Title: Stora Enso
1Stora EnsosCompetitive Edge
- Keith B. Russell
- Senior Vice President, Investor Relations
- London, 20 June 2003
2- It should be noted that certain statements herein
which are not historical facts, including,
without limitation those regarding expectations
for market growth and developments expectations
for growth and profitability and statements
preceded by believes, expects, anticipates,
foresees, or similar expressions, are
forward-looking statements within the meaning of
the United States Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are
based on current plans, estimates and
projections, they involve risks and uncertainties
which may cause actual results to materially
differ from those expressed in such
forward-looking statements. Such factors
include, but are not limited to(1) operating
factors such as continued success of
manufacturing activities and the achievement of
efficiencies therein, continued success of
product development, acceptance of new products
or services by the Groups targeted customers,
success of the existing and future collaboration
arrangements, changes in business strategy or
development plans or targets, changes in the
degree of protection created by the Groups
patents and other intellectual property rights,
the availability of capital on acceptable terms
(2) industry conditions, such as strength of
product demand, intensity of competition,
prevailing and future global market prices for
the Groups products and the pricing pressures
thereto, price fluctuations in raw materials,
financial condition of the customers and the
competitors of the Group, the potential
introduction of competing products and
technologies by competitors and (3) general
economic conditions, such as rates of economic
growth in the Groups principal geographic
markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest
rates.
3Stora Enso Today
4Stora Enso In Brief
Paper
Packaging Forest
Products
- A world leader
- 15 million tonnes of paper and board
- 6.7 million m3 of sawn products
- Three core product areas
- Paper, Packaging and Forest Products
- Sales EUR 12.8 billion
-
- Approximately 43 000 employees in 40 countries
- Market capitalisation EUR 9 billion
- Shares listed on Helsinki, Stockholm and New York
stock exchanges - Senior debt ratings BBB /Baa1
5Leading ProducersPaper and Board, II/2003
Capacity in 1 000 tonnes
Source Jaakko Pöyry Consulting
6Leading ProducersSawn Timber, II/2003
Capacity in 1 000 m3
Source Company reports
7Strategic Goals and Financial Targets
- Key principles
- Grow profits, mainly through MAs, asset
restructuring and continuous improvement
programmes - ROCE target 13 over the cycle (current WACC
9.5) - Debt/Equity ratio 0.8
- Capex annual depreciation over the cycle
- Dividend policy distribute on average one-third
of net profit over the cycle - Strive to achieve topquartile asset quality
8The Forest Products Sector
- Highly cyclical
- Paper and wood demand driven by economic cycles
- Increasingly global companies
- Consolidation occurring, albeit at a modest pace
- Mature and emerging geographic markets
- Supply often exceeds demand
- Asset quality often differentiates competing
companies - Technology advances leading to improved
efficiencies and lower production costs - Nominal prices flat real prices at historic
lows, particularly in some paper grades - Investors and analysts skittish over new capacity
additions without capacity closures
9Our Competitive Edge
- Diversification
- Growth and Continuous Improvement
- Financial Performance
10Our Competitive Edge
11 Core Business Drivers
Stora Enso, Sales 2002
Core Business Drivers
Other 4
Construction 9
Industrial Production 5/ Non-durable Goods 15
Advertising 53
GDP / Office IT 14
EUR 12.8 billion
12New Organisation - effective 1st May 2003
CEO
Finance Strategy Investments Market
Services Communications Investor Relations
Corporate Support Human Resources Energy IT
DCEO
Paper Publication Papers Fine Paper North
America Merchants
Packaging Consumer Boards Corrugated
Packaging Industrial Papers Cores and Coreboards
Forest Products Timber Forest Pulp competence
Asia Pacific Latin America
13Geographic Diversification
Magazine Paper Newsprint Fine Paper Packaging
Boards Timber Products Pulp in bales
