Promise of Broadband

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Promise of Broadband Pass/Fail

• Don Westlight, Ed Parker, Mary Beth Henry, Jon
  Dolan, Sheldon Renan with assistance from Rob
  Wilcox

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Broadband... So what???apologies to Maslow

• Jobs
• Government
• Healthcare
• Education
• Entertainment
• Lets talk
• about past
• and future

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Mass Media Circa 1970

• 4 broadcast TV networks
• Sender-controlled mass media
• No personal computers or smartphones
• modem speed 300 bits per second
• No social media or user participation
• Vision receiver-controlled mass media

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1970 vision of the Internet

• computer information retrieval systems
• SPIRES, Stanford physics pre-print collection
  on-line
• user terminals combining typewriter TV
  functions
• software network functions
• electronic daily newspapers
• worlds libraries of information on demand
• telephone too narrow-band need broadband cable
• Retrospective look Mission Accomplished,
• but more needed

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1990 Networks

• live and work anywhere with good enough
  communications
• modem speed 9600
• dial up access (long distance toll calls on
  Oregon coast)
• Walled gardens AOL, CompuServe, Dialog
• email systems not interconnected
• first North American web page Stanford physics
  pre-print collection

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Promise of Broadband we thought
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GO FASTER !
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But really we went from this .
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to this in terms of social change.
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Millennials Not Driving

• Between 2001 and 2009, the average number of
  miles driven by 16 to 34 year-olds dropped by 23
  percent
• U.S. Public Interest Research Group

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It Sure is Turning up Everywhere ...
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Is Broadband Everywhere?
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Exponential Oregon

• New Rules

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• Those who cannot remember the past
• are condemned to repeat it.
• George Santyana,
  1913

FORGET IT
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How Oregon is Changing

• Population grows geometrically
• (slowly)

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How Oregon is Changing

• Oregonians have
• a growing number of connected nodes per person

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How Oregon is Changing
The growth in data is much faster than the growth
in population or nodes!
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Game Changer 1 - Aging Population

• Percent of Population over 55
• 2010 29.7
• 2015 31.2
• 2020 33.9
• 2025 32.4
• 2030 32.7
• 2035 33.2

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Game Changer 2 - Climate Change

• Climate change is a bigger threat to survival of
  a species than other species.
• Charles Darwin

Oregon to be a life-raft state. Climate
refugees may mob Oregon.
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How Oregon is Changing

• Increasing numbers creates complexity.
• As complexity increases
• Connectivity must increase to manage it.

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How Oregon is Changing
Think Outside beyond The Network
Think networks gt n e t n e s s
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How Oregon is Changing
systems networks gt fabrics fields connected
gt entangled two worlds (atoms bits) become
one
the new normal
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How Oregon is Changing
Anything that can be connected will be
connected.
What gets connected gets optimized.
The more things are connected the better things
work.
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How Oregon is Changing
Time to Rethink Policy Provisioning Peering
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How Oregon is Changing
Time to Re-prioritize The Public Good is Good
Business
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Localism

• Technology moves faster than regulation
• Success depends on where you are on the pyramid
• Local Broadband Strategic Plan
• Encourage broadband deployment,
• competition localism
• Digital Inclusion Strategy

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Alive and Well in Oregon
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2 communities 2 Stories

• SandyNet
• Gigabit Fiber to the Premise
• Portlands IRNE
• Gigabit Fiber for Government

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SandyNet

• Non-profit utility
• 7.5 million
• 100 Mbps - 39.95
• Gigabit - 59.95

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Portland IRNE

• Non-profit utility
• 14 million
• Cost effective, collaborative and future-focused

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Localism in Action

• Laser-like focus on need for FTTP
• (Portlanders believe in a high fiber diet)
• Look at Google, CenturyLink and Comcast as
  potential partners
• Digital Inclusion part of civic DNA

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Next Century Cities

• High-Speed Internet Is Necessary Infrastructure
• The Internet Is Nonpartisan
• Communities Must Enjoy Self-Determination.
• High-Speed Internet Is a Community-Wide Endeavor
• Meaningful Competition Drives Progress
• Collaboration Benefits All

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What is Broadband?
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Localism

• Localism may not mean the same thing in every
  community.
• We have to create the future.
• Connecting everything people, places, devices,
  things
• What does this mean for your future?

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In healthcare EVERYTHING is CONNECTED

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Infrastructure Investment

• One WIFI AP every 50 square (2500 ft2)
• OHSU has 6 million square feet 2400
• WIFI has been complete for years (actually
  2500 deployed)
• Gigabit is OHSUs new standard connection,
• 85,000 ports will take awhile...

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Backbone rings, where does the data go?
100 Gigabit Ring just between datacenters
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Gigabit shmigabit so what?

• In the 13 countries we studied, the Internet has
  contributed an average of 3.4 to GDP, weighting
  more than agriculture, energy, and other better
  established industries This value comes
  primarily from increased productivity.
• -McKinsey Global Institute
• Internet Matters The nets sweeping impact on
  growth, jobs, and prosperity.

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GDP involves you Maybe your data is worth
protecting...
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Broadband correlated to burglary in
BritainInternet Journal on Criminology 2012
ISSN 2045-6743
Internet use grows
Burglary declines
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Second car is a smartphone app
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Checking out a car old school without
broadband(OK so I came from a tough
neighborhood)
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The promise of BroadbandCure Cancer
By 2020 we will be able to sequence a persons
genome in one day
((a process involving computation))
Poor Herbie Hart
Poor Herbie Hart
Dr. Brian Drucker Knight Cancer Institute On
pace for the 1B fundraising challenge
The OHSU Datadome A world class facility for big
data
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The promise of BroadbandCure Cancer

• First read a genetic sample and transcribe the
  genome (Goal 1 day by 2020 - datacenter
  intensive)
• Then interpret the genome by correlating to known
  problems and solutions. (Contests at synapse.org
  to do this right now. A set of living research
  projects enabling contribution to large scale
  collaborative solutions to scientific problems.)
  (crowdsource algorithms against known patient
  genomes outcomes)
• Then build a custom cure for each patient.
  (Think programmable kryptonite virus...)

Poor Herbie Hart
Poor Herbie Hart
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The promise of BroadbandPass / Fail
Pros Broadband saves distance and time for
whatever you want to do theres an app for
that... Communication/Collaboartion Tools, Job
Engagement, Entertainment Culture, Medicine
Emergency Response,, Personal/Civic/Global
involvement feasible. Meaningfully responding as
a species to Global Warming, plus Traffic
Weather alerts Cons Broadband saves distance
and time for activity you dont like Aggressive
marketing profiling, Hackers, Terrorists,
Braindamaged Banking Regulation, and Cyberwar
The Internet was not originally designed for
security. Some work remains to be done. Yes and
we should prepare for earthquakes, and people
without drivers licenses could smash up your
car we just have to manage our risks and
broadband is no different Bottom Line PASS
(Thanks for your hard work getting here!) Safety,
Health and your job (the Economy) benefit and you
get to watch Youtube Netflix...
Poor Herbie Hart
Poor Herbie Hart
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Broadband Future

• All we need is MORE
• WiFi everywhere
• Internet of Things smart roads, smart everything
• high definition holographic image projection
• fast inter-planetary broadband
• Next interim goal 100 gigabits everywhere

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Thank You Conversation