Title: Cognition: Memory and its Parts Thinking and language
1Cognition Memory and its PartsThinking and
language
- Chapter 9 and 10
- AP Psychology
2Take out a piece of paper..
Now name them..
3Memory
- Memory A system that encodes, stores and
retrieves information. -
- While we are learning more about memory every
day, psychologists still are unsure exactly what
parts of the brain are involved and where it is
all stored.
4Recall Versus Recognition
- you must retrieve the information from your
memory - fill-in-the blank or essay tests
- you must identify the target from possible
targets - multiple-choice tests
5Memorys Three Basic Tasks
- According to the information-processing model,
the human brain takes essentially meaningless
information and turns it into meaningful
patterns. - It does this through three steps
- Encoding
- Storage
- Retrieval
6Three Box Model of Memory
7Ebbinghaus and Memory
- Systematic and controlled study of memory in
laboratory
H. Ebbinghaus (1850-1909)
8Ebbinghaus and Memory
- Ebbinghaus
- Used nonsense syllables TUV ZOF GEK MONUL WAV
FALEM - the more times practiced on Day 1, the fewer
repetitions to relearn on Day 2
9Ebbinghaus Retention Curve
10Ebbinghaus and Forgetting Curve
- Most forgetting occurs right after learning
- approx. 50 in first 40 min
- Relationship between delay and forgetting not
linear
11Ebbinghaus and Memory
- Other important findings
- Beneficial effects of distributed practice for
repetitions (ie., spacing effect) - List-length effect
123 Basic parts encoding
- Encoding the modification of information to fit
the preferred format for the memory system. - In most cases, encoding is automatic and happens
without our awareness. Other encoding, however,
like these notes, require extra encoding effort
called elaboration to make the memory useful.
13Encoding Failure
- The standard telephone dial has ten numbers, one
through nine plus zero. However, it doesnt have
all 26 letters of the alphabet. Which letters
dont appear on the dial? - What is the color of the top stripe of the
American flag? Bottom stripe? How many red and
white stripes do it have (of each color) - Most wooden pencils are not round. How many sides
do they typically have? - In what hand does the Statue of Liberty hold her
torch? - The White Hose is pictured on the back of a 20.
What is on the back of a 10? A 5? A 1? - What four words besides In God we Trust appear
on most U.S. coins?
14Encoding
- Automatic Processing
- Effortful Processing
15Encoding-3 types
- When we are exposed to stimuli and encode
information, we do it in three ways - Semantic Encoding
- encoding of meaning
- including meaning of words
- Acoustic Encoding
- encoding of sound
- especially sound of words
- Visual Encoding
- encoding of picture images
16Encoding-Levels of Processing
Processing a word by its meaning (semantic
encoding) produces better recognition of it lat a
later time.
173 basic parts storage
- Storage the retention of encoding material over
time. - In terms of storing material, we have three
stages of memory - Sensory Memory
- Working Memory (short-term memory)
- Long-term Memory (Deep memory)
18Synaptic Changes and storage
- One physical change in the brain during memory
storage is in the synapses. - Memories begin as impulses whizzing through the
brain circuits, leaving a semi-permanent trace. - The more a memory is utilized, the more potential
strength that neuron has, called long-term
potentiation. - Neural basis for learning and remembering
associations
This stuff gets super complicatedkeep it simple
for now
19Strengthening Ltp
- Research suggests that the best way to remember
things is to study them and then sleep! - Once LTP has occurred, even passing an electrical
current through the brain will not erase well
stored memories. - More recent memories will be be wiped out
- People who have a concussion and cannot remember
what happened just before or after the injury
have not had a chance to consolidate their
memories to the long-term
203 basic parts retrieval
- Retrieval The locating and recovering of
information from memory. - While some memories return to us in a split
second, other seemed to be hidden deeper, and
still others are never recovered correctly.
