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Title: Financial Markets


1
Financial Markets Instruments
  • Andrei Simonov (HHS)
  • Finance I HHS MBA

2
Course Outline
  • Financial markets and products
  • Risk and return
  • measure of profitability
  • comparison across time
  • realized vs expected risk and return
  • Idiosyncratic and systematic risk
  • diversification
  • efficient portfolios

3
Course Outline (cont)
  • Valuation
  • CAPM and other asset pricing models
  • anomalies and behavioral finance
  • Fixed Income
  • duration
  • term structure
  • Derivatives
  • options
  • futures

4
Administration
  • Grading
  • class participation
  • group assignments
  • Exam
  • Textbook
  • Investments Bodie, Kane and Markus (McGraw-Hill)
    latest edition
  • My assumptions about you
  • You know and understand basic regression and
    statistical analysis (what is R2, statistical
    significance, etc.)
  • You are willing to learn...

5
(No Transcript)
6
Introduction
  • The field of Finance and Investments
  • Individual agents making decisions to supply
    capital to the markets
  • Firms getting capital from the financial markets
    (when, where, how?)
  • Capital Markets acting as market clearing device.
  • Goal of the course
  • To familiarize you with real world of
    investments.
  • To give broad overview of modern investment
    issues. By December one should know what does
    that mean to be investment professional.

7
Financial Assets
  • Claims to cash generated by real assets
  • Real assets
  • those which contribute to economic production
    (land natural resources, buildings, machines )
  • Financial assets
  • contribute indirectly to the productive capacity
    of the economy
  • allocate profits and risks to various market
    participants and investors

8
Functions of the Financial System
  • To allocate funds efficiently by transferring
    resources
  • across time (saving for retirement)
  • across distance (investing across countries)
  • To provide means of sharing risk
  • between households and firms (stocks)
  • among firms (futures)
  • among households (insurance contracts)
  • To provide means of controlling risk
  • diversification (mutual funds)
  • options, credit derivatives
  • To provide and aggregate information about
    expectations
  • on macro variables (exchange rates, inflation
    etc.)
  • on companies
  • To efficiently separate ownership and management
  • To provide ways to settle payments for goods and
    services

9
Investment process
  • Typical investors faces two steps of decisions
  • Asset allocation
  • Choice among broad asset classes
  • (Ex) stocks, bonds, real estate, commodities,
    etc.
  • This requires economic analysis (boom or bust)
    or industry analysis
  • Security selection
  • Choice of particular securities within each asset
    class
  • (Ex) GM, IBM, etc.
  • This requires the valuation process of particular
    securities, so called, security analysis
  • Therefore, investors face the following problems
  • Forecasting future returns (or cash flows)
  • Identifying sources of risk and measuring risk
  • Evaluating whether the expected return
    compensates for the risk
  • Investment decisions

10
Principles of the markets
  • No-free-lunch rule (or no arbitrage rule)
  • Financial markets are competitive enough to rule
    out any profit opportunity from investing in
    obviously underpriced securities
  • Risk-return trade-off
  • Assets with higher expected returns have greater
    risk
  • Higher-risk assets should be priced lower to
    offer higher expected return than lower-risk
    assets
  • How to measure risk?
  • Market efficiency hypothesis
  • All relevant information is quickly and
    efficiently reflected in prices
  • In reality, however, we observe near-efficient
    markets where there may exist profit
    opportunities for diligent and creative
    investors. This provides an incentive for
    actively managing ones investment portfolios

11
Financial Markets
  • Role of the markets aggregation of information
  • Primary market for new issues of securities
  • Company sells shares and bonds directly to
    investors
  • Private placements offers to a restricted group
    of investors
  • Public offerings offer to the general investment
    public
  • Secondary market for existing securities
  • Existing owner sells to another party
  • Company does not receive proceeds and is not
    directly
  • involved