14Paper and Board Capacity by Country
Finland 37
Sweden 21
North America 18
Germany 15
Other European countries 8
Asia 1
Capacity 15 million tonnes
15Sales by Destination
16Balancing Mature Emerging Markets 2003-2015
- Market growth, /a -
China
Asia excl. Japan China
Demand growth /a 2000-2005 2.9 2005-2010
2.6 2010-2015 2.3
Latin America
Africa
CIS Eastern Europe
Average 2.6/a
Oceania
Western Europe
Japan
North America
0 20 40 60 80 100
- Share of consumption 2000 (324 million tonnes),
-
Source Jaakko Pöyry Consulting
17Summary Value of Diversification
- Product diversity provides
- Complete product pallet for global and regional
customers - A natural hedge, as our diverse product portfolio
is not reliant on a single dominant business
driver - Cross-product purchasing leverage with suppliers,
manufacturing and sales synergies, and shared
intellectual capital - Geographic diversity provides
- The ability to serve a customer base with global
interests - Access to global raw material and manufacturing
resources - A natural hedge to fluctuations of currencies and
in regional/ country economies
18Our Competitive Edge
- Growth and Continuous Improvement
19Growth Strategy Mergers Acquisitions
- The Value of Mergers Acquisitions
- Enables rapid change of Group structure and
market penetration (i.e. diversification) - Generates value through synergies
- Consolidates industry structure
20Merger Acquisition Criteria
- Support group financial targets EPS CEPS
accretive within one year - Focus on core products - globally
- Strive for topquartile assets
- Strengthen Stora Ensos market position
- Account for asset restructuring opportunities,
customer relationships and synergies - Proceed with discipline and patience
21Creating Value Through MA and Divestments
2002 Sylvester acquisition, Timber
2002 Divestment of Northern forests
2002 Divestment of Mölndal Mill
2001 Dissolving Pulp division
2000 Close down of Newton Kyme mill, packaging
2000 Gruvön mill Billerud
2000 Consolidated Papers Inc. acquisition
2000 Sale of power assets outside mill
1999 Sale of various non-core assetsoffice
buildings, shipping line etc.
1999 Sale of Dalum mill, fine papers
1999 Sale of Tervakoski mill, speciality papers
1999 Sale of technical office papers
1998 Stora Enso merger
1998 Schweighofer acquisition
1997 Holtzmann acquisition
1998 Suzhou acquisition
1995-6 Veitsiluoto acquisition
1990 Feldmühle acquisition
1993 Sale of Eurocan
30
1987 Papyrusacquisition
1993 TampellaForest acquisition
1990 Sale of Veneerindustry
1990 Soustre,acquisition
1986 Kopparkraftsales and leaseback
13
10
1986 Tervakoski,Kitee acquisition
1987 Ahlström,Varkaus Mills
1984 Billerud acquisition
22Growth Strategy Organic Growth Continuous
Improvement
- The Value of Organic Growth Continuous
Improvement - Facilitated through the Groups Asset
Restructuring programme - Improves asset quality by implementation of new
technology - Improves financial performance of existing
assets - Takes into account forecast supply/demand balance
23Asset Restructuring Model
- Stora Enso Vision
- Sustain market shares
- Improve asset quality
tonnes
New Machines
Modernisations
Shutdowns
Time
24Case Study Uncoated Magazine (SC) Paper - Europe
- Stora Ensos SC business
- Strong market position in a highly consolidated
business - Restructuring programme
- To improve competitiveness and sustain market
position - Projects
- High-quality SC papers
- New paper machine in Kvarnsveden
- Shut down of Langerbrugge PM 2
- Divestiture of Wolfsheck
- SC-B / Improved News
- Conversion of Langerbrugge PM 3 to SC-B
- Rebuild of Maxau PM 6
- Shut-down of Kvarnsveden PM 9
25Net Capacity Change
- Mill Machine Time frame High-quality SC-B and
- SC improved news
- Langerbrugge PM2 2003 -115 000
- Langerbrugge PM3 2002 165 000
- Kvarnsveden PM12 2005-2010 400 000
- Kvarnsveden PM9 2005 -135 000
- Maxau PM6 2004 120 000
- Wolfsheck PM4-5 2005 -90 000
- Langerbrugge PM3 2006-2008 -165 000 165 000
- NET CHANGE 195 000 150 000
26Case Study Veracel
- Stora Enso and Aracruz Celulose S.A. 50/50 joint
shareholders - New eucalyptus pulp mill to be constructed in
Bahia, Brazil - 900 000 tonnes per annum capacity
- Budget USD 870 million, plus USD 70 million for
infrastructure construction to start
immediately first pulp production in mid 2005 - Financing 45 equity and 55 loans from
