Future Trends

1

• Future Trends

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Infrastructure
The Urban Age
1900
1.7
People (Billion)
Living in Cities
10
Cities Greater than 1 Million
16
3
Water Insecurity
Decline in Food Production
Heat Waves
4
Infrastructure
Transition Phase - Uncertainty
Emissions Trading Scheme
ClimateAdaptation
Multiple Renewable Energy Options
5
Challenges

• Rise in global middle class materialists
• How can we
• Lead influence other cities?
• Make sustainability an aspiration?

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Local Trends
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CoM Population Growth
Forecast
Forecast
120,000
100,000
80,000
Population
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
1991
1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
8
Aging Population
Strong MigrationMulticulturalism
Strong Demand for Housing
9
Infrastructure
City User Projections
Forecast
10
Transport
Car (01-06)
Bicycle (01-06)
20
136
-5549
3,056
Walked (01-06)
Public Transport (01-06)
111
8
6,757
13,193
11
Increased Imports
Source COAG 2007
12
24 Hour City
13
Local Climate Change Impacts
High rainfall (gt20mm) results in a decrease in
pedestrian activity of 10
High temperature (gt35 degrees) results in a
decrease of 10.9
14
Housing Affordability
The Age February 2008
15
Infrastructure
Aging Infrastructure
Westgate Bridge Completed in 1978
1884 First underground drain constructed in
Carlton
1837 The Hoddle Grid
1905 Flinders Street Station Commenced
1889 Victoria Dock opened
1985
2000 City Square Opens Domain Tunnel is opened
1996 Development of the Docklands
Melbourne's City Loop was completed
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Opportunities
17
Renewable Energy
Renewable Energy
Nano-Technology
Vertical Farming
Biomimcry
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Robotics
Communication Technology
Education
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Maintaining Liveability

• In this uncertain Transition phase, how can we
• Keep the cost of living relatively low
• Deal with more variable weather
• Maintain recreation facilities city vitality
• Deal with increasing congestion
• Maintain social cohesion, public safely
  security
• Adjust to an aging population
• Improve education standards reduce skills
  shortages
• Improve financial flows
• Guard against spread of disease
  pandemics/epidemics