Tennessee
  • Mexicans predominate in West and Midwest, are a
    majority in the South, but only a small share in
    the Northeast

14
Hispanic Homeownership Rates Have Risen Sharply
Since 1993
Source Current Population Survey
15
But Hispanic-White Homeownership Gaps Remains
High as White Rates Also Increased
Source Current Population Survey
16
Homeownership Gaps Differ by Country of Origin
Source 2000 Decennial Census
17
And by Years in the U.S.
Source 2000 Decennial Census
18
Which is Reflected in Differences in Gaps by
Region
Source 2000 Decennial Census
19
Determinants of Hispanic-White Homeownership Gaps
  • Much less studied than Black-White Gaps
  • Studies that do not include immigration status
    generally explain about three-quarters of the
    observed gap
  • Studies including immigration status explain most
    of Hispanic-white homeownership gaps

20
Determinants of Hispanic Gaps (contd)
  • Wachter and Megbolugbe (1992) use the AHS and
    find that demographic and housing market
    variables explain three-quarters of total gap (32
    of 41 pp)
  • Lower Hispanic incomes are most important factor
    accounting for gap
  • Flippen (2001) uses data from Health and
    Retirement Survey to include wide range of
    variables about income, risk aversion, and health
  • Explain 21 pp of total gap of 27 pp
  • Hispanics income and employment are most
    important factors, followed by Hispanics location
    in high cost markets
  • But study only includes those age 51-61

21
Determinants of Hispanic Gaps (contd)
  • Gabriel and Rosenthal (2005) use SCF to examine
    importance of credit constraints
  • Only explain half of 30 pp total gap
  • Credit constraints only account for between 2 and
    5 pp of gap
  • Coulson (1999) uses CPS and includes controls for
    immigration status and finds most of gap is
    explained only 2 percentage points of total 31
    percentage point gap unexplained
  • Most important factors are immigration status,
    age, and location in high cost markets
  • Unexplained gaps are largest for Puerto Ricans (9
    pp) and Cubans (7 pp), while no unexplained gap
    among Mexicans

22
Primary Barriers to Hispanic Homeownership
  • Lack of information about homebuying and mortgage
    qualification processes
  • Particularly an issue for immigrants with limited
    English proficiency
  • Difficulty in qualifying for mortgage financing
    due to
  • Poor credit or no credit history
  • Undocumented immigrant status
  • Difficulty in documenting employment, income and
    savings
  • Housing affordability
  • Result of Hispanics concentration in high cost
    markets and the high share of households with low
    income and wealth

23
Primary Barriers (contd)
  • Some evidence of discrimination in housing and
    mortgage markets
  • Paired-testing studies of housing search
    commissioned by HUD in 1999 found decline in
    discriminatory treatment of Hispanics since 1999
  • But some evidence they are steered to Hispanic
    neighborhoods and are offered less help with
    obtaining a mortgage
  • HUD study of mortgage pre-application process
    also found evidence that Hispanics were given
    lower estimate of how much house they could
    afford, less information on range of mortgage
    products available, and were less likely to be
    given positive coaching
  • But only two markets studied and discriminatory
    treatment more evident in Chicago than Los Angeles

24
Efforts to Promote Hispanic Homeownership What
is Being Done and What Works?
  • At the Federal level there are not
    Hispanic-specific programs per se, but Hispanics
    are helped by
  • Efforts designed to assist low-income and
    low-wealth households
  • Efforts designed to assist immigrants
  • Hard to catalogue magnitude of existing
    homeownership programs since they involve a range
    of efforts by federal, state, and local
    governments, national and local non-profit
    organizations, and private sector firms
  • Very little is known about the effectiveness of
    homeownership policies generally let alone
    about efforts specifically to help Hispanics

