World Illiteracy

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Mobilizing to Attract Skilled Workers to High
Tech Manufacturing Edward E. Gordon
More Better Preventing a Workforce Meltdown
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(No Transcript)
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What?
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Economic Development Merging with Workforce
Development
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Flash Gordons Time Machine
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Why?
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Demographics Technology Globalization
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World Demographics
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U.S. Workforce between 2010 2025

• Baby Boomers - 79 million Americans born
  1946-64 retire
• Generation X - 40 million Americans born
  1965-77 - Less job ready than baby
  boomers
• Generation Y - 70 million Americans born
  1977-95 - Less job ready than prior
  generations

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Technology ResultsUnskilled Jobs Are
Disappearing
Source Center for Economic Development,
Carnegie-Mellon, 2003
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U.S. Jobs Shifts 2000-2020(In Millions)

• Job Categories 2000 2010 2020
• Professionals/Executives 44 52
  60
• Sales, Technical 42 50 60
• Tech Support/ Skilled Craft 22 29
  43
• Low End Service 20 25 27
• Other Low Skill Jobs 24 21 17

Source U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2005
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U.S. Talent Challenge

• 2010-2020 Jobs vs. Todays
  Workforce
• 75 High Pay 25 of Workers
• Require Career Prepared
  for
• Prep. Career-Based Jobs
• 25 Low-Pay 75 of Workers
• (10-12 hr.)
  Prepared for
• Low-Skill Jobs Nothing

Source Edward E. Gordon, 2010
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The System
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The System isbroken
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Who?
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National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP)

• 2005 Reading Achievement Scores
• (1) (2) (3)
  (4)
• Below
• Levels Basic Basic Proficient Advanced
• U.S. 29 39 29 3
• (Below Basic Basic 68)

Source National Center for Education Statistics,
2007
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National Adult Literacy Assessments1993/2003
Prose Results Compared

• Adult Pop. 2003
• Categories 93/03 Total 222 Million
  
• I. Below Basic 14/14 31M
• II. Basic 28/29 64M (95M)
• III. Intermediate 43/44 98M
• (Moderately Challenging)
• IV. Proficient 15/13 29M

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U.S. Labor MarketJob Growth 2004-2014
Category New Replace-ment of Total Total
All Jobs 18.9M 35.8M 65 54.7M
Nurses 1.2M 703K 41 1.2M
Assemblers, Fabricators 78K 538K 87 616K
Metal Workers 0 562K 100 562K
Machinists 16K 86K 84 102K
Welders 19K 121K 86 140K
Source Daniel E. Hecker, Monthly Labor Review,
2005
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U.S. Labor MarketTalent Shortages 2010-2020

• Category Shortfall
• All Jobs 3M-6.1M
• Nurses 340K-1M
• Engineers 150K-250K
• Assemblers, Fabricators 100K-200K
• Metal Workers 100K-200K
• Machinists 150K-250K
• Welders 50K-80K

Sources Bureau of Labor Statistics
Professional Associations
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Manufacturing as Percent of Total Employment
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United States Manufacturing 2005

• 1 in Value of Manufactured Products
• (Double Chinas)
• 61 of U.S. Exports

Source Economist Intelligence Unit
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Metal Manufacturing Leading Concerns
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10 Hardest-To-Fill Jobs in the U.S.

1. Sales Representative
2. Teacher
3. Mechanic
4. Technician
5. Management/Executive
6. Truck Driver
7. Driver/Delivery
8. Accountant
9. Laborer
10. Machine Operator

Source Manpower, 2007
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Small BusinessUnfilled Positions Near Record
High

• Businesses Hiring or
• Attempting to Hire 50
• Reporting Few or
• Unqualified Applicants 80
• Firms with One or More
• Unfilled Positions 31
• Source National Federation of Independent
  Businesses (NIFB), April 2006

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U.S. Jobs Unfilled

• 2003-2007
• 1,000,000
• Average 4.2M Vacancies

Source U.S. Department of Labor
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• There is a supply problem in
• our labor markets.
• - William Dunkelberg, Chief Economist
• National Federation of Independent
• Businesses

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Increases in Wages 2007

• United States 4.5
• India/China 20

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When?
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2008
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Annual Growth Rates ofU.S. Labor Force 1950-2030
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Where?
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U.S. State GDP Size Comparisons
Chicago Tribune analysis of U.S. Dept. of
Commerce IMF data
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GDP Comparisons (in trillions 2006)
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2010-2020 A Decade of Opportunity
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10 Hardest-To-Fill Jobs Worldwide

1. Sales Representative
2. Skilled Manual Trade Worker
3. Technician
4. Engineer
5. Accounting Finance Staff
6. Laborer
7. Production Operator
8. Driver
9. Management/Executive
10. Machinist/Operator

Source 2007 Manpower Inc, Annual Talent Survey
Shortage
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Source Federal Statistical Office
of Germany
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Top 10 U.S. States in Number of Jobs at
Foreign-Owned Companies

1. California 561,000
2. New York 382,600
3. Texas 339,300
4. Illinois 254,900
5. Florida 248,900
6. Pennsylvania 227,700
7. New Jersey 223,200
8. Ohio 208,600
9. Michigan 205,000
10. North Carolina 204,600

Source U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of
Economic Analysis
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How?
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21st Century U.S. Apprenticeship (2003)

• 850 Occupations
• 70-75 Skilled Trades
• 15-20 Industrial/Manufacturing
• 29,326 Registered Programs
• 480,000 Apprentices
• 28,768 Graduates (2003)

Source U. S. Department of Labor
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Advanced Manufacturing Apprenticeships

• National Institute for Metalworking Skills, Inc.
• (NIMS)
• Registered Apprenticeship Model

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Career Culture Change
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Human Ability Areas

1. Linguistics
2. Logical-Mathematical
3. Spatial
4. Musical
5. Bodily Fine-Gross Motor
6. Interpersonal
7. Intrapersonal

Source Robert J. Sternberg, 1996
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Non-Governmental Organizations

• (NGOs)

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Q. What is a NGO? A. An intermediary
agency that builds a network.

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U.S. NGOs

• Fargo, North Dakota
• Santa Ana, California
• Mansfield, Ohio
• Mt. Airy, North Carolina
• Duluth, Minnesota
• Jacksonville, Florida

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Chicago

• ? Jobs for Youth
• Contact Robert Barnett
• ? The Tutor-Mentor Connection
• Contact Dan Bassill

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The 2010 Solution
Business
Educators
Labor
Parents Students
Government
NGO Intermediary Agency
Liberal Arts Education Career Prep.
Incumbent Worker Lifelong Learning
Employment High Wage/High Skill Economy Expands
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(No Transcript)
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More Better Preventing a Workforce
MeltdownFor more information, go
towww.imperialcorp.comor contact

• Dr. Edward E. Gordon imperialcorp_at_juno.com
• 312-664-5196