Prof. Gh. Marmureanu - Project Manager

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GUVERNUL ROMANIEI


Project DACEA DAnube Cross-border system
for Earthquakes Alert


Prof. Gh. Marmureanu - Project Manager
The Sustainable Innovation, Romania, November
29,2012
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Project title DAnube Cross-border system for Earthquakes Alert
Lead partner (PL). National Institute of Research and Development for Earth Physics
Priority axis no. 2. Environment
Key Area of Intervention 2. Development of joint infrastructure and services to prevent the impact of natural and man-made crises, including joint emergency response services
Partners 2. Geophysical Institute of Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
3. OLTENIA DOLJ COUNTY INSPECTORATE FOR EMERGENCY SITUATIONS
4. Association of the Danube River Municipalities Danube
5. The Foundation for Democracy, Culture and Liberty, Calarasi Branch
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The innovative aspects of this early warning
system  is that it   can make a substantial
contribution to overall risk reduction objectives
by enabling vulnerable groups to take timely
action to mitigate loss and damage in advance of
an impending hazard event. Integration of early
warning system into real-time information systems
turns out to be a crucial step and essential tool
to mitigate the impact of strong earthquakes  on
urban environment in this part of World.
COMMISSION OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES

Brussels,23.2.2009

COM(2009) 82 final A
Community approach on the prevention of natural
and man-made disasters
Section 3.2.4
Reinforcing early warning tools
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• The ability of citizens and policy makers to
  mitigate disasters depends, to a great extent, on
  access to reliable early warning tools by
• ? Reducing alert times of early warning systems
• ?Continuing the cooperation with the southern
  Mediterranean countries that aims at improving
  the access of existing early warning systems to
  real time information
• 
  COMMISSION OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES
• 
  
  Brussels,23.2.2009
• 
  COM(2009) 82 final
• A Community approach on
  the prevention of natural and man-made disasters
• Section
  3.2.4 Reinforcing early warning tools

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The recent stress and strain pattern in the
Central Mediterranean Area
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The strain transfer from the active
Adriatic,Aegean and Vrancea deformation fronts
through the ALCADI-Pannonian System
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Conditions for earthquake warning system -High
seismic activity -Small epicenter area 30 x 70
kmp -Seismic information from long time
Vrancea seismicity !
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Earthquakes in the Carpathian-Pannonian region
are confined to the crust, except the Vrancea
zone, where earthquakes with focal depth down to
200 km occur. For example, the ruptured area
migrated from 150 km to 180 km (Nov. 10,1940
Vrancea earthquake, Mw 7.7), from 90 to 110 km
(March 4, 1977 earthquake, Mw 7.4),from 130 to
150 km (Aug. 30, 1986, Mw 7.1) and from 70 to
90 km (May 30,1990, Mw 6.9) depth.The depth
interval between 110 km and 130 km remains not
ruptured since 1802, Oct. 26, when it was the
strongest earthquake occurred in this part of
Central Europe. The magnitude is assumed to be
Mw 7.9 - 8.0 and this depth interval is a
natural candidate for the next strong Vrancea
event. The strong seismic events originating from
Vrancea area can generate the most destructive
effects experienced in Romania and Bulgaria, and
may seriously affect high risk man-made
structures such as nuclear power plants
(Cernavoda, Kozloduj etc.),chemical plants, large
dams, and pipelines located within a wide area
from Central Europe to Moscow or to Rome. More,
Vrancea type of seismicity is nowhere else
observed on earth 1.
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The 1977, Mw7.4 Vrancea earthquake, h95 km,
IBUCHAREST IX½ MSK IRUSSE IX MSK
High dynamic amplification at long periods,
dangerous for high buildings, that makes
Bucharest the most dangerous capital city of
Europe
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In Romania 1578 dead and 11,321 injured (90 of
dead and injured 67 of Bucharest), 36 blocks in
Bucharest, fell to the ground, 32,900 houses
collapsed or severely damaged 35,000 families
homeless, tens of thousands of buildings damaged,
many other damage and destruction in the industry
and economy etc. On territory of Bulgaria 285
dead and injured, 8470 buildings partially
destroyed and ruined etc.
What can be done?
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Objectives
Prevention of the natural disasters generated
by earthquakes in cross- border area
Romania-Bulgaria, developing the early warning
integrated communication network and capacity
building at local level based on results of
research in this field Assessment of the
seismic risk degree and the earthquakes effects
in the Romania Bulgaria cross-border area,
based on the updating of the current
database existed in the two countries specialized
institutions and on the geological,
economical and social particularities To
develop and implement an integrated seismic
detection network with ITC facilities for
risk assessment and risk scenarios Increase
the capacity at local institutions/emergency
intervention units for joint response
activities in the case of disasters based on a
efficient preparedness for citizens and
local institutions hospitals, schools,
businesses in cross-border area

