Measurement of non-market output in Education

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• Measurement of non-market output in Education

UK Centre for the Measurement of Government
Activity
Mariagrazia Luciano OECD conference 3-5 October
2006
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Summary

• Background notes old and new methodology
• Measurement of Education Output
• Education Productivity articles
• New measures of Education Output adjusting for
  quality and real earning growth
• Supporting evidence triangulation
• Next steps

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Background notes old and new methodology

• Previous NA method
• Education output Education inputs
• In 1998 introduced direct volume measure pupil
  numbers and Quality Adjustment (QA) of 0.25
  based on GCSE exam results - England used as a
  proxy for UK
• Following Atkinson Review recommendations
  (chapter 9)
• Attendance instead of number of students for
  schools (AR 9.1)
• Health courses, ITT and nursery places included
  (ARs 9.4-9.7)

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Measurement of Education Output
Government Expenditure on Volume Measure used
Schools Pupil Attendance Quality Adjustment
Nursery Schools and Classes Pupil Numbers (fte)
Nursery free places Number of places filled
Initial Teacher Training courses (ITT) Number of students
Health Professional Courses Number of students
fte full-time equivalent pupil numbers
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Education output 1995 - 2004

• Currently in National Accounts

Average change 1 per year
102
output measure
100
98
96
94
92
90
88
86
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Years
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Education productivity articles

• 1st Education Productivity article published by
  UKCeMGA in October 2005
• output and productivity trends 1995-2004
  comparing previous and new methodology
• Presenting the possible methods for quality
  adjustments and related debate
• Triangulation section providing wider sources of
  information on the quality of Government
  Education services

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New Education output measures

• Adjusting for Quality of output
• Pupil attainment
• GCSE threshold 5 A to C
• GCSE Average Point Score
• Key Stage Progress
• Progress between Key Stage Tests at age
  7,11,14,16
• Adjusted Key Stage apply results to all years
  age 5-16
• Adjusting for Real Earning Growth

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New Education output measures with quality
adjustment
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New Education output measures with earnings growth
New earnings adjustment 1.5 per year
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Supporting evidence - Triangulation

• Ofsted results improved teaching standards
• Class size
• reduction
• increased classroom support
• Public assessment improved standards
• PSA targets progress towards targets

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Next steps

• Undertake a wider consultation program to gain
  expert views on how to develop an appropriate
  method for output Quality Adjustment and Real
  Earnings Growth
• Improving output and inputs estimates
• Improving triangulation methods

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Contact

• ukcemga_at_ons.gsi.gov.uk
• Mariagrazia.luciano_at_ons.gsi.gov.uk