The 4th International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) 12

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The 4th International Seville Conference
onFuture-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA)12
13 May 2011
CGEEs Contributions to STI Policy in Brazil
Lucia Carvalho Pinto de Melo President
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Brazil in the World land, population and economy
a unique combination
Area gt 4 millions Km2
Population gt 100 millions
Indonesia Nigeria Bangladesh Pakistan
Russia EUA BRASIL China
Canada Australia
India Mexico Japan
Spain United Kingdom France South Korea
Germany Holland Italy
PIB gt US 400 billions
Source Investe Brasil, PIB nominal R. Dauscha
(ANPEI 3ª CNCT)
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Brazil and the new geography of Science and
Innovation
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Brazils economic profile
PRODUCER OF IRON ORE PRODUCER AND EXPORTER OF
BEEF AND CHICKEN, ETHANOL FROM SUGAR CANE AND
SOYBEAN COMPLEX
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PRODUCER OF ETHANOL
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LARGEST COSMETICS MARKET EXPECTED TO BE THE 3RD
LARGEST MARKET FOR PCS IN 2010
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LARGEST CELLULAR PHONE MARKET LARGEST
MANUFACTURER OF COMMERCIAL PLANES EXPORTER OF
CELLULLOSE
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LARGEST POPULATION, MARKET FOR BOOKS AND MUSIC
LARGEST NUMBER OF INTERNET USERS
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PRODUCER OF VEHICLES (3.22 MILLION IN 2008)
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LARGEST CONSUMER MARKET
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Source ABDI The Brazilian Agency for
Industrial Development
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Energy pattern - transport sector
Oil
Gasoline
2008
Ethanol
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Liquid biofuels in the world
Reproduced from Unep, February 2009. The
environmental food crisis
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Brazil recovers a sustainable growth pace in 2010
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Brazil coming up from the crisis
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A country with global appeal
According to UNCTADs World Investment Report
2008 (WIR08), the amount of Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) flow to Brazil placed the
Country as the 5th most attractive location in
the world.
7,8
Growth relative to the previous quarter(1st Q
2009), annualized and seasonally
adjusted.Source GDW JP Morgan 09/11/2009 and
IBGE for Brazil
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Brazilian companies go global
Automotive, beverage, aircraft, cosmetics,
mining, steel and oilgas Brazilian companies,
among others, invest overseas and expand their
international operations .
TOTVS
8th world biggest business company software
1st company in animal protein producion
EMBRAER
7.0 of global production of bus bodies and
components
3rd largest aircraft company in the world
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Brazil science budget
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Brazil where we are in Science

• Science funding
• The coloured bars show the CDP of the worlds 17
  richest coutries, according to the International
  Monetary Fund. The solid line shows the GDP per
  capita.
• Percentagem of the GDP applied to research and
  development (RD) so far in 2010.
• Research funding per researcher.
• Research funding per capita.
• The data are obtained from the Brazilian
  Department for Science and Technology and updated
  frequently.

Fonte Brazilian science towards a phase
transition Nature Materials, July 2010
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STI in Brazil some numbers (2008 and 2009)
Institutions Research groups Researchers PhD
holders Master holders
422 22,797 211,000 69,000 86,000
HR in ST
Published papers World production (2009) Patent
requests (INPI- 2006)
30,415 2,69 26,509
Scientific Production
2,654 33,360 11,400
Professional masters Academic masters PhDs (2009)
Graduate degrees awarded in 2008
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The Main Actors of The National STI System
Presidency of Republic
SAE
Ipea
Concea
CCT
CNTBio
CMCH
MCT
MAPA
MDIC
MME
MS
MRE
MEC
MC
MD
MF
MMA
MPOG
Subordinate INMET Affiliated EMBRAPA
Affiliated ABDI Supervised INMETRO BNDES
INPI SUFRAMA
Affiliated ANS ANVISA FIOCRUZ FUNASA
HEMOBRAS
Affiliated ANEEL ANP DNPM EPE
Petrobrás Eletrobrás
Affiliated CAPES INEP Fundação Joaquim
Nabuco Supervised Institutos Tecnológicos
Federais
Subordinate ABC
Subordinate Aeronáutica Exército Marinha
Affiliated Anatel Telebrás
Affiliated SERPRO
Subordinate SFB Affiliated ANA IBAMA
ICMBio Jardim Botânico RJ
Agencies CNPq Finep CGEE AEB CNEN
Private Sector
Universities
Institutes of STI
Technology Parks and Incubators
Hospitals
Entities, Programs and STI Funding
INCTs
Sibratec
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CGEE a brief description

