Some Thoughts on Our Possible Energy Futures (In Pictures)

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Some Thoughts on Our Possible Energy Futures (In
Pictures)

• Maryland Clean Energy Summit 2013
• Comments of Ron Binz
• Public Policy Consulting
• October 16, 2013

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Public Policy Consulting
www.rbinz.com
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In 2013, Mats Valk solved a cube in 5.55 seconds
for the new world record.
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Credit University of California, Riverside
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Credit C2ES.org
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Credit Energy Information Administration
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Credit Edison Electric Institute
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(No Transcript)
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Credit Consumer Energy Solutions
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(No Transcript)
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Credit Energy Information Administration
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Credit Citibank
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Credit World Nuclear Association
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WECC (2032) Potential Bypass Threats from
Distributed Generation are Large
Percent of 2032 Peak Demand
Source E3 (2013).

• WECC-wide Behind-the-Meter DG 19 GW of solar PV
  7 GW of CHP
• Distributed PV based on interconnection
  potential (no back-flow through feeders), with
  adjustments to reflect relative economics among
  states
• CHP additions represent a fixed percentage (40)
  of technical potential in each state

Credit Western Electricity Coordinating Council
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Credit Solar Energy Industries Association
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Credit Solar Energy Industries Association
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(No Transcript)
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New Jersey
Germany
Maryland
Colorado
Credit National Renewable Energy Laboratory
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(No Transcript)
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Credit California ISO
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Credit California ISO
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Credit California ISO
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Credit Citibank
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Credit Citibank
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Credit Citibank
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Credit Citibank
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Renewable Electricity Futures Study
(REF) Exploration of High-Penetration Renewable
Electricity Futures Available at NREL.gov
Credit National Renewable Energy Laboratory
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Baseline Case
Credit National Renewable Energy Laboratory
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REF ITI Case
Credit National Renewable Energy Laboratory
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How does the assumption of an HREF affect the
business model?

• Much higher levels of variable generation at the
  bulk power scale
• Greater penetration of distributed energy
  resources at the distribution scale
• Greater need for flexibility in the grid
  components, operations, and architecture
• Much higher levels of energy efficiency
  (sufficient to eliminate load growth)

(affects utility
organization, operations)
(affects utility revenues, services)
(affects utility investment, operations)
(affects utility role, services)
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• Authors
• Ron Binz
• Richard Sedano
• Denise Furey
• Dan Mullen

Available at www.ceres.org
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Credit Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
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Credit Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
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The Last Word
111(d)
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Thank You

• Ron Binz
• Public Policy Consulting
• rbinz_at_rbinz.com