Variations to the Imen-Delphi Procedure

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Variations to the Imen-Delphi Procedure

• Dr. David Passig Ms. Aviva Sharbat
• Bar-Ilan University, Israel
• www.passig.com

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Outline
Imen-Delphi Procedure
ID Philosophical Foundations
A Sample of ID Variations
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What is the Imen-Delphi?
The Imen-Delphi (ID) procedure was designed in
the early 1990s in order to facilitate
discussions among groups of panelists sharing a
common future interest. The goal of the ID is to
help the participants clarify their opinions and
expectations regarding their possible futures and
develop a consensus about preferable futures.
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The ID procedure

• The Imen-Delphi (ID) procedure is based on three
  rounds with iterative feedback.
• First round teasers and questions
• Second round list of mission statements
  extracted from answers
• Third round final list of agreed upon future
  mission statements (preferred future imagery)
  recommendations

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ID Philosophical Foundations
The Imen-Delphi (ID) procedure is based on the
foundations of the Applied Social Systems
Theories. The procedure is an applied social
methodology for the enhancement of future
imagery. It is geared to promote the
responsibility and self-awareness of participants
towards future growth.
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Sample of Variations
A future mission for communal services
A future mission of VR in schools
A future mission for vocational training
A future mission for Direct Banking
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Systems attention
The free approach to modify the procedure in a
variety of projects is based on the foundations
of the Applied Social Systems Theory. The
Applied Social Systems Approach claim that
science needs to work for the betterment of human
systems. Meaning, to be attentive to the needs of
the participants.
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A future mission for communal services

• This study involved a group of 60 managers from
  the Israeli Society of Communal Services (ISCS).
• The issue at hand was how to use the knowledge
  that has been accumulated by various Futures
  Studies in order to renew the future working
  mission of ISCS to better reflect undergoing
  changes in the Israeli society.
• The goal was to better plan new Community Centers
  that will better serve preferred social trends.

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A future mission of VR in schools
The purpose of this study was to lead a debate
through an ID procedure and reach an agreement,
among a worldwide group of experts, concerning a
preferred future mission of VR in schools. The
study involved 50 worldwide VR experts (from the
U.S, Canada, UK, Germany, Switzerland, Austria,
Greece, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and
Venezuela). The procedure was conducted through
email. We tested its efficiency in facilitating
a groups emergence through the net.
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A future mission for vocational training
This study addressed the challenge of
implementing future technological trends within
current vocational curriculum. 85 educational
headmasters, entrepreneurs and senior managers
from the Israeli industry participated in this
study. The objective was to examine
technological trends (2020) and their impact on
training programs, as well as suggesting a
futurized model for a national vocational
training.
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A future mission for Direct Banking
The objective of this study was to draft a
working vision for the Direct Banking Dept. of
the largest bank in Israel. The ID procedure
involved 25 senior managers from the different
Depts. Of the headquarters and the employees of
the Direct Banking Dept. The issues that were
debated included future communication
technologies relevant to banking, future
customers life styles, future trends in national
and Int. banking regulations, etc.
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Characteristics of original ID procedure

• The researchers defined their role as
  facilitators.
• The ID procedure did not intend to involve
  participants that will statistically represent
  the entire group.
• Face-to-face communication between the
  facilitators and the participants was established.

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Imen-Delphi Variations

• We found the participants willing to take part in
  the collection of the triggers and take over the
  aspect of data processing and organization.
• The facilitators means of communication through
  e-mail, or through s-mail was convenient for the
  participants

• A genuine need has evolved to include in the
  procedure a larger number of participants or even
  the entire group concerned with the issue at hand

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Liberation of creativity

• We need to change what we mean by science, and
  bring about basic changes that would represent
  significant move toward liberating the surge of
  creativity that is needed if science is to help
  in confronting the deeper problems of humanity.
• (Bohm and Peat 1987)

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Contact

• Dr. David Passig, Futurist, Bar Ilan U.
• Head Grad Program of Communication Technology in
  Ed
• www.passig.com