21Eidetic imagery
- Eidetic imagery is a technical term for a
photographic memory. - Eidetic imagery can recall a memory in minute
detail and portray the most interesting and
meaningful parts most accurately. These images
can last as short as a brief moment, or as long
as days. - Eidetic imagery tends to be more common in
children, and seems to decline as a persons
language abilities increase
223 stages of memory
- We encode information and store it in one of
three types of memory, depending on what we need
the information for. - Our memory works like an assembly line, and
before information can make it to our long-term
memory, it must first pass through sensory memory
and working memory.
23Sensory memory
- Sensory memory is the shortest of our memories
and generally holds sights, sounds, smells,
textures and other sensory information for a
fraction of a second. - Sensory memory holds a large amount of
information, far more than ever reaches
consciousness. - Sperlings experiment letters in rows, tone to
indicate which row to recall. - Sensory memories lasts just long enough to
dissolve into the next one, giving us the
impression of a constant flow.
24Sperlings Test
- George Sperling flashed a group of letters (see
left) for 1/20 of a second. People could recall
only about half of the letters - When he signaled to recall a particular row
immediately after the letters disappeared with a
specific tone, they could do so with near-perfect
accuracy.
K Z R
Q B T
S G N
25Sensory Memory
- Not all sensory memory consists of images, each
sensory receptor has its own sensory register. - Also, sensory images have no meaning associated
with them, that is the job of the next stage,
working memory.
- Visual Stimulation-iconic memory
- Auditory Stimulation-echoic memory
- Tactile Stimulation-tactile sensory memory
- Olfactory Stimulation-olfactory memory
- Gustatory Stimulation-gustatory memory
Working Memory
Long Term Memory
26Working Memory/Short Term/ Shallow Memory
- Working memory is often known as short term
memory. It is the place where we sort and encode
information before transferring it to long-term
memory, or forgetting it. - Generally, it holds information for about 20
seconds, far longer than sensory memory. - Most research suggest that we can hold seven
pieces of information in our working memory,
though it varies slightly.
27Another working memory test
- Badleys Three Systems of Working Memory
- Central executive controls our attention and
coordinates working memory for a specific task - Phonological loop stores and utilizes semantic
(word) information - Visuo-spatial sketchpad stores and utilizes
speech based information
28Working memory
- Working memory is subject to two limitations
limited capacity and short duration. - We do have coping mechanisms, however
- Chunking
- Rehearsal
29FBI EHS KSU CIA USA
30Chunking
- A chunk is any memory pattern or meaningful unit
of memory. - By creating these chunks, a process called
chunking, we can fit more information into the
seven available slots of working memory. - Example 5036574100 vs.
- 503-657-4100
31Rehearsal
- Another memory technique is called maintenance
rehearsal. This is a process where information is
repeated to keep it from fading while in working
memory. - This process does not involve active
elaboration-assigning meaning to the information.
32Levels of Processing
- In working memory, information can be elaborated
on, or connected with long term memories. - The Levels-of-processing theory says that
information that is more thoroughly connected to
meaningful items in long term memory will be
remembered better.
Levels of Processing Theory
33Working memory location
- While the location in the brain of all three
stages of memory are still not fully understood,
the likely location for the working memory is in
the frontal cortex.
34Long term memory/Deep Memory
- As far as anyone knows, there is no limit to the
duration or capacity of the long term memory. - Long term memory is essentially all of your
knowledge of yourself and the world around you.
Unless an injury or illness occurs, this memory
is limitless.
35Structure and Function of LTM
36Long Term memory
- Procedural memory (implicit) is the part of long
term memory where we store memories of how things
are done.
37Long Term memory
- Declarative memory (explicit) is the part of long
term memory where we store specific information
such as facts and events. - More often than procedural memory, declarative
memory requires some conscious mental effort.
38Declarative Memory
- Declarative memory has two divisions
- Episodic Memory This is the portion of memory
that stores personal events or episodes. - This is the storage of things like time and
place. - Semantic Memory This portion of memory stores
general knowledge, facts and language meaning. - This is specifically where all the information
you know is stored.
39Studies implicit vs. explicit
- People with amnesia who read a story once, will
read it faster a second time, showing implicit
memory. - There is no explicit memory though as they cannot
recall having seen the text before - People with Alzheimer's who are repeatedly shown
the word perfume will not recall having seen it. - If asked the first word that comes to mind in
response to the letters per, the say perfume
readily displaying learning.
