Title: (Delphi)
1??????????????????????
- ???????
- ??????????
- ??? ??
- 100?4?
22025????????????????
???? ????????????
?? ?? ??
?? ??
???? (Delphi)
?? ??
???????
??(????)
??(????)
??(????)
??????????????????(NISTEP)
3??(??)???Bibliometrics
????????????,????????????????????????????,???????
??????????????????????????,???????,????????????
Garfield, E. A new dimension in documentation
through association of ideas. Science, 122
(3159), p.108-111, July 1955.
Cited References association of ideas of its
author
Observe concentration of citations to know which
article had an impact on later research.
????????????????? ????????????????
OECD?APEC??? ?????????????????
4- ?????????policy making????????,???????????????????
- ???2004-2005???????????,????????????,?????????????
????????????????????,?????????????????????????????
,????????????????????????
5??????????????
- ??1?????????????????
- ??????????,??????????????
- ??,??????????(????10???)??
- ?????????????
- ??2?????????????
- ????????????,??????(Science Map)
- ???????????????????????
- (?????????????)
6????????????
- ???????????????????
- ?????????????????
- ???????????????????
7????????
- ???????????????,????????????
- ????????????
- ?????(1990-1999?vs 2000-2009?)?????
- ?????????????????,????????????(RCA)
- RCA Revealed Comparative Advantage ?????????
- (RCA????????????,???????????????,???????
??????)
8???????? -??????????????-
?1990-2009?(20?)?ISI??????,????74?????(??)??????,?
?ISI?????????,???????????
???? ???????
??????????????????????? Development of rice varieties to prevent or lower risk of metabolic syndromes ts(variet or breeding or cultivar) and ts(rice) or ts(strain or race) same ts(rice) and ts("metabolic syndrome" or "blood pressure" or "hypertension" or cholesterol or "blood lipid" or "blood lipo protein" or hypercholesterolemia or hypertriglyceridemia or "blood sugar" or "blood glucose" or hyperglycemia or obes)
??????????????????? Improvement of high-quality seed and seedling production technology for the tropics and sub-tropics ts(tropical or subtropical) and ts(seed or seedling) same ts(production)
(?????????????????????????,??????????????,??????
????????????,????????1?)
9???????? -?????????????????-
?? ?????????????????????????? ??
?1990-1999?????????????,2000-2009?????????,???????
??????(),??????????????????? ????????????????????
???,???????????,??????????????????????????
???????() (??????/??????)-1
10- ???????,?????????S??????,??????,?????????,??,?????
?????????????????,???????????????????,?????????,??
????????,????????,???????????,?????????????,??????
???????
1. ???????? 2. ??????? 3. ??????????, ??????
??
11???????????
II?
IV?
I?
?????????
I???????,???????????? II???????,???????? III???
????,???????????? IV???????,????????????
12??????????
?????????????,???????????(Balassa)?1965??????????
???(Revealed Comparative Advantage,
RCA)??,RCA????????????,???????????????????????????
RCA???,?????????????(??????)??????????????????????
????? ????????????????????????????????????????,?
??????????,??????????????????????????????
i????? J?? w??
11
13?????????????????
- ????
- ???????????????????,????????,?????????,??????
- ??????????????????,????????????????
- ????
- ??????????????,???????????????????,????????????
- ???????????,??????????,??????,????????
14?????????????????
- ????
- ?????????????,???????,???????????????????,???????
????? - ????????????????,????????????????,???????????????
??,????????? ? - ????
- ????????????,????????????????,????????????? ?
- ???????????,????????????????????????,???????????
15101????
1.??
2.?????????
3.????
4.????
5.E?
6.????
7.??????????
8.????????
9.??
10.??
11.??
12.????
13.???????
100????
1.????
2.???????????
3.????
4.E?
5.???????
6.????????
7.??
8.??
9.??
10.????
16 ????????
??? ????????(??)
K1 ?????????????????
K2 ???????????????????????
K3 ???????????????????
K4 ????????????????????????
K5 ???????????????
