Philippine Statistical Development Program (PSDP)

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Philippine Statistical Development Program
(PSDP) 2011-2017 Medium-term Expenditure
Framework (MTEF) for Statistics The Philippine
Experience
by Lina V. Castro Interim National Statistician
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014 Strengthening
National Capacities to Bridge Development Data
Gaps Paris, France 2-4 April 2014
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Outline of Presentation

1. Background and MTEF Concept
2. Preliminary results
3. Latest developments in the PSS
4. ASEAN Community Statistical System (ACSS)
   Strategic Plan, 2011-2015 Mid-Term Review

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I. Background and MTEF Concept

• PSDP Assessment (WB, 2010)
• Statistical development not a priority in
  national and local government budget allocation
  no predictability in budget approval process
• Existing government policy biased towards
  attrition
• Exodus of some trained and experienced senior
  statisticians from MSAs
• Dwindling human capital

• Delays in production of key indicators, e.g.,
  from censuses, surveys, etc.
• Data gaps quality gaps capacity gaps
• Inefficient statistical and business processes
• Minimal RD, innovation, and technology use
• Capacity gaps within and between major
  statistical agencies and other data producers

To provide recommendations on how to improve
the preparation, implementation, coordination,
monitoring, and evaluation of the next PSDP
during 2011-16.
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I. Background and MTEF Concept
PSDP goals and broad outcomes
Goal Broad outcome
To deliver better quality statistics in support of evidence-based policymaking, program implementation and monitoring More timely, accessible, coherent, comparable, comprehensive and relevant statistics
To increase user understanding, capacity and trust for wider and rational use of statistics Increased user understanding and rational use of statistics
To enhance capacity of major statistical agencies and other data producers in government at the national and local levels, and to strengthen cooperation of respondents and other data providers for better quality statistics Enhanced statistical capacities of data producers, providers and users
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I. Background and MTEF Concept
PSDP goals and broad outcomes
Goal Broad outcome
To strengthen statistical governance, coordination, and research and development at the national and local levels Improved coherence, effectiveness and efficiency of the statistical system
To increase investment and institutionalize a sustainable resource mobilization strategy for statistics Increased and sustained resources for statistics
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I. Background and MTEF Concept
MTEF defined
MTEF is a management tool that integrates
policymaking, planning, and budgeting.
Medium-term as data is on prospective basis,
e.g., budget year n1, n2,,nm. Rolling annual
process reduces imbalance between what is
affordable and what is demanded. Adjustments are
made through changes in policy thrusts.
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I. Background and MTEF Concept
MTEF defined

• A good MTEF should
• link priorities with a budget that is within
  sustainable spending boundaries
• highlight tradeoffs between competing objectives
  (result of prioritization)
• links budgets with policy choices or intended
  outcomes, and
• improve outcomes by increasing transparency,
  accountability, and the predictability of funding.

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
MTEF goals

• To secure increased resources and to sustain
  investment in statistics that are results-based
  through
• a rationalized and transparent expenditure
  planning and allocation process that is directly
  linked to statistical development outcomes,
• optimal human resource framework, and
• strategies for sustainable financing and resource
  mobilization.

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
MTEF outcomes

• Increased use of statistics in governance
• Availability of quality statistics timely,
  accessible, relevant, reliable, comparable, and
  coherent
• --------------------------------------------------
  ------------
• A good mix of data sources
• stable program of censuses and surveys
• dependable administrative information systems
• Efficient business processes using technology and
  innovation and with quality RD support
• Comparably high level of statistical capacity of
  statistical institutions and other data producers
• Strong, effective policy and coordination
• --------------------------------------------------
  ------------
• Sustained, optimal investment in statistics

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
General principles/considerations
Transparency Predictability Accountability

• PSDP 2011-2017 and international commitments,
  including UNFPOS, MAPS, DDS, BAPS
• Sectoral statistical development plans
• Agency strategic plans
• Rationalization plans

• National development goals
• Government budget policies and guidelines

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
General principles/considerations

• Anchor on data quality assurance framework
• Focus on efficiency of statistical and business
  processes
• Build on past gains
• Rationalize processes
• Highlight institutional building to ensure
  continuity and sustainability
• Prioritize activities

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
MTEF outputs

• Indicative resource requirements of regular and
  developmental activities, as well as reforms
  needed in the PSS, including possibly a human
  resource framework
• By agency and sector
• By administration level
• Analysis of resource gaps
• Multi-year expenditure/investment plan
• Recommendations on interim cost standards for
  selected processes not feasible at this time

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach

• Tier approach in resource analysis and planning
• Resource gap analysis
• Projections based on intended outcomes

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach

• Tier 1 Base case
• Essential or core operational requirements
• Organizational resource requirements to undertake
  core activities and services, e.g. essential
  organic human resources to run core (regular)
  operations and personal services, operating
  expenses, e.g., travel, transportation,
  utilities, and other services
• Direct costs to carry out core activities, e.g.
  designated statistical activities, including
  improvements thereof , priority and critical
  non-designated statistical activities