40Take out a piece of paper and name all the
Presidents
41Flashbulb memory
- Of all our forms of memory, a few are
exceptionally clear and vivid. We call these
flashbulb memories. - These tend to be memories of highly emotional
events. Typically people remember exactly where
they were when the event happened, what they were
doing and the emotions they felt. - JFKs Assassination
- Ex. 9/11
42Retrieval
- Recall
- retrieve information learned earlier
- Recognition
- identify items previously learned
43(No Transcript)
44Retrieval Cues
- Reminders of information we could not otherwise
recall - Guides to where to look for info
- Context Effects
- Priming
- the activation, often unconsciously, of
particular associations in memory
45Retrieval
46Retrieval
47Retrieval
- Mood-Congruent Memory
- tendency to recall experiences that are
consistent with ones current mood
48Engram
- The engram is the biological basis for long-term
memory. It is also known as the memory trace. - Psychologists have been trying to identify
exactly where exactly memory is stored. There are
currently two theories one involving the neural
circuitry and the other at biological changes in
synapses.
49Parts of the brain used in memory
- Two parts of the brain psychologists know for
sure are involved in memory are the hippocampus
and the amygdala. - In a process called consolidation, information in
the working memory is gradually changed over to
long term memories. - The amygdala seems to play a role in
strengthening memories that have strong emotional
connections.
50Two types of forgetting
- Retrograde Amnesia The inability to remember
information previously stored in memory. - Anterograde Amnesia The inability to form
memories from new material. - As memories form, neurotransmitters collect at
the synapses, (before absolute threshold is
crossed). These are called memory traces. A sharp
blow to the head, or electric shock can prevent
these traces from consolidating, making it hard
to recall that information.
51Types of Amnesia and forgetting
- Retrograde amnesia is a form of amnesia where
someone will be unable to recall events that
occurred before the development of amnesia. - Anterograde amnesia is a loss of the ability to
create memories after the event that caused the
amnesia occurs
52Types of memory
- When dealing with long term memory retrieval,
there are two types of memory - Implicit memory a memory that was not
deliberately learned-no conscious awareness - Ex. Muscle memorythrowing a ball
- Explicit memory a memory that had been processed
with attention and can be consciously recalled. - Ex. The three stages of memory
- General rule a memory is implicit if it can
affect behavior or mental processes without
becoming fully conscious. Explicit memories
always involve consciousness.
53Retrieval clues
- Retrieval clues are the search terms we use to
activate memorythink of a Google search. The
more specific you are, the better the results
will be. - Some memories are easily remembered, while others
are much harder to bring up. For example, if you
draw a blank on a test, it may be a result of the
wording on the test not being the same as the
wording you used while studying.
54RECALL AND RECOGNITION
- Memories can be cued in two ways
- Recall a retrieval method in which one must
reproduce previously presented material. - Ex. Essay test police sketch of a suspect
- Recognition a retrieval method in which one
must identify information that is provided, which
has previously been presented. - Ex. Multiple choice test police line-up
55Other factors affecting retrieval
- Encoding specificity principal the more closely
the retrieval clues match way the information was
encoded, the better the information will be
remembered. - Think Google search
- Mood-congruent memory a theory which says we
tend to selectively remember memories that match
(are congruent with) our current mood. - Has an affect on how people are treated for
medical conditions
56Memory Construction
- We often construct our memories as we encode
them, and we may also alter our memories as we
withdraw them - We infer our past from stored information and
what we assume - By filtering information and filling in missing
pieces, our schemas (understanding of specific
settings) direct our memory construction
57Misinformation
- As memory fades with time following an event, the
injection of misinformation becomes easier. - Misinformation effect incorporating misleading
information into ones memory of an event. - Imagination inflation occurs because visualizing
something and actually perceiving it activate
similar brain areas.
58Misinformation effect
- Eyewitnesses reconstruct memories when questioned
59Repressed Memories
- During the 1990s, the idea of repressing painful
memories became a big topic. - While some psychoanalysts still support the idea
of repressed memories, most psychologists agree
that events that are traumatic are typically
etched on the mind as vivid, persistent, haunting
memories.
