Title: Organizing the hospital for high volume
1Rapid Assessment of Avoidable Blindness (RAAB
5) Dr. Hans Limburg
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2What is RAAB 5?
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3What is RAAB?
- Rapid Assessment of Avoidable Blindness
- Population-based survey on blindness and visual
impairment
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4Why do we need surveys?
- Baseline data for planning
- Follow-up data to monitor progress of ongoing
blindness intervention
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5Population based surveys
- Conventional population based blindness surveys
expensive - Conventional blindness surveys give national or
province level data - If used in large populations (gt50 million) less
useful for district planning
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6Causes of blindness incl. URE
37 million blind
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Foster A. et al. Changing patterns in global
blindness. Community Eye Health Journal.
20082137-39
7What is the aim of RAAB?
- provide baseline indicators for planning and
monitoring over time - sound epidemiological methodology
- simple, cheap and quick procedure
- basic ophthalmic examination
- carried out by local staff
- used again after 8-12 years to measure how much
has changed (interventions!) - At district level (ideally 0.5-5 million pop.)
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8Indicators used
- prevalence of all blindness, severe visual
impairment (SVI) and moderate visual impairment
(MVI) - main causes of blindness, SVI and VI
- prevalence of cataract blindness
- prevalence of (pseudo)aphakia
- Cataract Surgical Coverage
- prevalence of low vision
- visual outcome after cataract surgery
- cause of poor visual outcome
- barriers to cataract surgery
- prevalence of diabetic retinopathy (optional)
- uncorrected refractive error
- age at time of surgery, place of surgery, type of
surgery, costs, cause of poor outcome
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9Why is it Rapid?
- Restrict to people aged 50
- High prevalence ? low sample size
- Standard methodology
- Enumeration and examination in one visit
- Basic eye examination
- Special software
- Calculate sample size
- Random selection of clusters
- Inter-observer variation assessment
- Simple data entry
- In-built error checks
- Automatic data analysis comparable results
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10Focus on people 50
- 85 of all blindness in people 50
- Nearly all cataracts in people 50
- Prevalence high in people 50, hence sample size
can be small - Elderly people often not far away from the house
- Generally good cooperation
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11The Gambia Blindness by age(Faal H, Minassian
DC, Dolin PJ, et al. Evaluation of a national eye
careprogramme re-survey after 10 years. Br J
Ophthalmol. 200084948951)
85 of blindness in people aged 50
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12The Gambia Causes of blindness
Dineen B, Foster A, Faal H.A Proposed Rapid
Methodology to Assess the Prevalence and Causes
of Blindness and Visual Impairment. Ophthalmic
Epidemiology. 20061331-34 Causes in people 50
reflect causes in total population
Cause of blindness Total population Population 50
Cataract 46 48
Aphakia 13 15
Trachoma/CO 22 17
Glaucoma 9 11
Other 11 9
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13Sample size calculation (Madan Mohan, Survey of
Blindness India. Summary results, New Delhi
1989)
Sample size increased 70 to gain 5 more cases
Age group Population (million) Prevalence blindness No. blind Sample size
40-49 50-59 60-69 70 70.9 48.8 29.6 13.7 0.3 2.0 5.9 10.4 222,000 952,000 1,767,000 1,290,000
Total 40 Total 50 163.3 92.3 2.6 4.3 4,231,000 4,010,000 5,733 3,371
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14RA versus conventional Survey
- Blindness survey
- Focus gt1 risk group
- lower prevalence
- Sample size gt15,000
- Detailed examination
- Disease intervention
- Expert staff
- Large survey population (10-100 mln.)
- Custom data analysis
- Takes long (years)
- Expensive (0.5-10 mln)
- Rapid assessment
- Focus on 1 risk group
- higher prevalence
- Sample size 2500-5000
- Basic examination
- Planning and follow-up
- Local staff
- Smaller survey population (0.5-5 mln.)
