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1Q 2003

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Title: Author: Sean Last modified by: 900238 Created Date: 9/13/1999 7:41:54 AM Document presentation format: – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: 1Q 2003


1
?????????????
???? ????????? 1Q 2003
2
Outline
  •  ???
  • ?????10?
  • ???????
  •  ???
  • ?????????????
  • ??????????????
  • ??????????????????
  •  ???
  • ??????????
  • ??, ???, ????, ??????????????

3
???????
  • ???????
  • ??????
  • ?????????
  • What do you like? ?? ??
  • What do you like? ?? ?? ???
  • ?????????, ????
  • ???6000?, ????

4
???????? - ???????????- ???????
5
Call option put option
  • ??????,???.
  • ?????, ??????,???????.
  • ??(Call option)
  • The right to buy
  • ???????,?????????
  • ???????,?????????
  • ??(Put option)
  • The right to sell
  • ???????,?????????
  • ???????,?????????

6
Long call ???????
Long Index Call Option
Payoff max(S-K,0)
Futures
Call
K
Index level(S)
premium
max. profit unlimited max. loss
premium initial investment debit breakeven
point Kpremium
7
Short call ???????
Short Index Call Option
Payoff - max(S-K,0)
Index level
max. profit premium max. loss
unlimited initial investment credit breakeven
point Kpremium
8
Long put ???????
Long Index Put Option
Payoff max(K-S,0)
Index level
max. profit K-premium max. loss
premium initial investment debit breakeven
point K-premium
9
Short put ???????
Short Index Put Option
Payoff - max(K-S,0)
Index level
max. profit premium max. loss
K-premium initial investment credit breakeven
point K-premium
10
Bull Spread ????
Long a call at K1 Short a call at K2, K1 lt K2
Payoff
c2
Index level
K1
K2
c1
max. profit K2-K1-(c1-c2) max. loss
c1-c2 initial investment net debit breakeven
point K1(c1-c2)
11
Bear Spread ????
Short a call at K1 Long a call at K2, K1 lt K2
max. profit c1-c2 max. loss
K2-K1-(c1-c2) initial investment net
credit breakeven point K1(c1-c2)
Payoff
c1
K2
Index level
K1
c2
12
Long Straddle ????
K
Index level
p
c
max. profit unlimited max. loss cp initial
investment debit breakeven point K?(cp)
13
Short Straddle ????
Short a call Short a put at the same strike
max. profit cp max. loss unlimited initial
investment credit breakeven point K?(cp)
Payoff
p
c
Index level
K
14
Bottom Strangle
Refresh
Long a call Long a put at different strikes
Payoff
K1
K2
Index level
p
c
max. profit unlimited max. loss cp initial
investment debit breakeven point K1-(cp)
K2(cp)
15
Top Strangle
Short a call Short a put at different strikes
max. profit cp max. loss unlimited initial
investment credit breakeven point K1-(cp)
K2(cp)
Payoff
p
Index level
c
K1
K2
16
Butterfly Spread ????
Bull spread Bear spread or Short straddle
Long strangle
Payoff
Index level
17
???? Why use option 1
??? Directional play
  • ?????
  • Extremely bullish
  • ???Long call option
  • Bullish with some downside concern
  • ???? Bull spread
  • Bullish with downside concern, also limited
    upside expectation
  • Long lower K call, short higher K call.
  • Long lower K put, short higher K put.
  • Go the other way for bearish view

????Bullish
??????? Less Bullish
18
???? Why use option 2
???? Volatility play
  • ???? ????
  • Long straddle/ strangle
  • Go the other way if price too high
  • ???? ????
  • Short straddle/ strangle

???High vol.
??? Low vol
19
???? more
  • ??
  • ??
  • ??
  • ??
  • ??
  • ??
  • ???
  • ???
  • Long call
  • Long Put
  • Short call
  • Short Put
  • Bull spread long call short call
  • Bear spread long put short put
  • Bear spread short call long call
  • Bull spread short put long put

20
???? more
  • ?????
  • ?????
  • ?????
  • ???????
  • Long call Long Put
  • Long straddle
  • Short call short Put
  • Short straddle
  • Bull spread Bear spread
  • Long Butterfly
  • Bull spread Bear spread
  • Short Butterfly

21
??????
  • ????call, ????put
  • ????call, ????put
  • ????Bull spread, ????Bear spread
  • ????straddle, ????straddle
  • ???????, ???????