60forgetting
- As you know, not all the information you learn
will stick in your brain. According to Daniel
Schacter, this is the result of one of the seven
sins of memory - Transience
- Absent-mindedness
- Blocking
- Misattribution
- Suggestibility
- Bias
- Persistence
61Forgetting
621) transience
- Transience the impermanence of long-term
memories-based on the idea that memories
gradually fade in strength over time-also known
as decay theory. - Ebbinghauss Forgetting Curve
- For most memories, there is a sharp decline in
memory, followed by declining rate of loss
632) Absent-mindedness
- Absent-mindedness forgetting caused by lapses in
attention. - Ex. Forgetting where you parked losing your keys
643) blocking
- Blocking forgetting when a memory cannot be
retrieved because of interference. - Proactive Interference When an old memory
disrupts the learning and remembering of a new
memory. - Ex. Trying to put the dishes away at a new house
- Retroactive Memory When a new memory blocks the
retrieval of an old memory. - Ex. Driving an automatic after driving a manual
65Serial Position effect
- The serial position effect is a form of
interference related to the sequence in which
material is presented. - Generally items in the middle are remembered
less. - Primacy relative ease of remembering the first
information in a series. - Recency Strong memories of the most recent
information in a series - Info in the middle is exposed to both
retroactively and proactively. -
66Encoding Serial Position Effect
Serial Position Effect--tendency to recall best
the last items in a list
Immediate recall Later recall
674) misattribution
- Misattribution Memory faults that occur when
memories are retrieved, but are associated with
the wrong time, place or person. - Ex. Psychologist Donald Thompson accused of rape.
Alibi was airtight as he was giving a TV
interview the victim had been watching just prior
to the assault.
685) suggestibility
- Suggestibility The process of memory distortion
as the result of deliberate or inadvertent
suggestion. - Eyewitness accounts are one a large part of our
legal system. Unfortunately they can be
incredibly faulty. - With the misinformation effect, memories can be
embellished or even created by cues and
suggestions.
696) bias
- Bias The influence of personal beliefs,
attitudes and experiences on memory. - Expectancy Bias A memory tendency to distort
recalled events to fit ones expectations. - Self-consistency Bias A commonly held idea that
we are more consistent in our attitudes and
beliefs, over time, than we actually are.
707) persistence
- Persistence A memory problem where unwanted
memories cannot be put out of our mind. - Depressed people cannot stop thinking about how
bad their life is and how unhappy they are. It
can create a self-fulfilling problem. - Psychologists think that emotions strengthen the
physical changes in the synapses that hold our
memories, thus highly emotional memories can be
harder to put out of mind.
71Forgetting isnt all bad
- According to Schacter, the seven sins are
actually a normal part of human memory, and are
the results of adaptive features in our memories. - According to Schacter, each of the sins is for
a reason - Transience-to prevent memory overload
- Blocking-to focus on task at hand
- Absent-mindedness-ability to shift attention
- Misattribution/bias/suggestibility-to focus on
meaning and not detail - Persistence-to remember especially emotional
memories
72Biology of Memory
- Karl Lashley (1950)
- trained rats to solve maze, then cut out pieces
of their cortex and retested their memory of maze - partial memory retained
73Biology of Memory
- Lashley found beer to have same effects as cortex
removal on rat maze performance
74Biology of Memory
- Hippocampus
- Involved in explicit memory
- Cerebellum
- Involved with implicit memory
- Skills, conditioning, procedural memory
75Biology of Memory
- Hippocampus
- Involved in explicit memory
- Cerebellum
- Involved with implicit memory
- Skills, conditioning, procedural memory
76Improve Your Memory
- Activate retrieval cues--mentally recreate
situation and mood - Minimize interference
- Test your own knowledge
- to rehearse it
- to determine what you do not yet know
77Cognition language and thinking
78Language Acquisition
- One of the defining characteristics of humans is
the use of complex language-our ability to
communicate. - Newborn children know zero words in English, or
any other language. Yet they have innate
abilities to become fluent speakers of any
language they hear spoken, or signed regularly.