12
Primary Market Public Offerings
  • Investment bank underwrites the issue performing
    four tasks
  • Origination information gathering and advice on
    timing and pricing of the issue, forming
    syndicate
  • Distribution selling of the issue
  • Risk bearing buys the security from the firm and
    then resell them to clients (in some cases)
  • Certification certify the quality of the issue

13
Investment Banking (IB)
  • IBs are specialized in advising and marketing
    public offerings of stocks or bonds, and are
    called underwriters
  • An underwriting syndicate is formed to share the
    responsibility of large offerings
  • IBs provide services such as valuation, marketing
    plan, roadshow, bookbuilding, pricing,
    allocation, and price support in aftermarkets
  • IBs tend to offer a bargain price to induce
    potential investors to submit their interest in
    the bookbuilding process
  • This tendency commonly causes underpricing of
    IPOs, which is reflected in price jumps occurring
    on the first date of trading (New Issue Puzzle)
  • Besides underwriting fees of about 7, such
    underpricing is an implicit cost to the issuing
    firm
  • Highly expensive for small firms, and internet
    IPOs introduced

14
Public Offerings
  • Underwriting types Firm commitment vs. Best
    Efforts
  • Firm commitment IBs buy the issue and assume
    risk of selling
  • Best Efforts no firm commitment, and act as an
    intermediary
  • Negotiated vs. Competitive Bid
  • Negotiated issuing firm negotiates terms with
    investment banker
  • Competitive issuer structures the offering and
    takes bids from IBs
  • SEC registration required for new issues to the
    public
  • Registration of new securities must be approved
    by SEC (Preliminary prospectus, or Red herring)
  • Once approved, Prospectus is distributed to the
    public together with Tombstone advertisements
  • Shelf registration (SEC Rule 415, since 1982)

15
Private Placements
  • Sale to a small number of institutions and
    sophisticated investors
  • Does not require registration at the SEC (Rule
    144A), and thus, cheaper than public offerings
  • Very active market for debt securities, but not
    active for stock offerings

16
How to place an order?
  • Instruct your broker the following order
    specification
  • Online vs. offline
  • Name and type of the security to trade
  • Indicate a purchase or sale
  • Order size round lots vs. odd lots
  • Order type market vs. limit orders, etc.
  • Length of time of the order

17
Types of Orders
  • Market order
  • Buy or sell orders are to be executed immediately
    at the best price currently available
  • Limit order
  • Specify prices at which buy or sell orders are
    executed
  • Stop-loss order
  • Sell stocks when price falls below a stipulated
    level
  • This is to stop further losses from a long
    position
  • Stop-buy order
  • Buy stocks when price rises above a stipulated
    level
  • This is to limit potential losses from a short
    position
  • Good-till-canceled order
  • Fill or Kill order (FOK)
  • immediately execute a trade completely, or else,
    cancel it
  • Market-on-close order

18
Evolution of limit order book
  • Suppose the following limit order book for stock
    XYZ observed at time 0 on a day.
  • Sell Price Buy (At time 0) Sell Price Buy (At
    time 4)
  • .... .... .... ....
  • 1000 32 ??? 32
  • 2000 31 ??? 31
  • 30 ? 30
  • 29 29
  • 28 3000 28 ???
  • 27 2000 27 ???
  • .... .... .... ....
  • What will be the trade prices for the following
    orders?
  • At time 1, a market buy order of 1000 shares
    arrived.
  • At time 2, a market buy order of 1500 shares
    arrived.
  • At time 3, a market sell order of 2000 shares
    arrived.
  • At time 4, a limit sell order of 1000 shares at
    31 arrived.
  • How would the limit order book look like just
    after time 4?
  • What would be the implicit cost of market buying
    and selling a share simultaneously just after
    time 4?