- Automatic data analysis
- Rapid (months)
- Cheap (20-40,000 US)
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15Avoidable blindness
- Main causes
- Cataract
- Trachoma
- Onchocerciasis
- Childhood blindness
- Refractive errors and low vision
- Glaucoma
- Diabetic retinopathy
- ARMD
- Population at risk
- People 50
- Special surveys
- Special surveys
- Special surveys
- Children and people 40-50
- Mainly people 50
- Mainly people 50
- People 50
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16Where surveys were done
RAAB
RACSS
Custom survey
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17History
- 1994 District Rapid Assessments developed in
India decentralised eye care services - 2000 Modified into Rapid Assessment of Cataract
Surgical Services (RACSS) for WHO - 2005 Modified to Rapid Assessment of Avoidable
Blindness (RAAB) with focus on VISION 2020
district level planning - 2013 RAAB 5 with reports on URE and optional DR
module
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18Where to conduct RAAB?
- Total population ideally 0.5 - 5 million
- Management structure for eye care
- Population composition by gender and by 5-year
age groups available - Population by sub-unit (enumeration area,
village, town, neighbourhood, polling station,
etc.) available - Detailed maps available
- Entire area is accessible for survey teams
- No problems with security
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19Sampling
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20Sampling methods
- Simple Random Sampling
- Same chance of selection for every individual
- List of all individuals aged 50 in survey area
- Too much traveling
- Cluster Random sampling
- Same chance of selection for every group of
people (cluster) - List of all population units in survey area
- Less traveling
- Within cluster people share similar conditions,
leading to less variation in results. To correct
that loss of variation, a correction factor has
to be applied Design Effect (DEFF)
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21Simple random sampling
- Principle
- Equal chance for each unit (person 50) to be
selected - Procedure
- Make a list of all people aged 50 in the survey
area and number them - Randomly select individuals aged 50
- No stratification possible (e.g. male/female,
urban/rural, etc.)
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22How can we choose persons aged 50 in this
district through simple random sampling?
Population list may not be available
People scattered inefficient!
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23Cluster sampling
- Principle
- Equal chance for each cluster to be selected
- Procedure
- Make list (sampling frame) of smallest
population units (census enumeration units,
election rolls, GP practices, etc.) - Randomly select population units
- In selected population unit, 50 residents aged
50 are selected at random for examination
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24Multi-stage sampling of clusters
3
2
1
Do not need population list
People together efficient!
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25Sampling villages from a list
Village A B C D E F G H I J Pop size 1,600 200 3,200 400 800 200 1,200 200 1,600 600
Total population 10,000 Total population 10,000 Total population 10,000
With random sampling the small villages will be
over-represented
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26Cluster sampling
Compute cumulative population
Village A B C D E F G H I J Pop size 1,600 200 3,200 400 800 200 1,200 200 1,600 600 Cumulative 1,600 1,800 5,000 5,400 6,200 6,400 7,600 7,800 9,400 10,000
Total population 10,000 Total population 10,000 Total population 10,000
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27Cluster sampling
- Example
- Total cumulative population 10,000
- Need to sample 20 clusters of 50 people
- Sampling interval 10,000/20 500
- Select random number between 1 and 500
- say 300
- Start with village containing individual 300 and
select 50 people from that village - Next cluster to select
- starting point sampling interval
- 300 500 800
- Write down 20 clusters to be chosen
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28Cluster sampling
Village A B C D E F G H I J Pop size 1,600 200 3,200 400 800 200 1,200 200 1,600 600 Cumulative 1,600 1,800 5,000 5,400 6,200 6,400 7,600 7,800 9,400 10,000
Clusters 1,2,3 4 5,6,7,8,9,10 11 12 13 14,15 16 17,18,19 20
1 - 300 2 - 800 3 - 1,300 4 - 1,800 5 - 2,300 6 - 2,800 7 - 3,300 8 - 3,800 9 - 4,300 10- 4,800 11 - 5,300 12 - 5,800 13 - 6,300 14 - 6,800 15 - 7,300 16 - 7,800 17 - 8,300 18 - 8,800 19 - 9,300 20 - 9,800
Sampling with probability proportionate to size
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29Cluster sampling
- Requires a sampling frame of very recent
population data - Preferably census data (detailed maps)
- Alternatives, e.g. electoral role, list of GP
practices. - Table with composition of population in survey
area by 5-year age group and gender
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30Calculate sample size (S)
- For Simple random sampling
- Estimated prevalence of condition (P)
- Blindness (VAlt3/60) e.g. 4
- Acceptable variation around estimate (D)
- Typically 20 of P e.g. 3.2 - 4.8
- Confidence in estimate (Z)
- Typically 95
