Trade between Ukraine

1
Trade between Ukraine Norway

• Mirror and reconciliation exercises for external
  trade statistics between Norway and Ukraine
• Joint EFTA/UNECE/SSCU Seminar Economic
  Globalisation A Challenge For Official
  Statistics (Kiev, Ukraine, 3-6 July 2007)

2
Background

• Joint study between SSCU and Statistics Norway
• An EFTA funded cooperation on external trade
  statistics
• Working meetings
• Kiev (25 26 January, 2007)
• Oslo (19 20 April, 2007)
• Other participants
• State Customs Authority of the Ukraine
• Norwegian Customs and Excise

3
Mirror Statistics

• Comparing two equivalent trade flows between two
  trade partners
• Asymmetries in the datasets due to differences
  within
• Metadata
• Management of data
• Trade quality
• Importance for consistent data
• For the user
• For the quality

4
Asymmetries in International Trade

• Main explanatory reasons for discrepancies
• Valuation of exports versus imports (Fob / Cif)
• Conversion to uniform currency
• Methods
• Compilation of data
• Threshold levels
• Classification
• Time lag
• Trade via third countries
• Trade system (General vs Special)
• Misreporting
• Unintentional errors

5
Cooperation process

• Working meeting Kiev
• Comparison of key methodological principles
• Mirror comparisons on a HS 6 digit level
• Special regards to the trade in fish
• Working meeting Oslo
• Reviewing data for 2006
• Development within trade in fish
• Exchanging data on country of consignments

6
Total trade from Ukraine to Norway
7
Flat- rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel
(HS 7208)
8
Trade via third countries

• Iron and steel (HS 72)
• Country of consignment
• 85 from Belarus
• Articles of apparel and clothing accessories
• (HS 62 and HS 62)
• Snow skiis (HS 950611)

9
Trade via third countriesSnow skis from Ukraine
to Norway
Norway
NO M USD 5.3 Mill UA X 0
NO M USD 10.8 Mill AU X USD 14.4 Mill
Ukraine
Austria
AU M USD 41.4 Mill UA X USD 40.3 Mill
10
Total trade from Norway to Ukraine
11
Confidentiality in the datasets

• Inorganic chemicals (HS 28)
• Ukraines import 2006 USD 3 million
• No Norwegian registered export
• Suppression on detailed country level
• Plastics and articles thereof (HS 39)
• Ukraines import 2006 USD 4 million
• Norways export 2006 USD 596 thousand
• Suppression on a detailed country level

12
Total trade of fish from Norway to Ukraine
13
Frozen fish (HS 0303)
14
Average price of one ton of frozen fish (HS 0303)
in Norways export and
Ukraines import
15
Frozen Herring (HS 030350)
16
Concluding remarks

• Discrepancies
• From Ukraine to Norway
• 2005 USD 17 mill
• 2006 USD 18 mill
• From Norway to Ukraine
• 2005 USD 64 million
• 2006 USD 3 million
• Main reasons for asymmetries
• Trade via third countries
• Confidentiality
• Overestimation (underestimation) of customs value
  of goods