Impact%20pathways%20for%20the%20BFPs

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Impact pathways for the BFPs

• Boru Douthwaite
• BFP-Impact Assessment Project Leader, CIAT, Cali,
  Colombia
• Presentation made at the BFP PFF, Don Chang
  Palace Hotel, Vientiane, Laos
• Sunday, 12th November, 2006

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CPWF-BFP Impact Assessment Project

• Goal
• To contribute to the CPWF fulfilling its impact
  potential
• To contribute to the CPWF being perceived as a
  coherent, problem-focused research program
• Purpose
• CPWF scientists and management are using IA
  products and methods
• Intervention
• Carry out exemplary impact analysis
• Impact pathways scenario analysis extrapolation
  domain analysis
• Develop methodology

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Impact pathways two conceptualizations.
Logic model
Network maps
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Impact Pathways

• A visual description of the causal chain of
  events and outcomes that link outputs to the goal
  (logic model) and
• Network maps that show the evolving relationships
  necessary to achieve the goal
• Implementing organizations boundary partners
  beneficiaries
• Shows the project rationale its logic
• Shows multiple pathways

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Foundations of the IP Approach

• Synthesis of concepts and tools from
• Program Evaluation
• Renger and Titcomb (2002) problem trees
• Chen (2005) program theory
• Mayne (2004) - performance stories
• Social network analysis
• Cross and Parker, 2004

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Participatory Development of Impact Pathways
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The Process of Developing Impact Pathways The
Workshop
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The Process of Developing Impact Pathways
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Key IP Concepts How change happens

• Improvements in poverty alleviation, food
  security and the state of natural resources
  result from dynamic, interactive, non-linear, and
  generally uncertain processes of innovation.
• EIARD, 2003
• EIARD represents a group of European donors
• 15 EU Countries plus Norway and Switzerland

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Scaling Out and Scaling Up

• Scaling up - an institutional expansion, from
  adopters and their grassroots organizations to
  policy makers, donors, development institutions
• Scaling out - spread of a project outputs (i.e.,
  a new technology, a new strategy, etc.) from
  farmer to farmer, community to community, within
  the same stakeholder groups

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The theory behind the IP approach
Stakeholders' implicit theories are not likely
to be systematically and explicitly articulated,
and so it is up to evaluators to help
stakeholders elaborate their ideas. (Chen, 2005,
p. 14)
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The Process of Developing Impact Pathways
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Identify Project Outputs

• Identify the outputs your BFP will produce.
  Write them on cards.
• Outputs are things that others outside the
  project use
• Take 10 minutes and then present them
  (presentation maximum 2 minutes)

Task 1
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Develop a vision of project success two years
after the project ends

• Work in project groups
• Take 5 minutes to individually answer the
  question
• You wake up 2 years after your project has ended.
  Your project has been a success and is well on
  its way to achieving its goal. Describe what
  this success looks like to a journalist
• What is happening differently now?
• Who is doing what differently?
• How are project outputs disseminating
  (scaling-out)?
• What political support is nurturing this spread
  (scaling-up)? How did that happen?
• Discuss and develop a common vision

Task 2
Keep it realistic
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Family ties Friendship ties Workplace ties
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Network Exercise

• Develop network diagrams for
• Your project now
• Vision network 2 years after project has
  finished
• Develop now and future network maps for
• Research
• Scaling out / extension
• Scaling up / political support
• Identify differences between the now and future
  networks
• Discuss changes in terms of concrete actions
  needed to bring them about
• Develop work plans
• Present maps, implications and work plans to each
  other

Task 3
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Final maps based on answers
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Extrapolation Domain Analysis

• Use Weight of Evidence models
• Socio-economic, example PN6
• Existence of fish production (FAO, 2006)
• Percentage coverage of sanitation facilities
  (UNICEF, 2005)
• The poverty line as describe by the below UD 1
  per/day index (ILRI, 2006).
• Agro-ecological

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Choice of Variables
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Pilot Sites
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Socio-economic extrapolation
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Agro-ecological Extrapolation
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Putting them together