22
??????(????)
  • ??????, ??????
  • ??????, ??????
  • ????????, ????????
  • ??????, ??????
  • ???????, ???????

23
??????(???1)
  • ?????call, ?????put
  • ?????call, ?????put
  • ???, ??????,
  • ???,??????,

24
??????(???2)
  • ???????, ??call???put,
  • ???????, ??call???put,
  • ???????,???????,
  • ???????,???????.

25
??????? A point to ponder
  • ???????
  • ???????
  • ??????????????????
  • ???????????????????????????
  • ??????,?????????
  • ??????????????

26
??????? A point to ponder
  • ?????????50? 48? 40?
  • ????, ??????, ???????,
  • ??????, ??????,
  • ??????, ???????????.
  • ?????.
  • ?????.
  • ????????(Sophisticate, not complicate).

27
??????????
????
  • Building blocks in option strategies

2000/11/25
28
The building blocks of FE
Modern finance is particle finance. We decompose,
then recompose.
29
Long position short position
PL
?????
Stock price
30
Long call, put short call, put
PL
?????
LONG PUT
LONG CALL
SHORT PUT
SHORT CALL
Stock price
31
Different strikes different amount
Different strike
Different ratio
?????
32
Different strikes different amount
?????????
33
???????
  • ??????(????)
  • ????(market View)
  • ?? direction, ?? price, ?? time, ?? probability.
  • ???? Primary view, ???? Secondary view.
  • ??????
  • Build your initiate positions.
  • Set the positions to meet your major market view.
  • ??????
  • Revise your positions.
  • Add or drop positions to fit your concerns.

34
??????(????) (X,Y)
Type\price Number Up 1 Down 1 K
Long 1 1 -1 100
Short 1 -1 1 100
Long call 1 1 0 100
Short call 1 -1 0 100
Long put 1 0 1 100
Short put 1 0 -1 100
Sum 0 0
35
???????
  • Short future long call
  • (-1, 1) (1, 0) (0,1)
  • Long future long put
  • (1, -1) (0,1) (1, 0)
  • Short call long put
  • ( -1, 0) (0, 1) (-1, 1)
  • Long call long put
  • (1,0) (0,1) (1,1)

36
???????
  • Short 3 stock at 100 (-1,1)3 (-3,3)
  • Long 2 call at 100 (1, 0)2 (2, 0)
  • Short 3 put at 100 ( 0, -1)3 ( 0, -3)
  • The over all position (-1,
    0)
  • What will it look like?

37
????????
  • ??????
  • ???stirke,??????
  • ????
  • ??? Spread
  • Call for bull spread
  • Put for bear spread
  • ??? Strangle
  • ??Strike????????

38
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39
1 future _at_ 5080 4 4800 Put _at_ 45 -10 5400 Call
_at_30
40
-5 5000 call _at_181 -1 future _at_ 5080 -10 4800 put _at_
45
41
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42
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43
Figure 9 Aggressive Delta trade
10 call_at_6000 20 call_at_6100 40 call_at_6200 3 day
to expiration Implied spot 6099
44
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45
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46
Analysis on payoff chart
  • Define market view
  • Build your position
  • Draw the payoff chart
  • Look at the chart
  • What is the best, it is possible.
  • What is the worst, it is possible.
  • ??????????
  • ???????????

47
?? To sum up option strategies
  • ????????.
  • ??????,????????.
  • To make money on one side, and to protect risk on
    the other side.
  • ????,????,???????????????.
  • Create the whole new trading dimension.
  • The more you practice, the more you can master
    these instruments.

48
Spread Bull or Bear
Tips for exam
  • Use buy and sell two calls or two puts.
  • Bull spread or bear spread
  • The direction of the higher premium leg
  • Call or Put spread
  • Bull - Buy low K sell high K,
  • Bear - Buy high K sell low K.