- Non-compliance (absence, refusals)
- e.g. lt10
- Sinfinite population ZZ(P(1-P))/DD
- Sfinite population Sinf./(1(Sinf./population))
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31Sample size cluster sampling
- Sample size is determined also by size of
clusters and variance between and within clusters
Design Effect (DEFF) - Cluster size 40 gt DEFF 1.4
- Cluster size 50 gt DEFF 1.5
- Cluster size 60 gt DEFF 1.6
- Multiply sample size for SRS with DEFF
- DEFF is close to 1.0 when condition is evenly
spread in community and 2.0 or higher when it
clusters in families or geographical areas
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32Calculate sample size
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33Sampling frame
- - census enumeration areas with population, or
- - list of settlements with population, or
- other list of geographic distribution of total
population - format Excel 97/2003
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34Random selection of clusters with probability
proportional to size of population in RAAB
software
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35Enumeration areas
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3738 of 102
38Google Earth!
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39How to select the required number of people aged
50 in the population unit
- 1. Random walk
- 2. Compact segment sampling
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40Start at centre of cluster area
Select direction by spinning a bottle
At every crossing, select direction by spinning
bottle
Continue until you have examined the required
number in the cluster
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41Compact segment sampling
- Divide total population in cluster area in equal
segments with each enough population to provide
required number of eligible people (aged 50) - Population in segment
- Cluster size / population 50 (e.g. 50 / 21.1
237) - Number of segments
- Population area / population in segment (1482 /
237 6.3) - e.g. for Sierra Leone
- Cluster size / population 50 (50 / 10 500)
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42Total population 1482
21.1 of population is aged 50
50 / 0.211 237 on average, 50 people aged 50
in every 240 people
2
divide area in 6 segments of around 240 people
3
1
6
4
5
Select one segment at random and examine all
houses until you have completed 50 people aged
50
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43Compact segment sampling
- Advantages
- Less bias, because
- No subjective decisions to be taken by staff on
which direction to continue - All households in selected segment are visited
- Higher compliance
- All people aged 50 or higher are sure to be
visited - Less people have to stay home for examination
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44Compact segment sampling
- Advance team
- will visit selected cluster area 3-5 days before
survey team - will divide the population unit in equal segments
on the census map - if no map is available, they will make a sketch
map of the population unit and divide this in
segments of similar size - will locate next nearest population unit in case
original unit has not enough eligible people - will contact local leaders to announce purpose
and date of survey - will contact local health worker/social worker to
ensure they accompany the survey team
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45Multistage sampling
- Select population area by systematic sampling
from sampling frame - census enumeration areas with population, or
- list of settlements with population, or
- other list of geographic distribution of total
population - Sub-divide selected population unit in segments
with equal population, enough to provide required
number of people aged 50 - Randomly select one segment
- Visit all houses in selected segment
- Examine all eligible people in these houses,
until required number has been examined
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50Examination pocedure
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51Examination procedures
- Measure VA with tumbling E-chart and with
available correction and pinhole correction - Assess lens status in each eye with distant
direct ophthalmoscopy and/or portable slitlamp - If VAlt6/18 and not due to cataract, corneal scar
or refractive error, then dilate pupil and
examine with direct ophthalmoscope and/or
slitlamp - Assess main cause of VAlt6/18 in each eye and for
the person - Poor vision due to cataract ask for barriers
- If operated for cataract ask details of surgery
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52Definitions (WHO)
- Blindness
- VA lt3/60 with available correction in the better
eye or visual field of 10 degrees or less around
visual axis - Severe visual impairment
- VA lt6/60 3/60 with available correction in the
better eye or visual field of 20 degrees or less,
but more than 10 degrees - Moderate visual impairment
- VA lt6/18 6/60 with available correction in the
better eye or visual field of 30 degrees or less,
but more than 20 degrees
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53Survey form
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54Equipment needed per team
- 1 direct ophthalmoscope (spare batteries)
- 1 portable slit lamp and mydriatic (optional)