25
What is Being Done
  • Information barriers ?
  • Homeownership and financial literacy counseling
    (HUD, many others)
  • Bilingual and culturally-sensitive service
    delivery approaches (CBOs, lenders, real estate
    agents)
  • Mortgage market barriers ?
  • Relaxed mortgage underwriting guidelines (many
    lenders)
  • Financial barriers ?
  • Downpayment and closing cost assistance (HOME,
    CDBG, NeighborWorks, FHLB, State HFAs)
  • Income subsidies (Housing Vouchers, RHS Sec. 502,
    MCC)

26

Efforts to Improve Homeownership Opportunities
for Hispanics Case Studies of Three Market Areas
Alvaro Cortes Erin Wilson Chris Herbert Pedram
Mahdavi
27
Overview
  1. Objectives of the Research
  2. Approach to Site Selection
  3. Cross-cutting findings
  4. Marketspecific findings from Orlando (FL), San
    Antonio (TX), and Washington DC

28
Primary Objectives
  1. Identify the major barriers to Hispanic
    homeownership in three local markets.
  2. Document the range of services offered by local
    providers to improve Hispanics access to
    homeownership opportunities.
  3. Understand the scale of, and demand for,
    homeownership services, as well as approaches to
    marketing and coordinating services

29
Site Selection
  • Used 2000 census data to estimated the number of
    Hispanic households who would be homeowners if
    Hispanics owned homes at the same rate as
    non-Hispanic white households.
  • Among the 25 markets, we looked for diversity in
    country of origin, share non-citizen, share of
    population, housing affordability, and size of
    homeownership gap.

30
Site Selection
31
Site Selection
  • Identified key stakeholders in each market for
    onsite interviews, including
  • Housing counselors, affordable housing
    developers, mortgage lenders and loan officers,
    and real estate agents.
  • Conducted follow-up telephone interviews as
    needed.

32
Cross-cutting Findings
  1. Common barriers (a) lack of information about
    the homebuying and mortgage qualification
    process (b) lack of affordable housing (c) lack
    of credit or poor credit histories.
  2. Homeownership is made easier with more flexible
    mortgage products and downpayment assistance
    programs, but the efficacy of these packages is
    limited by the housing market and the targeting
    of certain households.
  3. The majority of Hispanics need most (if not all)
    of the available services, but clients must
    cobbled them together from multiple providers.

33
Cross-cutting Findings
  1. Service providers operate within their preferred
    network of providers service coordination is
    fragmented across metropolitan areas.
  2. There is a strong demand for homeownership
    services among Hispanics, but the capacity to
    serve these clients is increasingly strained.

34
Market-Specific Findings Orlando
  • Puerto Ricans have access to mortgage products
    that are otherwise unavailable to undocumented
    Hispanics.
  • Migration patterns are important Financially
    stable Hispanics from the North (e.g., Boston and
    Chicago) and from Miami are moving to Orlando.
  • Neighborhood preferences limit Hispanics housing
    options.
  • Demand for services is growing tremendously
    Hispanic growth accounts for 47 percent of
    metropolitan areas overall growth.

35
Market-Specific Findings San Antonio
  • Hispanics comprise a large share of population,
    which prompts more service providers to offer
    targeted services to Hispanics.
  • Information barriers differ from one generation
    to the next first generation households distrust
    or avoid financial systems (i.e., no credit)
    second generation households are overloaded in
    debt (i.e., bad credit).
  • Undocumented households are the hardest to
    serve, and few programs/financial packages exist
    to serve this clientele.

36
Market-Specific Findings Washington DC
  • Hispanic homeownership gaps do not always narrow
    as household income increases rates increase as
    income increases, but gap fluctuate between 19
    and 28 percentage points.
  • Impact of downpayment assistance programs is
    offset by escalating housing prices.
  • Service coordination is particularly fragmented
    across metropolitan area, which is associated
    with the multiple governmental layers across
    Maryland, Virginia, and Washington DC.