• Created in 2001
• Non-profit private organization
• Overseen by the Ministry of Science Technology
• Headquarter located in Brasilia, Federal District
• Nearly 90 employees
• Budget USD 20 million per year
• Over 2000 experts coming from 300 institutions
  involved per year
• Over 400 studies conducted so far
• Member of the WFS and IIASA

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An environment of increasing complexity for
public policy decisions

• CGEE as a Think Tank to support STI policy in
  Brazil
• (Taking the definitions of the United Nations
  Development Programme (UNDP, 2010)
• A bridge between Knowledge and Power
• A filter and synthesizer that facilitates the
  identification of policy issues, the design of
  policy solutions and the implementation of ans
  feedback on policy decisions

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To promote Science, Technology and Innovation
development to advance economic growth,
competitiveness and well-being in Brazil
Environment of STI
Articulation
Strategic Foresight
Strategic Evaluation
Scope of activities
Information Knowledge Diffusion
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CGEEs administration board
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CGEEs studies
Sugarcane-Based Bioethanol Energy for Sustainable
Development
Bioethanol Science and Technology Center
French
Portuguese
English
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Aviation biofuels
Diversifying the bioeconomy
Green chemistry
Technical Document on aviation biofuels Authorship
Luiz Augusto Horta Nogueira
Book on green chemistry in Brazil Study under the
Management Contract between MCT and CGEE
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Contributions to the Brazilian industrial policy
Sectorial Strategic Program (PES)
Sectorial Technology Agenda (ATS)
Plastics
Textile and Clothing
Footwear
Automation
Medical and odontological equipment and supplies
Aeronautics
Textile and Clothing
Building and Construction
Plastics
Furniture
Footwear
Automation
Cosmetics
Challenges 1. Priority Actions 2. Improving the
quality of goods and production processes 3.
Targets and indicators for medium/long-term
competitiveness
Building and Construction
Naval
Auto Parts

• Dimensions of analysis
• Market
• Technology
• Regulatory and instutional environment
• Human resources
• Infrastructure
• Investments

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The Innovation Platform
Visualizing relation networks while leveraging
strategic information
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Some challenges for STI policy in the new
millenium
Society in general
GENERATION
DIFUSION
NGOs
Knowledge
Business sector
Goverment
APROPRIATION
Source Mirra, E
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Missing links / Foward looking
STI Priorities
Global and Local Challenges
Policies and Investiments
Adaptado de Hassan, M. H. A.
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CGEEs studies
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CGEEs studies
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For a sustainable development
North Central
Amazon Rainforest
North-Northeast coast
Sertão Northeast semi-arid
Midwest
Southwest - South
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Recent government orientation trends,
opportunities and challenges for CGEE

• Macroeconomic stability
• Economic growth with income distribution and
  social inclusion
• Infrastucture investments
• Internationalization
• Science Technology and Innovation as main vectors
  for a sustainable development (National Plan for
  STI)
• Brazil as a Natural Knowlegde Economy
• Future oriented technology analysis as an
  important tool to acomplish these gools

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Other Publications - Available in
http//www.cgee.org.br
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• Thank You!
• Muchas Gracias!
• Muito Obrigada!
• lmelo_at_cgee.org.br

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Compromise with the national priorities on STI n
de CTI e industrialnnnnn
P1 System Expantion
P2 Innovation
P3 Strategic areas
P4 Social Inclusion
National Plan for STI Strategic Priorities
E5 Institutional Development
E1 Innovation And Competitivity
E2 National and Global Challenges
E3 New Frontiers on ST
E4 Strategig Management for STI
CGEE Main lines Of activities
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Brazil country profile
Total area Population GDP (2008) Investment
in ST Scientists and researchers Scientific
papers Car fleet Energy
8.5 million km2 191 million 1.5 US trillion (2
world) 1.2 GDP 200,000 in 2008 2.1 of
world more than 90 of new cars flex 15
renewable source