19
Costs of Trading
  • Brokerage commission
  • Fees paid to broker
  • Full-service vs. discount broker
  • Explicit cost of trading
  • Bid-ask spread implicit cost of trading
  • Bid price that a dealer is willing to buy from
    you
  • Ask price that a dealer is willing to sell to
    you
  • Typically, Ask gt Bid
  • and the difference ask bid is called as
    bid-ask spread, which is dealers gain for the
    market-making service

20
Margin Trading
  • Only a portion of the investment proceed comes
    from your own money
  • Remaining portion is borrowed from a broker
  • Bet on a rise in the price of the security
  • Higher leverage, magnifying upside and downside
    risks
  • Stocks purchased on margin must be maintained
    with the broker as collateral for the loan
  • Initial margin
  • Currently 50, set by the Fed
  • You can borrow up to 50 of the stock value
  • Maintenance margin
  • Minimum amount of equity maintained in the
    account
  • Margin call call from a broker to put up more
    equity funds
  • Margin arrangements differ for stocks and futures

21
Margin Trading Initial Margin
  • X Corp. 70 current price
  • 1,000 Shares Purchased
  • 50 Initial Margin
  • 40 Maintenance Margin
  • Initial Position
  • Stock 70,000 Borrowed 35,000
  • Equity 35,000

22
Margin Trading Maintenance Margin
  • If stock price falls to 60 per share,
  • New Position
  • Stock 60,000 Borrowed 35,000
  • Equity 25,000
  • Margin () Equity in account / Value of stock
  • 25,000 / 60,000 41.67
  • Rate of return (25,000 35,000)/35,000
    -28.57
  • Rate of return if own money of 35,000 is used to
    buy 500 shares
  • (30,000 35,000) / 35,000 14.28

23
Margin Trading Margin Call
  • How far can the stock price fall before getting a
    margin call?
  • Margin () Equity in account / Value of stock
  • (1,000P - 35,000) / 1,000P 40
  • ? P 58.33
  • If stock price falls below 58.33, one gets a
    margin call

24
Short Sales
  • Opposite case of the margin purchase, i.e., only
    a portion of the securities are supplied by the
    seller
  • Remaining portion of the securities are borrowed
    from a broker
  • Bet on a decline in the price of the security
  • Higher leverage, magnifying upside and downside
    risks
  • The proceeds from the short sale must be
    maintained with the broker as collateral
  • Mechanics
  • Borrow stocks from a broker
  • Sell it, and deposit the proceeds and margin
    money in an account
  • Close out the position by buying the stock and
    returning it to the lender
  • Short-seller must pay any dividends paid during
    the short sale to the lender of the stock

25
Short Sale Initial Conditions
  • Z Corp 100 current price
  • 100 Shares sold short
  • 50 Initial Margin
  • 30 Maintenance Margin
  • Initial Position
  • Sale proceeds 10,000 Stock owed 10,000
  • Margin(cash,etc) 5,000 Equity
    5,000

26
Short Sale Maintenance Margin
  • If stock price rises to 110,
  • New Position
  • Sale proceeds 10,000 Stock owed 11,000
  • Initial margin 5,000 Equity
    4,000
  • Margin () Equity in account / Value of stock
  • 4,000 / 11,000 36.36
  • Rate of return (4,000 5,000) / 5,000 20
  • Rate of return if own 50 shares are sold at 100
  • (5,000 55,000) / 5,000 10

27
Short Sale Margin Call
  • How much can the stock price rise before getting
    a margin call?
  • Margin () Equity in account / Value of stock
  • (15,000 100P) / (100P) 30
  • ? P 115.38
  • If stock price rises above 115.38, one gets a
    margin call

28
Secondary Markets
  • Organized exchanges
  • OTC market
  • Third market
  • Fourth market

29
Organized Exchanges
  • Auction markets with centralized order flow
  • NYSE, AMEX, and regional exchanges
  • Listing requirements
  • Dealership function by Specialists at NYSE
  • Have exclusive right to make the market in a
    specified stock on the NYSE
  • Must maintain a fair and orderly market
  • Can be competitive or assigned by the exchange
  • Traded securities
  • stock, bonds, futures, options contracts