37
Conclusion
  • Public and private sector interventions should be
    tailored to account for the metropolitan-level
    variations.
  • Unclear whether the scale of these efforts will
    continue to meet the demand for these services.
  • The lack of any real attention to households in
    the 80 to 120 percent of AMI group overlooks a
    large segment of Hispanics that might benefit
    from assistance to become homeowners.
  • Service providers in each of these communities
    clearly are working very hard to open
    homeownership opportunities to Hispanics.

38

Review of Selected Underwriting Guidelines to
Identify Potential Barriers to Hispanic
Homeownership Kimberly Burnett Alvaro
Cortes Chris Herbert
39
Identified Underwriting Barriers to Hispanic
Homeownership
  • Reviews of underwriting barriers by Listokin and
    Wyly (2000) and Schoenhotlz and Stanton (2001)
  • Establishing credit history
  • Documenting income and employment history
  • Verifying assets
  • Meeting citizenship or residency status
    requirements
  • Affordability

40
Methodology
  • Reviewed mortgage underwriting guidelines used by
  • Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
  • FHA
  • GMAC for subprime products
  • Conducted interviews
  • Review completed December 2004
  • Goal To understand the extent to which
    available products overcome underwriting barriers
    and identify where there is still progress to be
    made

41
Establishing Credit History
  • Barrier Many immigrants lack credit reports with
    one of the major credit repositories
  • The GSEs and FHAs standard products allow use of
    non-traditional credit reports/credit history
  • GMAC requires credit scores for subprime products
  • Traditional credit history is required for some
    products that are flexible in other respects
  • For borrowers with established but poor credit
    history
  • FHAs standard product allows the most
    flexibility among prime products
  • The GSEs have targeted products that offer
    flexibility
  • GMAC approves borrowers with low credit scores

42
Documenting Income and Employment History
  • Barrier Immigrants are more likely to be paid in
    cash, may change jobs more frequently, have gaps
    in employment, and have extended family members
    who contribute to household income
  • Employment history
  • Standard products require two years of employment
    history. Income stability, not the length of
    tenure at a particular job is the focus.
  • Written documentation is required
  • Income documentation
  • GSEs and GMAC have products that allow low/no
    income documentation, but also require high
    credit scores
  • Income from boarders is counted in FHAs standard
    product and some of the GSEs targeted products.

43
Verifying Assets
  • Barrier Borrowers who do not use banks for
    their savings can not provide bank statements to
    document that they accumulated funds used for
    downpayments over time.
  • Acceptable sources of funds to close the mortgage
    in FHAs standard product and targeted products
    offered by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are
  • Cash accumulated through savings clubs
  • Cash saved at home
  • Must be sufficiently documented.
  • Some products also allow related people living
    together to pool funds for closing costs and
    downpayments.

44
Meeting Citizenship or Residency Status
Requirements
  • Barrier Mortgage underwriting may preclude
    loans to borrowers who are not U.S. citizens.
  • U.S. citizenship is not required for mortgage
    approval for standard products by Fannie Mae,
    Freddie Mac, or FHA
  • GMAC imposes some additional requirements for
    non-permanent resident aliens.
  • But legal residence in the U.S. is required for
    mortgage approval.
  • Nationwide, a handful of pilot programs have
    tested extending mortgage credit to borrowers who
    do not have valid Social Security numbers, but
    their viability is uncertain.

45
Affordability
  • Barrier Hispanics are disproportionately in
    low-income and low-wealth households.
  • Products targeted to low- and moderate-income
    households help to address this barrier
  • Low-downpayment products
  • Some require relatively high credit scores
  • Come at the expense of mortgage insurance
    payments
  • Subprime low-downpayment products typically carry
    higher interest rates
  • Higher total debt-to-income ratio allowed
  • Higher housing expense-to-income ratio allowed
  • Low or no financial reserves required for some
    products

46
Remaining Barriers
  • Legal residency
  • Lack of acceptability of cash income
  • Availability of Spanish-language homebuyer
    education and counseling
  • Special products that address key barriers may
    not be widely available
  • Flexibilities from subprime lenders come at the
    cost of higher interest rates