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BUDGET
TOTAL / partner Lead partner Partner 2 Partner 3 Partner 4 Partner 5
5,706,096.00 4,757,926.00 347,700.00 0.00 68,700.00 531,770.00
ESTIMATED ELIGIBLE EXPEDITURE CALENDAR
Reimbursement Total Total
  Approved Accomplished Estimate
Reimbursement 1- 5 4,076,851 58,5051.81
Reimbursement  6-10 1,629,245 5,121,044.19
Total 5,706,096
Obs. There have been delays in the tender for
equipment Value for equipment 3,673, 350 Euro
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TIME of Vrancea earthquake alert !
EWS is based on the difference between speed of S
and P seismic waves and data transmission speed.
Usually it is a time period ranging from several
seconds to 1.00 minute.
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Earthquakes at depths h150 km, 29 sec. the
warning time for Bucharest
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Early Warning System for Deep Strong Vrancea
Eartquakes (EWS) NIEP
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EWS for irradiator nuclear installation from
Bucharest- Magurele
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EWS and Shake Map Location in seismic risk
management, in security of critical
infrastructure systems as a system of
systems in cross boder area !
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FLOW DIAGRAM OF EARTHQUAKE DISASTER INFORMATION
DANGEROUS FACILITIES (SWITCH OFF)
EEWS NIEP
NDC Earthquake
parameters

LOCAL AUTHORITY LOCAL GOVERNMENT CIVIL PROTECTION

• PUBLIC
• Alert
• Information

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Warning using RDS-FM
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The NIEP command room from Bucharest
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• PLANUL NATIONAL DE CERCETARE,DEZVOLTARE SI
  INOVARE 2007-2013, PNII
• Program PARTENERIATE
• Subprogram Proiecte Colaborative de Cercetare
  Aplicativa
• Bridging the gap between seismology and
  earthquake engineering. From the seismicity of
  Romania towards refined implementation of seismic
  action of European Norm EN 1998-1 in earthquake
  resistant design of buildings
• 
  Project Director Prof.Gh.Marmureanu
• 
  Contract
  nr.72/2012-2015 3.524.500 lei
• 1.Institutul National pentru Fizica
  Pamantului
• 2.Univ.Tehnica de
  Contructii Bucuresti
• 3.Urban -INCERC
  Bucuresti
• 4. AEDIFICIA CARPATI
  S.A.

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• ?In the EU strategy ,the Commission and the
  Council of the European Union have identified
  standardization as a key instrument for
  improvement in order to foster innovation
  (Brussels, 11.3.2008,COM(2008) 133 final-Towards
  an increased contribution from standardization
  to innovation to Europe).
• ?A stronger role for standardization in support
  of innovation is important for the Europe effort
  to address economic, environmental and social
  challenges.
• ?Refined implementation of seismic action of
  European Norm EN 1998-1 in earthquake resistant
  design of building in Romania area has a
  dimension of public interest, in particular
  whenever issues of safety, health, security and
  of the environment are at stake.
• ?In addition the standard-setting process needs
  to be in line with EC 8 European competition
  provisions.

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• Innovative aspects of the project
• ?The scientific WPs of the project pursue several
  objectives which are innovative from a scientific
  and/or techno-logical point of view. The general
  objective of the project is to enhance the
  capability ofand real seismology to mitigate
  the effects of the incoming destructive waves on
  structures and the increase the efficiency of
  emergency management. The objective requires
  research at the frontier of seismology, nonlinear
  seismology etc.
• ?However, dynamic standardization in earthquake
  engine-ering by taking into consideration the
  last data and new knowledge in seismology,earth
  physics and engineering seismology fields is an
  important enabler of innovation as follows

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• (a)-New seismic hazard standards in Romania will
  express the state of the art give innovators a
  level playing field facilitating interoperability
  and competition between new and already existing
  ones. New standards provide designers with trust
  in the safety and performance of new products
• (b)-The development of new seismic hazard
  standards in Romania is also necessary to
  accompany the emergence of new operators and
  corporations from Europe and the introduction of
  complex design and construction systems
  compatible with deep Vrancea earthquakes and
  crustal ones from other countries
• (c)-The use of new seismic hazard standards in
  Romania will contribute to diffusing knowledges
  and facilitating the application of technologies
  and this may then trigger new innovations, in
  particular nontechnological innovations in the
  management sector, new values-added to European
  Community.

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• a).Acceleratia maxima a terenului PGA si
  acceleratia de varf efectiva a terenului EPA
• EPA SAmax / 2.5
• b).Viteza maxima a terenului PGV si viteza de
  varf a terenului EPV
• EPV SVmax / 2.5

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• Spectral amplification factors (SAF). Damping
  ?5 .
• Earthquake Comp. Sa(g)max Sa(g)max /amax
  Sv(m/s)max Sv(m/s)max/vmax
• .
• Aug.30,1986 N-S 0.193 3.74
  24.10 5.56
• MW7.1131 km Z 0.203 3.14
  22.58 8.33
• E-W 0.261
  4.05 23.60 5.82
• .
• May 30,1990 N-S 0.398 3.65
  31.77 3.23
• MW6.9 90km Z 0.153 2.83
  20.11 2.76
• E-W 0.488
  4.75 38.16 3.89
• .
• May 31,1990 N-S 0.173 3.41
  12.43 2.15
• MW6.479km Z 0.050 3.43
  12.51 9.55
• E-W 0.293
  5.75 23.35 8.11

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• The innovation is in fact the magnet ...
• and the business is coming to innovation !
• Thank you
• for your attention !