30
OTC Market
  • An informal exchange of brokers and dealers
    negotiating trades, without centralized order
    flow
  • NASDAQ largest OTC market since 1971
  • Computer-linked system providing information on
    dealers quotation of bid and ask prices
  • Nasdaq National Market System
  • Nasdaq SmallCap Market
  • Lower volume securities
  • OTC Bulletin Board
  • Pink Sheets from NASD
  • Traded securities
  • Stocks, bonds and some derivatives
  • Most secondary bonds transactions

31
Third Market
  • Trading of exchange-listed securities away from
    the exchange
  • Institutional market, facilitating trades of
    larger blocks of securities
  • Involves services of dealers and brokers

32
Fourth Market
  • Investors trading directly with other investors
  • Originally developed for institutional trading
  • Technological developments lead to individual
    investors trading directly, without the need of
    market makers
  • Advent of ECN
  • Computer networks allowing direct trading
  • Captures about 30 of the trading volume for
    NASDAQ-listed stocks in 2001
  • (Ex) INSTINET, POSIT
  • Competing with Nasdaq and NYSE for volume
  • Implication of future structure of stock exchanges

33
Market Mechanics Alternative Ways of Trade
Execution
34
Regulation and Market Trends
  • ECNs present new challenges in regulation
  • Global markets with alliances are developing
  • Current Issues with Insider trading violations
  • Agency problems associated with investment
    banking and research
  • Most of top managers have long been engaged in
    earnings management with analysts and auditors,
    and they have been overly compensated by stock
    options or performance shares due to stock price
    increases
  • We are currently seeing Sarbanes-Oxley acts, SEC
    and FBI investigations, and criminal/civil
    actions against corporations, corporate
    executives, auditors, investment banks, and
    analysts

35
Regulation and Market Trends 2
  • Agency problems associated with investment
    banking and research (Continued)
  • Market for corp. control (takeovers) cannot solve
    the problem Recent evidence shows value
    destruction in a large scale
  • Equity-based compensation is like throwing
    gasoline on a fire
  • Real solution is to not allow the market price to
    get substantially out of line with the true value
    of the firm, and to reset the value

36
Financial Markets
T-Bills CD CP BA Repos/Reverses Federal
funds LIBOR market
(Short-term) Money Market
Traditional Financial Markets
T-Notes/Bonds Municipal bonds Corporate
Bonds ABS/MBS
(Long-term) Capital Market
Bonds
Financial Markets
Stocks
Forward Futures Option Swap
Derivatives
Foreign Exchange Market
Whole sales market Retail market
37
Financial Markets Instruments
  • Money Market - short-term (maturity lt 1yr)
    fixed-income instruments
  • Certificates of deposits (CDs)
  • Commercial paper
  • Treasury bills
  • Fixed-Income longer term
  • Municipal Bonds
  • Government Bonds
  • Corporate Bonds
  • Asset and Mortgage Backed Securities

38
Financial Markets Instruments
  • Equity
  • Common stocks
  • Preferred stock
  • ADRs
  • Derivatives
  • Options
  • Futures
  • Forwards

39
Money Market
  • Certificate of Deposit (CD)
  • time deposit with a bank funds cannot be
    withdrawn
  • interest and principal at the end of a fixed term
  • can be traded (thin market for 3 months or more
    maturities)
  • Commercial Paper (CP)
  • short term unsecured debt usually backed up by a
    line of credit
  • up to 270 days maturity usually 30 to 60 days
  • Eurodollars
  • dollar denominated deposits at non-US banks or
    branches
  • Bankers Acceptances
  • bank endorsed postdated checks (maturities 6
    months)
  • Treasury Bills (T-Bills)

40
T-Bills issuer and structure
  • Debt securities issued by the US Treasury
  • Extremely liquid
  • Safe (no default risk)
  • Pure discount security (no interest payments)
  • Investors pay P dollars (e.g. 990) now
  • Investors get F dollars (e.g. 1,000) in the
    future at maturity
  • F gt P trading at discount
  • Maturity 3, 6, 12 months