49
Exercise bull or bear
Tips for exam
  • Buy lower strike call, sell higher strike call
  • ??????????5,100??,?400?,
  • ??????????5,300??,?290?
  • Bull or Bear
  • Buy higher strike put, sell lower strike put
  • ??????????5,300??,?260?
  • ??????????5,100??,?170?
  • Bull or Bear
  • Buy higher strike call, sell lower strike call
  • ??????????5,300??,?290?
  • ??????????5,100??,?400?
  • Bull or Bear

50
Spread Max P/L
Tips for exam
  • Max P/L
  • Case 1
  • (P. Received- P. paid) gt0, Max profit.
  • Max loss diff in K max profit
  • Case 2
  • (P. Received- P. paid) lt0, Max loss.
  • Max profit diff in K max loss

51
Exercise max P/L
Tips for exam
  • Case 1 Bear spread
  • ??????????5,100??,?400?,
  • ??????????5,300??,?290?
  • (P. Received- P. paid) 400-290110gt0, Max
    profit.
  • Max loss diff in K max profit200-11090
  • Case 2 Bull spread
  • ??????????5,100??,?400?,
  • ??????????5,300??,?290?
  • (P. Received- P. paid) 290-400-110lt0,Max loss.
  • Max profit diff in K max profit200-11090,

52
Spread - Breakeven
Tips for exam
  • Break-even point
  • Case 1 call
  • Klow Diff in P
  • Case 2 put
  • Khigh - Diff in P

53
Exercise breakeven
Tips for exam
  • Case 1 Call
  • ??????????5,100??,?400?,
  • ??????????5,300??,?290?
  • Klow Diff in P51001105210
  • Case 2 Put
  • ??????????5,100??,?170?
  • ??????????5,300??,?260?
  • Khigh - Diff in P5300-905210

54
Straddle and strangle
Tips for exam
  • Max profit
  • Long unlimited
  • Short Premium received
  • Max loss
  • Long Premium paid
  • Shortunlimited
  • Breakeven
  • Straddle K total premium, K - total
    premium
  • Strangle K(call) total premium, Low
    K(put) - total premium

55
Exercise Long straddle
Tips for exam
  • ????????5,200??,?340?
  • ????????5,200??,?210?
  • Max profit Long unlimited
  • Max loss340210550
  • Breakeven
  • K total premium 5200550 5,750
  • K - total premium5200-550 4,650

56
Exercise short strangle
Tips for exam
  • ????????5,100??,?400?
  • ????????5,300??,?260?
  • Max profit 400260660
  • Max loss unlimited
  • Breakeven
  • K(c) total premium 5100660 5,760
  • K(p) - total premium5300-660 4,640

57
??????????????????
Applying option in asset management
58
??????? The spectrum of trading
strategies
??
??
PISSA
Timing
Ratio
59
???? Synthetic position
  • Long futureslong call short put
  • (1,-1) (1,0) (0,-1)
  • Short futuresshort call long put
  • (-1,1) (-1,0) (0,1)
  • Long call futures long put
  • (1,0)(1,-1)(0,1)

60
???? Synthetic position
  • Long put short futures long call
  • (0,1)(-1,1)(1,0)
  • Short call short futures short put
  • (-1,0)(-1,1)(0,-1)
  • Short put long futures short call
  • (0,-1)(1,-1)(0,1)

61
Synthetic futures -long
  • Long call short put at the same strike.
  • Long 5800 call, pay 325.
  • Short 5800 put, receive 85.
  • Net cash outflow, -240.
  • The price of synthetic futures 6040.
  • March 21 cash close 6046, future 6047.

???????
62
Synthetic futures -short
  • Long put short call at the same strike.
  • Long 6000 put, pay 143.
  • Short 6000 call, receive 206.
  • Net cash outflow, 63.
  • The price of synthetic futures 6063.
  • March 21 cash close 6046, future 6047.

???????
63
??????? Hedge Exposure tuning
  • What I want is what I get.
  • Risk(exposure)
    Systematic exposure Specific
    exposure
  • Fully or partially hedge market risk
  • Short index futures

???? ???? ????
??????
64
????? To hedge, or not to hedge
  • When? How much?

1. Full hedge ???????? 2. Technical hedge
??????? 3. Protective put hedge ????????
65
?????? ?? protective put
  • Long equity portfolio
  • Long protective put
  • Long synthetic call

????????? ?? index put option ??????, ??????
66
?????? payoff using protective
put
  • profit
  • Loss

Synthetic position
Assuming no tracking errors
67
????????
  • ????????
  • ??????????
  • Long 2002, long 2002 put.
  • Long 2002 call, long 2002 put.
  • Long 2002 call, long 2303 put.
  • Long 2002 call, short 2303 put.
  • Long 2002 call, short?? 2302 call.
  • ?????,??????