79Innateness-Theory of Language
- According to the innateness-theory of language,
children acquire language not only by imitating
but also by following preprogrammed steps to
acquire language. - Noam Chomsky-Language Acquisition Device-LAD a
mental structure that facilitates the learning of
language because it is preprogrammed with
fundamental language rules. - Globally, all children follow the same pattern of
language acquisition. - LAD is flexible-any language is possible
80Language
- Language is our spoken, written, or gestured
works and the way we combine them to communicate
meaning. - Phoneme is the smallest distinctive sound unit
- Morpheme is the smallest unit that carries
meaning - may be a word or a part of a word (such as a
prefix) - -ed/-d past tense -s plural
- Grammar, then, is a system of rules in a language
that enables us to communicate with and
understand other
81Language
- Semantics is the set of rules by which we derive
meaning from morphemes, words, and sentences in a
given language. - also, the study of meaning
- Syntax is the rules for combining words into
grammatically sensible sentences in a given
language. - Do you want to go to the store? vs. Store to go
want to do you?
82Stages of Early language
83Language Stages
- There are four phases of early speech acquisition
that all students pass through - Babbling Stage
- Beginning at 3 to 4 months
- The stage of speech development in which the
infant spontaneously utters various sounds at
first unrelated to the household language, but
noises that represent every sound heard in every
language - One-Word Stage
- From about age 1 to 2
- The stage in speech development during which a
child speaks mostly in single words
84Language
- Two-Word Stage
- Beginning about age 2
- The stage in speech development during which a
child speaks in mostly two-word statements - Telegraphic Speech
- Early speech stage in which the child speaks like
a telegram-go car--using mostly nouns and
verbs and omitting auxiliary words
85Language
- New language learning gets harder with age
86COGNITIONG/THINKING
- A concept is a mental grouping of similar
objects, events, ideas, or people - Prototype is a mental image or best example of a
category-formed on the basis of frequently
experienced features. - Testing concepts can be hard since they are not
observable. We must infer their influence on
peoples thinking indirectly by studying their
observable side effects. - Concept of the color red
87Types of Concepts
- There are two types of concepts
- Natural concepts imprecise mental
classifications that develop out of our everyday
experiences. - Most of the concepts in our everyday life
- Artificial concepts concepts defined by a set of
rules or characteristics, such as dictionary
definition or mathematical equations. - Most of the concepts learned in school
88Framing
- Putting language into the context that you want
it to be seen.
The fat hog
brought us a lot of money at market
of a woman cut in front of me in line
89Talking with Hands
- Say hello to them
- Then make them angry
- Then make-up with them.
90Cognitive Maps
- As we saw before, cognitive maps are mental
representations of a given place or situation. - Just the mental image is not enough however.
Along with the visual cortex, the frontal lobe of
the brain provides us with information on the
episode, the context and stimulus of a situation. - Ex. Answering the phone at a friends house
91Making Inferences
- To help us figure out the episode, the context
and stimulus of a situation we do have tools - Schema General frameworks that provide
expectations about topics, events, objects,
people and situations. - Assimilation vs. Accommodation
- Script Schemas about sequences of events and
actions expected to occur in particular settings.
92Problem Solving
- When we are faced with a problem, we have a few
options for figuring out a solution. - Steps to solving
- 1- Identify the problem
- 2- Define that problem and decide how it needs to
be approached - 3- Select a solution to that problem
- 4- Attack the problem and evaluate how its going.
- WAYS TO GO ABOUT THIS!
- Algorithms Problem solving procedures or
formulas that guarantee a correct outcome if
correctly applied - Heuristics Simple, basic rules that serve as
shortcuts to solve complex mental tasks. - They do not guarantee a correct solution
93Possible Solution Strategies
- Trial and error
- Works best with limited number of choices
- Information retrieval
- Retrieve from memory information about how such a
problem has been solved in the past - Algorithms
- Step-by-step methods that guarantees a solution
- Methodical, logical rules or procedures that
guarantee solving a particular problem. - Math problems are an example of the type best
solved using an algorithm - Heuristics
- Rules of thumb that may help simplify a problem,
but do not guarantee a solution. - They are quicker than algorithms
94Algorithms vs. Heuristics
- Unscramble
- S P L O Y O C H Y G
- Algorithm
- all 907,208 combinations of possible answers
- Heuristic
- throw out all YY combinations- arent any in
English - Decide setting in which the problem presents
itself - Most possible solution?