41
Example 1 (Cashflow of T-Bills)
1,000 Face Value (par amount)
Today
Maturity (e.g. 3m)
Pay less than 1,000 (e.g. 990)
  • Initial investment 990
  • Payment at maturity 1,000
  • Profit 10 (the interest you earned on the
    loan to the government)
  • Return over 3m (1,000-990) / 990 1.01

42
Fixed Income
  • Municipal Bonds
  • issued by state and local governments
  • tax exempt in the US
  • Government bonds
  • Treasuries
  • Corporate Bonds
  • credit risk
  • Asset Backed securities
  • example of securitization

43
T-Bonds issuer and structure
  • issued by the US treasury
  • T-Notes 1-10 years, T-Bonds 10-30 years
  • semiannual coupons and principal at maturity
  • adjusted for inflation for TIPS
    (inflation-indexed bonds)
  • held by households, firms and financial
    institutions
  • TIPS are mostly held by pension funds,
    endowments, individuals saving for retirement

44
T-Bills and Bonds trading and riskiness
  • Initial sale through auction
  • a weeks advance notice
  • competitive bids price and quantity
  • non-competitive bids only quantity
  • bidding through one of about 50 dealers
  • no bid for more than 35 of the total offer
  • Subsequent trading through primary dealers on OTC
    market
  • Riskiness negligible default risk (backed by
    government ability to tax), interest-rate risk

45
Corporate Bonds
  • Issued by large corporations via investment banks
    through underwriting process
  • Maturities and coupon payments similar to T-Bonds
  • Traded in a dealer market connected by computers
  • Held by mutual and pension funds and insurance
    companies mainly

46
Credit Risk
  • Unlike treasuries, corporate bonds carry
    significant default risk, hence we distinguish
  • Secured bonds specific collateral backing in the
    event of default
  • Debentures unsecured bonds (no collateral)
  • Subordinated debentures lower priority claims
    than debentures
  • Bond covenants regulate the rights of the lender
    and the restriction on the borrower

47
Bond Covenants
  • Asset covenants
  • govern firm acquisition, disposition and use of
    assets
  • Dividend covenants
  • restriction of dividend payments
  • Financing covenants
  • prevents firm from issuing new debt
  • Bonding covenants
  • mechanism to enforce covenants, e.g. trustee to
    oversee that covenants are not violated
  • Sinking fund covenants
  • certain parts of the bond must be retired by
    certain dates

48
Cash Flow Patterns
  • Straight coupon bond (bullet bond)
  • fixed rate semiannual coupon, principal paid only
    at terminal date (balloon payment)
  • Medium term notes (MTN) belong typically to this
    class
  • Zero coupon or pure discount bond
  • no periodic payments, single payment at maturity
  • Deferred coupon bond
  • interest is deferred for a period, so that
    cash-constrained firms can fund other projects
  • Consol (perpetuity) bond
  • bonds that pay only interest forever
  • Annuity bond
  • pay a mix of principal and interest until maturity

49
Bond Options
  • Callability
  • allows the issuing firm to retire the bond before
    maturity at a pre-specified price
  • Convertibility
  • allows bondholders the option to convert the bond
    into another security, typically common stock
  • Exchangeability
  • allows issuing firm to exchange the bond for a
    different type of bond
  • Putability
  • allows bondholders to sell the bond back to the
    firm

50
Corporate Bond Ratings
51
Transition Probability Matrix
52
Asset Backed Securities
  • Asset securitization
  • collect many sufficiently homogeneous assets in
    the same pool
  • issue securities that are claims on the pool cash
    flow
  • converts illiquid loans into liquid securities
    that can be bought by a much wider group of
    investors
  • Many assets are securitized nowadays
  • mortgages
  • airplane leasing
  • credit card loans

53
Mortgage Backed Securities
  • In the US 80 of mortgages are securitized
  • Explosion of the market in the US
  • Not yet in Europe

