Sensemaking Capability Development

1
Sensemaking Capability Development
A FRAME FOR DEVELOPING SENSEMAKING
CAPABILITIESACHIEVING THE COGNITIVE EDGE
2
Sensemaking Capbilities

• People, processes and systems to exploit
  information - under conditions of complexity,
  uncertainty, and time pressure - for awareness,
  understanding, planning and to make faster and
  better decisions against an adaptive adversary

3
Why Develop Sensemaking Capabilities?
From Sensemaking A Cognitive Edge And A
Sustainable Advantage For The SAF

• Systematically create a widespread and
  persistent Cognitive Edge for the SAF
• Create Sustainable Advantage
• Not easily replicated
• No COTS option
• Leveraged on our HR advantage
• Use Cognitive Asymmetry as a strategy
• Relative superiority in decision making

4
Sensemaking - Faster and Better Decisions

• Not just ..
• Better weak pattern recognition
• More Hubbing
• More Collaboration
• More Decentralization
• More Self-synchronization
• More information online
• Better and faster common operating picture
• . Etc.

Whats the problem?
Everything is relevant!
All this and more!!
5
Better and faster decisions?

• The Quality of Decisions is a function of
• Quality of collected information
• Quality of knowledge base
• Quality of Sensemaking
• Time needed for Sensemaking
• Adversarys actions

Information collected f(No. QofSensors)
QoD f (Ic, K , , )
Knowledge Base f (Experience, Exposure)
6
Sensemaking capability development?

• Developments that
• Dramatically improve the quality of Sensemaking
  and/or
• Reduce the time needed for Sensemaking

7
Sensemaking Breakdown?
Important Correlation

• Tipping Point

Information Overload
Waddingtons Survey on Info Overload (96) Loss
of job satisfaction Tension with colleagues Poor
health due to stress ? 43 increase in snr
management 63 admit personal relation-ships
suffer
Quality of Sensemaking QoS
Ic
Volume of Quality Information Collected
IKC2 becomes ineffective if we do not Sensemake
well!
8
Developing Sensemaking Capabilities

• Valid areas to define Problems and validate
  Solutions
• Organization
• Processes
• C2 Systems and technology
• Training
• Personnel/team Selection
• . Etc.

Doctrine
Demonstrators
Experiments
9
The Last Nanometer
Cognitive Domain
Thinking and Concept Formation
Attention
Representation of Knowledge
Memory
Pattern Recognition
Mind Activities
Language
Imagery
Cognitive Psychology
Consciousness
Perception
Attempt to explain
Cognitive neuroscience
Behaviours
Attempt to explain
Linguistics / Communication Theory/ Social
Psychology
Other Users
relate
Social Domain
How C2 Systems, Organization, Processes could
amplify Sensemaking?
10
Data
Outcome.. Sensemaking capability would translate
into superior C2 systems
Sensemaking Capabilities
Understanding/ Knowledge
Cognitive Edge
Optioning/ Planning
C2/ Action
Command Control Edge