Political Time and Political Order

1
Political Time and Political Order

• Presidents Political Identity
• Previously Established Commitments
• Recurring Structures of Authority

2
Political Time and Political Order

• There is nothing more difficult to plan, more
  doubtful of success, nor more dangerous to manage
  than the creation of a new order of things.....
  Whenever his enemies have occasion to attack the
  innovator they do so with the passion of
  partisans, while the others defend him sluggishly
  so that the innovator and his party alike are
  vulnerable.
• --Niccolo Machiavelli

3
Political Identity

• Opposed to established regime

4
Political Identity

• Opposed to established regime
• Affiliated with established regime

5
Political Commitments

• Policies of established regime are vulnerable

6
Political Commitments

• Policies of established regime are vulnerable
• Policies of established regime are resilient

7
Political Time and Political Order
Opposed Political Identity Affiliated Political Identity
Vulnerable Established Commitments
Resilient Established Commitments
-- Stephen Skowronek. The Politics Presidents
Make.
8
Political Time and Political Order
Opposed Political Identity Affiliated Political Identity
Vulnerable Established Commitments Politics of Reconstruction
Resilient Established Commitments
-- Stephen Skowronek. The Politics Presidents
Make.
9
Political Time and Political Order
Reconstruction Disjunction Preemption Articulation






F. Roosevelt





Reagan



10
Political Time and Political Order
Opposed Political Identity Affiliated Political Identity
Vulnerable Established Commitments Politics of Reconstruction Politics of Disjunction
Resilient Established Commitments
-- Stephen Skowronek. The Politics Presidents
Make.
11
Political Time and Political Order
Reconstruction Disjunction Preemption Articulation





Hoover
F. Roosevelt




Carter
Reagan



12
Political Time and Political Order
Opposed Political Identity Affiliated Political Identity
Vulnerable Established Commitments Politics of Reconstruction Politics of Disjunction
Resilient Established Commitments Politics of Preemption
-- Stephen Skowronek. The Politics Presidents
Make.
13
Political Time and Political Order
Reconstruction Disjunction Preemption Articulation


Wilson


Hoover
F. Roosevelt

Eisenhower

Nixon
Carter
Reagan

Clinton

14
Political Time and Political Order
Opposed Political Identity Affiliated Political Identity
Vulnerable Established Commitments Politics of Reconstruction Politics of Disjunction
Resilient Established Commitments Politics of Preemption Politics of Articulation
-- Stephen Skowronek. The Politics Presidents
Make.
15
Political Time and Political Order
Reconstruction Disjunction Preemption Articulation
T. Roosevelt
Taft
Wilson
Harding
Coolidge
Hoover
F. Roosevelt
Truman
Eisenhower
L. Johnson
Nixon
Carter
Reagan
Bush 41
Clinton

16
Political Time and Political Order
Reconstruction Disjunction Preemption Articulation
T. Roosevelt
Taft
Wilson
Harding
Coolidge
Hoover
F. Roosevelt
Truman
Eisenhower
L. Johnson
Nixon
Carter
Reagan
Bush 41
Clinton
Bush 43
17
President Obama

• Political Identity
• Opposed or affiliated
• Political Commitments Vulnerable or Resilient

18
Political Time and Political Order
Opposed Political Identity Affiliated Political Identity
Vulnerable Established Commitments
Resilient Established Commitments
-- Stephen Skowronek. The Politics Presidents
Make.
19
Political Time and Political Order
Opposed Political Identity Affiliated Political Identity
Vulnerable Established Commitments Politics of Reconstruction
Resilient Established Commitments
-- Stephen Skowronek. The Politics Presidents
Make.
20
Political Time and Political Order
Opposed Political Identity Affiliated Political Identity
Vulnerable Established Commitments Politics of Reconstruction
Resilient Established Commitments Politics of Preemption
-- Stephen Skowronek. The Politics Presidents
Make.