54
Equities
  • Issued by corporations
  • Each share represents ownership in the company
  • right to share of dividend
  • right to vote at shareholders meetings
  • Residual claimant
  • get payouts only if all other claims are met
  • debt claims are senior to equity claims
  • Limited liability
  • liability limited to the shareholders initial
    capital deposited

55
Equity Types and Issuance
  • Common stock
  • Shareholders are residual claimants (lowest
    priority)
  • Represents real ownership in the firm (voting
    rights)
  • Limited liability
  • Preferred stocks hybrid of bond and stock
  • Bond-like features
  • no voting rights
  • promise to pay fixed dividends, often convertible
  • Stock like features
  • cant force bankruptcy
  • no specified maturity
  • low priority

56
Equity Types and Issuance (cont)
  • ADRs American Depositary Receipts
  • receipts for the shares of a foreign base
    corporation held in the vault of a US bank and
    entitling the shareholder to all dividends and
    capital gains
  • Two ways to raise capital through public equity
    issues
  • IPO, Initial public offering first sale of stock
    by a formerly private company
  • SEO, Seasoned equity offering subsequent sales
    of stock by an already public company

57
Options
  • Call Option
  • gives the holder the right to purchase an asset
    for a specified price, called the exercise or
    strike price on or before a specified expiration
    date
  • Put Option
  • gives the holder the right to sell an asset for a
    specified price, called the exercise or strike
    price on or before a specified expiration date
  • Derivative assets since their value depends on
    the value of the underlying asset

58
Example - European Call Option
  • Today
  • You buy a 6-month call option on GE, i.e. the
    right to purchase GE stock at price X in six
    months
  • notice that the right cannot be exercised before
    6 months
  • In 6 months
  • GE stock is worth ST
  • If STltX, no point in exercising the call Payoff
    0
  • If STgtX, you exercise the option, pay X for the
    stock, can resell it at ST Payoff ST X

59
Futures
  • Delivery of an asset at a specified delivery or
    maturity date for an agreed-upon price, the
    futures price, to be paid at contract maturity
  • long position obligation to buy the asset
  • short position obligation to deliver the asset
  • Options on futures grant the right (not the
    obligation) to buy or sell the asset at the
    exercise price
  • Underlying assets can be
  • currencies (US, EURO )
  • goods (oil, wheat )
  • financial assets (e.g. stocks) and indexes (e.g.
    SP500)

60
Where to get data?
  • Easiest web search engine, financial sites
    (Yahoo, Infoseek, msn, etrade, etrade-SE, CNNfn,
    etc.)
  • Bulk suppliers
  • Bloomberg, DataStream, CRSP, Reuters, Trust,
    Commodity Systems, Inc., Securities Data Corp.,
    etc...
  • Look at departamental web site
    http//www.hhs.se/secfi/Databases/Databases.htm
  • Dividends
  • Volume
  • Splits

61
Indexes
  • Uses
  • Track average returns
  • Comparing performance of managers
  • Base of derivatives
  • Factors in constructing or using an Index
  • Representative?
  • Broad or narrow?
  • How is it constructed?
  • Subjectivity Factor (Bethleham Steel)

62
Examples Stock and Bond Indices
  • Dow Jones price weighted arithmetic
  • Standard Poors value weighted arithmetic
  • Specialized indexes Wilshire, Russell etc.
  • European indexes Eurostoxx 50
  • Bond indexes Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch,
    Salomon Brothers all value weighted

63
Indexes - Methodology
  • Price Weighted Indexes
  • average price of 1 share of the companies in the
    index
  • measures the performance of a portfolio with 1
    share of each stock in the index
  • Value Weighted Indexes
  • average market value of the companies in the
    index
  • measures the performance of a portfolio in which
    each stock counts as its market capitalization

