supporting data

1
supporting data
Pipeline Subcommittee
June 29, 2010 DRAFT
2
Table of Contents

• P-20 General Demographics
• P-12 Public School Students in CO 4
• Location of P-12 Students 5
• P-12 Colorado Public School Students 6
• 10-Year Change in P-12 Ethnic Pop. 7
• P-12 Demographics by Region 8
• High School Graduation Rates 9
• 10-Year Change in P-12 Pop HS Grad Rates 10
• GED Candidates 11-12
• PS Enrollment at Public and Private Inst 13
• Location of Public PS Students 14
• Ethnic Distribution by Inst and Pell Eligibility
  15
• Student Persistence Retention Rates 16
• Student Persistence by Ethnicity/Gender 17
• Graduation Rates at 2-Year Institutions 18
• Graduation Rates at 4-Year Institutions 19
• Secondary/Postsecondary Pipeline 20
• Pipeline by Ethnicity 21

• Remediation
• Remediation Rates by H.S. Region 23
• Remediation Rates by Subject 24
• Remediation Rates by Ethnicity 25
• Remediation Rates by Course 26
• Graduation Rates by Remedial Course 27
• Accelerated Learning
• Accelerated Learning by Ethnicity 29
• Advanced Placement Participation and Perf. 30
• Advanced Placement Course Completion 31
• ACT Success Rates/Assessing College Readiness
• Impact of State-wide ACT Testing 33
• of CO students ready for College 34
• CO Regions meeting all ACT Benchmarks 35
• Comparison of CO ACT Tested Juniors, Before and
  After State Testing 36

