????????

1
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• ???????????????????
• (?)??????????????????http//www.yasuienv.net/
• 560??????HP

2
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• ?????????????????
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• ????????????????????????????
• ????????????????????????2/3????????
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3
??????????!

• ???????
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4
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• ???????????????
• ?????????????200????????????????
• ??????????????????
• ????????????????????
• ?????????????????????????????????????????????????
• ???????????????????????????????????

5
??????????

• 2008-2012???????
• 2013-2020???????
• 2030-2050GHG????
• 2050-2100?????????
• 2100-2300??????????
• 2300- ?????????

6
?????????????50?Cool Earth 50 by P.Minister Abe

• 5?24??2007????????????May 24, 2007. "Asia in
  the Future"
• ??????50? ??????50 ??? 2050????"Cool Earth 50"
  Halve GHG by 2050.
• ???????G8???????? Basic Agreement in
  Heiligendamm G8
• ?????????????
• ?????????????????????????????

7
???????????????

• ????2050??????????????????50???????????????????UN
  FCCC?????????????????????UNFCCC???????????????????
  ???????????????

8
2050??????Schematic Drawing up to 2050
MtCO2
????
World Energy Outlook 2006
Half
Goal
9
??????3???
???? ????????? ???????
????? ?????? ??????
??????? ?????????
?????EU ????? ???
?????? ??????? ????
?????????? ?????
???3? ????? ???? ????? ?????? ?????
?????????? ?????????
?????? ???????
10
????????????

• 1979? ????? ??????
• 1989? ????????????
• 1991? ?????
• 1992? ???????????
• 1997? ?????
• 2000? ?????????
• 2002? ???????????
• 2008? ???G8????

11
???????

• ??????????????????
• ??????????
• ?????????????????
• ????1800????????????????????????2?????4.5?????????
  ??????????????????

12
475ppm ?????????? 475ppm Scenario by NIES
13
IPCC?4??????
?????? ???????? ???? ??????? ???????
14
IPCC??????
????????? ??????????2????????????
???
2?
IPCC??????3??????????? 2???????????????????470ppm?
??
15
?????????????Climate Impacts in Developing
Countries

• 1???? Andes Water
• ?????????????? ??????
• 2???? Africa Water, Mediterranean Water
• ???????????
• ??2030??
• ??????????????
• ?????????
• 3???? South Europe Drought, Amazon Tropic Forest
• ???????????????????
• 4???? Russia Tundra
• ?????????????
• 5???? Whole World Sea Level Rise
• ????

16
???????????????
17
Total CO2 Emission(Global)
Now
JAPAN
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070
2080
18
Total CO2 Emission(Global)
Now
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070
2080
19
Total Emission of GHG (Global)
Now
GLOBAL
COUNTRIES
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070
2080
19
20
2050??????Schematic Drawing up to 2050
??? ??????14 _at_2000?
MtCO2
?????
23 1
World Energy Outlook 2006
????
Half
1 1
Goal
????
?????????????????????
21
2050??????Schematic Drawing up to 2050
??? ??????14 _at_2000?
MtCO2
?????
????
23 1
World Energy Outlook 2006
Half
1 1
Goal
????
?????????????????????
22
Sustainability???

• 1972? ????????
• 1987? ?????????
• 1992? ???????
• 2000? ?????????
• Millennium Development Goals
• 2002? ???????????

23
Sustainability ???

• ?????????????????
• 1987???????????
• ????????????????????????????????????????????????!
  ?
• 1992??????????????????????21???????????

24
Millennium Development Goals

• ?????????(2000?9?)?????????????????????
• ????????????
• 2015??????????1990??????????????????

25
8????? in MDG

• 1.????????
• 2.??????????
• 3.????????????
• 4.??????????
• 5.?????
• 6.HIV/???????????
• 7.?????????????
• 8.??????????????

26
??????? UN Prospect of World Population
27
(No Transcript)
28
(No Transcript)
29
2050?GHG?????

• ???GHG 70??
• ????????????????????30?????
• ??????????????50
• ?????????????????
• ????????????????CCS

30
CO2????GDP???CO2 vs. GDP per Capita
Norway
Japan
30
31
Energy Consumption Oil Equivalent Ton/Capita
CO2 Emission Ton/Capita
32
2050
Japan
Costa Rica
33
???????????

• ????????
• ???
• ?????????
• ?????????
• ??????????

34
Energy Consumption Kg Oil Eq. per capita
?????? ??????
1994
1973
1987
?????
1960
?????????
GDP per capita (PPP in )
34
35
?????COP??
Now gt 6
Trend in COP ????
Introduction Top Runner By METI
????? ????? Self-cleaning Air conditioner
1970 80 90 00
35
36
?????????
?????????? ????????? ??????? ??????????????
?????????? 32?? 2010??????4??
32 categories for Air Conditioners 4 from 2010
37
????2.0 2020?????EcoTech 2.0 from 2020

• ??????2??????????Improve Efficiency at least by
  the factor of 2
• ???????????? Heat Pump Technology
• ???????????? Hybrid Vehicle (Plug-in)
• ??? Next Candidates
• ?????????? Pure Electric Vehicle
• ???????? Micro-Grid w/Fuel Cell
• ???LED LED Light
• ??????EL???????? Organic EL, Laser TV

37
???????
38
???????????????