64
Wilshire 5000 Index
65
Top 20 companies in SP500 Index
66
Asset Classes Returns US History
67
Asset Classes Returns Swedish History
68
GoetzmannJorion International Evidence
69
GoetzmannJorion International Evidence
Median Market RR 0.75 GDP-weighted RR 4
70
Services of Investment Companies
  • Administration record keeping
  • Periodic reports on capital gains, dividends,
    investments, and redemption
  • Diversification divisibility
  • Each investor has a claim to the portfolio in
    proportion to his investment
  • Professional management
  • Full-time staffs of security analysts and
    portfolio managers
  • Reduced transaction costs

71
Net Asset Value
  • Value of each share of a mutual fund
  • Used as a basis for valuation of mutual funds,
    e.g., when selling new shares or redeeming
    existing shares
  • Market Value of Assets - Liabilities
  • Shares Outstanding
  • (Example) A mutual fund with 5 mil shares
  • Portfolio of securities 120 mil
  • Investment advisory fees payable 4 mil
  • Other Liab.(rent, wages due, expenses) 1
    mil
  • NAV (120 5) / 5 23 per share

72
Types of Investment Companies
  • Investment Company Act of 1940
  • Unit Investment Trusts
  • Investment portfolios are fixed and unmanaged
    (lower operating expenses than actively managed
    funds)
  • Managed Investment Companies
  • Closed-End vs. Open-End Funds
  • Discount puzzle of closed-end funds
  • Various commissions (sales, management,
    performance fees, etc.)
  • Unrealized capital gains and taxes
  • Individual investors sentiment

Closed-end Open-end
Redemption of shares Cannot redeem its shares, but traded on stock exchanges Can redeem or issue its shares at NAV, but not listed on exchanges
Shares outstanding No change unless new share is offered Changes daily as new shares are sold or old shares are redeemed
Pricing Premium or discount to NAV NAV
73
Other investment Organizations
  • Similar functions, but not formally regulated as
    investment companies
  • Commingled funds
  • Similar to open-end funds, and units are offered
  • Money market fund, bond fund, etc, by a bank or
    insurance company
  • REITs
  • Similar to closed-end funds
  • Investing in real estate (Equity trusts) or
    mortgage loans (Mortgage trusts)
  • Hedge Funds
  • Private investment pool, not subject to SEC
    regulation
  • Heavy use of derivatives, short sales, and
    leverage, speculating on convergence of valuation
    differences across two sections

74
Investment Policies
  • Investment policies of mutual funds are described
    in prospectus
  • Get a free prospectus for many mutual funds at
  • http//usatodayonl.fundinfo.wilink.com/asp/F116_s
    earch_ENG.asp
  • Various kinds of investment policies (styles)
  • Money Market Funds
  • Fixed Income Funds
  • Balanced Income Funds
  • Equity Funds
  • Index Funds passive strategy, tracking a broad
    market index
  • Asset Allocation Funds actively engaged in
    market timing and forecasting
  • Specialized Sector Funds industry-specific or
    international stocks

75
Costs of Investing in Mutual Funds
  • Front-end vs. Back-end load vs. no-load
  • Front-end load sales commission paid at time of
    purchase (about 6)
  • Back-end load redemption fee at time of
    redemption (about 6, and gradually lowers every
    year)
  • Operating expenses
  • Administrative expenses and advisory fees paid to
    the investment manager (0.2 to 2 of total
    assets)
  • Periodically deducted from the fund assets
  • 12 b-1 charges
  • Annual fees charged by a fund manager to pay for
    marketing and distribution costs of annual
    reports and prospectuses, and sales broker
    commissions (limited to 1 of a funds average
    net assets per year)
  • Annually deducted from the fund assets
  • Different classes of shares have different fee
    structures
  • Allow investors to choose the best combination of
    fees, depending on their investment horizons.