3
P-20 General Demographics
4
P-12 Public School Students in Colorado Fall 2009
Grades of Students
P-5 411,949
6-8 179,402
9-12 240,770
Detention Centers 247
Total of P-12 Students in Colorado 832,368
5
Location of P-12 Students throughout
Colorado Fall 2009
Region of Students of state
Denver Metro 471,944 56.7
North Front Range 79,709 9.6
South Front Range 149,302 17.9
Mountains 20,083 2.4
Eastern Plains 28,483 3.4
Western Slope 67,550 8.1
San Luis Valley 7,924 1.0
BOCES, CSI, Det Ctrs 7,373 0.9
Homeschoolers
2,004
938
2,297
206
343
651
62
0
Total of Public P-12 Students 832,368 Total
of Homeschoolers 6,501
6
P-12 Colorado Public School Students - Fall 2009
832,121
700,955
84 of P12 students live along the I-25
corridor. What are the implications for service
delivery?
P-12 students living along I-25 corridor
P-12 students in CO public schools
7
10-Year Change in P-12 Ethnic Population
8
P-12 Demographics by Region 2009
Graduation rate is based on 2005-06 9th grade
cohort and adjusted for students transferring in
or out of original district.
9
High School Graduation Rates 2009 Graduating Class
Total Students 63,585 Total Graduates
47,459 Overall Graduation Rate 74.7
Total Students and Graduation Rates are based on
2005-06 9th grade cohort and adjusted for
students transferring in or out of original
district.
10
10-Year Change in P12 Ethnic Population High
School Graduation Rates
82 of White Students Graduate
2.5 h
33,272 out of 40,451 Graduate
61 h
58 of Hispanic Students Graduate H.S.
9,364 out of 16,202 Grad.
64 of Black Students Graduate H.S.
23 h
2,619 out of 4,070 Grad.
Latinos represent the largest growth of P12
students with the lowest high school graduation
rates. How do we increase postsecondary
enrollment rates for all, especially ethnic
minority students?
Graduation rate is based on 2005-06 9th grade
cohort and adjusted for students transferring in
or out of original district.
11
GED Candidates by Age, Ethnicity, and Gender 2008
Total Candidates Tested 15,629 Total Completers
11,678 Total Candidates who Passed 9,724
Male Candidates 59.9 Female Candidates 40.1
12
GED Candidates by Region 2008
7,520
15,701 Students Tested 11,662 Passed 74.3
Overall Pass Rate
3,444
72
1,601
1,202
79
1,106
513
303
12 83
69
81
75
75
60
13
Postsecondary Enrollment at Public and Private
Institutions Fall 2008
Public Institutions
Private Institutions
Students at Public Institutions 219,859
Students at Private Institutions 155,309
Total students enrolled in Postsecondary
education as of Fall 2008 375,168
14
Location of Public Postsecondary Students Fall
2008
87 of postsecondary students are enrolled in
colleges along the I-25 corridor.
I-25 Corridor
Total Students Enrolled
15
Ethnic Distribution by Institution and Pell
Eligibility Fall 2008
29 of students at a CO public institution are
Pell eligible.
16
Student Persistence and Retention Rates at
Colorado 4-Year Public Institutions Fall 2003
Spring 2009
Year 13
Year 14
18,675 Students Begin College
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17 and beyond
13,911 Students Begin 2nd Year (2 graduate)
11,320 Students Begin 3rd Year (6 graduate)
75
93
91
81
9,687 Students Begin 4th Year (563 gradate)
2,960 Students Begin 5th Year (6085 gradate)
2,553 Continue
The most probable time for students to dropout of
higher education is during or at the end of their
first year of enrollment, shown here as a 25
decline in enrollment between year 13 and 14. As
students persist, the likelihood of continuation
toward graduation increases each year. If
students can persist beyond their 2nd year, they
have a very high likelihood of graduating.
17
Student Persistence Between Year 13 and 14 at
Colorado Public Institutions by Ethnicity and
Gender Fall 2007 Fall 2008
Non-Resident Alien
Unknown Ethnicity
Unknown Ethnicity
Native American
Native American
Non-Res Alien
Hispanic
Hispanic
Female
Female
White
Asian
Black
White
Asian
Black
Male
Male
Persistence between Year 13 and 14 is a strong
indicator of the likelihood of graduating from
college. Increasing persistence rates directly
increases graduation rates.
18
Graduation Rates at 2-Year Public
Institutions Spring 2008
Average graduation rate at 2-Year institutions is
25.4.
Includes students receiving Associate degree or
Certificate at either original or transfer
institution, but only includes 2-Year to 2-Year
transfers. Graduation rates for those
transferring to 4-Year institutions is not shown
here. Cohort is for 1st time High School
graduates, ages 17-19, and degree-seeking
students only.
19
Graduation Rates at 4-Year Public
Institutions Spring 2008
Average graduation rate At 4-Year institutions is
57.7.
Cohort is for 1st time High School graduates,
ages 17-19, and degree-seeking students only.
20
Secondary/Postsecondary Pipeline (Statewide)
Only 26 of the original 9thgrade cohort received
a degree within 6 years of beginning college.
24,340
4-Year (18,186)
28 of 1st Time students.
12,088
6,839
4-Year (10,486)
(3,384)
21
Secondary/Postsecondary Pipeline by Ethnicity
Fall 2003
Spring 2009
14,585 Begin 4-Year Public College
8,849 (61) Graduate Within 6 Years
39
24
Fall 1999
Spring 2003
27 of original White cohort received a college
degree.
37,137 Begin High School
32,495 Graduate from High School
88
White
Fall 2003
Spring 2006
5,129 Begin 2-Year Public College
1,214 (24) Graduate Within 3 Years
3
14
419 Begin 4-Year Public College
174 (42) Graduate Within 6 Years
17
7
9 of original Black cohort received a college
degree.
2,408 Begin High School
1,849 Graduate from High School
77
Black
443 Begin 2-Year Public College
57 (13) Graduate Within 3 Years
2
18
1,637 Begin 4-Year Public College
732 (45) Graduate Within 6 Years
18
8
11 of original Hispanic cohort received a
college degree.
9,009 Begin High School
6,270 Graduate from High School
70
Hispanic
1,285 Begin 2-Year Public College
238 (19 Graduate Within 3 Years
3
14
Only includes students entering a Public 2 or 4
Year Institution.
22
Remediation
23
Remediation Rates by High School Region Fall 2008
- 1st Time College Students
Average remediation rate across the state is
28.5.
Total Students
24
Remediation Rates by Subject (All Public
Colleges) Fall 2008
12 of 1st time college students are taking
remedial Reading
23 of 1st time college students are taking
remedial Math
17 of 1st time college students are taking
remedial Writing
Indicates percentage of total students per
subject, based on cohort of 29,704 1st time
college students.
25
Remediation Rates by Ethnicity Fall 2008
of total students
26
Remediation Rates by course 1st time College
Students - Fall 2008
6.7
of all 1st time undergraduate students
5.3
3.8
3.5
3.1
2.1
1.6
0.4
0.3
27
Graduation Rates for Community College
students enrolled in Remedial Math 030, 060, and
090
Math 030 Cohort
100
72
62
46
36
25
13
8
4
1662 Enroll MAT 030
1189 Complete MAT 030
1031 Enroll MAT 060
761 Complete MAT 060
591 Enroll MAT 090
409 Complete MAT 090
220 Enroll MAT 090
137 Complete College Math
61 Graduate
100
75
54
36
24
17
8
2908 Enroll MAT 060
2171 Complete MAT 060
1562 Enroll MAT 090
1040 Complete MAT 090
693 Enroll MAT 090
499 Complete College Math
222 Graduate
Math 060 Cohort
100
68
35
26
12
2363 Enroll MAT 090
1604 Complete MAT 090
833 Enroll MAT 090
603 Complete College Math
275 Graduate
Math 090 Cohort
Each additional remedial math course that is
required decreases a students chance of
graduating with an Associates Degree by 4.
Graduation rates for Math 030, 060, and 090
students are 4, 8, and 12, respectively.
28
Accelerated Learning
29
Accelerated Learning by Ethnicity 200809 School
Year
Student Headcount
TBD
30
Advanced Placement Participation
Performance 2009 Graduating Class
Total Graduates Unknown
Total Graduates Unknown
31
Advanced Placement Course Completion 2009
Graduating Class
32
ACT Success Rates/Assessing College Readiness
33
The impact of State-wide ACT Testing on College
Enrollment

• 13 of Colorado students who had not planned to
  attend college at the time of testing ended up
  enrolling in college the next year.
• From 2002 to 2007, the percentage of CO high
  school grads enrolled in college the following
  fall increased by 1 percentage point.
• More males, minority students, middle and lower
  income students, and first-generation students
  took the ACT, which resulted in more
  opportunities to increase access and
  participation.

34
Percent of CO students ready for College-Level
Coursework (Based on ACT scores for 2009
Graduating Class)
A benchmark score is the minimum score needed on
an ACT subject-area test to indicate a 50 chance
of obtaining a B or higher or about a 75 chance
of obtaining a C or higher in the corresponding
credit-bearing college course.
35
By Colorado Region Meeting All ACT College
Readiness Benchmarks
Meeting Benchmark
A benchmark score is the minimum score needed on
an ACT subject-area test to indicate a 50 chance
of obtaining a B or higher or about a 75 chance
of obtaining a C or higher in the corresponding
credit-bearing college course.
36
Comparison of Colorado ACT-Tested Juniors Before
and After State Testing