Title: Foreign Affiliates' Trade in Services Statistics: Concepts, Data collection, and Use for Mode 4
1Foreign Affiliates' Trade in Services Statistics
Concepts, Data collection, and Use for Mode 4
- Michael Mann
- U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Presented to the UNSD Subgroup on MODE 4 Paris,
France September 16, 2004
These slides draw heavily on a presentation by
BEA's Obie Whichard for the IMF Institute's
Course on Balance of Payments Statistics, March
2004. The slides on the treatment of FATS in
the Manual of Statistics on International Trade
in Services were, in turn, adapted from materials
prepared by the WTO.
2Outline for Presentation
- FATS treatment in MSITS
- FATS data collection The U.S. experience
- FATS statistics and Mode 4
- BEAs methods for estimating remittances
3What are FATS statistics?
- Conceptually Information relevant to services
delivered through foreign affiliates - Practically A range of indicators pertaining to
the activities of foreign affiliates - With a particular focus on services
4Principles Underpinning FATS Statistics
In line with international standards
- SNA 1993 (National Accounts)
- BPM5 (BOP)
- OECD Benchmark Definition of FDI
5Firms Covered in FATS
- Ownership criteria
- Majority-owned foreign affiliates (a single
foreign investor owns more than 50 of their
ordinary shares or voting power) - Types of producers
- Affiliates producing goods, services
- Statistical Units
- Enterprises vs Establishments
6Time of Recording FATS Variables
Recording when the activity (production,
employment, etc.) occurs rather than when the
related payment is made
Accrual basis
Period of recording
Flow variables reference year Stock
variables end of reference year
Calendar year in principle
Reference year
If only fiscal or accounting year is available,
disclose this.
7Economic Variables for FATS
Most are drawn from SNA 93
- Sales (turnover) and/or output
- Employment
- Value added
- Exports and imports of goods
- and services
- Number of enterprises
Basic FATS variables (minimum recommended by
MSITS)
- Assets
- Compensation of employees
- Net worth
- Net operating surplus
- Gross fixed capital formation
- Taxes on income
- Research and development expenditures
Additional FATS variables
8Geographical Attribution Inward investment
Foreign investor (immediate)
COMPILING COUNTRY
Majority ownership
Operations of foreign-owned affiliate
Majority ownership
Foreign Investor (ultimate)
Described
Statistics on inward FATS
Operations attributed to the country of
9Geographical Attribution - Outward
Investment Treatment of Indirectly Held
Affiliates
Directly held foreign affiliate
COMPILING COUNTRY
Majority ownership
Majority ownership
Indirectly held foreign affiliate
Statistics on outward FATS
Described
Operations attributed to the country of
10Compilation Issues
- Two principal methods of data collection
- Identifying the foreign-owned subset of domestic
firms for which data are already collected (can
be used only for inward investment) - Separate surveys
11United States Experience
- First collected FDI operations data for 1950,
covering outward investment - Collection became more regular and more detailed
in the late 1970s / early 1980s - Authority provided by the International
Investment Survey Act of 1976, later expanded and
redesignated as the International Investment and
Trade in Services Survey Act
12U.S. Experience (Contd) Collection methods
- A survey-based system
- Benchmark surveys every 5 years
- Most comprehensive in subject matter
- Lowest reporting thresholds
- Annual surveys in interim years
- Higher exemption levels and fewer items
- Are starting to make use of statistical sampling
- Estimates are made for below-threshold companies
13U.S. Collection methods (Contd)
- Link to Census Bureau establishment-level data
every 5 years - Advantages
- Greatly increased industry detail (still not
product-based, but gives more precise clues to
products produced and sold) - No added reporting burden
- Limitations
- Applies only to inward investment
- Less timely
- Less frequent
14Types of data collected
- Balance sheets
- Income statements
- Sales
- Employment and employee compensation
- Research and development expenditures
- Taxes
- U.S. trade in goods
15Adaptation to Services Needs
- Sales of goods and sales of services now reported
separately - More detailed industry classification for
services - Aided by new North American Industry
Classification System (introduced in 1997) - Introduced annual presentation that combines data
on cross-border (resident/nonresident) trade with
data on sales through foreign affiliates
16FATS coverage of Mode 4
- Services supplied through
- intra-corporate transferees
- other foreign individuals working on a
non-permanent basis for foreign affiliates
17Measuring Services Delivered by non-Permanent
Workers in Foreign Affiliates
- Compensation
- Collected from FATS statistics
- Workers remittances (not collected from FATS)
will understate compensation and would cover all
migrant workers
18Data collection challenges
- How to avoid double counting FATS
compensation-based data, and data collected from
companies on their sales of services to
foreigners. - What if the number of foreign employees at the
end of year does not reflect normal operations?
19Data collection challenges (continued)
- Can companies readily provide additional
information of interest for Mode 4? - - the number of non-permanent employees working
for their foreign affiliates - - citizen vs non-citizen
- - for non-citizen, break out by citizenship
- - contract employees vs payroll
- - employments by occupation
- - intra-corporate transferees vs other
20How Does the U.S. Estimate the Components of
Remittances?
- Workers remittances
- Migrants transfers
- Compensation of employees
21How Does the U.S. Estimate the Components of
Remittances (continued)
- Workers remittances
- - basic model of workers average per capita
income propensity to remit - - the model considers several demographic
characteristics including family status, age,
length of U.S. residency, and country of origin
22How Does the U.S. Estimate the Components of
Remittances (continued)
- Migrants transfers
- For Canada - partner country data
- Basic model for countries other than Canada
- Immigrants transfers - of immigrants
average per capita income wealth-to-income
ratio - Emigrants transfers - of emmigrants
median net worth
23How Does the U.S. Estimate the Components of
Remittances (continued)
- Best to estimate remittances as compensation less
expenditures - Compensation of employees
- U.S. Receipts
- Partner country data from Germany, the UK, and
Canada. Estimates for other countries are based
on data from the IRS (the U.S. tax collection
authority) - U.S. Payments
- Foreign professionals - IRS data
- Seasonal and border workers of workers
average compensation
24Questions?