????:?????????????; http://www.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbas03/bs8/dbase/data.htm?

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• 93.02.20

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?????,???????????????,??????, ????????(???2-1)?
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?2-1?????????
?? ???????() ????? () ??? () ?????? (??)
1960s 9.15 4.90 3.98 143
1970s 10.23 9.53 1.7 360
1980s 8.15 4.64 1.23 2,155
1990s 6.37 2.88 1.67 7,413
2000-2003 3.33 0.035 4.61 12,609
????????????????? http//www.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbas0
3/bs8/dbase/data.htm?
4
??? ????????
?2-2????????
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1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
?? 4.9 4.5 4.2 4 4.7 5.8 6.0
?? 3.4 4.1 4.7 4.7 5 5.4 4.9(12?)
?? 11.5 11.1 10.5 9.6 9.4 9.8 10.4(12?)
?? 12.3 11.5 10.8 9.5 8.7 9 9.6(11?)
?? 5.3 4.5 4.2 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.1
??? 11.7 11.8 11.4 10.6 9.5 9 9.0(1-3?)
?? 2.7 2.7 2.9 3 4.6 5.2 4.99
?? 2.6 6.8 6.4 4.2 3.8 3.1 3.4
???? 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.6 4.0
?? 2.2 4.7 6.2 4.9 5.1 7.3 7.3(12?)
??? 1.8 3.2 3.5 3.1 3.3 4.4 4.5(1-3?)
???? 2.6 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.6 3.5
?? 3.5 4.8 4.2 3.6 3.9 2.5 2.9(1-3?)
?? 4.7 17.1 6.4 6.2 8.1 9.1
?????????????? http//www.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbas03/bs5/quarter/??16.xls?CEIC????????????????????? ?????????????? http//www.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbas03/bs5/quarter/??16.xls?CEIC????????????????????? ?????????????? http//www.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbas03/bs5/quarter/??16.xls?CEIC????????????????????? ?????????????? http//www.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbas03/bs5/quarter/??16.xls?CEIC????????????????????? ?????????????? http//www.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbas03/bs5/quarter/??16.xls?CEIC????????????????????? ?????????????? http//www.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbas03/bs5/quarter/??16.xls?CEIC????????????????????? ?????????????? http//www.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbas03/bs5/quarter/??16.xls?CEIC????????????????????? ?????????????? http//www.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbas03/bs5/quarter/??16.xls?CEIC?????????????????????
5
?2-3??????????
??
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003(p)
?? 3.2 3.6 2.5 3.1 3.9 1.2 1.8 2.6
?? 3.6 4.4 4.3 4.1 3.8 0.3 2.2 3.1
?? 3.5 1.8 -1.1 0.1 2.8 0.4 -0.4 2.7
?? - - 2.9 2.6 3.3 1.7 1.0 0.8
?? 6.1 6.7 4.6 5.4 5.9 -2.2 3.6 3.2
??? 7.6 8.5 -0.8 6.4 9.9 -2.1 2.2 0.8
?? 6.8 5.0 -6.7 10.9 9.3 3.0 6.3 2.5
?? 4.5 5.0 -5.3 3.0 10.5 0.1 2.1
???? 9.6 8.8 7.8 7.1 8.0 7.3 8.0 9.1
?? 5.9 -1.4 -10.5 4.5 4.7 1.9 5.4 6.4
???? 8.6 7.3 -7.4 6.1 8.3 0.4 4.1 4.8
??? 5.8 5.2 -0.6 3.3 4.5 3.2 4.4 4.5
?? 8.0 4.9 -13.1 0.8 4.8 3.3 3.7 4.1
????IMF?IFS??OECD?DRI-WEFA?Internal Economy
Dynamic Index 2002 forecast data? ???????????????
????????
6
??? ????????????

• ?????????,???????GDP??????????

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?2-1?????GDP???
?????????????????????????? http//www.moea.gov.
tw/meco/stat/four/b-3.htm
7
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8
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?2-2???????????????
????(1)?????????(2)??????????(3)?????????????? h
ttp//www.moea.gov.tw/meco/stat/four/d-3.htm
9

• ?????????????????????????????,
• ??????4.8,???????????????????
• ???????????,?????????????????????,
• ?43.8,?????

?2-3????????
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?2-4????????
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11
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?2-5?????????????
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?? (?) ?? (???) ?????? (???) ?????????? () ??? (?) ???? (???) ???? (???)
1991 237 1.74 73.48 9.52 3,884? 35.37? 11.05?
1992 264 2.47 93.56 21.78 6,430 55.43 10.50
1993 ??? 1,262 11.40 90.33 40.71 10,948 99.65 31.39
1993 ????8,067 20.28 10,948 99.65 31.39
1994 934 9.62 103.02 37.31 6,247 53.95 33.91
1995 490 10.93 223.00 44.61 4,778 57.77 31.62
1996 383 12.29 320.95 36.21 3,184 51.41 34.75
1997 ??? 728 16.15 221.78 35.82 3,014 28.14 32.89
1997 ???? 7,997 27.20 3,014 28.14 32.89
12

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1998 ??? 641 15.19 236.97 31.55 2,970 29.82 29.15
1998 ???? 643 5.15 2,970 29.82 29.15
1999 488 12.53 256.72 27.71 2,499 33.74 25.99
2000 840 26.07 310.36 33.93 3,108 40.42 22.96
2001 1,186 27.84 234.74 38.80 4,214 69.14 29.79
2002 ??? 1,490 38.59 258.99 53.38 4,853 67.41 39.71
2002 (7-12)????3,950 28.64 72.51
2003 ??? 1,837 45.95 250.08 53.66 4,495 86.00 34.00
2003 ???? 8,268 31.04
?? 31,151 343.09 110.14 47.00 60,624 708.25 367.71
13
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?2-5??????????????
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15

• ???????????GDP???????????,
• ??????????????????,????????????1.89?

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?2-6???????(GDP)?????
???? ?????? ?? ???? ?? ???? ??? ???? ?? ???? ?? ???? ??? ??????
2000 9,803,348 829.517 534,608.7 1016.192 663.788 165 139.208
2001 9,698,047 845.725 536,604.2 1034.549 681.676 164 135.867
2002 9,988,948 859.274 538,417.5 1038.395 707.592 167 138.882
2000-2002????? 1.89 3.59 0.71 2.18 6.6 1.21 -0.23
????IMF (The World Economic Outlook Database
April 2003)? ???????APEC ECONOMY REPORT - HONG
KONG, CHINA(Extracted from 2002 Economic
Outlook),?????????????????????????????
16

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?2-7?2002??????????? ?????
2001 2002 ??
?????? 323.39 447 38
?????? 50 66 32
?????? 273.39 381 39
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19
??????????????????WTO????

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20

• ???????????WTO??????,??????????

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?2-8 ?????????????????? ??
? ??? 2001 2002 (???) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 ??
??? (1-24?) 20.02 14.01 13.67 13.33 13.18 13.03 12.88 12.87 12.87 12.87 12.86 35.76
????(25-97?) 6.03 5.78 5.03 4.28 4.22 4.16 4.15 4.15 4.15 4.15 4.15 31.17
????(1-97?) 8.20 7.08 6.40 5.71 5.64 5.56 5.54 5.53 5.53 5.53 5.53 32.56
?????????????????????,??????????????????? 2011???
?2001???????
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