68
?????? Issues of using protective put
  • ???(Put option)????
  • Higher strike, better protection, but higher
    premium.
  • ???(Put option)?????
  • 3m 5.59, 6m 7.66, 9m 9.15, 12m 10.33
  • ?????????
  • Outperform or under-perform index
  • Put option?????
  • Early termination can not ensure the protection
    effect.
  • Pay insurance premium to get down side protection.

69
Ex. ????? PGF
  • ???? NIKKIE 225 index
  • ????
  • ??2 years
  • ???100
  • ???125
  • ????
  • 100 Principal 125 return of N225 index.

70
The basic structure
100
7
FV
95 FV
6.55
Buy 0.5 option to ensure fixed participation rate
11.22
93.45
Buy 0.85 options and get higher participation rate
PV
88.78 PV
71
Investors payoff with call
Option value
Option value
Principal
72
Investors payoff with Put
Option value
Principal
73
Guaranteed rate vs. Participation rate
  • ???? vs. ????
  • Higher Principal Guaranteed rate, lower
    Participation rate.
  • ??? G
  • ????????????
  • ??? P
  • ?????(?)???????

74
Conservative vs. Aggressive
Aggressive
Conservative
Principal
Guarantee rate
75
?????? Types of PGI
  • ?????Structured Deposit(SD)
  • Interest payment is linked exotic structure
  • ?????(?)? Equity linked note(ELN)
  • Long option / short option
  • ????? Principal Guaranteed Note (PGN)
  • Linked to an underlined asset
  • ????? Principal Guaranteed Fund (PGF)
  • Linked to an underlined asset

76
QFII ???
  • ???????
  • ?? call ??? Long call, sell stock.
  • ?? put ??? Long put, hold stock.
  • ??call ?(?)??Short call, buy/long stock.
  • ??put ?(?)?? Short put, sell/short stock.
  • ????? TX, TXO.
  • ?????? MSCI, TX.
  • ???? Impact trade.
  • ????? Structure new products

77
?? ???
  • ???????
  • ?? call ??? Long call, sell stock.
  • ?? put ??? Long put, hold stock.
  • ??call ?(?)??Short call, buy/long stock.
  • ??put ?(?)?? Short put, sell/short stock.
  • ????? TX, TXO.
  • ???? Impact trade.
  • ????? Structure new products

78
??????
  • ????,
  • ??????? strategy based
  • ????? implied volatility vs. forecast volatility
  • ????? implied volatility vs. forecast volatility
  • ???????? Dynamic hedge Delta
  • ???????? Greeks portfolio
  • ???????? Greeks based trading strategies

79
Market makers P/L
80
Market makers Delta position
81
Market makers Gamma position
82
??????
  • ????, ????.
  • ????????.
  • ???????.
  • ?????????.
  • ????????, ???
  • ??short call, long put,
  • ??long call, short put.
  • Call lower than put.

83
?????
  • ????????, ??????.
  • ???????????
  • ?????????

84
??????
  • ?? ???, ? call. Higher leverage
  • ?? ???, ? put. Offset down side risk
  • ??? ? call. Premium income
  • ??? ? put, Premium income

85
??????????
????
CBO
????
?????
Equity swap
?????
Equity linked note
????
Principal Guaranteed note/ fund
86
??????????
?? vs ???
  • ?????????.
  • ???????????????.
  • ???????????, ????????.
  • ?????, ?????.
  • ?? market maker short sell limit

87
??????????
???? vs ???
  • ?????????????
  • ????????
  • ????????
  • ????????20??
  • Bottle neck the system of TAIFEX
  • ????????

88
?????????? ????,
???? vs ???
  • ???? Structure product
  • ????
  • ?? ????? ?????
  • ?????????? ( FRA, IRS, IRO)
  • ?????????? (inter-bank market)
  • Structure deposit
  • Equity linked note
  • Equity swap
  • Principal guaranteed note/ fund

89
??????
Welcome to the world of derivatives
90
??????
??? Sean Tseng 02 2516-3055 ,
0968-022-180 Sean_at_jsun.com
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