Advanced Offshore Solutions ApS

1
Advanced Offshore Solutions ApS

• Optimisation of the offshore wind energy
  installation process
• Aidan Cronin Merchant Green
• Replacing Mr. Johnny Lykke
• EOWC Stockholm September 2009

2
Agenda

• Where we are now in offshore installation?
• What do we need to achieve?
• What can the offshore installation environment
  look like in 15 years time?

3
Status European Offshore

• Still primarily driven by the UK
• Projects have been installed in a stop go
  process
• Experts are spread widely across a spectrum in
  many small companies
• Not enough critical mass
• Biggest network opportunity in wind !
• - A new team every time
• Great lack of fit for purpose vessels
• Projects are still in pilot form
• Difficult to assess risk and cost

4
Some lessons learned

• Offshore installation can be done efficiently but
  never cheaply
• Offshore installation can be done efficiently and
  sometimes quickly
• Offshore routines should not be deviated from
  unless new routines are well tried and tested
• Changing project teams kills lessons learned
• If it does not work take it down

5
The regatta model has worked !

• A regatta is an informal boat race for all sorts
  of sailing craft.
• The market has encouraged great talent and
  innovation until now
• However
• We have been lucky until now
• Few accidents
• Fewer fatalities
• Minimum delays
• But much too much re-inventing of the wheel

6
We need a convoy model

• Proper training of staff
• Well trained offshore people
• Manufacturers need to ship from harbour
  manufacturing units
• Manufacturers need to boost delivery capacity
• Need a fixation of project teams to get synergy
  from lessons learned and to avoid duplication of
  mistakes.
• Need 4 to 6 projects a year to professionalise
  the industry.

7
Convoy Installation

• A Professional installation and OM industry
• Can grow organically if the market is
  sufficiently big
• MA will also drive professionalism
• Remote condition and visual monitoring
• (Out of sight ought of mind will not be a
  reality for a long time)
• Common guidelines for offshore installation and
  construction in the EU

8
Convoy Harbours

• Need minimum 5 ports with offshore wind
  facilities in Northern Europe by 2015
• Need to be able to marshall large TIV ships
• Need offshore harbour(s) at sea (sail in from the
  right sail out from the left) to speed up large
  scale delivery.
• Need a lot of easily accessed space at a
  reasonable price.
• Harbours need to support freight to high speed
  rail

9
Installation vessels by 2025

• Need a minimum of 25 to 30 large TIVs by 2025
• We will have 5 new by 2012
• Vessels need to be cleaner and greener
• Higher OG activity can again put pressure on the
  turbine installation market
• Need to narrow down installation concepts to 2-3
  streamlined operations

10
A wind farm by 2025

• May have 3 different models at 3 different
  heights
• May be optimised in a discordant array to
  optimise output instead of linear array today.
• May be again planned closer to shore than now

11
WTG by 2015

• Size of turbine should stabilise at the most
  dependable level.
• Currently looks like a 5 to 6.5 MW size
• 6 8 mainstream WTG suppliers capable of
  minimum 1GW offshore delivery per year.
• Could see our first 10MW machines by then

12
In summary

• We need to get bigger to get better at
  installation
• We need a 4 to 6 offshore projects per annum to
  professionalise
• The talent is there it just needs scale and focus
• We need to learn from lessons learned.

13
Hungs Law of offshore wind

• If anything can go wrong it will go wrong
• At least twice !!!
• but never on the same project

14
Questions

• Have a safe journey home