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Hazard Evaluation and Risk Assessment

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Title: Hazard Evaluation and Risk Assessment


1
Hazard Evaluation and Risk Assessment
  • Session 2
  • Laboratory Safety Training

2
What is Risk?
  • The potential for realization of unwanted,
    adverse consequences to human life, health,
    property, or the environment estimation of risk
    is usually based on the expected value of the
    conditional probability of the event occurring
    times the consequence of the event given that it
    has occurred.

3
Risk analysis
  • A detailed examination including risk assessment,
    risk evaluation, and risk management
    alternatives, performed to understand the nature
    of unwanted, negative consequences to human life,
    health, property, or the environment an
    analytical process to provide information
    regarding undesirable events the process of
    quantification of the probabilities and expected
    consequences for identified risks.

4
Risk assessment
  • The process of establishing information regarding
    acceptable levels of a risk and/or levels of risk
    for an individual, group, society, or the
    environment.

5
Risk estimation
  • The scientific determination of the
    characteristics of risks, usually in as
    quantitative a way as possible. These include the
    magnitude, spatial scale, duration and intensity
    of adverse consequences and their associated
    probabilities as well as a description of the
    cause and effect links

6
Risk evaluation
  • A component of risk assessment in which judgments
    are made about the significance and acceptability
    of risk

7
Risk identification
  • Recognizing that a hazard exists and trying to
    define its characteristics. Often risks exist and
    are even measured for some time before their
    adverse consequences are recognized. In other
    cases, risk identification is a deliberate
    procedure to review, and it is hoped, anticipate
    possible hazards.

8
Safety
  • Relative protection from adverse consequences.

9
Hazard
  • A condition or physical situation with a
    potential for an undesirable consequence, such as
    harm to life or limb.

10
Hazard assessment
  • An analysis and evaluation of the physical,
    chemical and biological properties of the hazard.

11
New of culture of Chemical Safety
  • Public opinion of chemicals has changed over the
    last 25 years.
  • Love Canal 1977.
  • Designation of Superfund Sites.
  • Community Right to Know laws.
  • Cradletograve management of wastes

12
Culture of chemical safety cont.
  • On Dec. 3, 1984, a Union Carbide industrial plant
    in Bhopal, India, released a deadly cloud of the
    gas methyl isocyanate into the air, killing at
    least 6,500 people.
  • OSHAs Process Safety Management

13
Annual Risk of Death in the US
  • Hazard Number of deaths/million persons
  • All Causes 9,000.0
  • Motor Vehicle Accidents 210.0
  • Work Accidents 150.0
  • Homicides 93.0
  • Drowning 37.0
  • Poisonings 17.0
  • Boating 0.6
  • Tornadoes 0.4
  • Bites and Stings 0.2

14
Annual Risk of Death in the US
  • Hazard Number of deaths/million persons
  • Motor Vehicle Accidents 210.0
  • Work Accidents 150.0
  • Homicides 93.0
  • Drowning 37.0
  • Poisonings 17.0
  • Boating 0.6
  • Tornadoes 0.4
  • Bites and Stings 0.2

15
RISK COMPARISONS FOR INVOLUNTARY RISKS
  • Risk Risk of Death / Person / Year
  • Influenza 1 in 5000
  • Leukemia 1 in 12,500
  • Struck by Automobile 1 in 20,000
  • Floods 1 in 455,000
  • Tornadoes (Midwest) 1 in 455,000
  • Earthquakes (California) 1 in 588,000
  • Nuclear Power Plant 1 in 10 million
  • Meteorite 1 in 100 billion

16
CONCEPT OF DE MINIMIS RISK
  • De minimis risks are those risks judged to be too
    small to be of social concern, or too small to
    justify the use of risk management resources for
    control.
  • The De minimis risk level frequently used by
    government agencies (EPA, FDA) is 1 in 1,000,000
    or 1 in a million increased risk of an adverse
    effect occurring over a 70 year lifetime in a
    large population.

17
CONCEPT OF DE MINIMIS RISK
  • The 1 in a million risk level used to regulate
    some chemicals and other hazards is many times
    below risks which people face every day.

18
Reality check
  • There is no point in getting into a panic about
    the risks of life until you have compared the
    risks which worry you with those that dont, but
    perhaps should. (Lord Rothschild, The Wall
    Street Journal, 1979).

19
RISKS THAT INCREASE PROBABILITY OF DEATH BY ONE
IN A MILLION
  • Activity Cause of Death
  • Smoking 1.4 Cigarettes Cancer, Heart Disease
  • Traveling 10 miles by Bicycle Accident
  • Traveling 300 miles by Car Accident
  • Flying 1000 miles by Jet Accident
  • One Chest X-Ray Cancer from Radiation
  • Living 150 years within Cancer from Radiation 20
    miles of a Nuclear Power Plant
  • Risk of Accident by Living Cancer from
    Radiation within 5 Miles of a Nuclear
  • Reactor for 50 yrs

20
Principal Elements of Risk Assessment
  • Anticipation
  • Recognition
  • Evaluation

21
Risk Assessment vs. Risk Management
  • Anticipation, Recognition and Evaluation are Risk
    Assessment
  • Control is Risk Management

22
Risk is an Equal Functionof Toxicity and Exposure
  • Paracelsus Understood Risk Assessment
  • Risk Toxicity X Dose
  • Exposure Dose
  • Risk Toxicity X Dose

23
Ensuring Safe Laboratories
  • These thought processes must occur prior to
    conducting all laboratory research.
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