76
MF Returns, Fees, and Taxes
  • Rate of return before fund expenses
  • (NAV1 NAV0 Dividend and capital gain
    distributions) / NAV0
  • Fund expenses affect the returns
  • Front-end or back-end loads, operating expenses,
    and 12b-1 charges are periodically deducted from
    fund assets, having substantial negative effects
    on the rate of return
  • Costs incurred in soft dollars are difficult to
    measure
  • High trading commissions will eventually reduce
    fund returns
  • The pass-through status of fund income
  • If at least 90 of all income is distributed to
    shareholders, and
  • less than 30 of its income comes from the sale
    of securities held for less than three months
  • Then, investors (but not the fund) pay income
    taxes at their own tax rate
  • It may be a disadvantage since it is difficult to
    control when to realize capital gains and how to
    manage tax liabilities
  • Such a tax management issue is irrelevant if a
    mutual fund is held in a tax-deferred retirement
    account such as an IRA or 401(k) account

77
Exchange Traded Funds
  • A variant of mutual funds that allow investors to
    trade index portfolios like shares of stock
  • Examples SPDRs and Diamonds
  • Potential advantages
  • Trade continuously, and can be sold short or
    bought on margin
  • Tax advantage over mutual funds
  • Redeemable for shares of stocks in the portfolio
    without selling them, thus not triggering capital
    gains taxes
  • Investor can buy ETFs through brokers (save sales
    charges)
  • Lower management fees, 0.090.18
  • Potential disadvantages
  • Sometimes depart from the NAV, giving arbitrage
    opportunities
  • Trading incurs brokerage fee and bid-ask spreads

78
Mutual Fund Performance
  • Choice of an appropriate benchmark is difficult
  • Must have similar risk characteristics
  • A simple comparison with Wilshire 5000 index (Fig
    4.3)
  • The index has outperformed the median managers in
    more years during 1972-2001, and the average
    difference of annualized compound returns is
    1.09 (12.20 vs. 11.11)
  • This margin could have reduced to 0.79 for
    passively managed low-cost index fund, and thus,
    passive index fund would have outperformed
    actively managed funds
  • Repeated winners?
  • Tab 4.4 shows that 62 of initial winners repeats
    in the following period, which is consistent with
    at least some part of a funds performance is a
    function of skill as opposed to luck
  • Bad performance is more likely to persist than
    good performance due to high turnover ratios and
    expense ratios

79
Sources of Information on Mutual Funds
  • Prospectus
  • Is required to contain investment objectives,
    policies, risks, fee table, portfolio managers,
    etc.
  • Two other sources
  • Statement of Additional Information (Part B of
    Prospectus), and Annual Report show portfolio
    composition, financial statements, etc.
  • Which funds to choose?
  • Morningstars Mutual Fund Sourcebook
  • Wiesenbergers Investment Companies
  • Investment Company Institutes Directory of
    Mutual Funds

80
Recent Fraud in Mutual Fund Industry
  • Late trading or market timing is discouraged
    or prohibited
  • Mutual fund companies state in their prospectuses
    that they discourage or prohibit "late trading"
    and "market timing" by large investors. However,
    mutual fund managers were found to permit certain
    companies to conduct such trades in exchange for
    payments and other inducements.
  • http//www.usatoday.com/money/perfi/funds/2003-10-
    02-mym_x.htm
  • http//www.usatoday.com/money/perfi/funds/2003-10-
    02-prospectus_x.htm
  • http//www.lieffcabraser.com/mf_main.htm (fraud
    investigation documents)
  • Late trading involves purchasing mutual fund
    shares at the 4 pm price after the market closes,
    a practice which is illegal, and like allowing
    betting on a horse race after the horses have
    crossed the finish line.
  • Market timing is a short-term, "in and out"
    trading of mutual fund shares. It is designed to
    exploit market inefficiencies by buying mutual
    fund shares at the stale NAV, and realizing a
    profit later when selling them.
  • Typically, funds limit the number of round trips
    an investor can make during a 12-month period,
    and allow exchanges from one fund to another
    within the same fund family several times a year
    for a low or no fee.

81
The Future
  • Globalization continues and offers more
    opportunities
  • Securitization continues to develop
  • Derivatives and exotics continue to develop
  • Strong fundamental foundation is critical
  • Integration of investments corporate finance
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