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CSC 323 Quarter: Spring

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Health and Nutrition Examination Study of 1976-1980 ... Modeling Chronic Costly Patients Using Data Mining Techniques Subject: Data Mining Author: Ioan Raicu – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: CSC 323 Quarter: Spring


1
CSC 323 Quarter SpringĀ 02/03
  • Daniela Stan Raicu
  • School of CTI, DePaul University

2
Outline
  • Normal Distributions
  • The Empirical (68-95-99.7) rule
  • Standard Normal Distribution
  • Normal Distributions Calculations
  • Introduction to the Statistical Software SAS

3
The normal distributions
  • Normal curves are density curves that are
  • Symmetric
  • Unimodal
  • Bell-Shaped

4
The normal distributions (cont.)
  • A normal distribution is specified by
  • Mean ?
  • Standard Deviation ?
  • Notation N(?, ?)
  • The equation of the normal
  • distribution ( gives the height of
  • the normal distribution)

f(x)
Example of two normal curves specified by their
mean and standard deviation
5
The Empirical Rule for Any Normal Curve
68
95
?
?1 ?
?
?2 ?
?-2 ?
?-1 ?
99.7
?
?3 ?
?-3 ?
6
The 68-95-99.7 (empirical) rule
  • In the normal distribution N(?, ?)
  • Approximately 68 of the observations are between
    ?- ? and ? ?
  • Approximately 95 of the observations are between
    ?- 2? and ? 2?
  • Approximately 99.7 of the observations are
    between ?- 3? and ? 3?

7
Example
  • The heights of adult women in the United States
    follow, at least approximately, a bell-shaped
    curve. What do you think that means?

The most adult women are clumped around the
average, with numbers decreasing the farther
values are from the average in either direction.
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980 (HANES)
  • The average of the heights of adult women is ?
    65 and the standard deviation is ? 2.5. What
    does the 68-95-97.7 rule imply?

8
The empirical rule
65
652.5
65-2.5
  • 68 of adult women have heights between 62.5 and
    67.5 inches
  • 95 of adult women have heights between 60 and
    70 inches
  • 99.7 of adult women have heights between 67.5
    and 72.5 inches

9
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980 (HANES)
  • What proportion of individuals fall into any
    range of values?
  • Example What proportion of men are less than
    68 inches tall?
  • At what percentile a given individual falls, if
    you know their values
  • What value corresponds to a given percentile

10
Standardized score
  • A standardized score is simply the number of
    standard deviations an individual falls above or
    below the mean for the whole group.
  • Values above the mean have positive standardized
    scores values below the mean have negative ones.
  • Example
  • Females (ages 18-24) have a mean height of 65
    inches and a standard deviation of 2.5 inches.
    What is the standardized score of a a women who
    is 67.5 inches tall?
  • Standardized score
  • (67.5 65)/2.51

11
Standardized Scores
  • standardized score
  • (observed value - mean) / (std dev)
  • z is the standardized score
  • x is the observed value
  • m is the population mean
  • s is the population standard deviation

12
The standard normal distribution
  • The standard normal distribution N(0,1) is the
    normal distribution with mean 0 and standard
    deviation 1
  • If a variable X has any normal distribution N(?,
    ?), then the standardized variable Z

has the standard normal distribution N(0,1).
13
Normal distribution calculations
Example The heights of young women are
approximately normal with mean ?64.5 inches and
?2.5 inches. What is the proportion of women
how are less than 68 inches tall?
1. State the problem X height, X lt 68
14
Normal distribution calculations
3. What proportion of observations/women on the
standard normal variable Z take values less than
1.4?
Table entry is area to the left of z
Area (Zlt1.4).9192
Table A at the end of the book gives areas
(proportions of observations) under standard
normal curve.
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