Commitment of Emissions for Human Development: an alternative and practical approach to emissions reductions

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Commitment of Emissions for Human
Developmentan alternative and practical
approach to emissions reductions
Developing a Post Kyoto Policy Framework Side
Event at UNFCCC SBSTA 18 Environment Rm II 1300
1500, June 2003

• Jiahua Pan
• Global Change and Economic Development Programme
• The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing
  China

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Emissions demand for what?

• Necessary for human survival
• and development
• household consumption
• Basic needs
• Luxurious/wasteful consumption
•  collective consumption
• Infrastructure
• Public services

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Duality nature of emissions

• There are three duality implications here
• Transferability
• Commodity tradable
• Rights for basic human development not
  transferable
• Collective vs. household consumption
• Collective infrastructure, public services
• Private basic needs and wasteful/luxurious
  consumptions
• Public good and public bad
• Social security and development
• Climate change

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Proposition one Basic needsa right for decent
living standard but not unlimitedCbasic ? Cbasic

• Achievement of human development potentials is a
  basic human right that should be respected for
• human development is not unlimited bounded by
  biological and physical constraints
• once development potentials are realised, no need
  for further increase in emissions but automatic
  reductions

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Overall trend of human development Basic
necessity consumption nutrition(k/c.d)
Sufficiency rate around 3200 calories/day/capita

LDCs lower than subsistence
China,Brazil in between, still increasing
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Overall trend of human development quality of
lifelife expectancy at birth (yrs) and per
capita income (PPP,1990US)1998
Life expectancy potential 85yrs (national
average), at 20000/c
y ce b/x blt0 if x??, y c
Rich countries close to the potential, poor
countries a long way to fulfillment of HDI
potential
Acceptable life expectancy at 70yrs or higher
gt8000/c
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Proposition two luxurious/wasteful consumption
unlimitedClux ? ?

• Human nature a tendency to show superiority over
  the others luxurious cars,large houses
• Neglect TV stand-by excessive heating/cooling
• Such consumption is in existence in both
  developed and developing countries

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An overall framework for Commitment
Currently in use technologies (CUT)
emissions
Deved countries no wasteful consumption
CUT for BAT potential
Emissions path to fulfillment of human
development under current in use technologies
Best available technologies (BAT)
Emissions path to fulfillment of human
development under best available technologies
Subsistence/survival emissions
time
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An Agreement on commitment of Emissions for Human
Development?

• Ultimate goals of human development
  assessment of development needs
• Country driven and country specific
  circumstances based
• Exclusion of wasteful/luxurious emissions
• UN millennium development goals and WSSD Plan
  of Implementation
• Voluntary and gradual, consistent with FCCC
  Article 4.1(b)

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