Mobility and the City

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Mobility and the City

• Group 4
• Yasmine El Alj
• Martin Lehner
• Daniel Schmidbaur
• Emily Sterzin
• Ryan Tam
• Alexander Weis
• Ryan Welsh
• Shiro Yamanaka

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The Task

• Develop different scenarios of mobility for the
  future (2050)
• City planning
• Mobility networks

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Criteria of Good Mobility

• Assumptions
• Focus on developed countries
• Mobility (freedom to travel) is a good thing
• Criteria of Good Mobility
• Connectivity
• Affordability
• Accessibility
• Sustainability

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Current Issues

• Congestion
• Capacity limits infrastructure
• Individual vs community planning
• Ageing population
• Environmental degradation
• Lack of connectivity

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Scenarios

• Base case
• Extrapolation of current trends with incremental
  changes
• Energy revolution
• Find a new source of clean, affordable energy
• Dawn of a dark age
• Energy crisis, oil supply exhausted

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Scenarios
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Base Case

• Cities organized in self-sufficient communities /
  decentralization
• City infrastructure based on underground highways
  and more space for pedestrian areas, bike lanes
• Intracity transportation
• Car sharing
• Small, fuel efficient cars
• Services aimed at aging population
• Intercity passenger transportation based on high
  speed rail and air travel but capacity has to be
  increased
• Increase of efficiency of cargo shipping
• Flexible, personalized travelling by IT solutions

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Energy Revolution

• New form of energy replaces the internal
  combustion engine
• Urban form
• Sprawl increases
• Outer city centers grow
• Transportation
• Short term more individual travel
• Automated highways may increase capacity
• Long term congestion increases use of mass
  transport increases
• Lifestyle
• People continue to travel more
• Congestion pricing used to reduce trips
  (polarization of society)

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Dawn of a New Dark Age

• Assumption Oil supplies exhausted
• Urban form
• Development of more compact cities
• Aggregation around mass transit
• Parking, highway space available for other uses
• Geographical and social segregation
• Transportation
• Shift to forms of mass transit
• Fewer and shorter trips (less VMT)
• Less individual travel
• Lifestyle
• Reduction in car ownership
• Staggered work hours Leisure travel drops

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Outlook

• New modes of mass transportation could emerge
• Flying cars
• Teleportation

• Problems
• Car accidents become more fatal
• Buffer congestion / overrun problems

• Congestion will still affect mobility

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