- other heuristics?
95Algorithmically Solving
- Positive- You will, without fail, find the
correct answer! - Negatives- It could take a very long time
96Heuristic Methods
- Hill climbing
- Move progressively closer to goal without moving
backward - Sub-goals
- Break large problem into smaller, more manageable
ones, each of which is easier to solve than the
whole problem
- Means-end analysis
- Aims to reduce the discrepancy between the
current situation and the desired goal subgoals
not immediately in the solution direction are
considered - Working backward
- Work backward from the desired goal to the
existing condition
97Hill Climbing Heuristic
- Move progressively closer to goal without moving
backward
98Sub-goals
- Break large problem into smaller, more manageable
ones, each of which is easier to solve than the
whole problem
99Means-end analysis
- Aims to reduce the discrepancy between the
current situation and the desired goal subgoals
not immediately in the solution direction are
considered
100Working backward
- Work backward from the desired goal to the
existing condition
101Heuristic Solving
- Positive- usually will get you to a correct
answer and is very quick. - Negatives- Often we have obstacles in the way of
our problem solving. Also the quick answer, the
OBVIOUS answeris wrong!
102The Matchstick Problem
- How would you arrange six matches to form four
equilateral triangles?
103The Three-Jugs Problem
- Using jugs A, B, and C, with the capacities
shown, how would you measure out the volumes
indicated?
104The Candle-Mounting Problem
- Using these materials, how would you mount the
candle on a bulletin board?
105Problems with Heuristics
- One problem with heuristic are mental sets.
- When faced with problems, we have a tendency to
approach it in a familiar way. - Especially a way that has been successful in the
past but may or may not be helpful in solving a
new problem - Mental set the tendency to respond to a new
problem in the manner used for previous problems.
106Problems With Heuristics
- Another problem with relying on heuristics is
called functional fixedness, a sort of mental set
issue. - Functional Fixedness The inability to perceive a
new use for an object associated with a different
purpose.
107Motivation
- If you dont attempt to solve a problem you wont.
108The Matchstick Problem
- Solution to the matchstick problem
109The Three-Jugs Problem
- Solution
- a) All seven problems can be solved by the
equation shown in (a) B - A - 2C desired
volume. - b) But simpler solutions exist for problems 6 and
7, such as A - C for problem 6.
110The Candle-Mounting Problem
- Solving this problem requires recognizing that a
box need not always serve as a container
111Judging and Decision making
- Along with mental sets, bias can make heuristics
a faulty decision making tool. - Confirmation bias- Tendencey to look for only
those things that help prove Im RIGHT! - Hindsight bias Tendency to second guess a
decision after the event has happened. - Representative bias Judging the likelihood of
things in terms of how well they seem to match
particular prototype - Availability bias Estimating the likelihood of
events based on their availability in memory - if instances come readily to mind we presume such
events are common
112Problems and Decisions
- Problem solving the task is to come up with new
solutions - Decision making a type of problem solving in
which we already know the possible options.
113Heuristics in Decision Making
- Short-cuts learned from experience, that people
use to make decisions typically when facing
complex problems or incomplete information - Assumptions
- Two Types
- Availability heuristic
- Representativeness Heuristic.
114Representativeness Heuristic
- You make a decision based upon how much something
represents, or matches up, with characteristics
from your schema, or the typical case.
Good School
It matches my party school schema so I decide
it is bad school.
Bad School School
115Representativeness Heuristic in action.
Decide where they are from.
116Representativeness Heuristic in action.
- Susan is very shy and withdrawn, invariably
helpful, but with little interest in people, or
in the world of reality. A meek and tidy soul,
she has a need for order and structure, and a
passion for detail. - Is Susan a Librarian, a Teacher, or a Lawyer?
