The%20Global%20Consciousness%20Project%20Weak%20Signals,%20Strong%20Implications%20Roger%20Nelson

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The Global Consciousness ProjectWeak Signals,
Strong ImplicationsRoger Nelson
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The EGG Project(aka the Global Consciousness
Project)

• International collaboration
• 75 Scientists, Artists, Friends,
• Network of host sites world wide
• The tools FieldREG technology
• Make an EEG for the earth, an Electrogaiagram
• Engaging moments of global events
• The question Can we capture a
• Glimmering of Global Consciousness?

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The technology is only now availableElectronics,
Computers, Networking

• REG/RNG devices run continuously
• Synchronized computers and software
• Internet transfer of data to central server
• Automatic archiving, public access
• Formal analyses and explorations
• Background, methods, poetic history

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Homepage
http//noosphere.princeton.edu
Berger Web Design
Magic Buttons
Status Day Sum Results Extract
Primary Links Menu at Bottom
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A Real-Time Display (Bierman)
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How it works Heres 1000 Trials from A physical
random sourceEach trial is the sum of 200 bits
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The binomial distribution of 1000 200-bit
trials, compared with Theoretical normal
distribution
expected
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Composing the data as a Random Walk (A
Drunkards Walk)
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Here we see the combined datafor a whole day,
from 48 eggs
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We can see better whats happening by plotting
cumulative deviationsCorrelation Tilts
Variance Spreads
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When you put a thing in order, and give it a
name, and you are all in accord, it becomes.
- - From the Navajo, Masked Gods, Waters, 1950

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For most of the formal predictionsWe specify a
Standard Analysis

• Normalized signed deviation of mean, zi
  (mi-m)/s
• Composite across eggs Stouffer Zs
  (Szi)/N1/2
• Composite Z is squared for c2 distributed
  statistic
• Large cumulative sum of Zs2 1 or c2 df
• Reflects inter-egg correlation, or
• Consistent large deviations, or both

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Cumulative sum of c2 - its expectationMay show
a trend if there is a common Influence or
correlation among the eggs
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Major disasters that engage us powerfullyOften
correlate with big deviations
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Context explorations Six hours of dataAround
the beginning of bombing in KosovoCumulative
deviation of Zs2 or c2
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The Popes 6-day pilgrimage to the middle
eastAn occasion of hope for resolution of
differences
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Political events, even big ones, are not
necessarily of interest to the EGG
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Well try anything once. Significant
correlations with astrologically determined hot
times
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An obvious prediction New Years celebrations
Concatenation across all (24) time
zonesCumulative excess deviation of means
Model Prediction
Weak Replication
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A major alternative analysis Variance of the
scores

• Sum of zi2-1 across eggs is c2 with N df
• Equivalent to variance s2 of egg scores
• Large cumulative deviation
• Reflects distribution spread, variability of
  means
• Reflects large deviations in either direction

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Y2K New Year 1999-2000 Coherent engagement?
Radin makes an independent prediction Reduction
of Variance across eggs
Odds, GMT
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Y2K New Years 1999-2000 Prototype
AnalysisCumdev of smoothed variance across eggs
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New Years 2000-2001 Variance Reduction Signal
Average over 37 time zones Normalized, Squared,
Smoothed
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New Years 2001-2002 Variance Reduction Signal
Average over 37 time zones Normalized as
Z-scores, Smoothed
5-Min Smoothing Window
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Repeating events teach us how much we Have to
learn, 2001 ?, 2000 ?, 1999 ?
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Inspired by the result in 2001 We examine the
previous years data
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And the year before that from which we Learn
once again how much we dont know
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The destruction of a world treasureApproximate
time, noon in Afghanistan
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The destruction of the World Trade TowersSept 11
2001 A 50-hour trend followed the attacks
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Sept 11 Formal prediction Inter-egg Variance
Red is real data, Green is Pseudorandom
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More context Variance trends Sept 10-12Does the
evidence indicate precursor Information -- 4
hours, maybe more?
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Radin Odds against chance For variance
excursion on Sept 11The real data vs
pseudorandom data
Data from EGG network
Pseudorandom clone data
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Shoup examining a larger contextComparing Sept
11 vs four months of days
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Bancel Autocorrelation on Sept 11Structure
where there should be none
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Summary of statistical measures for Sept 11
 
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Bottom line the full formal database113 global
events over 4 years
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What do we have in hand?Where do we want to go
with it?

• Four years of data
• 50 eggs around the world
• More than 100 formal studies
• About 65 positive outcome
• About 20 individually significant
• Many analyses remain to be done

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Bigger Picture What is our aspiration?

• Refine operation and dissemination
• Ask good questions, smart and useful
• Learn whether consciousness works
• Support quest for theoretical picture
• Teach people about creative mind
• Convince leaders we are one
• Contribute to better future for culture

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We think the world apart. What would it be like
to think the world together? -- Parker
Palmer, educator
http//noosphere.princeton.edu