Manifesting the Upside of Down

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Manifesting the Upside of Down

• Noetic Approaches for Citizen Activists
• to help transform the Perfect Storm
• of disruptive surprises heading our way
• Houston Community of the Institute of Noetic
  Sciences
• October 3, 2010
• Oliver Markley, PhD
• www.OWMarkley.org www.ImaginalVisioning.com

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About The Upside of Down
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Visioning the Upside of Down
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About Manifesting

• Bringing about
• Mobilizing
• Attracting
• Co-Creating

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Integrative (Integral) Activism

(2001)
(2007)
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Presentation Outline

• Main concepts (above)
• Historical context of research about the future
• Type II Wild Cards and Mild Cards
• Current context Tipping points toward collapse
  and reformation
• Promising noetic and other approaches
• Cornucopia causality, imaginal visioning /
  manifestation, and integrative (integral)
  activism
• Experiential demonstrations

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Historical Context

• Looking at the Future
• From the Past

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Early SRI Futures Research
Source Harman, Markley Rhyne, SRI (1973)
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Year 2000 Projections
Source Harman, Markley Rhyne, SRI (1973)
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Wild Card

• A possible event
• that has a low probability
• but would have a huge impact
• if it occurred

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Type II Wild Card

• A wild card that has a
• high probability (to a knowledgeable)
• but low credibility (to most others)

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Disruptive Overshooting of Carrying Capacity?
Source O. Markley, The Future of SpaceShip
Earth (1995)
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The Ecological Challenge of Humankind
When one species attains a position of
dominance over all the other species in the
ecology of its planet, if it is both
egocentrically greedy, and has a powerful set of
technologies through which to amplify the
expression of that greed, then unless that
dominant species can find a way to limit or to
transform itself and its greed-based systems into
something more wholesome, it will foul its
planetary nest as surely as the night follows the
day ... perhaps even to its own extinction.
Source The Fourth Wave A Normative Forecast
for the Future of Spaceship Earth, by O.W.
Markley, posted online at www.inwardboundvisioning
.com/Docs/SpaceShipEarth.htm
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Research on Type II Wild Cards

• First major conclusion
• If present trends continue...
• A Tipping Point Toward Civilizational Collapse

(2008)
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Five Tectonic Stressors Toward Catastrophe

• Population stress overall increase and the
  difference in rate of increase between rich and
  poor countries
• Energy stress increasing scarcity and cost of
  conventional oil
• Environmental stress from mounting damage to
  land, sea and air
• Climate stress as the atmosphere responds to
  global heating
• Economic stress from the widening gap between
  rich and poor people within countries and between
  countries

(2006)
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Envisioning the First to HitFinancial
After the banking crisis in 2008, a BBC
documentary lays it bare
(2006)
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Showing of a four minute set of video clips from
The Love of Money, a three-hour BBC
documentary seriesabout the sub-prime meltdown
goes here
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Current ContextLooking at the Future From the
Present
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More Bubbles Currently Threatening Global
Financial Meltdown 1-3 Years
Virtuous upward cycle of past few decades
replaced by vicious downward spiral resulting
from co-lined bubbles

• Real estate bubble
• Stock market bubble
• Discretionary spending bubble
• Dollar bubble
• Government debt bubble
• Why would there be a dollar bubble before a govt
  debt bubble? Multi-bubble economy cannot be
  easily reflated.

(2010)
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The Issues Behind the Issues

• The old American cultural dynamic ambition,
  thrift, self-sacrifice, communitarian problem
  solving
• The new one more interest in entertainment and
  credit-based consumption than in realistically
  addressing emerging problems that obviously
  threaten the sustainability of our way of life
  (Bread and Circuses)
• Corporate and financial systems driven to
  maximize short-term profit for investors
• Government systems increasingly driven by
  special-interest lobbying, especially by The
  Street
• Mass media that filters and shapes the news to
  suit corporate owners
• Critical mass of systemic problems not being
  addressed.

An audio recording and text transcript of an
interview are posted at http//will.illinois.edu/
mediamatters/show/sunday-august-30-2009/
(2009)
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The Upside of Down Prophecy
Source O. Markley, A New Intelligence
Methodology for Anticipating Disruptive
Surprises (2010)
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An Über Upside of Down Prophecy
(2008)
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Type II Mild Card

• A Type II wild card that would be
• less disruptive and more benign,
• at least in the long run

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A Critical Mass of Mild Cards
(2007)
(2007)
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Showing of all or part of Paul Hawkens six min.
2006 Blessed Unrest Bioneers speech onYouTube
goes here
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Riane Eislers Caring Economics Campaign

• Free one hour Webinar training
• October 5, 2010
• www.partnershipway.org/

(2007)
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Pachamama Alliance Awaken the Dreamer / Change
the Dream Symposia
Houston contact Donna Mosher 281-681-8166 awakenh
ouston_at_me.com
(2010)
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Illustrative Writings re Sustainable Resilience
(2010)
(2009)
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Research to Identify Integral Mild Cards
Some criteria for noetic approaches

• Integrate Higher Self and shadow side
  realities
• Transcend focus on well-being of individual
  persons or reference-groups
• Develop creative resiliance
• Be appropriate (non-sectarian, affordable,
  scalable, attractive, demonstrable)

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Some Promising Noetic Best Practices

• Riane Eislers Partnership Education and Caring
  Economics initiatives
• Awaken the Dreamer/Change the Dream Symposia of
  the Pachamama Alliance
• IONS Worldview Literacy Program
• Hopefully, my own audible software programs for
  imaginal visioning, manifestation and integral
  activism

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Integrative (Integral) ActivismBilliard Ball
Cornucopia Causality
()
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Alternative Names for the Source of Cornucopic
Inspiration

• Sub-quantum Akashic / Imaginal Field
  (esoteric arts integral science)
• Holy Spirit (Christian)
• Schechinah (Jewish)
• Alayavijnana (Nondual Buddhism)

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(No Transcript)
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Imaginal Visioning and Manifestation
Billiard Ball Causality Cornucopia Causality
Imagination / Imaginary Intuition / Imaginal
Visualizing Visioning
Expressive Receptive
Active Volition / Willfull / Yang Passive Volition / Willing / Yin
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A Cornucopic Meditation Experience
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Experiencing Imaginal Time Travel
Preprint posted online http//www.inwardboundvisi
oning.com/Docs/MentalTimeTravel.htm
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What are the future implications of ...
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Other Key Sources