117Representativeness Heuristic in action.
- Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and
very bright. She majored in philosophy. As a
student, she was deeply concerned with issues of
discrimination and social justice, and also
participated in anti-nuclear demonstrations. - Is Linda a Bank Teller? Or Is Linda a feminist
Bank Teller?
118Truth or Lie
- Something that happened to me during grade
school. - I made fun of James and my teacher encouraged
it. - My favorite meal Sushi
- My earliest memory 6th birthday party
- My favorite vacation trip - Disney
- A high point of my high school days Band
- The most influential person in my life - Dad
- My favorite teacher Mr. Smith
- The part of the country in which Id most like to
live Pacific Northwest - A surprising talent that I have Cook like a
BOSS - Something interesting about a member of my family
Wife is a trained singer.
119Availability Heuristic
- Operates when we make decisions on how available
information is. The faster people can remember
an instance of some event the more they expect it
to occur.
120Availability Heuristic in Action
- Which household chores do you do more frequently
than your partner? (e.g. washing dishes, taking
out the trash, etc.) - - wives report 16/20 chores
- - husbands report 16/20 chores
- Ross and Sicoly (1979)
- Why? Availability!
- - I remember lots of instances of taking out the
trash, washing dishes, but I do not remember lots
of instance of my wife doing it
121Availability Heuristic
- Why does our availability heuristic lead us
astray? Whatever increases the ease of retrieving
information increases its perceived availability.
How is retrieval facilitated?
- How recently we have heard about the event.
- How distinct it is.
122Which causes more deaths per 100,000?
- All accidents or strokes
- Blood poisoning or suicide
- Homicide or diabetes
- Motor vehicle accidents or colorectal cancer
- leukemia or Drowning
123Exaggerated Fear
- The opposite of having overconfidence is having
an exaggerated fear about what may happen. Such
fears may be unfounded. - The 9/11 attacks led to a 20 decline in air
travel due to fear. -
124Which causes more deaths per 100,000?
- All accidents (35.7) vs. strokes (57.4)
- Suicide (10.4) vs. blood poisoning (11.3)
- Homicide (7.1) vs. diabetes (25.1)
- Motor vehicle accidents (15.7) vs. colorectal
cancer (18.9) - Drowning (1.1) vs. leukemia (7.8)
125Which city has the higher crime index?
- Detroit or Myrtle Beach
- Chicago or Baltimore
- Manhattan or Gary, India
- Boston or Flint
- Montreal or Hot Springs
- San Francisco or Durham
126Answers
- Detroit (crime index 531) vs. Myrtle Beach
(597) - Chicago (335) vs. Baltimore (479)
- Manhattan (152) vs. Gary (544)
- Boston (223) vs. Flint (329)
- Montreal (181) vs. Hot Springs (201)
- San Francisco (176) vs. Durham (216)
127Overconfidence
- Overconfidence is a tendency to overestimate the
accuracy of our beliefs and judgments.
At a stock market, both the seller and the buyer
may be confident about their decisions on a stock.
128Confirmation Bias
- While we make a decision, we actively look for
information that confirms our ideas
129Belief Bias
- The tendency of ones preexisting beliefs to
distort logical reasoning by making invalid
conclusions.
Democrats support free speech Dictators are not
democrats Dictators do not support free speech.
God is love. Love is blind Ray Charles is
blind. Ray Charles is God. Anonymous graffiti
We more easily see the illogic of conclusions
that run counter to our beliefs than those that
agree with our beliefs.
130Belief Perseverance
- Belief perseverance is the tendency to cling to
our beliefs in the face of contrary evidence.
131Bias after the process
- Hindsight Bias
- a tendency to think that one would have known
actual events were coming before they happened,
had one been present then or had reason to pay
attention. - a.k.a Monday morning quarterback.
- I-knew-it-all-along effect, reflecting a common
response to surprise.
132Decision Making and Judgements
- Decision making/judgments are special cases of
problem solving in which possible solutions or
choices are already known - Logical decision making
- Compensatory model
- Rational decision-making model in which choices
are systematically evaluated on various criteria - Example buying a car
- Good when issues are well-defined