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach

• Tier 2 Developmental case
• Developmental activities requirements
• Organizational resource requirements, e.g. minor
  augmentation of statistical human resources of
  NGAs and LGUs, training and education on new
  statistical areas relative to capacity level and
  needs of NGAs and LGUs
• Requirements of new and pioneering activities
  e.g. new designated statistical activities or
  major improvement of existing designated
  activities

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach

• Tier 3 Reforms case
• Requirements to achieve medium- to long-term
  vision and goals, e.g., increase ratio of total
  statistics budget to GDP, increased use of
  statistics in governance
• Structural changes, organizational
  expansion/rationalization based on human resource
  framework, e.g., statistician for every
  municipality, creation of statistical units,
  massive expansion of human resources
• Requirements of
• statistical activities for more advanced research
  and other uses
• acquisition of large-scale or high-end technology
• advanced RD including acquisition of physical
  assets such as land, building, and the likes

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach
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I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach
Statistical activities that were costed

• Periodic, pilot, and one-time censuses and
  surveys
• Administrative data systems
• Statistical processes to extract/generate data
  from administrative registration/reporting
  systems, except the civil registration system
  which is covered in full
• Framework and indicators development
• Statistical management and coordination
• Development and maintenance of statistical
  information systems
• Statistical education, training and capacity
  building
• Statistical advocacy
• Research and development
• Technical cooperation and assistance

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I. Background and MTEF Concept
General steps

• Done thru intensive consultations/meetings and
  creation of Adhoc Working Group on Financing
  Statistics
• Define baseline situation and analyze past trends
• Identify core requirements
• Define resource requirements for developmental
  and reforms cases
• Determine available resources
• Analyze resource gaps and reconcile
• Formulate the MTEF which includes a reconciled
  budget and remaining resource gaps, as well as
  recommendations on financing and resource
  mobilization strategies

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II. Preliminary results
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II. Preliminary results
Expenditure for statistics at current prices
appears to have increased in general (smoothed)
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II. Preliminary results
The bulk of expenditure for statistics has been
allocated to primary data collection
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II. Preliminary results
Core expenditure for statistics at current prices
follows the same increasing trend (smoothed)
except in 2012
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II. Preliminary results
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II. Preliminary results
However, as percentage of the GDP, expenditure
for statistics has been on a downtrend both at
current and constant prices
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II. Preliminary results
Statistical human resources in terms of number
have been on steady decline
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II. Preliminary results
Statistical human resources (and thus services)
are getting relatively smaller relative to the
government workforce
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II. Preliminary results
Theoretically, the clientele per statistician has
been expanding
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II. Preliminary results
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III. Latest developments in the PSS
Republic Act No. 10625, otherwise known as The
Philippine Statistical Act of 2013 AN ACT
REORGANIZING THE PHILIPPINE STATISTICAL SYSTEM,
REPEALING FOR THE PURPOSE EXECUTIVE ORDER NUMBER
ONE HUNDRED TWENTY-ONE ENTITLED REORGANIZING AND
STRENGTHENING THE PHILIPPINE STATISTICAL SYSTEM
AND FOR OTHER PURPOSES
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III. Latest developments in the PSS

• The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
• The PSA shall be constituted from among the
  existing personnel of the major statistical
  agencies engaged in primary data collection and
  compilation of secondary data
• National Statistics Office (NSO)
• Technical Staff of the National Statistical
  Coordination Board (NSCB)
• Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS)
• Bureau of Labor and Employment Statistics (BLES)

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IV. ASEAN Community Statistical System (ACSS)
Strategic Plan, 2011-2015 Mid-Term Review

• Objective To identify on-going challenges, new
  challenges and define major thrusts for the
  Strategic Plan 2016-2020
• Engagement Brunei Darussalam and the
  Philippines, with the support of ASEANStats
  conducted a Mid-Term review of the ACSS Strategic
  Plan 2011-2015, identified remaining challenges,
  and future challenges and major thrusts for
  2016-2020
• Activities
• First Draft Mid-Term Review- discussed at the 4th
  ACSS Sub-Committee on Planning and Coordination
  (SCPC) held in Manila, 5-6 June 2013
• 2nd Draft-discussed at the 5th SCPC held in
  Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei Darussalam, 20-22
  August 2013

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IV. ASEAN Community Statistical System (ACSS)
Strategic Plan, 2011-2015 Mid-Term Review

• Broad Strategies
• Institutional strengthening, enhancement of ACSS
  and its sustainability
• Improvement of the response to ASEAN data needs
• Enhancing dissemination and communication,
  visibility and use of statistics
• Catching up and narrowing development gaps

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References

• Philippine Statistical Development Program
  2011-2017, Multi-Year Expenditure Framework for
  the Philippine Statistical System, 29 October
  2012
• Republic Act No. 10625, Philippine Statistical
  Act of 2013

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Mabuhay and Thank you!