1
??-??????????????
???? (???????) ?????? ???????? ???????????????? ?
?????????????
??2????2006?6?19?
2
???????
2005???? ???????? 20?????????? 2006??
21?????????? SEIB-DGVM???
??
??(??)
??
20?????????
??????? (SEIB-DGVM)
21???CO2??
3
???????
20?????-?????????
??????????????????
21????????????????????
Sim-CYCLE?MATSIRO?????????? Land use
change??????????????(?)
ECRP?????G?????????????
2005??FRCGC????????(A???) ?
???????????????(???)???? ? 6/8??????????????
4
???????
750
??? ?????? ?????? 5.5 ?????? 1.1 ??? ?? 3.2 ?
? 2.0 ?????? 1.4 (1980-1989, PgC yr-1)
2190
Schimel(1995)
?? 20????????????????!!
5
20??????????????????
NPP?HR???5-7???? NEP?????? ????????? LUC?????
?????????????? ?LUC????
???? NPP(?????), HR(????????), NEP(??????) and
NEP-LUCefflux(???????????)
6
SST, CO2????????
NPP?????CO2-control???????? ?
NPP???CO2??????????? HR?????SST-control???????
?HR???CO2?SST??????????????
7
???CO2??
1?
7?
?????CO2?? (ppmv 1999)
8
?????????CO2???????
a) BRW (N71.3, W156.6)
b) CBA (N55.2, W162.7)
????????????????????????? ???????????? ?????????
?????????????????
c) MLO (N19.5, W155.6)
Atmospheric CO2 concentration (ppmv)
d) SMO (S14.3, W170.6)
e) BHD (S41.4, W174.9)
f) SPO (S89.2, W24.8)
Year
9
??????????CO2???????
Table. ?????? (1980-1989 PgC/yr)
??? Houghton (2003)
???? 5.4 5.4
?? -2.2 -1.7
????? -0.5 -2.4
?????? 0.6 2.0
Total 3.3 3.3
??????CO2?? (ppmv 1959-1999)
Total????????? ?????CO2??????? ????????????????
? ????????????
10
????????????????
CO2???????????????1-2?????????? ? Keeling??
????? ????????HR?????? CO2???????????NCB??????
???????? CO2??????
a)
CO2 anomaly
Temperature (oC)
CO2 concentration (ppmv)
Temp. anomaly
b)
HR
Carbon flux (Pg C yr-1)
NPP
NCB
Year
11
CO2????????? ????????????????
a)
Temperature anomaly
NiNO3
CO2???????18-21????????????????
Correlation coefficient
b)
HR
NPP
NCB
Lagged months from CO2 anomaly
12
???
???????????????20????????????????????????????????
????? 20????NPP?HR???5-7???????????NEP??????????
?????????????????????? 20?????????????????????C
O2???????????????????????????????????????????

13
21????????????????????
??????
21??????????
SEIB-DGVM???
?????????????? ????????????????? ?
???????????? ? MATSIRO??????????? ?
?????????????????? ????????????????
??????????
14
??
AGCM
ua, va, Ta, qa, Ps, Prec, Rad?
ua, va, Ta, qa, Ps, Prec, Rad?
E, H,t Rad?
MATSIRO
Sim-CYCLE
Ts, Tg
Wg
15
???
AGCM
ua, va, Ta, qa, Ps, Prec, Rad?
ua, va, Ta, qa, Ps, Prec, Rad?
E, H,t Rad?
MATSIRO
Sim-CYCLE
Ts, Tg
Water Balance
Photo- synthesis
Photo- synthesis
Wg
gc
16
MATSIRO?Sim-CYCLE????????
????????
MATSIRO
Sim-CYCLE
SEIB-DGVM
0m
0m
0m
1
0.05m
0-0.1m
2
1
1
0-0.5m
0.25m
0.3m
0.5m
3
0.6m
1m
2
0.5-1.5m
0.1-2m
2
1.5m
4

??????
2m
3
1.5-3m
Rooting depth
??????
2.7m
PFT type??????
3m
5
??????????????? ????????????MATSIRO??????????
4m
17
MATSIRO?Sim-CYCLE????????
????????
MATSIRO
Sim-CYCLE
PFTs 14 types
PFTs 20 types
????????????
???? ????????? ????????
18
Land use change??????????????(?)
21????LUC??????????????????????????LUC???????????
? ????IMAGE group?????????????????? NIES
group??????????????? ? ????????????
? Jamstec??????????????
LUC???????????
IMAGE group (Bas Eickhout RIVM/Netherland) SAGE
group (Rammunkutty and Foley Univ.
Wisconsin) NIES group (????? NIES)
19
ECRP?????G?????????????(6/8)
????? ????????????? ?????????? ????????????? ?????
???? ?????????????? ??????????????????
????????????
20
????????????
??
????????????????????????????????????????????????
????????????????????????????? 3??????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????????????H17?
????????????? ??????????????????????????????????
???????????????? ????????????????????????????????
21
??????????1(???????)
1.?????????? DGVM????????????????????
????????? ??????????????????????????
????????????????? 2.???????????????
????????????????????????? ???????????????????
??????? ??????????????????????????
???????????? ??????????????????????????
????????????????? ??????????????????????????
???????????????????????? ???????????????????
?????????? ????????????????????
22
??????????2(????????)
3.????????? ?????????????????????????????
??FRCGC???????????????????????
???????????????????????????
?????????????????? ????????????????????????????
? ?????????????????? 4.????????????
???????????????(C4MIP?)?????????
?????????????????????????????
?????????????????? ????????????????????????????
? ????????????? ??????????????????ECRP?????
???? ????????????????????????????
23
??????
??????????????(ECRP) ????????????(GL?????)
??????????(SL????) ????????????????
? Sim-CYCLE???? ??????????(SL????)
?????????? ? SEIB-DGVM???
?????????????????????????????????!
24
1.??????(?????????)
??????????? ???????????? ??? ????????????
???????? ?????????
GPPDI data (Zheng et al. 2003)
25
2. ???????????
Sim-CYCLE??????????
????

??????

???????????????!
26
??????????????
?????? ??G?????????????? ??G???????????????
???? ??????????? ?????PAR??????????
?????? ?????????????????????
????G????????????????? ????G????N2O????????
27
??????????????
?????????????GHG??(??) ???????????????GHG??(??)?
PAR(??) ????S1?????????? ???3???????
????? CO2????????
S-1 18 sites
Asiaflux 9 sites
CREST etc. 11 sites
Japan site total 38 sites

Koflux, Chinaflux (20 sites)
28
?????????????
?????(LAI) ????????LAI???(????SLA,
????????????) ??(MODIS)?????? ??????LAI?????
?????????SLA???
Data by P.J.Baruah (IIS, U.Tokyo)
29
??????????????????? ????????????
???????????(JST-SORST)
30
????????????????
????????
31
3. ?????????
??????? ????????-??-?????????????? ?????????????
?????????? ?????????????????????? ????? ????????
???????(????????) 20-21???????????????????? ????
???? ???PAR???????????????????? MODIS?????????CO
2????? (JST-SORST)
32
4. ??????
??????????????/???? ??????????????????????? ????
??????????????????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????????????????
?????????????????????????????????????