A Geographic Analysis of Making Connections Movers: Preliminary Results

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A Geographic Analysis of Making Connections
MoversPreliminary Results

• Ned English, Colm OMuircheartaigh, Cathy
  Haggerty,
• and Erika Garcia
• Presented at the Urban Institute 09/07/06

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Introduction

• Making Connections collects longitudinal data
• Households move often
• 33 renters moved in previous year (2003 CPS)
• What are the implications for Making Connections
  and subsequent policy decisions?
• Who, how many move?
• Where, how far do they go?
• Do Making Connections residents move to similar
  areas?
• What do movers tell us?

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Analytical Approach

• Compare original location to destination
• Examine distance
• Analyze neighborhood characteristics of each
• Use quex data to examine categories of movers
• Race/Ethnicity
• Housing tenure (renter or not)
• Nativity (born in US or not)
• Derive information beyond questionnaire
• Implications for survey operations and future
  research interests

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Methodology

• Making Connections maintains addresses for both
  waves
• From list in wave 1
• Located in wave 2
• Employ GIS software to
• Geocode locations based on address
• Calculate distance between both points
• Append census boundaries to each location
• Merge census data and run comparisons using
  statistical software

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Background- Scale of Movement
Site No-Child HHds Moved Child HHds moved Overall HHds Moved
Denver 51.2 64.6 57.2
Indianapolis 43.0 68.2 55.6
Des Moines 45.6 55.0 50.4
San Antonio 27.4 53.5 43.6
42.9 59.8 51.7
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Urbanicity of Destinations
Site Metro All Completes Metro All Completes Beyond County
Denver 97.8 89.7
Indianapolis 99.1 91.7
Des Moines 93.8 64.7
San Antonio 100.0 100.0
97.7 83.1
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Child Mover Complete Destinations
Site Neigh City County Beyond
Denver 21.3 47.2 NA 28.9
Indianapolis 25.5 58.5 5.2 12.4
Des Moines 34.0 43.3 5.2 17.5
San Antonio 55.9 39.8 3.1 1.0
34.0 47.5 3.4 15.1
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Poverty in Origin vs. Destination by Site
Site Median Poverty by Tract Wave 1 Median Poverty by Tract Wave 2
Denver (n 89) 47.7 17.6
Indianapolis (n 106) 27.1 17.9
Des Moines (n 97) 25.7 12.0
San Antonio (n 93) 33.4 28.1

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Poverty in origin vs. Destination by Mover
Characteristics
Characteristics Median Poverty Wave 1 Median Poverty Wave 2
Within Neighborhood (n 131) 30.2 28.1
Within City (n 183) 28.1 13.8
Within County (n 13) 25.6 4.8
Beyond (n 58) 29.6 8.2

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Movers in Denver County, CO and Surrounding Area
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Movers in Polk County, IA and Surrounding Area
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Movers in Marion County, IN and Surrounding Area
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Movers in Bexar County, TX and Surrounding Area
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All Distances- by Category
Site Median Complete (mi) Median NIR (mi) Median Aged-Out (mi)
Denver 2.6 8.3 3.4
Indianapolis 3.1 9.1 3.2
Des Moines 2.4 3.3 2.7
San Antonio 2.5 7.7 12.5
2.5 7.8 3.9
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All Distances- by Race/Ethnicity
Race/Ethnicity Median Complete (mi) Median NIR (mi) Median Aged-Out (mi)
White non-Hispanic 3.9 6.1 2.9
Asian non-Hispanic 2.8 3.7 NA
Other 2.5 12.6 2.3
Hispanic 2.3 7.8 5.4
African American non-Hispanic 2.2 8.3 6.6
2.5 7.8 3.9
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Results- Minority in origin vs. Destination
Tract by Site
Site City Percent Minority Median Minority Wave 1 Median Minority Wave 2
Des Moines (n 97) 20.1 47.0 19.5
Indianapolis (n 109) 32.5 71.3 35.8
Denver (n 89) 48.0 88.9 63.5
San Antonio (n 93) 68.2 97.7 94.1

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Results- Minority in origin vs. Destination by
Mover Characteristics
Characteristics Median Minority by Tract Wave 1 Median Minority by Tract Wave 2
Within Neighborhood (n 131) 92.3 92.3
Within City (n 183) 88.9 48.7
Within County (n 13) 50.3 14.2
Beyond (n 58) 77.0 16.7

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Compare origin and Destination Race/Ethnicity
Race/Ethnicity Wave 1 Poverty Wave 2 Poverty Wave 1 Minority Wave 2 Minority
White non-Hispanic (n 92) 26.0 10.2 39.4 13.7
African American non-Hispanic (n 95) 27.5 20.8 88.9 59.5
Hispanic (n 163) 32.9 25.7 94.1 84.1
Asian non-Hispanic (n 6) 17.0 9.6 69.2 21.0
Other (n 29) 29.6 16.0 92.3 71.4

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Compare origin and Destination by Housing Tenure
Housing Tenure Wave 1 Poverty Wave 2 Poverty Wave 1 Minority Wave 2 Minority
Own (n 46) 26.3 10.4 76.9 26.1
Other (n 339) 30.2 21.2 88.9 60.9

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Compare origin and Destinationby Nativity
Country of Birth Wave 1 Poverty Wave 2 Poverty Wave 1 Minority Wave 2 Minority
US (n 314) 29.6 19.6 88.9 55.6
Other (n 71) 27.5 22.0 88.9 61.0

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Wave 2 Percent Poverty by Distance Moved- Denver
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Wave 2 Percent Poverty by Distance Moved- Des
Moines
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Wave 2 Percent Poverty by Distance Moved-
Indianapolis
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Wave 2 Percent Poverty by Distance Moved- San
Antonio
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Poverty by distance moved
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Wave 2 Percent Minority by Distance Moved-
Indianapolis
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Wave 2 Percent Minority by Distance Moved-
Martindale-Brightwood
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Wave 2 Percent Minority by Distance Moved-
Southeast Indianapolis
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Wave 2 Percent Minority by Distance Moved-
Indianapolis
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Next Steps

• Additional Directions
• Remaining sites
• Neighborhood level
• Block Group-level data
• Data beyond Census 2000
• Crime data
• Schools characteristics and test scores
• Integration with neighborhood sketches
• Did people leave their drawn neighborhoods?
• How do drawn neighborhoods compare to tract-level
  measures?
• Analysis of other questionnaire data e.g.
  hardship, economic sections
• Literature review of theory
• Thinking ahead to wave 3