Title: ??????? ??????????
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- http//www.yasuienv.net/
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8(No Transcript)
9????
- 1.????
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10??????????
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- UNFCCC(?????????)????
- CBD(???????)???
- UNFCCC??COP15???????????????????
??????????????COP16??????????????? - ???????????????????????
- COP17(??????)?????????????????????
- ??????????????????
111997????????????????????!
- 1989?????????
- 1991??????
- 1992????????
- 1993?EU???
- 1994??????????
- 1997????????
- 2000??????????
- 2002????????????
?????????
???
???
12475ppm ?????????? 475ppm Scenario by NIES
132050??????????????
14??????????????
2050
Japan
152020???????????? 2009?9?2050????????G8??
2007?7?
- 2020? GHG25??(????)
- ????15????????????
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- 2050? ???GHG50??
- ????????
- ???????COP17??
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162050???????
???????
1990??80??
?
- ?????????AIM???????????????????????????????????(?
??)?,H21,12,21.????
17Energy Consumption Kg Oil Eq. per capita
?????? ??????
1994
1973
1987
?????
1960
?????????
GDP per capita (PPP in )
17
18??????????????
2050
Japan
Costa Rica
19??????
20?????????
21?????????
22?????????
232050????????( lt????????????????gt
??????? ????????????????????p4.????
24- 2050??????????(
- lt????????????????gt
- 65?????
- 2005? 20
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- 2050? 40
- 80?????
- 2005? 5
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- 2050? 17
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- 2005?
- 1?3???
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- 2050?
- 9500??
- (25?)
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25???????????? ????????????????
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26??????????????????????????????
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282050??????? ?????????
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3.11???????? ????6???
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?2????? ????????!
?3???????? ???????????????? ?????????????
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???2050? 9300??-a
302013???????????? ??WG
31MTOE
32MtCO2
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40Energy Consumption Kg Oil Eq. per capita
?????? ??????
1994
1973
1987
?????
1960
?????????
GDP per capita (PPP in )
40
41?????COP??
Now gt 6
Trend in COP ????
Introduction Top Runner By METI
????? ????? Self-cleaning Air conditioner
1970 80 90 00
41
42?????????
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?????????? 2010??????4??
32 categories for Air Conditioners 4 from 2010
43?????
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44?????????????
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- 747-400?????
- 747-8??????
- ?????????
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- ??2003?11?
45???????????????
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47??????????2050
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??????????????????????? ???????? 1525?812
50??
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51???? ? ????
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52??????????? by 2020 ?????????????
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53???????? 1.5MW???
?4?9??????????(200?????????? 245??)??????????1????
???? ????????160?kWh ?????500???????????
?????????????1060????? ???????????????(kW)?????
??(kWh)?????? ????????????????1/8?????? ??100?kW
??????????????????? 800?kW(8000MW?)??????????????
????
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? ?2??????????2200????????? (?800?kWh)????????????
?????? 2000??????????????
55???????? ????
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- 8.?????????????????
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56?????????????
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2011?????
57Solid Oxide Fuel CellSOFC
2011?10?17???
????? ????300W2
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http//www.noe.jx-group.co.jp/newsrelease/2011/201
10915_01_0950261.html
58???????? ?????2
- ?.5????10???????
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- ?.20??????? 2030?
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60IEA?? EV?PHV????
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PHV????? 2050???? ?????? ?????????
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66??????????????
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6722??????
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68??????????????
1/3 ? ? ?
2050
Japan
Costa Rica
69???????
7022??????
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87Herman Daly??? 1972? ??????Sustainability
- "???????"????????????, ???????????????????.
- "????????"????????????, ??????????????????????????
??????????. - "????"???????????, ???????????????, ???,
?????????????????.
88?????????????Ultra-Long Term Scope Fossil Fuel
Fossil Fuel Era 500 Years
BC 10,000 AD
10,000
88
89??
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