47

Language, Agglomeration, and Hispanic
Homeownership Don Haurin and Stuart Rosenthal
48
Motivation
  • As of the fourth quarter of 2005
  • 76 percent of white non-Hispanic families owned
    homes
  • 50 percent of Hispanic families owned homes
  • Why?
  • Differences in socio-economics between white
    non-Hispanic and Hispanic families
  • We control for these factors, but this is not the
    focus of the present study
  • Low homeownership rates in Hispanic communities
    create self-reinforcing effects that further
    restrict homeownership
  • This is the primary focus of this study

49
Motivation
  • Proximity to other homeowners facilitates access
    to information about how to become a homeowner
  • Neighbors may learn from each other
  • Local lenders are more likely to provide services
    demanded by homeowners when there are sufficient
    numbers of homeowners nearby
  • Proximity to other homeowners may affect
    preferences, encouraging other families to become
    homeowners

50
Motivation
  • Low homeownership rates in Hispanic communities
    create self-reinforcing effects that further
    restrict homeownership
  • These effects are especially likely if nearby
    homeowners belong to a given familys social
    network
  • These effects are also likely to be especially
    sensitive to whether nearby homeowners speak
    English

51
Empirical Strategy
  • We investigate these issues using household-level
    data from the 2000 Decennial Census
  • We observe the MSA and PUMA in which a family
    resides in 2000
  • We also observe the MSA and PUMA in which the
    family previously resided in 1995
  • The data also provide information on the
    households attributes and homeownership status
    in 2000

52
Empirical Strategy
  • PRIMARY EMPIRICAL GOALS
  • Evaluate the degree to which the presence of
    homeowners in the familys 1995 place of
    residence affect the familys propensity to own a
    home in the year 2000
  • We pay special attention to the effect of nearby
    Hispanic homeowners of different English speaking
    ability on the propensity of Hispanic families to
    own a home

53
Empirical Strategy
  • We control for the presence of four types of
    homeowners in the 1995 place of residence
  • Homeowners of the familys own ethnicity/race who
    are
  • Weak English-speaking
  • Not weak English-speaking
  • Homeowners not of the familys own ethnicity/race
    who are
  • Weak English-speaking
  • Not weak English-speaking
  • We create these measures for Hispanic families
    and also families of other race/ethnicity

54
Empirical Strategy
  • We also control for many year-2000
    family-specific attributes
  • Total family annual income, Investment income,
    Welfare income, and their squares
  • Age of the Head and its square
  • Ethnicity and race of the Head
  • Whether the Head is married
  • Whether children under 18 are present
  • Education of the Head
  • Number of years the head has been in the U.S.
  • Heads English-speaking ability
  • MSA of residence in 2000 through MSA fixed effects

55
Empirical Strategy
  • 1995 Presence of Homeowners
  • Measured at the PUMA level
  • Full 5 sample of the IPUMS is used
  • Sampling weights are used to ensure
    representative measures
  • Estimating Sample
  • Restricted to just those families that moved out
    of state between 1995 and 2000.
  • This helps to ensure that the estimated influence
    of proximity to existing homeowners is indicative
    of causal effects

56
Key Findings
  • Standard control variables perform as expected
  • For example, earned and investment income
    elevates propensity for homeownership
  • Years in the U.S. increases the propensity to own
    a home
  • English-speaking ability increases the propensity
    to own a home
  • These patterns largely hold for all households,
    Hispanic and non-Hispanic (See Tables 3 and 4)