• ?????????????
• ????????? CCD????1/2inch??
• ??? 700?????????? ? ?1200???
• ?? ISO200 ?????? ? ??ISO6400
• ?????????
• ??????f2.8??28mm???????
• ????????
• ????? ?????????????
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• ?????32??????????????
• ????????178?

39
????????????

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• ???????????????OS(????)???????????OS???
• ???????????????

?????????? ????????????
iPhone???????? ???????????
40
(No Transcript)
41
??????????????10??? ????????? ?????????????????
Not Enough. Need to halve Weight?
??????????? Pure Electric or Plug-in?
42
Bio-energy Energy Profit Ratios
?????
????
??????
??
????
???
by Harro von Blottnitz and Mary Ann Curran  
IPCC AR4 WG3???????????? Necessity of 2nd
Generation Biofuel
42
43
??????????????

• 2010????????????????
• ?????????????????????????????????
• ??????100????
• ?????????????????????????

44
?????
??????
45
VW?100km/L??

• http//wiredvision.jp/news/200807/2008070722.html
• ????300kg
• ??1.3m
• ????
• ??? 1L
• ?????????
• ???????2?????????????
• ?? 340500?? ??!

46
???????

• ?????????????????
• ???????????????

????????????????????No.1
47
????????????

• ?????747??? 1969?
• 747-400?????
• 747-8??????
• ?????????
• ??? 1969?
• ??2003?11?

48
???????????????

• ??????????

??????lt2
???????? /?????????
???????10 ?????????10? ??????????????
YS-11 ???????
49
?????? MRJ ? HondaJet
???????????????
50
?????
?????777 ???
?????747 ????????
??????
51
????????????
??????????????
NaS???????

• ???????????
• ? 50Hz?60Hz? ??????????
• ???????????????
• ? ???????? ????

52
???????????

• ????????(80110V)???????!
• ??????????????????????????(???????80)
• ????????????????????????????!
• ????????????????

TOTO?,????????700W???? ??????????(SOFC)?????? ????
???????2008??????? ????????
53
??????????
??EL
????TV
54
????????
????? ????????? DL-GZ20 ??
????????? ?????????
55
??????????
????????????????
??EL
????TV
56
??????????
???? ????? ?????30km
57
?????????????

• ?????
• ????????
• ???????????!

??-??????????7602kg (by COJ)
58
?????????

• ????????????
• ?????????????????
• ????????????????
• ?????????????

59
2050??????Schematic Drawing up to 2050
MtCO2
IEA?????
?????
23 1
World Energy Outlook 2006
Half
1 1
Goal
????
?????????????????????
60
??? ??????? 1950- International Iron And Steel
Institute
14 ??? 10??? 8???
1950 1970 1990 2000
61
???????? ???Steel Stock in Japan 1000ton
62
(No Transcript)
63
??????? ??????

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64
????????????
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65
????????????????

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66
?????

• ?????????????????????
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• ??????????????????????????????
• ????????????????
• ??????
• ??????????????????

67
??????GDP(PPP)?????????(kgOE)Provide "Tunneling
Route to China, India etc."
kg
GPD per capital 2000 const. PPP
68
???????
??????? ????
?????????????????
???
???
????
69
???????????

• ????????
• ????????????
• ???1970???????
• 1970????????????????
• ???????????????????????

70
???? 20???21??Images 20th and 21st century
???21???????
?????????? ??????????
71
??????????? ????????? ????
?????????????????????
Population
72
Herman Daly??? 1972? ??????Sustainability

• "???????"????????????, ???????????????????.
• "????????"????????????, ??????????????????????????
  ??????????.
• "????"???????????, ???????????????, ???,
  ?????????????????.

73
??????????? ????????? ????
?????????????????????
????????? ????????
Population
74
?????????????Ultra-Long Term Scope Fossil Fuel
Fossil Fuel Era 500 Years
BC 10,000 AD
10,000
74
75
?????????Scenario for Long Term Sustainability
Human Activity
??????????????High Energy Intensity Scenario
????????????????
???????
Capacity of Earth
300???
100????????????
2000
2300
1800
Natural Reduction of Global Population
75
76
??????3???
???? ????????? ??? ???????
????? ?????? ??????
??????? ?????????
?????EU ????? ???
?????? ??????? ????
?????????? ?????
???????? ???????? ???????
???3? ????? ???? ????? ?????? ?????
?????????? ?????????
?????? ???????
77
1979????? ??1

• ??????????????
• ???70????????????
• ???????????????
• 1967???2000??????????????????????
• ????????????????????

78
1979
1979
79
1979
1979
80
1994
1987
1973
1960
81
1979?????

• 3?28? - ???????????????????????????
• 7?16? - ?????????????????????????????
• 9?7? - ?1??????????(????????????)
• 12?24? - ????????????????
• ???????????????

82
Energy Consumption Kg Oil Eq. per capita
Korea
GDP per capita (PPP in )
83
?????????????????????????

• 2008?7?28?????
• ??????????????????????????????????????????????????
  ?????????????????????????

84
???????

• Cap????Must????
• ???????RPS?????????
• ???????????????
• ??????????????
• ????????????????????????

85
?????2050??CO2??????????????

• ??????6080??????
• ???4020??????????
• ????????????????
• ???????
• ?????????????
• ????????????????????????????????
• ?????????????
• ???ODA?