development banks equity fits within Capex plans
27Location of Veracel
BRAZIL
Veracel
Aracruz
Rio de Janeiro
Sao Paolo
28Rationale for Stora Ensos Involvement
- The plantations provide
- wood at an exceptionally competitive cost
- suitable land structure, and
- superior logistic position
- Improve cost competitiveness and quality of Stora
Ensos pulping assets - Reduce fibre costs in Fine Paper Division
- Stora Ensos share of pulp for captive use
- Secure access to high-growth wood fibre
29Our Competitive Edge
30Operating Profit by Year
EUR million
excluding non-recurring items
31EPS and CEPS by Year
EUR
excluding non-recurring items
32ROCE by Year
WACC 9.5before tax
Target gt 13 over the cycle
excluding non-recurring items
33Debt/Equity Discipline
Target lt 0.8
34Targeted Capital Expenditures
Capital expenditure
Capital expenditure as of sales
EUR million
Depreciation
35Earnings Per Share and Dividend
EPS, excluding non-recurring items
EUR
Payout ratio
Dividend
36Share Buy-back Programme
- Current programme approved by 2003 AGM to
continue through 19 March 2004. Allows
repurchase up to - A shares 9 100 000
- R shares 34 000 000
- Status through 13 June 2003
- Number of Average of Shares shares
purchased purchase price authorisation - A shares 3 300 EUR 9.14 0.04
- R shares 15 286 600 EUR 9.22 45.0
- 2001 2002 31 March 2003
- Total shares in issue 906 753 299 899 778
299 864 187 499
37Total Returns
Note Total return assumes 100
reinvestment of dividends (normal and special
dividends) at the time of the dividend payment
and cash-neutral
participation in any rights issues. In the case
of multiple share classes, investment assumed to
be in the more liquid, lower voting right share
class. Source Bloomberg, company
reports, Datastream.
1
38Summary Financial Performance
- The strongest balance sheet in the industry
- Disciplined and consistent financial targets
- Targeted capital expenditures to achieve high
asset quality - Debt-to-equity discipline
- Strong cash earnings per share
- Profitability at the bottom of the cycle
39Sustainability Indices
- Listed fourth year in a row
- Ranked as leading forest products industry company
- Listed continuously since inception in 2001
40Summary
41Stora Enso A Long-term Performer
- A balanced forest products portfolio with strong
market shares - Cash flow remains strong despite difficult market
conditions - Balance sheet is strongest in the industry
- Senior debt ratings BBB/Baa1
- Active share repurchase programme to boost EPS
- Robust and stable dividend policy
- Exposure to North America offers early recovery
- Committed to both supply and pricing discipline
- Asset restructuring and MAs will continue as
strategic tools
42Appendix
43ROCE by Quarter
WACC 9.5before tax
Target gt 13 over the cycle
excluding non-recurring items
44Significant Cost Advantages Through a Competitive
Manufacturing Base
Baltic Countries and Russia provide one of the
most cost competitive sawmilling platforms
globally
- Key opportunities
- low raw material costs
- low manufacturing costs
- securing the Groups fibre access
- paving way for the Groups expansion
- Nordic Central Europe 100 -
100
Nordic Central Europe
80
Baltic Countries
Russia
60
40
20
0
Raw Material Cost
Production Cost
45Stora Ensos Sawmills Includingthe Baltics
- The largest solid wood products company in
Europe, among the top three globally - The leading sawmill company in the Baltic
countries - Competitive and comprehensive product portfolio
for construction and joinery industries and wood
products trade - Global market presence
Central Europe Production Group Nordic Production
Group Stand-alone further-processing
sites Baltic sawmills
Planned Baltic sawmills
46Stora Ensos Russian Sawmill Investments
- Objectives
- Secure strategic position in Russia - competitive
sawmilling and wood procurement - Support the Groups wood procurement to the
Finnish mills in preparation for the decreasing
wood availability after 2005 - Create conditions for further expansion
- Concept and Timetable
- Start-up with flexible, small-log mobile saw
concepts - Expansion to full-scale sawmilling when feasible
- Further expansion possibilities in Russia
investigated
Pitkäranta
Nebolchi
47Visit www.storaenso.com for more information.