- 1 pinhole, preferable with multiple holes
- 1 torch with spare batteries
- 2 E charts (see attachment for sizes)
- 2 pencils with eraser and sharpener
- 1 rope-measure for 6 and 3 meter
- 1 clipboard to hold the forms
- as many survey forms as cluster size
- map of population unit divided in segments
- referral slips and basic drugs for treatment
- identity card
- shoulder bag to carry all materials
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55Comparing findings of RAAB in 2005 and the 2010
study on posterior segment eye diseases
(Mathenge W, Bastawrous A, Foster A, Kuper H.
The Nakuru Posterior Segment Eye Disease Study -
Methods and Prevalence of Blindness and Visual
Impairment in Nakuru, Kenya. Ophthalmology
201211920332039)Conclusions This survey
provides reliable estimates of blindness and VI
prevalence in Nakuru.... This survey validates
the use of RAAB as a method of estimating
blindness and VI prevalence.It is also strongly
suggestive that the RAAB methodology being used
throughout Africa and worldwide is a robust and
reliable methodology.
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57Inter-observer variation
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58Inter-observer variation
- Before the teams start the actual field work it
has to be checked whether they can make an
adequate diagnosis - Each team examines 50 people
- The teams should not know the findings of the
other teams - Findings of most experienced team are considered
correct - Findings of other teams are compared with those
of most experienced team (Gold Standard) - Agreement is measured by Kappa statistic.
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59Inter-observer variation
Each team examines 40-50 people aged 50, e.g.
patients and their company from the outpatient
department
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60Inter-observer variation
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63Report on inter-observer variation
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64Field work
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72Data entry
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74Cleaning of data
- During data entry
- In case of missing or inconsistent entry
- field turns red
- when curser is placed on a red field, a message
appears indicating the error - when saving this record the same message appears.
- Checking all survey and IOV records
- Enter data immediately after a cluster was
completed and use the menu Reports Consistency
check to check consistency of all records
entered so far - Print out errors and ask team leader to correct
- Validation of double data entry
- Enter all records twice by different operators.
- Compare data files. File is considered clean if
there are no differences
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75Consistency checks
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76Consistency checks
- Enter survey records immediately after the teams
return from the field and run the consistency
check. - In case of any errors, the field staff may still
remember the patient and the error can be
corrected. - Fragment from consistency report.
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77Validate double data entry
- Survey records are entered by two different data
entry operators - Use Records Validation through double data
entry menu to compare survey data files - When completed, both data files are compared by
linking the patient ID - When all records are exactly the same, both
records are considered to be entered correctly - When records differ, both records have to be
compared with the survey form and be corrected. - Run validate again until both data files show no
differences.
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78Data analysis
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79Data analysis
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80Survey Design
persons of all ages in survey area
21,000
persons 50
3,000
persons 50 with operable cataract or
(pseudo)aphakia
100
Blind SVI MVI male female
50
50
(pseudo)aphakia
cataract
Cataract Surgical Coverage
Outcome
Barriers
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81Prevalence reports
- Sample prevalence
- Prevalence as calculated from findings in the
survey - Age and sex adjusted prevalence
- Compare age and sex composition of sample with
actual population in the survey area. - Population file gives population by sex and
5-year age group in survey area. - If different, prevalence is adjusted by software
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85Cataract Surgical Coverage
- Objective
- - coverage indicator
- - measure accessibility utilisation of
services - - measures actual field situation
- - independent of reporting system
- CSC eyes
-
- Where a no. (pseudo)aphakic eyes
- b no. eyes with operable cataract
- CSC persons
- Where x persons with bilateral
(pseudo)aphakia - y persons with 1 (ps)aphakic and 1 operable
cataract eye - z persons with bilateral operable cataract
a a b
x y x y z
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86Age and sex adjusted prevalence
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87Barriers to cataract surgery
- Ask open question
- Why have you not been operated yet?