K6 ?????????????????????????
K7 ???????????,??????????????????
K8 ???????????????????????
K9 ?????????????????????????????
K10 ????????????????????
K11 ????????????????,????????????
K12 ??????????????????????
K13 ??????????????????????????
K14 ???????????????????????
K15 ????????????????????
K16 ?????????????????????
17???????????????
18??????????
??? ???????? (????) ?????????? ?????????? ?????????? ??????????
K1 ????????????????? v
K2 ??????????????????????? v
K3 ??????????????????? v
K4 ???????????????????????? v
K5 ??????????????? v
K6 ????????????????????????? v
K7 ???????????,?????????????????? v
K8 ??????????????????????? v
K9 ????????????????????????????? v
K10 ???????????????????? v
K11 ????????????????,???????????? v
K12 ?????????????????????? v
K13 ?????????????????????????? v
K14 ??????????????????????? v
K15 ???????????????????? v
K16 ????????????????????? v
19???????????????
20??????????????
?? ?? ???? ???? ??????
?? ?? ?? ??? - ???????,????????????????,??????????????
?? ?? ?? ??? ??????????????????????? ????????,???????,???????????????????,????????????
?? ?? ?? ??? ??????????????????????? ???????????????????? ?????????,???????????????????,????????????
?? ?? ?? ??? ?????????????????????? ??????????????? ??????????????,????????,?????????,??????
21??????????????
?? ?? ???? ???? ??????
?? ?? ?? ??? ?????????????????????????? ??????????????????????? ????????????????????? ??????,????????????????????????,???????????
?? ?? ?? ??? ????????????????? ???????????,?????????????????? ????????????????????????????? ????????????????,???????????? ???????????,????????????????,?????????????????,????????? ?
???? ?? ??? ???????????????????? ??????,??????????,??????,????????
???? ?? ??? ??????????????????? ???????????????????????? ????????????????????????? ?????????????,????????????????
22???????????????????
?? ?? ?? ?? ?? ??
?????????????????????????? ?,? ?????????????????? ? ????????????????????? ?,?,E,?,?,?
??????????????????????? ?,? ?????????????????????? ?,E ??????????????????? ?
??????????????? ?,?,? ????????????????? ?,?,E ?????????????????????? ?,?
??????????????????????? E,?,?,?,?,? ??????????????????????????????? ?,?,?,?,? ???????????????????????? ?,?
?????????????????? ?,? ???????????,?????????????????? ?,?,?,?, ? ??????????????????????????????????? ?,?
????????????????? ?,? ??????????????????,??????????? ?,?,? ?????????? ?
?????????????????? ?,? ???????????????????? ?,?,? ???????????????,?????????? ?,?
????????????????????? ?,?,? ???????????????????? ?,? ??????????????,?????????????? ?
???????????????????????????????
23???????????????????
?? ?? ?? ?? ?? ??
???????????????????????? ? ????????????????????????? E,?,? ?????????????????????????? ?,?,?,?,?
????????????????????? ?,? ???????????????????? ?,?,? ?????????????????????? ?,?
??????????????????? ? ?????????????,??????????? ?,? ???????????????????????????? ?,?,?
???????????????????? ? ??????????????????????? ?,? ????????????????????????? ?,?,?,?,?,?
???????????????????????? ?,? ??????,?????????????????????? ?,?
?38?????
???????????????????????????????
24?????????????
???????????????????????
???????????????????????
????????????????????
????????????????????
25 ?????????
- ??????????????,?????????????????,?????????
- ?????????????,??????????????????
- ???????,??????????,?????????????????
- ???????????????????,????????????????????????
- ?????????????,????????????????
26????? ????
Dr.??????(??) Dr.??????? Dr.???????(??) Dr.???????
Mr.???????? Ms.???????? Ms.???????? Ms.???????
- ???????
- ??????????
- ??????????http//www.biotaiwan.org.tw
- ?????????
- http//agritech-foresight.coa.gov.tw/
- TEL (02)2586-5000 ext.201
- FAX (02)2599-2295