57
Key Findings
Table 5 Probability of Homeownership Proximity
to Homeowners in 1995 (t-ratios clustered by the
1995 U.S. place of residence)a,b
Hispanic Households Hispanic Households Hispanic Households
1995 household heads who are homeowners and who are Full Sample Speak Only English Do Not Speak Only English
Own ethnicity/race and WEAK English Ability 2.4694 2.7853 2.4493
Own ethnicity/race and WEAK English Ability (4.66) (2.13) (4.14)
Own ethnicity/race and STRONG English Ability 0.0613 0.1065 0.0468
Own ethnicity/race and STRONG English Ability (1.73) (1.54) (1.30)
NOT own ethnicity/race and WEAK English Ability -0.0570 -0.0091 -0.0715
NOT own ethnicity/race and WEAK English Ability (-0.46) (-0.03) (-0.50)
NOT own ethnicity/race and STRONG English Ability 0.0110 0.0528 0.0248
NOT own ethnicity/race and STRONG English Ability (0.13) (0.35) (0.26)
Observations 10,278 2,761 7,517
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics
58
Key Findings
Table 5 Probability of Homeownership Proximity
to Homeowners in 1995 (t-ratios clustered by the
1995 U.S. place of residence)a,b
Hispanic Households Hispanic Households Hispanic Households
1995 household heads who are homeowners and who are Full Sample Speak Only English Do Not Speak Only English
Own ethnicity/race and WEAK English Ability 2.4694 2.7853 2.4493
Own ethnicity/race and WEAK English Ability (4.66) (2.13) (4.14)
Own ethnicity/race and STRONG English Ability 0.0613 0.1065 0.0468
Own ethnicity/race and STRONG English Ability (1.73) (1.54) (1.30)
NOT own ethnicity/race and WEAK English Ability -0.0570 -0.0091 -0.0715
NOT own ethnicity/race and WEAK English Ability (-0.46) (-0.03) (-0.50)
NOT own ethnicity/race and STRONG English Ability 0.0110 0.0528 0.0248
NOT own ethnicity/race and STRONG English Ability (0.13) (0.35) (0.26)
Observations 10,278 2,761 7,517
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics
59
Key Findings
  • Adding 1 percentage point more weak
    English-speaking Hispanic homeowners to the
    population in the 1995 place of residence
  • Strongly increases the propensity of Hispanic
    families to own a home regardless of the own
    ability to speak English
  • 2.78 percentage point effect on Hispanic families
    that only speak English
  • 2.45 percentage point effect on other Hispanic
    families
  • Marginal effects of proximity to strong
    English-speaking homeowners in 1995 are much
    smaller

60
Key Findings
  • What generates this result?
  • The importance of proximity to weak as opposed to
    strong English-speaking homeowners is
  • Not likely to be endogenous
  • Families eager to own are unlikely to seek
    opportunities to live near weak English-speaking
    homeowners
  • Instead

61
Key Findings
  • Two mechanisms seem especially likely to account
    for our results
  • The presence of weak English-speaking Hispanic
    homeowners could signal the presence of local
    programs/services that facilitate homeownership
    among Hispanic families
  • Consistent with Waldfogel (2003) and George and
    Waldfogel (2003)
  • Weak English-speaking homeowners may also provide
    role models and thereby encourage homeownership
    among other Hispanic families
  • Consistent with Evans, Oates, and Schwab (1992)
  • We cannot distinguish between these two mechanisms

62
Key Findings
  • Important to also note that
  • There are many more Hispanic homeowners with
    strong as opposed to weak English-speaking
    ability
  • This causes the total spillover effects from 1995
    proximity to these groups to be about the same
  • On average, the total impact of proximity to
    Hispanic homeowners in 1995 is to raise the
    year-2000 Hispanic propensity to own
  • By 2.22 percentage points for the 1995 presence
    of weak English-speakers
  • By 2.52 percentage points for the 1995 presence
    of strong English-speakers

63
Policy Implications
  • At the margin
  • Promoting homeownership among Hispanic families
    will likely have two important effects
  • Elevate homeownership among program participants
  • Generate spillover effects throughout the
    Hispanic community that further encourage
    homeownership
  • This latter effect has been the focus of this
    study
  • These spillovers effects are likely to be
    especially strong when programs target weak
    rather than strong English-speaking families
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