- List of pre-defined barriers
- Interviewer selects 1-2 barriers from list that
reflect best the patients reply - Analysis of barriers by
- Males, females
- Bilateral and unilateral blindness and SVI due to
cataract (VAlt3/60 VAlt6/60)
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88Barriers
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89Barriers to cataract surgery
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90Visual outcome after cataract surgery
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91Long-term visual outcome after cataract surgery
- with IOL non-IOL
- with available correction best corrected or
pinhole vision - during last 3 years 4-6 years gt6 years
- outcome by place of surgery
- major causes of poor outcome
- age at time of surgery
- type of surgery by sex
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92WHO guidelines on Visual Outcome of Cataract
Surgery
WHO Working Group - 1998 - Informal consultation
on analysis of prevention of blindness
outcomes. Geneva, 1998. WHO/PBL/98.68
Post-operative acuity Available correction Best correction
Good 6/18 gt80 gt90
Borderline lt6/18 6/60 lt15 lt5
Poor lt6/60 lt5 lt5
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93Best corrected vision after 1 year in clinical
trials
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94Average visual outcome in population based
studies
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95Visual outcome after cataract surgery in
population based surveys.Please note variation
in
- Post-operative period varies from weeks to
decades - Quality of surgical facilities (basic to
excellent) - Experience and skills of surgeons (couchers)
- Supply and replacement of spectacles
- Initial good outcome may go down due to other eye
disorders, reducing vision with age - Outcome data from surveys may not do justice to
recent advancements in IOL surgery, but may very
well reflect what the public sees and what
determines their expectations and trust to regain
sight after surgery
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96Also . . . .
- Good outcome will motivate other patients to come
forward for surgery - Poor outcome will deter other cases
- In most surveys fear of losing sight was major
reason not to come for surgery - When causes of poor outcome are known, it will be
possible to address these causes and thereby
improve results of cataract surgery
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98Service indicators
- Age at time of surgery
- Place of surgery, by sex
- Costs of services provided, by sex
- Type of surgery (IOL non-IOL)
- Cause of poor outcome
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100Tables and graphs
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101Sampling error and Design effect
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102RACSS and RAAB 1999 - 2009
RACSS RAAB
1995 India 50 2000 Vietnam 8 2000 Cambodia
3 2002 Pakistan 2004 Indonesia 2 2004 Myanmar
3 2005 Philippines 2005 Bangladesh 2006 China
2007 Vietnam 16 2007 Cambodia 2007 Laos 2007
China 2008 China 2008 Nepal 3 2008
Russia 2007 Iraq 2008 Quatar 2008 Yemen 2010
Myanmar 2010 China
- 1999 Paraguay
- 2002 Peru
- 2003 Argentina
- 2003 Brazil
- 2004 Venezuela
- 2004 Guatemala
- 2004 Cuba
- 2006 Mexico
- 2007 Chile
- 2008 Colombia
- 2008 Dominican Rep.
- 2008 Ecuador
- 2008 Paraguay
2001 Turkmenistan 2001 Mauretania 2001
Mali 2003 Nigeria 2005 Kenya 2006
Rwanda 2007 Kenya 2007 Kenya 2007 The Gambia
2007 Tanzania 2007 Zanzibar 2007 Uganda 2008
Palestine 2008 Mali 2008 Eritrea 2008
Sudan 2010 Zambia 2010 Sierra Leone
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103Thank you!
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