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MCDM

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Title: No Slide Title Author: SINTEF Last modified by: Peter Voskuilen Created Date: 4/24/2001 12:30:06 PM Document presentation format: On-screen Show – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: MCDM


1
MCDM23
A Multi-Criteria Decision Support Method
for Whole Building Solar Design
2
MCDM-23 was developed within International Energy
Agency Solar Heating and Cooling Task 23
Optimization of Solar Energy Use in Large
Buildings
3
Requirements forSuccessful Solar Building Design
  • Start with a client and design team committed to
    high per-formance, and willing to alter the
    normal design process
  • Select a design team with a wide range of
    technical skills

Integrated Design
  • Add an energy engineer and other relevant
    specialists to the team
  • Commence with teamwork from the very start of the
    Pre-design Stage
  • Define performance goals at the outset and
    referring to them throughout
  • Use new methods and tools throughout the process

4
MCDM23 seeks to facilitate some ofthe
challenges of integrated design
  • Application and integration of knowledge and
    judgements from a range of experts from different
    disciplines
  • Balanced specification and integration of
    design criteria that are incommensurate and may
    be conflicting (e.g. economics vs. environment,
    aesthetics, etc.)
  • Balanced integration of both quantitative and
    qualitative performance criteria (qualitative
    criteria tend to be under-valued or poorly
    documented)

5
  • Problems in doing tradeoffs
  • Criteria have different units (kWh, , kg of
    SO2, percent satisfied, score on a scale of ten,
    etc.)
  • Some are quantitative, some are qualitative
  • For some, smaller is better (resource use), for
    others, bigger is better (quality issues)

How to picture diverse criteria together so we
can decide between alternatives?
6
MCDM-23 isa structured approach to
  • Make judgements and values explicit to promote
    learning and cooperation across disciplines and
    to reach a common understanding of the overall
    design problem
  • Handle values and judgements alongside
    quantitative assessments in order to clearly see
    the overall goodness of the design
  • Help organize and select relevant information and
    to focus on the most important issues

7
WHO should use MCDM23?
  • In the building design process All members of
    the design team, including the client
  • In a design competition The competition
    organizers and the judging committee
  • A person needs to be appointed to organize the
    work with the method and to take care of the
    mechanics of aggregating the information

8
WHEN should MCDM23 be used?
  • For selecting and specifying design criteria in
    the pre-design phase, and for prioritizing among
    design criteria
  • For evaluating alternative design strategies and
    solutions at various stages in the design process

9
WHAT is MCDM23?
A method and tool based on CRITERIA, WEIGHTS AND
SCORES that is a means to encourage the members
of the design team to make their knowledge,
values and judgements EXPLICIT - so that the
other members (and the outside world) can better
understand, learn and interact!
10
STEPS in MCDM23
Step 1 Select and describe main criteria and
sub-criteria Step 2 Develop measurement scales
for sub-criteria Step 3 Weight the main criteria
and sub-criteria Generate alternative
solutions Step 4 Predict performance Step 5
Aggregate scores Step 6 Analyze results and make
decisions
11
STEP 1
DESCRIBE, SELECT, AND STRUCTURE CRITERIA
  • Top-down approach Start with overall objectives,
    then go into details
  • Bottom-up approach Test the criteria on relevant
    alternatives (cases)
  • Start out wide (use check lists), then narrow in
  • Document the reason why a criterion is important
  • Irreversible consequences?
  • Wide ranging consequences?
  • Far from fulfilling national goals?

12
STEP 1
DESCRIBE, SELECT, AND STRUCTURE CRITERIA
Advantages of a hierarchical structure
main goal (optimal housing area)
  • Lower-level criteria explain the concrete meaning
    of upper-level criteria
  • Helps sorting out redundancies and double
    counting
  • Allows keeping the overview as well as going into
    the details

Main criteria (e.g resource use, functionality,
comfort)
Sub-criteria (e.g. energy use)
Indicators (e.g. kWh/m2)
13
Example of criteria set for main criterion
Resource Use
Sub-criteria Sub-sub-criteria Indicators Energy
Net use of energy MJ/m²/person Land Net
area of land used m²/occupant Change in
ecological value judgement Water Net
consumption of water m³/year/person Materials Re
tention of existing building of floor
area Use of recycled materials of
cost Re-useable materials of
cost Re-cyclable materials of cost
14
STEP 2
DEVELOP MEASUREMENT SCALES FOR SUB-CRITERIA
Score Judgement 10 excellent 9
8 good 7 6 fair 5 4 marginally
acceptable
15
Example of measurement scalefor quantitative
criteria
Annual Electric Use
16
Example of measurement scalefor qualitative
criteria
Adaptability
Score
Judgement
10
excellent
Different clients without change
9
Different clients by moving
a
d
justable partitions
8
good
Different clients by rebuilding non-
load bearing part
i
tions
7
Different clients by rebuilding some
non-load bearing partitions
6
fair
Different clients by rebuilding
mostly non-load bearing part
i
tions
5
Different clients by rebuilding all
load bearing partitions
4
marginally accep
t
able
Not adaptable to different cl
i
ents
17
The value of creating scales
  • Generates a concrete discussion about how the
    building should perform
  • The process of setting end-points leads to an
    active search for alternative options Can we
    not do better than that?
  • Facilitates interpretation of criteria the same
    words may have different meanings for different
    individuals
  • Helps define the general nature and context of
    the problem - may lead to restructuring of the
    model
  • Allows each member of the team to express his or
    her own expertise to the group as a whole

18
STEP 3
WEIGHT THE MAIN CRITERIA AND SUB-CRITERIA
19
Example of weighing using the tool
Pie chart button displays graphic
20
The value of weighting
  • Make values and hidden judgementsexplicit to the
    group as a whole
  • Generates discussion and visualizesdifferent
    viewpoints
  • May lead to a redefinition of the scales
  • Helps focusing on the mostimportant issues

21
GENERATE ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS

22
STEP 4
PREDICT PERFORMANCE using
  • computer simulations
  • databases
  • rules of thumb
  • experience
  • expert judgement

23
Enter the number in the program
Click the button to plot the value on the value
graph
24
STEP 5
AGGREGATE SCORES
25
STEP 6
ANALYZE RESULTS AND MAKE DECISIONS
After entering all the values for all the
schemes, there are four results options 1)
Worksheet for each scheme 2) Star diagram for
each scheme 3) Summary bar graph showing all
schemes 4) Summary table showing all
schemes Tables can be exported as comma-delimited
files. Diagrams can be copied to the clipboard.
Both can be printed.
26
Worksheet
Provides documentation of the process
Scheme B is not so good ( 5.6 out of 10 )
27
Star Charts
Functionality
Functionality
28
Bar Graphs
Functionality
29
Summary Table
This table was generated automatically in
MCDM-23, copied directly from the screen, and
pasted into this presentation. It can also be
exported as a csv file.
Scheme A is the best ( 8.98 out of 10 )
30
CONCLUSION
MCDM23 is a means to organize the multi-criteria
design work and to
understand and learn about whats important NOT
to produce the right answer!
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